• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life time estimation

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A Study on Estimation of Life-time under Semiconducting Layer/Needle Electrode in XLPE (반도전층/침전극하에서 XLPE의 수명시간예측)

  • Oh, Ja-Hyung;Kim, Sung-Tak;Park, Dae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07d
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    • pp.1475-1477
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, breakdown strength and time to breakdown are experimented under semiconducting layer/needle electrode in XLPE which is used for power cable insulator. Shape and scale parameters of obtained data are estimated using 2-parameters Weibull distribution. Life-time coefficient(n-value) using shape parameters for breakdown strength and time to breakdown tests is estimated. n-value of 1000 hour aged XLPE showed higher value than that of virgin XLPE. Increase of n-value is estimated by the stability due to removal of by-product and residue gas in XLPE by heating.

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Fatigue Analysis of Vehicle Chassis Component Considering Resonance Frequency (공진 주파수를 고려한 차량 섀시 부품의 피로해석)

  • Lee Sang Beom;Yim Hong Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.94-101
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this raper is to assess the benefits of frequency domain fatigue analysis and compare it with more conventional time domain techniques. The multi-body dynamic analysis, FE analysis and fatigue life prediction technique are applied for the frequency domain fatigue analysis. To obtain the dynamic load history used in the frequency domain fatigue analysis, the computer simulations running over typical road Profiles are carried out by utilizing vehicle dynamic model. The fatigue life estimation for the rear suspension system of small-sized passenger car is performed by using resonance durability analysis technique, and the estimation results are compared with the conventional quasi-static durability analysis results. For the pothole simulation, the percent changes, of the fatigue life between the two durability analysis techniques don't exceed 10%. But for the Belgian road simulation because of the resonance effect, the fatigue life using the resonance durability analysis technique are much smaller estimated than the quasi-static durability analysis results.

Storage Life Estimation of Next Infrared Flare Material (차기 적외선 섬광제 저장수명 예측)

  • Back, Seungjun;Son, Youngkap;Kim, Namjin;Kwon, Taesoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2016
  • This paper shows storage life estimation of next IR(infrared) flare material through accelerated degradation tests. Three temperature conditions for the accelerated degradation tests are 55, 65 and $75^{\circ}C$. Six performances of IR flare material are burning time, IR peak/continuous Intensity, total energy of near/mid-IR and color ratio, and they were measured after the tests. Storage life of the IR flare material was estimated through both analyzing the degradation data of those performances and applying distribution-based degradation models to the data. Over 30 years of storage life at $20^{\circ}C$ is estimated in terms of IR peak intensity with reliability 0.99 and confidence level 99 %. Additionally, 10 years of storage period at $21^{\circ}C$ would be equivalent to 68 days of accelerated test at $65^{\circ}C$ from the activation energy in Arrhenius model.

Estimation of Failure Rate and Acceleration Factor in Accelerated Life Testing under Type-I Censoring (정시중단 가속수명시험에서 고장률과 가속계수의 추정)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2003
  • We consider the estimation of failure rate and acceleration factor under type-I censoring without using acceleration model when testing is conducted in only one highly accelerated condition. Failure times of an item are assumed to be exponentially distributed. It is also assumed that the uncertainty about the acceleration factor, the failure time contraction ratio between accelerated condition and use condition, can be modeled by the uniform or gamma prior distribution of appropriate parameters. We respectively use Bayes and maximum likelihood approaches to estimate acceleration factor and failure rate in the use condition. An example is given to show how the method can be applied.

K-1 Tank Life Cycle Cost Estimate Using PRICE Model (PRICE 모델을 이용한 K1전차 수명주기 비용추정)

  • 강창호;강성진
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.44-61
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    • 1999
  • Cost estimation has posed a significant challenge to estimators, planners, and managers in both government and military. Considerable historical evidence shows that accurate cost estimation has been difficult to achieve across a wide range of projects, including weapon systems. This paper introduces new cost estimating concept, CAIV(Cost As an Independent Variable) and a cost estimating case study using PRICE model, computer aided parametric estimating models(CAPE) for K1 tank cost estimate. CAIV concept is to set realistic but aggressive cost objectives easily in each acquisition program and to achieve cost, schedule, and performance objectives considering various managing risks with a project manager and industry teams. The Price model is one of computer aided cost estimating models and widely used in U.S. defense system analysis as a tool for CAIV. We analyze theories, inputs, outputs of the PRICE model and present a case study for K1 tank to estimate costs in requirement and concept phase, program and budgeting phase, and life cycle phase. Finally we obtain results that the Price model can be used in various phases of PPBEES depending upon available data and time.

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Estimation of Freund model under censored data

  • Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.403-409
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    • 2012
  • We consider a life testing experiment in which several two-component shared parallel systems are put on test, and the test is terminated at a predesigned experiment time. In this thesis, the maximum likelihood estimators for parameters of Freund's bivariate exponential distribution under the system level life testing are obtained. Results of comparative studies based on Monte Carlo simulation are presented.

THE MINIMUM VARIANCE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY

  • Park, C.J.;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.29-32
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    • 1978
  • We obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of system reliability when a system consists of n components whose life times are assumed to be independent and identically distributed either negative exponential or geometric random variables. For the case of a negative exponential life time, we obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of the probability density function of the i-th order statistic.

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Fatigue Life Estimation of Shot Peened Metal Using Accelerated Life Testing (가속수명시험법을 이용한 쇼트피닝가공 금속의 피로수명예측)

  • Kang, Jin-Shik;Nam, Ji-Hun;Lee, Jae-Heon;Cheong, Seong-Kyun
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.184-189
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    • 2004
  • Shot peening process is used as one of the various kinds of techniques to improve the fatigue properties. However, to obtain fatigue properties of metal materials, many efforts and time are needed. Because the fatigue life of shot peened metals increases highly. In this paper, fatigue properties of shot peened Al 7075-T6 are estimated using the fundamental of accelerated life test to reduce the experimental. Experimental results show that the estimated life data almost agree with actual rotary bending fatigue test data within 7% error.

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Software Development for System Virtual Accelerated Life Testing (시스템의 가상 가속수명시험을 위한 소프트웨어 개발)

  • Kang, Bo-Sik;Chang, Mu-Seong
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2012
  • In general, accelerated life testing is performed to reduce testing time. But it is difficult to apply accelerated life testing to a system besides components. This paper developed a software which estimates reliability measures of the system from results of accelerated life testing of components building the system. This software can handle the system with a large number of components and complex topology. Multiple failure modes of a component were also considered in this software. Based on the software, reliability measures of a gearbox example at several conditions were estimated from the accelerated life testing results of three components of the gearbox.