• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제50권1호
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• pp.20-27
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• 2001

In this paper, we propose a method for estimating the peak load of pole-transformer in summer season considering the degree of cooling load possession in customer. The cooling load of customer is selected as the most reliable parameter of peak load in summer season. The proposed estimation method is restricted to the aspect of load management for pole-transformer. The main concept of proposed method is that the error of peak load estimation using load regression equation reduces with considering the degree of cooling load possession in customer. We propose an index for estimation of cooling load possession in each customer. The proposed index is defined as cooling load possession in customer (CLPC) and obtained from the increment of monthly electric energy. The membership function for deciding the uncertainty of cooling load possession in customer is used. The database of pole-transformer in Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) is used for case studies. Through the case studies, we verify that the proposed method reduces the error of peak load estimation than the conventional method in domestic.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.478-485
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• 2001

A dynamic load simulator(DLS) which can reproduce on-ground the aerodynamic hinge moment of control surface is an essential rig for the performance and stability test of aircraft actuation system. By setting up load actuator as counter acting with the control surface driving actuator and designing an appropriate force control system for load actuator, DLS can be mechanized. Obtaining an accurate mathematical model for the DLS is the first step to successfully design an aerodynamic load replicati on system. Two theoretical models are presented and tested for their validities with the experimental results, which turns out to be not successful. An alternative way of using system identification approaches in investigated to develop a good nominal model for DLS dynamics, and suitable uncertainty bounds for this nominal model are proposed with the consideration of experimental results.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집A
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• pp.758-763
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• 2001

A concept called Allowable Load Set (ALS) is introduced and methods of finding its boundaries are developed. The resulting diagram allows an easy understanding of load and strength characteristics of a structure in relation to structural integrity under uncertain loading conditions. An allowable load diagram for an ALS visualizes the relation between a prescribed load and a degree of safety of the structure. During the application of the algorithms, critical areas of the structure are identified. A systematic method of finding the allowable load sets for multi-body mechanical systems is especially presented and applied to an excavator as a realistic case.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제57권9호
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• pp.1500-1506
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• 2008

In this paper, we proposed new reliability characteristic curve, which-can clearly show reliability property of transmission and substation system considering uncertainty such as frequency and duration of device fault. It express the relationship of duration of load curtailments, demand not supplied, and energy not served as “ y = $ax^{-1}$ " curve. and we proposed the method, which can objectively assess reliability of transmission and substation system using proposed characteristic curve as new reliability index. In this method, we used energy index of reliability(EIR) as a criterion of assessment. Finally, we performed a variety of case study for KEPCO system in order to verify usefulness of proposed method.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.540-542
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• 2003

In the high-power tests to be performed on electrical apparatus as circuit-breaker, load switch, fuse, transformers, insulators, cable and so on, the results of tests on these apparatus are extremely important to evaluate the performance of test object. The reliability of the results depends on the reliability of measuring systems used in the laboratories where tests are performed. This paper deals with factors of uncertainty and describes estimation of uncertainty in new measuring system used in high-power testing LAB. 1 in KERI.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 1992년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.134-139
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• 1992

This study introduces simple derivation of optimum load factors based on both cornell's MFOSM (Mean First Order End Moment) methods and Lind - Hasofers AFOSM (Advanced First Order 2nd Moment) methods and demonstrates the relationship between the optimum reliability, the load factors, the probability distributions selected to model the load, and a measure of relative failure cost. Although some of the cost parameters cannot be evaluated accurately and the upper tail characteristics of the distributions of the random loads remain uncertainty, this optimum reliability formulation provides insight on which Parameters are most significant in selecting appropriate load criteria for structure design.

