• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.815-822
• /
• 2001

The aim of this study is to estimate the seroconversion date of the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) infection for the HIV infected patients in Korea. Data are collected from two cohorts. The first cohort is a group of "seroprevalent" patients who were seropositive and AIDS-free at entry. The other is a group of "seroincident" patients who were initially seronegative but later converted to HIV antibody-positive. The seroconversion dates of the seroincident cohort are available while those of the seroprevalent cohort are not. Estimation of seroconversion date is important because it can be used to calculate the incubation period of AIDS which is defined as the elapsed time between the HIV infection and the development of AIDS. In this paper, a Weibull regression model Is fitted for the seroincident cohort using information about the elapsed time since seroconversion and the CD4$^{+}$ cell count.The seroconversion dates for the seroprevalent cohort are imputed on the basis of the marker of maturity of HIV infection percent of CD4$^{+}$cell count.unt.

• 가정과삶의질연구
• /
• 제14권2호
• /
• pp.51-60
• /
• 1996

The purpose of this study is to identify the objective picture of developmental pattern of marital satisfaction of couples based on family life cycle length of marriage marriage cohort birth cohort and age of couples using data from 317 couples in urban cities. The result indicate that the U-curve of marital satisfaction is the special pattern of family life cycle while W-curve is more dominant pattern when data are analysed with length of marriage birth cohort and marriage cohort. The couples differ in their assessment of marital satisfaction through entire their life span which seems for wives to become more dissatisfied over time. The similarity of developmental pattern the spouses appears only in their birth cohort. Discussion and recommendations for future research of the marital satisfaction are suggested.

• Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
• /
• 제35권
• /
• pp.26.1-26.15
• /
• 2023

Background: The objective of this study is to investigate the differences in incidence rates of targeted diseases by classification of occupations among construction workers in Korea. Methods: In a subject-based cohort of the Korean Construction Worker's Cohort, we surveyed a total of 1,027 construction workers. As occupational exposure, the classification of occupations was developed using two axes: construction business and job type. To analyze disease incidence, we linked survey data with National Health Insurance Service data. Eleven target disease categories with high prevalence or estimated work-relatedness among construction workers were evaluated in our study. The average incidence rates were calculated as cases per 1,000 person-years (PY). Results: Injury, poisoning, and certain other consequences of external causes had the highest incidence rate of 344.08 per 1,000 PY, followed by disease of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue for 208.64 and diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue for 197.87 in our cohort. We especially found that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was more common in construction painters, civil engineering welders, and civil engineering frame mold carpenters, asthma in construction painters, landscape, and construction water proofers, interstitial lung diseases in construction water proofers. Conclusions: This is the first study to systematically classify complex construction occupations in order to analyze occupational diseases in Korean construction workers. There were differences in disease incidences among construction workers based on the classification of occupations. It is necessary to develop customized occupational safety and health policies for high-risk occupations for each disease in the construction industry.

• 의학교육논단
• /
• 제25권2호
• /
• pp.102-108
• /
• 2023

This study shares details on the operating process and results of the cohort of students and graduates that was designed and implemented at Konyang University College of Medicine in Daejeon and discusses future directions for cohort establishment and improvement. First, Konyang University College of Medicine established the necessity and defined the purpose of cohort design and implementation. A task force was formed to establish guidelines for analysis targets, procedures, reports, and data management, and cohort operation was classified as a quality control activity. Data were collected through surveys of current students and graduates, and data generated during the curriculum were collected, analyzed, and reported every 2 years. The cohort data collection and analysis methods are designed by the Department of Medical Education, and data collection is carried out by the administrative team and each committee. Data management and analysis are handled by the Center for Medical Education Support, and analysis and reporting are conducted by the Department of Medical Education. Various members of the medical school are working to collect and analyze data, report findings, provide feedback, and improve. In the future, we plan to advance database computerization and work toward more effective data analysis. Cohort operation should not be another burden for medical schools; instead, it is hoped that operating cohorts will be a meaningful activity to increase the effectiveness of medical education and help in the operation and policy decisions of medical schools.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
• /
• 제17권9호
• /
• pp.396-405
• /
• 2017

본 연구의 목적은 위계적 APC(Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort)모형과 2006~2016년 한국복지패널자료를 활용하여 베이비부머세대를 포함한 중장년 노년층(32~76세)의 가계부채규모 결정요인을 연령(Age), 기간(Period), 코호트(Cohort)로 구분하여 분석하는데 있다. 연구 분석에 사용된 대상자는 총 86,056명이다. 연구결과에 의하면 가계부채에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 연령효과와 기간효과는 통계적으로 유의하게 나타났으나, 베이비부머세대를 포함하는 특정시기 출생연도별 코호트(Cohort)효과는 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다. 연령이 한 단위 증가하면 가계부채도 353만원 증가하였지만 가계부채 증가폭은 연령증가에 따라 점차 감소하였다. 또한 연령이외의 개인단위변수로 경제활동여부, 건강상태 등이 가계부채규모에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 작용했다. 미취업자일수록, 건강상태가 좋지 않을수록 가계부채가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 분석과 대안
• /
• 제8권2호
• /
• pp.31-64
• /
• 2024

