• 제목/요약/키워드: Life Estimation

검색결과 1,606건 처리시간 0.03초

Estimation of Genetic Parameters for Calving Ease by Heifers and Cows Using Multi-trait Threshold Animal Models with Bayesian Approach

  • Lee, D.H.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제15권8호
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    • pp.1085-1090
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    • 2002
  • Genetic parameters for birth weights (BWT), calving ease scores observed from calves born by heifers (CEH), and calving ease scores observed from calves born by cows (CEC) were estimated using Bayesian methodology with Gibbs sampling in different threshold animal models. Data consisted of 77,458 records for calving ease scores and birth weights in Gelbvieh cattle. Gibbs samplers were used to obtain the parameters of interest for the categorical traits in two univariate threshold animal models, a bivariate threshold animal model, and a three-trait linear-threshold animal model. Samples of heritabilities and genetic correlations were calculated from the posterior means of dispersion parameters. In a univariate threshold animal model with CEH (model 1), the posterior means of heritabilities for calving ease was 0.35 for direct genetic effects and 0.18 for maternal genetic effects. In the other univariate threshold model with CEC (model 2), the posterior means of heritabilities of CEC was 0.28 for direct genetic effects and 0.18 for maternal genetic effects. In a bivariate threshold model with CEH and CEC (model 3), heritability estimates were similar to those in unvariate threshold models. In this model, genetic correlation between heifer calving ease and cow calving ease was 0.89 and 0.87 for direct genetic effect and maternal genetic effects, respectively. In a three-trait animal model, which contained two categorical traits (CEH and CEC) and one continuous trait (BWT) (model 4), heritability estimates of CEH and CEC for direct (maternal) genetic effects were 0.40 (0.23) and 0.23 (0.13), respectively. In this model, genetic correlation estimates between CEH and CEC were 0.89 and 0.66 for direct genetic effects and maternal effects, respectively. These estimates were greater than estimates between BWT and CEH (0.82 and 0.34) or BWT and CEC (0.85 and 0.26). This result indicates that CEH and CEC should be high correlated rather than estimates between calving ease and birth weight. Genetic correlation estimates between direct genetic effects and maternal effects were -0.29, -0.31 and 0.15 for BWT, CEH and CEC, respectively. Correlation for permanent environmental effects between BWT and CEC was -0.83 in model 4. This study can provide genetic evaluation for calving ease with other continuous traits jointly with assuming that calving ease from first calving was a same trait to calving ease from later parities calving. Further researches for reliability of dispersion parameters would be needed even if the more correlated traits would be concerned in the model, the higher reliability could be obtained, especially on threshold model with property that categorical traits have little information.

Estimation of Pork Quality Traits Using Exsanguination Blood and Postmortem Muscle Metabolites

  • Choe, J.H.;Choi, M.H.;Ryu, Y.C.;Go, G.W.;Choi, Y.M.;Lee, S.H.;Lim, K.S.;Lee, E.A.;Kang, J.H.;Hong, K.C.;Kim, B.C.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.862-869
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    • 2015
  • The current study was designed to estimate the pork quality traits using metabolites from exsanguination blood and postmortem muscle simultaneously under the Korean standard pre- and post-slaughter conditions. A total of 111 Yorkshire (pure breed and castrated male) pigs were evaluated under the Korean standard conditions. Measurements were taken of the levels of blood glucose and lactate at exsanguination, and muscle glycogen and lactate content at 45 min and 24 h postmortem. Certain pork quality traits were also evaluated. Correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis including stepwise regression were performed. Exsanguination blood glucose and lactate levels were positively correlated with each other, negatively related to postmortem muscle glycogen content and positively associated with postmortem muscle lactate content. A rapid and extended postmortem glycolysis was associated with high levels of blood glucose and lactate, with high muscle lactate content, and with low muscle glycogen content during postmortem. In addition, these were also correlated with paler meat color and reduced water holding capacity. The results of multiple regression analyses also showed that metabolites in exsanguination blood and postmortem muscle explained variations in pork quality traits. Especially, levels of blood glucose and lactate and content of muscle glycogen at early postmortem were significantly associated with an elevated early glycolytic rate. Furthermore, muscle lactate content at 24 h postmortem alone accounted for a considerable portion of the variation in pork quality traits. Based on these results, the current study confirmed that the main factor influencing pork quality traits is the ultimate lactate content in muscle via postmortem glycolysis, and that levels of blood glucose and lactate at exsanguination and contents of muscle glycogen and lactate at postmortem can explain a large portion of the variation in pork quality even under the standard slaughter conditions.

