• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권12호
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• pp.657-664
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• 2020

We investigate the impact of roads and highways within the provinces on the regional trade of China using the augmented Gravity Model and theory of modeling trade. We take a panel data covering 31 provinces of China over 20 years period (1998-2017) for the estimations. We apply ARMA-OLS model, fixed and random effects, and robust findings by Hausman test. The results imply that road and highway lengths within the provinces have a significantly positive impact on the value of the province-wise exports. The positive impact is due to the fact the increased coverage of roads and highways increase accessibility to resources and mobility of goods and services within the regions. Moreover, employment in the transportation sector, per capita GDP and population of the provinces also illustrate positive and significant influence on regional exports and trade. The impact of China's WTO accession on regional exports has been positive, while the financial crisis has had a negative impact. The year dummies show that, in the years following the financial crisis, China was able to regress from the external shock as trade within the provinces increased. The increase in exports after financial crisis is mainly due to the government policies and support to every province.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.118-137
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• 2019

Purpose - As global trade disputes intensify and global trade uncertainty increases due to the prevailing trade protectionism all over the world, mega-FTAs such as the RCEP and CPTPP are suggested as strategic trade policy options for export-driven small open economies, such as Korea. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Korea's mega-FTA participation and the induced implications for the Korean economy. Design/methodology - We use a multi-region, multi-sector global CGE model, and investigate the different effects of both the US-China and US-EU trade wars on the relative changes in GDP, welfare, and trade under different trade policy regimes; (i) Korea does not participate in any mega-FTA, (ii) Korea participates in the RCEP, and (iii) Korea participates in the CPTPP. Findings - We show, among others, that though industrial effects might be largely varied, the overall enlarging of free trade zones through multilateral mega-FTA participation may contribute significantly to the macroeconomic soundness and stability of Korea, even when global trade protectionism prevails. Under RCEP and CPTPP trade regimes, Korea's GDP may increase even when the global trade environment deteriorates as trade wars occur and intensify between the US and China, or between the US and EU. It is also estimated that RCEP participation increases Korea's GDP, welfare (measured in equivalent variation), and total trade by 1.12%, $1.09 billion, and 2.54%, respectively, while CPTPP participation increases them by 0.19%, $0.92 billion, and 0.13%, respectively. Originality/value - Existing studies usually focus on the direct impacts of mega-FTA participation on macroeconomic variables such as GDP, welfare, and trade, and do not consider the possible buffer effects of a mega-FTA when the global trade environment worsens. In this paper, we analyze and quantify not only the direct impacts of RCEP and CPTPP on the main macroeconomic variables but also the possible buffer effects of the RCEP and CPTPP in the cases of the US-China and US-EU trade wars.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제19권12호
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• pp.329-338
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• 2014

The paper chooses four trade competitiveness assessment indices to compare the international competitiveness of Computer and Information Service(C&IS) trade between South Korea, China and Japan. The results show that the competitiveness of China is the strongest, Japan secondary and Korea the weakest among the three countries. However, the competitiveness of Korea can be promoted the most quickly and it has exceeded Japan according to TC and NXRCA indices. Meanwhile, there was still a huge gap between the three countries and the two world strong countries-India and Ireland. The main findings of empirical research on influencing factors show that domestic market demand and trade opening degree are the two most important factors influencing the competitiveness of three-country C&IS trade. At the same time, improving the utilization of C&IS and realizing good interaction of C&IS trade and electronic information, communication and other relevant and auxiliary industries can also contribute to the competitiveness improvement.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.17-37
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• 2021

This study aims to examine the effects of experimental attitudes and perceived personal information protection on satisfaction and loyalty for Chinese consumers who use unmanned convenience stores. The important results of this study are as follows. First, consumers' perception of the experimental servicescape of unmanned convenience stores in China has an effect on the consumer's experimental attitude. Consumers' perception of experimental diversity in unmanned convenience stores in China has an effect on the consumer's experimental attitude. Second, consumers' perception of the information quality of unmanned convenience stores in China has an impact on the consumer's personal information protection. Consumers' perception of the service quality of unmanned convenience stores in China has an impact on consumer's personal information protection. Third, consumers' perception of personal information protection in unmanned convenience stores in China has an effect on the consumer's experimental attitude. Fourth, consumers' perception of personal information protection in unmanned convenience stores in China has an effect on consumer satisfaction with experiments. Consumers' perception of the experiment attitude of unmanned convenience stores in China has an effect on the consumer's satisfaction with the experiment.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.157-168
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• 2020

Since the economic crisis sweeps across the world in 2008, the foreign direct investment of various countries has been greatly impacted. Therefore, this paper regards China as an example to analyze China's outward foreign direct investment patterns in terms of Asian financial markets with a panel data over the period 2003-2017. We mainly focus on the money market oriented outward foreign direct investment and foreign exchange market oriented outward foreign direct investment. Using the individual fixed effect model to conduct empirical analyses, the empirical findings indicate that China will reduce its foreign direct investment amount to a country with large money supply and China will increase its foreign direct investment amount to a country with large foreign exchange reserves. Furthermore, when a country has signed Free Trade Agreement with China, China will increase more foreign direct investment amount to these countries than that of a country who has not signed Free Trade Agreement with China. Moreover, the empirical findings indicate that no matter what the money market oriented outward foreign direct investment or foreign market oriented outward foreign direct investment, China will reduce its foreign direct investment amount to these Asian countries due to the global economic crisis.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.491-516
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• 2012

