• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life Estimation

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A Study on the Determination of Economic Life of Weapon System by using the PRICE Model (PRICE 모텔을 이용한 무기체계 경제수명 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Seung-Soo;Kang Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.13-31
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    • 2004
  • This paper aims at efficient determining the economic life of weapon systems. Specifically, the procedure to estimate the life cycle cost at initial acquisition state or at development state using the PRICE model is proposed. The PRICE model is a parametric cost estimation which is widely used in the field of national defense. The model includes the estimation of the cost in life cycle of weapon systems such as research and development, acquisition, operation and support. Using this model, economic life of weapon systems can be determined. Based on an equivalent annual cost (EAC) method which sums the capital recovery with return (CR) and the equivalence cost (EC), the economic life will be calculated. A case study is accomplished to illustrate the proposed procedure.

Optimal Monitoring Frequency Estimation Using Confidence Intervals for the Temporal Model of a Zooplankton Species Number Based on Operational Taxonomic Units at the Tongyoung Marine Science Station

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Kim, Sung;Lee, Youn-Ho;Jung, Gila;Kim, Choong-Gon;Jeong, Dageum;Lee, Yucheol;Kang, Mee-Hye;Kim, Hana;Choi, Hae-Young;Oh, Jina;Myong, Jung-Goo;Choi, Hee-Jung
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2017
  • Temporal changes in the number of zooplankton species are important information for understanding basic characteristics and species diversity in marine ecosystems. The aim of the present study was to estimate the optimal monitoring frequency (OMF) to guarantee and predict the minimum number of species occurrences for studies concerning marine ecosystems. The OMF is estimated using the temporal number of zooplankton species through bi-weekly monitoring of zooplankton species data according to operational taxonomic units in the Tongyoung coastal sea. The optimal model comprises two terms, a constant (optimal mean) and a cosine function with a one-year period. The confidence interval (CI) range of the model with monitoring frequency was estimated using a bootstrap method. The CI range was used as a reference to estimate the optimal monitoring frequency. In general, the minimum monitoring frequency (numbers per year) directly depends on the target (acceptable) estimation error. When the acceptable error (range of the CI) increases, the monitoring frequency decreases because the large acceptable error signals a rough estimation. If the acceptable error (unit: number value) of the number of the zooplankton species is set to 3, the minimum monitoring frequency (times per year) is 24. The residual distribution of the model followed a normal distribution. This model can be applied for the estimation of the minimal monitoring frequency that satisfies the target error bounds, as this model provides an estimation of the error of the zooplankton species numbers with monitoring frequencies.

Comparison of Two Nondestructive Methods of Leaf Area Estimation

  • Woo, Hyo-Jin;Park, Yong-Mok
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2009
  • We compared two nondestructive methods for leaf area estimation using leaves of 16 common plant species classified into six types depending on leaf shape. Relatively good linear relationships between actual leaf area (LA) and leaf length (L), width (W), or the product of length and width (LW) were found for ordinary leaves with lanceolate, oblanceolate, linear and sagitttate shapes with entire margins, serrate margins, mixed margins with a entire form and shallow lobes, and ordinary incised margins. LA was better correlated with LW than L or W, with $R^2$ > 0.91. However, for deeply incised lobes, LA estimation using LW showed low correlation coefficient values, indicating low accuracy. On the other hand, a method using photographic paper showed a good correlation between estimates of area based on the mass of a cut-out leaf image on a photographic sheet (PW) and actual leaf area for all types of leaf shape. Thus, the PW method for LA estimation can be applied to all shapes of leaf with high accuracy. The PW method takes a little more time and has a higher cost than leaf estimation methods using LW based on leaf dimensions. These results indicate that researchers should choose their nondestructive LA estimation method according to their research goals.

Estimation of Probability Distribution of Fatigue Lives in Crank Throw Forged Steel (크랭크스로 단조강의 피로수명의 확률분포 추정)

  • Kim, Seon-Jin;Ahn, Seok-Hwan
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2016
  • Because of the severe service environment of the large marine vessel, the fatigue strength and its evaluation play an important role in design and maintenance of marine crankshaft. The aim of this work is to investigate the probability distribution of fatigue lives in crank throw forged steel and to develop the methodology for estimation of the probabilistic design fatigue strength. Detailed studies were performed on the constant amplitude axial loading fatigue test. The experiments were controlled by stress ratio of -1 and 15Hz frequency for each stress level. The considerable variability of fatigue life was observed in each stress level under rigidly controlled constant fatigue testing conditions. The fatigue life of crank throw forged steel was well followed the log-normal and Weibull distribution. In addition, it can be used for the estimation of probabilistic design fatigue strength by using the proposed methodology.