공변량 구조분석을 이용한 국내 간호연구의 동향 (The Trend of Korean Nursing Research with the LISREL)

  • 임난영;강현숙;이성은;서연옥;권영은
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.221-231
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted by analyzing all 33 articles based on the LISREL, published from January 1991 to March 1999 in Korea. The analyses consisted of the publication date of articles, principal dependent variables, subjects of the research, adequacy of sampling, adequacy of research purposes and results, accordance between theoretical model and hypothetical model, fit measures, theoretical base of model modification, and adequacy of conclusion. The results were as follows : . The thesis of 33 articles in total were outnumbered as 25 (75.8%) to 8 (24.2%) research articles. As for a sex classification of the subjects, 45.5% of the research were conducted around a female group of subjects, while 54.5% were done for both sex, The range of the sample size was 105 to 803, and the average was 259 subjects. . A single theoretical variable was measured for each measurement variable, any difference between variables was hardly found in 8 articles (24.2%), and 19 articles (57.6%) did not consider any measurement error. To analyze if the representative has been articles (21.2%) were seen with a sign of a representative. Questionnaires were used in a majority (31 articles) of the data collecting process. Only 2 articles (6.1%) were measured with a physiologic index simultaneously. . 14 articles (42.2%) were centered on theory development, 10 articles on theory synthesis, and 9 articles on theory test. The research purposes and results were consistent in 25 articles (75.5%) and 8 articles (24.2%) were inconsistent. The quality of life and health promotion behavior were the concepts most frequently studied as a dependent variable, and 7 articles centered on them. In applied theories a health promotion model was used on 4 articles (12.1%), while role theory and stress-coping models were in 3 articles respectively. . The articles were analyzed to see if the hypothetical model was elaborated and tested by the theoretical model. Twenty-five articles proved to be rationale for the inconsistencies. Also, 56.5% proposed hypotheses were supported among the subject articles, and 30 articles (90.0%) suggested a revised model. Path coefficient (17 articles) and theoretical adequacy (17 articles) were the standards mostly used. In conclusion, the principal factors were obtained from the research are to be considered as the principes of LISREL application. First, a model has to be established on a theoretical base rather than empirical results dependent on the data. The results are also required to be globally interpreted. Secondly, at least 200 samples are necessary to satisfy the need. Third, more than 3 measurement variables are to be adjusted to a single theoretical variable; the measurement errors must be suggested as well. Finally, normal distribution characteristics of the data and the estimation method need to be reported. Based on the research result, the follows are suggested; . Systematic criteria on the LISREL application and procedure need to be developed . Agreement form is required to report the results of research using the LISREL

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자율항법 무인측량선을 이용하여 산정된 노후저수지의 퇴사량 기준 최적경험식 산정 (Estimation of Optimal Empirical Equations based on Sediments of Ageing Reservoir Estimated Using Autonomous Navigation USV)

