• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제78권2호
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• pp.209-218
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• 2021

For engineering, there are two major challenges in reliability analysis. First, to ensure the accuracy of simulation results, mechanical products are usually defined implicitly by complex numerical models that require time-consuming. Second, the mechanical products are fortunately designed with a large safety margin, which leads to a low failure probability. This paper proposes an efficient and high-precision adaptive active learning algorithm based on the Kriging surrogate model to deal with the problems with low failure probability and time-consuming numerical models. In order to solve the problem with multiple failure regions, the adaptive kernel-density estimation is introduced and improved. Meanwhile, a new criterion for selecting points based on the current Kriging model is proposed to improve the computational efficiency. The criterion for choosing the best sampling points considers not only the probability of misjudging the sign of the response value at a point by the Kriging model but also the distribution information at that point. In order to prevent the distance between the selected training points from too close, the correlation between training points is limited to avoid information redundancy and improve the computation efficiency of the algorithm. Finally, the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are verified compared with other algorithms through two academic examples and one engineering application.

• 대한환경공학회지
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• 제38권10호
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• pp.551-557
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• 2016

여러 환경요인을 예측하는데 위성영상과 측정데이터의 접목은 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있는 잠재력을 가지고 있다. 하지만 습지 토양에 포함되어있는 영양염류의 성분 등을 예측함에 있어 위성영상의 활용 효과는 잘 알려져 있지 않다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 지구통계학 중 블록크리깅과 회귀크리깅을 자연습지인 에버글레이드에 위치한 수자원관리유역의 토양 내 총인 예측에 적용하였다. 토양시료의 측정된 총인농도를 이용하여 블록크리깅을, 측정값 외에 30 m의 공간해상도를 가지고 있는 위성영상인 Landsat ETM+로부터 추출한 스펙트럼 데이터 및 분광지수 등을 독립변인으로 하여 회귀크리깅을 실시한 결과, 블록크리깅의 결정계수는 0.59, 회귀크리깅의 결정계수는 0.49로 나타났다. 측정 자료만을 이용한 블록크리깅의 예측 오차가 위성영상을 이용한 회귀크리깅의 예측 오차보다 더 작았으나, 각각의 방법을 이용하여 총인 농도를 수자원관리유역에 매핑한 결과 두 경우 모두 비슷한 경향을 보였고, 회귀크리깅의 경우 연구대상유역의 독특하고 복잡한 경관요소들을 더욱 잘 표현할 수 있었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제39권5_1호
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• pp.537-549
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• 2023

갯벌 퇴적물 성분의 분포 특성은 연안환경 분석, 환경영향평가에서 기초자료로 활용되기 때문에 신뢰성 높은 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분포도를 제작하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 이 연구에서는 갯벌 퇴적상 분포도를 생성하기 위해 회귀 크리깅(regression kriging)의 적용성을 평가하였다. 이를 목적으로, 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분류 과정에서 현장조사 자료의 수, 부가자료의 종류, 회귀 크리깅에 적용되는 회귀 모형의 영향과 다른 예측 기법(단변량 크리깅, 회귀 분석)과의 비교와 같은 다양한 요인의 영향을 조사하였다. 회귀 크리깅의 적용성 평가를 위해, 우리나라 태안군 안면도에 위치한 황도 갯벌을 대상으로 무인기 자료를 이용한 사례 연구를 수행하였다. 사례연구 결과, 신뢰성 높은 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분포도를 제작하기 위해서는 적절한 수의 현장조사 자료 확보와 함께 지형 고도와 조류로 밀도도를 부가자료로 이용하는 것이 가장 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 초고해상도 무인기 자료를 이용하여 퇴적물 분포의 상세한 특성을 고려할 수 있는 회귀 크리깅이 다른 기법과 비교해서 예측 성능이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 갯벌 표층 퇴적상 분포도 제작에 가이드라인으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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• pp.602-607
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• 2008

A technique for reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) is developed based on the Bayesian approach, which can deal with the epistemic uncertainty arising due to the limited number of data. Until recently, the conventional RBDO was implemented mostly by assuming the uncertainty as aleatory which means the statistical properties are completely known. In practice, however, this is not the case due to the insufficient data for estimating the statistical information, which makes the existing RBDO methods less useful. In this study, a Bayesian reliability is introduced to take account of the epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as the lower confidence bound of the probability distribution of the original reliability. In this case, the Bayesian reliability requires double loop of the conventional reliability analyses, which can be computationally expensive. Kriging based dimension reduction method(KDRM), which is a new efficient tool for the reliability analysis, is employed to this end. The proposed method is illustrated using a couple of numerical examples.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2006년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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• pp.849-856
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• 2006

