• Title/Summary/Keyword: L-moment 법

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A Study of Gumbel Distribution by TL-Moment Method (TL-Moment 법을 이용한 Gumbel분포형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Sik;Shin, Chang-Dong;Lim, Seong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.327-331
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 실무에서 적용하고 있는 매개변수 산정방법인 L-moment 방법과 자료계열의 이상치를 고려하여 수정 제시된 TL-moment 방법을 비교 분석하여 빈도해석을 수행하는 경우, 보다 효율적인 매개 변수 산정방법으로 수공구조물 설계 및 재난방재계획에 합리적인 기준을 제시하고자 하였다. 산정방법의 비교를 위하여 서울특별시를 대상으로 강우자료를 수집하였으며, 국내 강우에 적합한 확률분포형으로 선정되어 있는 Gumbel 분포형에 적용하여 모멘트와 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 또한, 산정된 모멘트와 지속기간 25개, 재현기간 8개년의 확률강우량을 비교하여 타당성을 검토하였다. 본 연구의 수행으로 TL-moment 방법에 의한 모멘트의 변동폭이 L-moment 방법 보다 작게 산정되었으며, 산정된 확률강우량의 비교에서 이 상치의 보정이 확인되었다.

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Derivation of Relationship between Cross-site Correlation among data and among Estimators of L-moments for Generalize Extreme value distribution (Generalized Extreme Value 분포 자료의 교차상관과 L-모멘트 추정값의 교차상관의 관계 유도)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3B
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2009
  • Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is recommended for flood frequency and extreme rainfall distribution in many country. L-moment method is the most common estimation procedure for the GEV distribution. In this study, the relationships between the cross-site correlations between extreme events and the cross-correlation of estimators of L-moment ratios (L-moment Coefficient of Variation (L-CV) and L-moment Coefficient of Skewness (L-CS)) for data generated from GEV distribution were derived by Monte Carlo simulation. Those relationships were fit to the simple power function. In this Monte Carlo simulation, GEV+ distribution were employed wherein unrealistic negative values were excluded. The simple power models provide accurate description of the relationships between cross-correlation of data and cross-correlation of L-moment ratios. Estimated parameters and accuracies of the power functions were reported for different GEV distribution parameters combinations. Moreover, this study provided a description about regional regression approach using Generalized Least Square (GLS) regression method which require the cross-site correlation among L-moment estimators. The relationships derived in this study allow regional GLS regression analyses of both L-CV and L-CS estimators that correctly incorporate the cross-correlation among GEV L-moment estimators.

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques (III) - On the Method of LH-moments and GIS Techniques - (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (III) - LH-모멘트법과 GIS 기법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;신용희
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. According to the regions and consecutive durations, optimal design rainfalls were derived by the regional frequency analysis for L-moment in the second report of this project. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the GEV distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the higher probability weighted moments, LH-moment. Design rainfall using LH-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional and at-site analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared in the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, it was shown that the regional analysis can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Relative efficiency (RE) for an optimal order of L-moments was also computed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution. It was found that the method of L-moments is more effective than the others for getting optimal design rainfall according to the regions and consecutive durations in the regional frequency analysis. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

Comparative Analysis of Flood Frequncy by Moment and L-moment in Weibull-3 distribution (Weibull-3 분포모형의 모멘트법 및 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도비교분석)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;송기헌;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.331-337
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    • 1998
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design floods by Weibull-3 distribution with the annual maximum series at seven watersheds along Man, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was acknowledged by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution were compared by the rotative mean error and relative absolute error. It has shown that design floods derived by the method of L-moments using Weibull plotting position formula in Weibull-3 distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions in view of relative mean and relative absolute error.

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Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall by L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석)

  • Maeng, Sung-Jin;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Kim, Byung-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2002
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall in 38 Korean rainfall stations. To select the fit appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data according to rainfall stations, applied were Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) probability distributions were applied. and their aptness was judged Dusing an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, the aptitude was judged of applied distributions such as GEV, GLO and GPA. The GEV and GLO distributions were selected as the appropriate distributions. Their parameters were estimated Targetingfrom the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfalls and using Monte Carlo techniques, the parameters of GEV and GLO selected as suitable distributions were estimated and. dDesign rainfallss were then derived, using the L-moment. Appropriate design rainfalls were suggested by doing a comparative analysis of design rainfall from the GEV and GLO distributions according to rainfall stations.

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Comparative Analysis of Deisgn Low Flow by L-moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull-3 및 Wakeby 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design low flows bythe Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the partial consecutive duration series at seven watersheds along Han. nagdong, Geum Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the method of L-Moments with consecutive duration. Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using with consecutive duration, Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions formulas in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design low flows derived by the method of L-moments using Weivull plotting position formula in Wakeby distribution were much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the methods of L-moments with the different formulas for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution from the viewpoint of Root Mean Square Errors.

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Comparative Analysis of Design Drought Flow by L-Moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull -3 및 Wakeby 분포의 L-모멘크법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁;박종화;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.531-536
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    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design drought flows by the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the annual drought flows series at seven watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation , L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectivley. Parameters were estimated by the Methods o fL-Moments with continuous duration. Design drought flows obtained by Methods of L-Moments using Weibull plotting positions formula in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME), Relative Absolute Errors (RAE) and Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design drought flows by the Wakeby distribution using method of L-moments are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the Weibull-3 distribution using method of L-moments.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques(l ) - On the method of L-moments- (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정(II) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among applied distributions. Regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the legions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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