  • 원창희;윤현철;김원범
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄은 한번 발생하면 사회·경제·산업 활동 등 인간의 생활 전반에 걸쳐 영향을 미치게 된다. 이러한 가뭄 등의 자연 재해로부터 국민의 생명과 재산을 보호하는 것은 국가의 중요한 책무이다. 현재 우리나라 저수지의 약 75.7%는 준공 후 50년 이상 경과된 노후 저수지이며, 이로 인한 토사 퇴적 등의 영향으로 제원정보 대비 저수능력이 부족할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 자율항법 무인측량선을 활용하여 노후 저수지 10개소에 대해 저수용량을 분석하고, 과거 경험적 공식에 의해 추정된 퇴사량과 비교·분석하였다. 분석 결과 6개 저수지는 제원정보 대비 약 16.2% ~ 55.3%의 저수용량이 감소하였으며, 4개 저수지는 제원정보 대비 약 1.5% ~ 380.2%의 저수용량이 증가하였다. 실제 측량 결과와 경험적 공식에 의한 퇴사량 비교·분석 결과 어린지와 용포 저수지는 유역면적만을 활용한 윤용남 공식(1982), 대곡과 우곡2, 오치 저수지는 유역면적과 유역경계의 총 연장, 유료연장을 매개변수로 활용한 서승덕(1988) 공식이 가장 유사하게 추정되었다. 연구 결과는 저수지 노후화에 따른 퇴적 증감폭과 같이 저수지의 효율적인 운영·관리를 위해서는 지속적인 측량이 필요함을 제안하였다.

Sire-maternal Grandsire Model and Sire Model in Estimation of Genetic Parameters for Average Daily Gain and Carcass Traits of Japanese Black Cattle

  • Kim, Jong-Bok;Lee, Chaeyoung;Tsuyuki, Tsutomu;Shimogiri, Takeshi;Okamoto, Shin;Maeda, Yoshizane
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제19권12호
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    • pp.1678-1684
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    • 2006
  • The objectives of this study were to estimate genetic parameters and sire breeding values for average daily gain (ADG) and carcass traits using sire-maternal grandsire model with REML approach, sire model with REML approach, sire model without relationships among sires and with REML and ANOVA approach, and to investigate advantages and disadvantages of these methods. Data were collected from 42,325 Japanese Black steers and heifers finished and slaughtered from 1991 to 2004. Traits analyzed in this study were average daily gain (ADG) during the fattening period, live weight at slaughter (LW), cold carcass weight (CW), estimated lean yield percentage (LYE), longissimus muscle area (LMA), subcutaneous fat thickness (SFT), rib thickness (RT), and marbling score (BMS). Bivariate analyses were also performed to obtain genetic and phenotypic correlation coefficients among traits. Estimated breeding values were obtained from each model, and simple and rank correlations among breeding values from each model were calculated. Estimates of heritability using the four models ranged from 0.25 to 0.31 in ADG, from 0.21 to 0.24 in LW, from 0.23 to 0.27 in CW, from 0.10 to 0.17 in DP, from 0.40 to 0.42 in LYE, from 0.19 to 0.31 in LMA, from 0.31 to 0.34 in SFT, from 0.26 to 0.33 in RT, and from 0.18 to 0.44 in BMS. The differences in heritability estimates using the four models seemed to be feasible in ADG, CW, DP, LMA, RT, and BMS. Genetic correlation coefficients of ADG with CW, SFT, RT and BMS were moderate to high and positive while the genetic correlation coefficients between ADG and LYE was low and negative. Correlation coefficients of BMS with SFT were negligible for both genetic and phenotypic correlations. The correlations of estimates evaluated from sire models with those from sire-maternal grandsire model were not large enough to convincing that breeding values using a sire model were corresponding to those using a sire-maternal grand sire model. If information of maternal grand sires are not available, the sire model with incomplete pedigree information included only sire of sire (Model 2) is optimal among the sire models evaluated in this study.

국내발전소 소방안전관리 운영실태조사 및 개선방안에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Improvement Plan and Real Condition Estimation of Fire Protection Safety Management for Power Plants in Korea)