• 대한환경공학회지
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.162-171
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• 2014

본 연구에서는 수질오염총량제의 토지계 발생부하량 산정 방식에서의 지목 단순화로 인한 불확실성을 분석하고, 23 개 중분류 토지피복도를 기존 산정방식에 적용하여 지목 확장을 할 수 있도록 개선하였으며 이를 L-THIA 모형을 이용하여 검증하였다. 진위천 유역에 대하여 지목이 단순화된 기존 방식(시나리오 1)과 23개 중분류 토지피복도를 이용한 방식(시나리 오 2)으로 산정된 TP 부하량을 비교한 결과 기존 방식의 불확실성이 높다는 것이 나타났으며, 시나리오 2에 의한 분석 결과 같은 대지 분류에 속하는 토지피복들에서 T-P 발생부하량의 편차가 3.45 kg/day~56.69 kg/day로 약 16배의 차이를 보였다. 시 나리오 2를 수질오염총량제에 적용할 수 있도록 23개 중분류 토지피복을 지적도 기반 지목으로 매칭하여 TP 발생부하량을 산정하였다(시나리오 3). 개선된 방식(시나리오 3)의 토지계 T-P 발생부하량 산정의 정확도를 검증하기 위해 L-THIA 모형의 결과와 비교하였으며 모형 예측 대비 약 10% 정도로 차이가 매우 적게 나타났다. 본 연구결과는 향후 수질오염총량제의 토 지계 발생부하량 산정의 정확도를 높이는데 있어 기초자료로 사용될 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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• pp.387-390
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• 2008

The importance of the life cycle cost analysis for construction projects of bridge has been recognized over the last decades. Accordingly, theoretical models, guidelines, and supporting softwares have been developed for the life cycle cost analysis of bridges. However, it is difficult to predict life cycle cost considering uncertainties precisely. This paper presents methodology for optimal design of substructure for a steel box bridge. Total life cycle cost for the service life is calculated as sum of initial cost, damage cost considering uncertainty, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost. The optimization method is applied to design of a bridge substructure with minimal cost, in which the objective function is set to life cycle cost and constraints are formulated on the basis of Korean Bridge Design Specification. Initial cost is calculated based on standard costs of the Korea Construction Price Index and damage cost on the damage probabilities to consider the uncertainty of load and resistance. An advanced first-order second moment method is used as a practical tool for reliability analysis using damage probability. Maintenance cost and cycle is determined by a stochastic method and user cost includes traffic operation costs and time delay costs.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.349-375
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• 2016

The tension of an arch bridge hanger is estimated using a number of experimentally identified modal frequencies. The hanger is connected through metallic plates to the bridge deck and arch. Two different categories of model classes are considered to simulate the vibrations of the hanger: an analytical model based on the Euler-Bernoulli beam theory, and a high-fidelity finite element (FE) model. A Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection method is used to discriminate between models, select the best model, and estimate the hanger tension and its uncertainty. It is demonstrated that the end plate connections and boundary conditions of the hanger due to the flexibility of the deck/arch significantly affect the estimate of the axial load and its uncertainty. A fixed-end high fidelity FE model of the hanger underestimates the hanger tension by more than 20 compared to a baseline FE model with flexible supports. Simplified beam models can give fairly accurate results, close to the ones obtained from the high fidelity FE model with flexible support conditions, provided that the concept of equivalent length is introduced and/or end rotational springs are included to simulate the flexibility of the hanger ends. The effect of the number of experimentally identified modal frequencies on the estimates of the hanger tension and its uncertainty is investigated.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.5-10
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• 2014

It is possible for the nation's largest flowmeter calibration system in K-water to calibrate flow rate up to $2,700m^3/h$ and diameter 800mm. However, the calibration and measurement capability of K-water's system is not satisfied in comparison with other developed countries. In this study, we find the dominant factors related to the uncertainty of weight and time measurement for gravimetric flowmeter calibration system. As a results of improving the system, the combined standard uncertainty has been improved $1.099{\times}10^{-3}$ to $2.332{\times}10^{-4}$. So calibration and measurement capability got 0.08 percent of the relative expanded uncertainty for maximum flow rate using the coverage factor(k=2).