This paper is to examine the applicability of ordinary Kriging interpolation(OK) to the p-adaptivity of the finite element analysis that is based on variogram. In the p-refinement, the analytical domain has to be refined automatically to obtain an acceptable level of accuracy by increasing the p-level non-uniformly or selectively. In case of non-uniform p-distribution, the continuity between elements with different polynomial orders is achieved by assigning zero higher-order derivatives associated with the edge in common with the lower-order derivatives. It is demonstrated that the validity of the proposed approach by analyzing results for stress singularity problem.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2006

In this study, a surrogate model is applied to multi-objective aerodynamic optimization design. For the balanced exploration and exploitation, each objective function is converted into the Expected Improvement (EI) and this value is used as fitness value in the multi-objective optimization instead of the objective function itself. Among the non-dominated solutions about EIs, additional sample points for the update of the Kriging model are selected. The present method was applied to a transonic airfoil design. Design results showed the validity of the present method. In order to obtain the information about design space, two data mining techniques are applied to design results: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and the Self-Organizing Map (SOM).

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.579-598
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• 2011

The present work mainly reports a significant development of a novel efficient meshfree method for vibration and buckling analysis of orthotropic plates. The plate theory with orthotropic materials is followed the Kirchhoff''s assumption in which the only deflection is field variable and approximated by the moving Kriging interpolation approach, a new technique used for constructing the shape functions. The moving Kriging technique holds the Kronecker delta property, thus it makes the method efficiently in imposing the essential boundary conditions and no special techniques are required. Assessment of numerical results is to accurately illustrate the applicability and the effectiveness of the proposed method in the class of eigenvalue problems.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.125-131
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• 2005

The purpose of this study is an optimization of gate valve made by forging method instead of welding method. In this study, we propose an optimal shape design to improve the mechanical efficiency of gate valve. In order to optimize more efficiently and reliably, the meta-modeling technique has been developed to solve such a complex problems combined with the DACE (Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments). The DACE modeling, known as the one of Kriging interpolation, is introduced to obtain the surrogate approximation model of the function. Also, we prove reliability of the DACE model's application to gate valve by computer simulations using FEM(Finite Element Method).

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.316-324
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• 2020

This paper presents comparative studies of reliability analysis and meta-modeling using the sampling method of Monte Carlo simulation for the structure design of an automatic ocean salt collector (AOSC). The thickness sizing variables of structure members are considered as random variables. Probabilistic performance functions are selected from strength performances evaluated via the finite element analysis of an AOSC. The sampling methods used in the comparative studies are simple random sampling and Sobol sequences with varied numbers of sampling. Approximation methods such as the Kriging model is applied to the meta-model generation. Reliability performances such as the probability failure and distribution are compared based on the variation of the sampling method of Monte Carlo simulation. The meta-modeling accuracy is evaluated for the Kriging model generated from the Monte Carlo simulation and Sobol sequence results. It is discovered that the Sobol sequence method is applicable to not only to the reliability analysis for the structural design of marine equipment such as the AOSC, but also to Kriging meta-modeling owing to its high numerical efficiency.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.538-550
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• 2008

Radon is an invisible, odorless, and radioactive gas. It is formed by the disintegration of radium, which is a decay product of uranium. Some amounts of radon gas and its products are present ubiquitously in the soil, water, and air. Particularly high radon levels occur in regions of high uranium content. Although radon is permeable into indoor environment not only through geological features (bed rock and permeability) but also through the construction materials and underground water, the radiation from the geological features is generally main exposure factor. So there can be a problem in a certain space such as the underground and/or relatively poor ventilation condition. In this study, a GIS technique was used in order to investigate spatial distribution of radon measured from sub- way stations of 1 thru 8 in Seoul, Korea in 1991, 1998, 2001, and 2006. Spatial analysis was applied to reproduce the radon distribution. We utilized spatial analysis techniques such as inverse distance weighted averaging (IDW) and kriging techniques which are widely used to relate between different spatial points. To validate the results from the analyses, the jackknife technique for an uncertainty test was performed. When the number of measuring sites was less than 100 and also when the number of omitted sites increased, the kriging technique was better than IDW. On the other hand, when the number of sites was over 100, IDW technique was better than kriging technique. Thus the selection of analytical tool was affected sensitives by the analysis based on the number of measuring sites.