  • 강길수;최재욱
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2017
  • 2011년 후쿠시마 원전참사나 2001년 캘리포니아 정전사태 등은 전력관련 대형재난사고로 국가적인 막대한 손실을 가져온 발전소 안전관리의 중요성을 재조명하는 사례로 손꼽고 있다. 인간이 지구상에 살고 있는 한 전기가 없이 살 수 없는 상황에서 원자력, 석탄 및 가스 등 대용량의 위험물질을 연료로 전기를 생산하는 발전소가 안전관리의 소홀로 인한 화재폭발사고나 방사능누출, 최근 이슈가 되고 있는 지진 등 자연재해로부터 국민의 생명과 재산손실예방 및 안정적 경제성장을 위해서도 체계적인 소방안전관리의 강화노력은 절대적으로 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내 전력공급을 책임지고 있는 한국남부발전 등 5개 발전사 및 한수원의 소방안전관계자를 대상으로 발전소 소방안전관리 운영실태를 조사하여 분석을 수행하였으며, 그 결과, 체계적인 발전소 소방안전관리를 위해서는 소방안전경영시스템의 구축을 바탕으로 소방담당자를 위한 실효적인 업무매뉴얼 및 관리시스템의 개발과 소방안전교육의 내실화 및 지진에 대비한 내진설계의 강화를 개선방안으로 도출하였다.

비정상성을 고려한 원평천 유역의 미래 설계홍수량 산정 (Estimation of Future Design Flood Under Non-Stationarity for Wonpyeongcheon Watershed)

  • 류정훈;강문성;박지훈;전상민;송정헌;김계웅;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권5호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2015
  • Along with climate change, it is reported that the scale and frequency of extreme climate events show unstable tendency of increase. Thus, to comprehend the change characteristics of precipitation data, it is needed to consider non-stationary. The main objectives of this study were to estimate future design floods for Wonpyeongcheon watershed based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) scenario. Wonpyeongcheon located in the Keum River watershed was selected as the study area. Historical precipitation data of the past 35 years (1976~2010) were collected from the Jeonju meteorological station. Future precipitation data based on RCP4.5 were also obtained for the period of 2011~2100. Systematic bias between observed and simulated data were corrected using the quantile mapping (QM) method. The parameters for the bias-correction were estimated by non-parametric method. A non-stationary frequency analysis was conducted with moving average method which derives change characteristics of generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution parameters. Design floods for different durations and frequencies were estimated using rational formula. As the result, the GEV parameters (location and scale) showed an upward tendency indicating the increase of quantity and fluctuation of an extreme precipitation in the future. The probable rainfall and design flood based on non-stationarity showed higher values than those of stationarity assumption by 1.2%~54.9% and 3.6%~54.9%, respectively, thus empathizing the necessity of non-stationary frequency analysis. The study findings are expected to be used as a basis to analyze the impacts of climate change and to reconsider the future design criteria of Wonpyeongcheon watershed.

시군관리 저수지를 고려한 지능형 통합 물관리정보시스템 원형 개발 및 구현 (Development and Implementation of Prototype for Intelligent Integrated Agricultural Water Management Information System and Service including Reservoirs managed by City and County)

  • 김대식;강석만;김진택;김정대;김현호;장진욱
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2017
  • This study developed the prototype of the system and implemented its main functions, which is the intelligent integrated agricultural water management information system and service (IaWAMISS). The developed system was designed to be able to collect, process and analyze the agricultural water information of spatially dispersed reservoirs in whole country and spatial geographic information distributed in various systems of other organizations. The system, IaWAMISS, is also possible to provide the reproduced information services in each reservoir and space units, such as agricultural water demand and supply analysis and drought prediction, to the people, experts, and policy makers. This study defined the 6 step modules to develop the system, which are to design the components of intelligent integrated information system, to derive the utilization contents of existing systems, to design the new development elements for IaWAMISS, to design the reservoir information system can be used by managers of city and county, to designate the monitoring reservoirs managed by city and county, and finally to prepare the sharing system between organizations with the existing information systems. In order to implement the prototype of the system, this study shows the results for three important functions of the system: spatial integration of reservoirs' information, data link integration between the existing systems, and intelligent analysis program development to assist decision support for agricultural water management. For the spatial integration with the reservoir water information of the Korea Rural Community Corporation, this study get IaWAMISS to receive the real-time reservoir storage information from the measurement facility installed in the municipal management reservoir. The data link integration connecting databases of the existing systems, was implemented by integrating the meteorological information of the Korea Meteorological Administration with IaWAMISS, so that the rainfall forecast data could be derived and used. For the implementation of the intelligent analysis program, this study also showed the results of analysis and prediction of agricultural water demand and supply amount, estimation of Palmer drought index, analysis of flood risk area in typhoon course region, and analysis of the storage status of reservoirs related to each storm. This study confirmed the possibility and efficiency of an useful system development through the prototype design and implementation of IaWAMISS. By solving the preliminary 6 step modules presented in this study, it is possible not only to efficiently manage water by spatial unit, but also to provide the service of information and to enhance the relevant policy and national understanding to the people.

