• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.61-86
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• 2010

This research analyzed on the future energy society of Korea in 2030 using system thinking approach. Key uncertainty factors determining the future energy society were analyzed in a multi disciplinary view point such as politics, economy, society, ecology and technology. Three causal loop diagrams for the future energy system in Korea and related policy leverages were shown as well. 'Global economic trends', 'change of industrial structure' and 'energy price' were identified as key uncertainty factors determining the Korean energy future. Three causal loop diagrams named as 'rate of energy self－sufficiency and alternative energy production', 'economic activity and energy demand' and 'Excavation of new growth engines' were developed. We integrated those causal loop diagrams into one to understand the entire energy system of the future, proposed three strategic scenarios(optimistic, pessimistic and most likely) and discussed implications and limits of this research.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.35-45
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• 2022

The renewable energy based MG is becoming one of the prominent solutions for greenhouse gas and constructing less power lines. However, how to procure the economics of MG considering the CO₂ emission and utility network impact is one of major issues as the proportion of renewable resource increases. This paper proposes the feasibility study scheme of campus MG and shows that the LCOE and CO₂ emission can be reduced by utilizing the excess power and introducing hydrogen system and plus DR. For this, the three cases: (a) adding the PV and selling excess power to utility, (b) producing and selling hydrogen using excess power, and (c) participating in plus DR are considered. For each case, not only the topology and component capacity of MG to secure economic feasibility, but also CO₂ emission and utility network effects are derived. If an electrolyzer with a capacity of 400 kW participates in plus DR for 3,730hours/year, the economic feasibility is securable if plus DR settlement and hydrogen sale price are more than 7.08¢/kWh and 8.3USD/kg or 6.25¢/kWh and 8.6USD/kg, respectively. For this end, continuous technical development and policy support for hydrogen system and plus DR are required.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.275-298
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• 2003

본 연구에서는 탄소세와 에너지세의 부과가 우리나라의 에너지수요에 미치는 영향과 두 조세의 정책효과를 META Net모형을 이용하여 분석한다. 본 연구는 CGE 모형이나 거시계량모형을 이용한 기존 연구와는 달리 상향모형인 META Net모형을 이용하여 탄소세와 에너지세가 우리나라의 에너지시스템에 미치는 영향을 비교분석하였다. 연구결과에 의하면 일정한 온실가스 감축량을 달성하는데 있어 탄소세가 에너지세보다 비용효과적이지만 국내 기후정책수단으로 에너지세 역시 중요한 정책수단임을 알 수 있다. 에너지세의 경우에 탄소세에 비해 에너지소비가 더 크게 감소하기 때문에 에너지절약과 에너지효율기술 개발의 더 큰 유인을 제공한다. 또한 에너지세는 주어진 탄소감축량을 에너지 열량 기반의 조세를 통해 달성하기 때문에 탄소세에 비해 에너지가격을 크게 상승시켜 탄소세에 비해 조세수입이 더 크다. 따라서 에너지세의 도입은 관련 기술개발에 대한 유인을 제공하는 동시에 그 개발에 필요한 재원을 조달하는 적절한 방법이 될 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제8권9호
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• pp.1333-1342
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• 2013

신재생에너지산업의 발전은 에너지원의 문제를 해결하기 위한 필수적인 과제라 할 수 있다. 이에 따라 세계 각국에서 신재생에너지산업을 위해 적극적으로 움직이고 있다. 신재생에너지산업은 아직 산업기반이 약하고, 산업의 특성상 규모의 경제 및 기술개발을 위한 초기 투자가 필요한 경우가 많다. 따라서, 신재생에너지산업을 육성하기 위한 정책이 실행되고 있는데 우리나라 뿐만 아니라 많은 나라에서 대표적으로 실행하는 정책이 RPS와 FIT 정책이다. 신재생에너지산업은 다양한 이해관계와 경제, 사회, 환경, 국제 등의 변수를 동시에 가지고 있으므로 이를 종합적으로 고려한 정책이 필요하다. 신재생에너지산업의 경우 평가의 지표에 해당하는 부분이 많고 고려되어야 할 변수가 많으나, 이를 모두 고려하기 힘들고 고려한다 하더라도 일관된 기준이 마련되어 있지 않은 상황이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 신재생에너지정책을 평가하기 위한 평가지표를 개발, 제시한다.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.71-80
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• 2019

Daily ahead forecast is necessary for the electricity balance between load and supply due to the variability renewable energy. Numerical weather prediction is usually employed to produce the solar irradiance as well as electric power forecast for more than 12 hours forecast horizon. UM-LDAPS model is the numerical weather prediction operated by Korea Meteorological Administration and it generates the 36 hours forecast of hourly total irradiance 4 times a day. This study attempts to evaluate the model performance against the in situ measurements at 37 ground stations from January to May, 2013. Relative mean bias error, mean absolute error and root mean square error of hourly total irradiance are averaged over all ground stations as being 8.2%, 21.2% and 29.6%, respectively. The behavior of mean bias error appears to be different; positively largest in Chupoongnyeong station but negatively largest in Daegu station. The distinct contrast might be attributed to the limitation of microphysics parameterization for thick and thin clouds in the model.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.285-299
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• 2016