최근 한국 국민의 통일필요 의식의 하락 추세는 선명하다. 통일필요 의식 하락 추세에 있어 출생 코호트 효과는 존재하는가? 본 연구의 목적은 통일필요 의식에 있어 출생 코호트가 통계적으로 유의미한 영향을 미치는지 분석하는 것이다. 이를 위해 분석모형으로 위계적 연령-기간-코호트(HAPC) 모형을 채용하였으며 2007~2021년 기간 서울대학교 통일평화연구원의 통일의식조사 데이터를 사용하였다. 분석 결과, 출생 코호트 수준에서 경제불평등의 진행이 통일 필요성 인식 하락에 영향을 미쳤다는 증거가 관찰되었다. 소득과 자산의 양극화 진행으로 인해 사회 진출 과정에서 사회경제적 어려움을 겪은 1980년대 출생 코호트는 막대한 재원이 투입되는 남북통일에 대해, 1960년대와 1970년대 출생 코호트와 비교해 선명하게 부정적인 인식을 가지는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국사회복지학
• /
• 제65권1호
• /
• pp.201-226
• /
• 2013

외환위기 이후 청년실업의 증가가 사회적 문제로 부각되었으나, 청년층의 노동시장 경험에 관한 연구는 제한적으로 이루어져 왔다. 본 연구에서는 노동경력을 단순한 일자리 이동과 달리 노동지위의 연속적 배열과 순서적이고 위계적인 변화과정으로 개념화하였으며, 배열분석을 활용하여 외환위기 전후 청년층의 노동경력을 노동지위의 다양한 측면에서 비교하였다. 분석 결과, 외환위기 이후 첫 일자리로의 이행기간이 장기화되고 고용형태와 사업장 규모 면에서 첫 일자리의 질적 저하가 발생하였음이 확인되었다. 또한 외환위기 이후 청년 코호트는 미취업형과 실업형, 비대기업형, 비정규직형 및 이동형 특성을 갖는 경력유형에 속할 상대적 위험률이 높았다. 이러한 결과는 전반적으로 외환위기 이후 청년층의 고용불안정성이 더 커졌으며, 내부노동시장형에 비해 외부노동시장형 경력유형이 상대적으로 증가한 것을 의미한다.

• 수산해양교육연구
• /
• 제27권3호
• /
• pp.813-820
• /
• 2015

In recent years, there has been an argument that the academic performance of college students taught in English might be lower than those exposed in Korean under ceteris paribus environment. This paper examined the validity of this argument against the effectiveness of teaching-in-English, using student data from investment courses at a leading national university in Busan. Of a total of 165 students, 77 students took the teaching-in-Korean class (cohort A), whereas 88 students registered for the teaching-in-English class (cohort B). The findings did not support the popular argument. There was no significant difference in academic performance between student cohort A and student cohort B.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제45권5호
• /
• pp.323-328
• /
• 2012

Objectives: Economic growth and development of medical technology help to improve the average life expectancy, but the western diet and rapid conversions to poor lifestyles lead an increasing risk of major chronic diseases. Coronary heart disease mortality in Korea has been on the increase, while showing a steady decline in the other industrialized countries. An age-period-cohort analysis can help understand the trends in mortality and predict the near future. Methods: We analyzed the time trends of ischemic heart disease mortality, which is on the increase, from 1985 to 2009 using an age-period-cohort model to characterize the effects of ischemic heart disease on changes in the mortality rate over time. Results: All three effects on total ischemic heart disease mortality were statistically significant. Regarding the period effect, the mortality rate was decreased slightly in 2000 to 2004, after it had continuously increased since the late 1980s that trend was similar in both sexes. The expected age effect was noticeable, starting from the mid-60's. In addition, the age effect in women was more remarkable than that in men. Women born from the early 1900s to 1925 observed an increase in ischemic heart mortality. That cohort effect showed significance only in women. Conclusions: The future cohort effect might have a lasting impact on the risk of ischemic heart disease in women with the increasing elderly population, and a national prevention policy is need to establish management of high risk by considering the age-period-cohort effect.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.703-719
• /
• 2015

본 논문은 평균회귀 2요인 사망률 모형에 코호트 효과를 반영한 개선된 확률론적 사망률 모형을 제시한다. 한국 남자의 사망률 자료를 바탕으로 가중평균최소제곱법과 메트로폴리스 알고리듬을 이용하여 사망률 모형을 추정한 결과 코호트 효과를 반영하는 것이 모형 적합도를 향상시킴을 발견하였다. 국민연금공단과 같은 연금사업자가 자신의 장수위험을 금융시장에 순차적으로 전가하는 수단으로서 옵션방식 이자지급 장수채권의 활용을 제안하고 발행채권의 가격 산출방법을 제시하는 것이 본 논문이 기여하는 점이다. 특히 생존지수에 의해 이자지급 현금흐름이 결정되는 장수채권 가격산출을 위하여 코호트 효과가 매우 중요한 요소임을 강조하였다.