항공 LiDAR 자료를 이용한 브루나이 열대우림의 임분단위 지상부 생체량 추정 (Estimation of Stand-level Above Ground Biomass in Intact Tropical Rain Forests of Brunei using Airborne LiDAR data)

  • 윤미해;김은지;곽두안;이우균;이종열;김문일;이소혜;손요환
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 항공 LiDAR 자료를 이용하여 열대원시림인 브루나이 지역의 지상부 생체량을 정량화하기 위하여 수행되었다. 25ha 크기의 연구대상지에 0.09ha ($30m{\times}30m$) 크기의 24개의 표본구 내에서 조사된 각 표본점 내 개체목의 흉고직경 및 위치자료를 활용하였다. 또한, 항공 LiDAR 자료를 이용하여 수치표면모델(Digital Surface Model), 수치지형모델(Digital Terrain Model), 수고모델(Canopy Height Model)을 구축하였다. 수고모델을 표본구단위로 분할하고 총 12개의 LiDAR 높이변수를 구축하였다. 표본구별로 상대생장식을 이용하여 계산된 생체량과 LiDAR 자료로부터 추출된 변수간의 다중회귀분석을 통해 LiDAR 자료로부터 생체량을 추정할 수 있는 식을 도출하였다. 표본구의 생체량은 평균 366.48 Mg/ha였으며, 155.81 Mg/ha부터 597.21 Mg/ha까지 분포하였다. LiDAR로부터 생체량을 추정하는 식의 검증 결과, 결정계수 값은 0.84로 나타났다.

Error Component 방법을 이용한 RP.SP 결합모형 개발 (Development of the RP and SP Combined using Error Component Method)

  • 김강수;조혜진
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2003
  • SP 자료는 현재 존재하지 않는 교통정책 및 계획의 평가를 위해 광범위하게 이용되어 왔으나 현시선호와의 연계가 단점으로 지적되어 왔다. 이를 극복하는 방법의 하나로서 현시선호자료, 즉 RP 자료와의 결합이 제시되어 왔으며 RPㆍSP 결합방법론이 개발되었다. 본 논문의 목적은 Error Component 방법을 이용하여 새로운 RPㆍSP 결합방법을 제시하고 그 유용성을 입증하는 것이다. Error Component 방법은 SP 자료 또는 RP 자료의 상대적인 분산을 구하기 위해 각 자료의 오차를 분할하고 이에 대한 파라메타와 효용의 파라메타를 동시에 추정하는 것이다. 이를 위한 분석자료는 시뮬레이션을 통해서 인위적인 RP 자료와 SP 자료를 생성하여서 사용하였고 생성된 자료로 Error Component 방법을 이용한 결합모형과 기존의 결합방법의 결과를 파라메타 및 시간가치를 척도로 비교ㆍ분석하였다. 연구 결과 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론이 자료의 규모에 관계없이 일관되게 기존 RPㆍSP 결합방법에 의해 추정된 모형보다 가정된 파라메타 값에 일치함을 보여줘 Error Component 방법이 유용함을 증명하였다. 또한 파라메타의 비로 표현한 시간가치도 Error Component 방법의 적용값이 기존방법론의 적용값보다 가정된 값과 유사한 값을 보여 줘 본 연구가 제시한 방법의 우월성을 입증하였다. 또한 기존 결합모형인 동시적 모형과 순차적 모형이 모두 RP자료와 SP자료를 결합하는 방법으로 유용하게 사용될 수 있음을 보여주었으나 동시적방법이 보다 순차적방법보다 효율적인 방법으로 분석되었다.