본 논문은 현재 협상 중인 한 중 FTA관련하여 예상되는 무역의 기술장벽의 현안을 도출하고 그 문제점과 대응방안에 대하여 중점적으로 고찰해 보았다. 우선 FTA 무역 기술장벽의 이론적 배경인 의의와 유형을 살펴보았고, WTO의 주요 협정 내용 및 한국과 중국의 FTA 기술부문의 동향에 대해서도 알아보았다. 중국과의 무역의 기술장벽에서 쟁점이 될 수 있는 현안을 통보문 건수가 많은 "사람의 건강과 또는 안전의 보호", "환경보호" 및 "국제표준과의 조화", "투명성" 등으로 도출하였다. 대응방안으로는 중국의 배타적 기술규정에 대해 정부 차원에서 철회할 수 있도록 해야 하며 한국기업은 높은 수준의 환경규제에 충족하는 제품을 개발해야 하고 정부에서도 이러한 기업들에게 재정지원, 세제혜택 및 금융지원 등의 장려책을 실시해야 한다. 국제표준 활동의 역량강화와 전문인력의 확보가 중요하다 하겠다. 또한 한 중 정보 전달의 속도를 높이고 투명성을 제고하기 위하여 상호 직접적인 통보망을 설치하면 효율적이다. 중국의 지역통보자문센터와 유기적이고 협력적인 교류가 필요하며 기술규제의 재 개정 및 새로운 기술규제의 의견 수렴기간을 다양하게 해야 한다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제13권7호
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• pp.11-18
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• 2015

Purpose - This paper reviews the changes in the ship export and import structure between Korea and China. It utilizes the comparative advantage trade theory to analyze time-series statistical data from the market share index, revealed comparative advantage index (RCA), and trade specialization index(TSI). Research design, data, and methodology - Based on their economic phases, both Korea and China have similar country characteristics. The purpose of this research is to understand the two country's trade structures to fortify the Korea-Sino economic relationship including verifying what is working and what is not. Results - Based on the analysis, bilateral economic activity to achieve a plus trade stimulus environment should be realized in the long run. Both countries should establish guarantee-free trade negotiations and boundaries instead of various non-tariff barriers. Conclusion - Reviewing the research, a sound competitive relationship can be grown for mutual benefit including export market diversification in the near future. The review of the Korea-Sino ship industry is keenly important and investigative research about it is timely because it is a major industry in each country.

• 무역학회지
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.139-158
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• 2016

본 연구는 우리나라와 중국은 FTA에서 동일하게 협정을 체결한 국가는 칠레와 ASEAN이 동일한 국가로 나타나고 있어 한·칠레, 한·ASEAN과 중국·칠레, 중국·ASEAN에 대한 비교연구를 진행하고자 하였으며, 원산지 관련 규정에 대한 비교와 분석을 통해 추후의 체결하는 FTA 원산지 협상에 필요한 시사점을 얻고자 하였다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권6호
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• pp.21-38
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• 2021

China adopts the "Outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of the People's Republic of China and the Long-Range Objectives Through the Year 2035" in the context of tremendous changes in the international environment. A new development paradigm is proposed to prioritize domestic circulation, reinforcing both domestic and international circulations. The industrial policies of China's "14th Five-Year Plan" will have an impact on Korea. Thus it is necessary for Korea to cooperate with China to actively respond to changes in the industrial chains and value chains in Asia and the world. Over the past 29 years since the establishment of diplomatic relation between China and South Korea, the two countries have enjoyed close economic and trade relations. China-ROK cooperation is critical to regional economic development in the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the era of remarkable changes in the world's political and economic structure. China is a robust developing country, while Korea is a developed one in with steady foothold in the world economy. China and South Korea should work together to contribute to the rapid recovery and development of the world economy instead of becoming competitors.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.83-92
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• 2022

Due to the uncertainty in the order of the integrated model, the SARIMA-LSTM model, SARIMA-SVR model, LSTM-SARIMA model, and SVR-SARIMA model are constructed respectively to determine the best-combined model for forecasting the China-Russia trade turnover. Meanwhile, the effect of the order of the combined models on the prediction results is analyzed. Using indicators such as MAPE and RMSE, we compare and evaluate the predictive effects of different models. The results show that the SARIMA-LSTM model combines the SARIMA model's short-term forecasting advantage with the LSTM model's long-term forecasting advantage, which has the highest forecast accuracy of all models and can accurately predict the trend of China-Russia trade turnover in the post-epidemic period. Furthermore, the SARIMA - LSTM model has a higher forecast accuracy than the LSTM-ARIMA model. Nevertheless, the SARIMA-SVR model's forecast accuracy is lower than the SVR-SARIMA model's. As a result, the combined models' order has no bearing on the predicting outcomes for the China-Russia trade turnover time series.