A Fracture Mechanics Analysis on Fatigue Life Estimation of DEN Plate (DEN판재의 피로수명 평가에 관한 파괴역학적 연구)

  • Lim Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2000
  • This paper mainly deals with fatigue lift estimation and prediction in notched structures. The fatigue crack initiation life and the fatigue crack growth behavior in the DEN specimens were predicted using S.I.F. K solution derived in this study and the Paris' crack growth equation. Predicted results showed good agreement with experimental crack growth behaviors under constant-load-amplitude.

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The Estimation Analysis Method of the Annual Operation Cost of Korean High-rise Condominiums

  • Ko, Eun Hyung;Choi, Jun Young
    • Architectural research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2005
  • In today's building industry the emphasis has been geared more towards construction, thus building maintenance and life cycle have been neglected until now. A direct result of this neglect is the rapid aging of building, which leads to more cost-effective decision making methods for the prolongation of building life span. The following study is conducted in the area of Daegu and Seoul in order to develop the estimation analysis method of the annual operation cost of the Korean high-rise condominiums for the cost-effective decision making support through mathematical and statistical analyses including the present value and standardized measurement corrections. Based on the assumption that the life expectancy of the high rise condominium is 50 years, initial cost is ₩421,212/$m^2$, and a total sum of yearly operation cost during life expectancy is ₩2,154,499//$m^2$), yearly accumulated operation cost is shown as below: $AOC=0.7097t^4-38.803t^3+806.95t^2+11045t-496.52$ ($R^2=0.98$) (Here, AOC = Accumulated Operation Cost, t = given years)

The least squares estimation for failure step-stress accelerated life tests

  • Kim, In-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.813-818
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    • 2010
  • The least squares estimation method for model parameters under failure step-stress accelerated life tests is studied and a numerical example will be given to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures under the compound linear plans proposed as an alternative to the optimal quadratic plan, assuming that the exponential distribution with a quadratic relationship between stress and log-mean lifetime. The proposed compound linear plan for constant stress accelerated life tests and 4:2:1 plan are compared for various situations. Even though the compound linear plan was proposed under constant stress accelerated life tests, we found that this plan did well relatively in failure step-stress accelerated life tests.

Development of Life Cycle Cost Estimation Software on the Aspect of Maintenance Strategies (유지보수관점에서의 수명주기비용예측 소프트웨어 개발)

  • Jun, Hyun-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Jong-Woon;Park, Jun-Seo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.777-783
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    • 2007
  • Life cycle costing is one of the most effective cost approaches when we choose a solution from series of alternative so the least long-term cost ownership is achieved. Life cycle costing in railway industry has been focused on the prediction of investment for railway vehicles. But in today, the life cycle cost, LCC, prediction on the aspect of operation and maintenance cost through whole life cycle is highly necessary. In this paper, we present a strategy for the development of life cycle cost estimation software on the aspect of maintenance strategies of railway vehicle. For this purpose, we suggested a structure of LCC software based on the UNIFE LCC model. And we developed a pilot version of software to evaluate the LCC model that we suggested for railway vehicle. We performed LCC analysis on the brake module of metro vehicle in case study and concluded that the software and model developed in this research could enough to support engineers in choosing better cost effective solutions from many alternatives.

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Novel estimation method of operating life in lithium-ion pouch cells

  • Kim, Hyosung;Kim, Jaekwang;Kim, Nayeong;Lee, Ilbok;Hwang, Keebum;Bae, Joongho;Yoon, Songhun
    • Journal of Industrial and Engineering Chemistry
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    • v.67
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    • pp.266-275
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    • 2018
  • Herein, a novel operating life (OL) test method was evaluated with 200 mAh pouch-type lithium-ion batteries. By combining the calendar life (CL) test with intermediate pulse power cycling, more realistic life prediction was possible, which encompassed real operation of batteries accompanying with thermal acceleration. Larger capacity decrease and resistance increase of pouch cell were observed in the OL test, which was well explained using the SEI film growth model. After dissemble of pouch cell, capacity loss and resistance increase mostly occurred within anode, reflecting that SEI film growth on anode surface was highly attributable to cell degradation.

Reliability Estimation of Agricultural Machinery Components Based on QFD and Failure Mechanism Analysis (QFD와 고장메커니즘 분석에 의한 농기계부품의 신뢰성평가)

  • Jung, Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2010
  • Reliability tools such as QFD and FMEA identify voice of customer related to product design, its use, how failures may occur, the severity of such failures, and the probability of the failure occurring. With these identified items, a development team can focus on the design process and the major issues facing the product in its potential use environment for the customer. The purpose of this research is to develop a reliability estimation process of agricultural machinery components using QFD, FMEA, and field failure data. Based on QFD method, customer requirements, engineering design elements and part characteristics were deployed. Using the field failure data, failures are investigated, and Weibull B10 life are estimated. This estimation process is useful for preparing the design input and planning the durability target.