Although South Korea experienced a rolling blackout in 2011, the possibility of a blackout in South Korea continues to increase due to rapid electrification. This study examines the problems of energy taxation and price distortions as possible reasons for the rapid electrification in South Korea, which is occurring at a faster rate than in Japan, Europe, and other developed countries. Further, we suggest new energy taxation and price systems designed to normalize electricity prices. In order to do so, we consider two possible scenarios: the first imposes a tax on bituminous coal for electricity generation and the second levies a tax to provide compensation for the potential damages from a nuclear accident. Based on these scenarios, we analyze the effects of a new energy system on electricity price and demand. The results show that a new energy system could guarantee the power generation costs and balance the relative prices between energy sources, and could also help prevent rapid electrification. Therefore, the suggested new energy system is expected to be utilized as a basis for energy policy to decrease the speed of electrification, thus preventing a blackout, and to induce the rational consumption of energy in South Korea.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.40-60
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• 1982

Since the first oil embargo (1973), there have been developed many different types of energy-economy interaction models based upon various aspects of energy impact mechanism. We will propose to develop an integrated energy-economy interaction analysis system for less developed countries' energy policy analysis, especially for investment analysis toward constructing energy-saving industry infrastructure ; which is based on the motivation of combined energy models by John P. Weyant. This modeling system can cover the economic growth, inter-industry transactions including production features, and process analysis of energy sector in the total network scheme of general equilibrium, so that it can give many political implications as well as the modeling concept to be used for analyzing various political issues and making decisions related to national energy environment.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.2-14
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• 2024

Setback regulations stand out as a primary hindrance to the widespread adoption of renewable energy in South Korea. This study analyzed the current status of domestic and international setback regulations, laying the groundwork for an in-depth discussion aimed at improving regulations related to solar photovoltaic setback distances. While setback regulations lack universal standardization across nations, regulations in the United States exhibit certain similarities to those implemented in South Korea. Notably, South Korea has seen a gradual tightening of regulations from 2018 to the present, implementing standards approximately 5 to 10 times stricter than those in the United States.

• 에너지공학
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.145-152
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• 2008

에너지가격의 인상과 고갈의 시대에 들면서, 사회적으로 에너지 정책에 대한 정부의 개입요구가 더욱 높아지고 있다. 에너지 정책 시행은 양면의 상반된 효과를 유발할 수 있다. 우선 긍정적인 면에서 에너지 수입의 감소를 통해 불필요한 외화유출을 방지할 수 있어 재원의 적절한 배분을 가능케 하고, 비싼 에너지 사용의 절약을 통해 가격 경쟁력을 제고할 수 있을 것이다. 이에 반해 무분별한 에너지 절약 정책의 경우, 투입재를 에너지에서 설비로 비합리적으로 대체하여 정책실적만 기록할 뿐이고 오히려 경제에서는 생산성을 저해하는 예기치 못한 부정적인 효과를 초래할 수도 있다. 에너지 정책에서 정책효과를 높이기 위해서는 경제를 구성하는 각 산업 부문별로 에너지 사용 형태를 분석하고 그 결과를 이해하는 노력이 선행되어야 한다. 이 점에서 본 연구는 거시적 접근법의 대표적 방법인 에너지 산업연관분석을 이용해 한국의 산업 부문별 에너지 소비행태를 분석하였다. 이를 통해 에너지 사용 집약도와 에너지원별 소비행태의 변화에 대한 계량적 분석을 수행하였다.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.39-47
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• 2016

Geographic information system (GIS) based renewable energy resource map including potential analysis can play a crucial role not only to develop the national plan for renewable energy deployment but also to make strategic investment decision in the private sector. Korea Institute of Energy Research (KIER) has been developing domestic maps about several resources such as solar, wind, hydro, biomass, and geothermal, as well as conducting research on methodologies for potential analysis. Furthermore, the institute is trying to transfer related technologies and know-how to foreign countries, recently. In this context, the main purpose of this study is to introduce the business model of renewable energy resource map. From the value chain analysis, we focus on the government-side market in foreign countries, such as the development of the national level renewable energy resource map and the support of the national renewable energy plan. For about 180 countries, we segment the customers according to the consideration of economic capacity, renewable energy resource capacity, existence of renewable resource map, current portion of renewable energy facility capacity, and renewable energy policies, and we conclude that the target customers are non-Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (non-OECD) countries or some OECD countries, their per capita GDP are under the average among OECD countries, that do not have renewable resource map yet. We segment the target customers into four groups, and suggest different strategies for market positioning and financing strategy based on Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis. This study can help to develop the business strategy about the development of renewable energy resource map in foreign countries.