• 제목/요약/키워드: KMA

검색결과 821건 처리시간 0.024초

지진해일 시나리오 DB 구축방안 (A Way for Establishing Tsunami Scenario Data Base)

  • 이덕기;류용규;양준모;김수경;윤용훈;이전희;박종찬
    • 지구물리
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.93-96
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    • 2005
  • 한반도 동해안에 지진해일 피해를 유발할 수 있는 일본서안지역에 대하여 지진활동도, 지진공백역, 해저단층연구와 같은 기존의 연구결과 및 지진해일 수치모형을 이용한 한반도 동해안 최대파고를 유발할 수 있는 단층해를 제시하였다. 지진정보가 없는 해저단층지역에 대해 지진해일 수치모형을 수행하여 한반도 동해안에 최대의 파고를 유발할 수 있는 단층해를 제시하였다. 특히 주향의 변화에 따라 같은 규모 지진이라도 생성할 수 있는 해안가에서의 해일의 높이는 7배 이상 차이가 날 수 있음을 알 수 있었다. 이 단층해를 이용하여 지역별, 규모별로 도달시간 및 최대해일고를 포함하는 지진해일 시나리오 DB를 구축하고 있으며 향후 기상청 국가지진분석시스템과 연계하여 지진해일 예측체계를 강화할 것이다

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INTRODUCTION TO THE COMS METEOROLOGICAL DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM

  • Ahn Myoung-Hwan;Seo Eun-Jin;Chung Chu-Yong;Sohn Byung-Ju;Suh Myoung-Seok;Oh Milim
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2005년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2005
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    • pp.95-97
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    • 2005
  • Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) to be launched in year 2008 will be the first Korean multi-purpose geostationary satellite aiming at three major missions, i.e.: communication, ocean, and meteorological applications. The development of systems for the meteorological mission sponsored by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) consists of payloads, ground system, and data processing system. The program called COMS Meteorological Data Processing System (CMDPS) has been initiated for the development of data processing system. The primary objective ofCMDPS is to derive the level-2 environmental products from geo-Iocated and calibrated level 1.5 COMS data. Preliminary design for the level-2 data processing system consists of 16 baseline products and will be refined by end of 3rd project year. Also considered for the development are the necessary initial information such as land use and digital elevation map, algorithms for the vicarious calibration and procedures for the calibration monitoring, and radiative transfer model. Here, we briefly introduce the overall development strategy, flow chart for the intended baseline products, a few preliminary algorithm results and future plans.

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기상 특보 발표가 기상청 콜센터 상담 건수에 미치는 영향 분석 (The Impact of Severe Weather Announcement on the Korea Meteorological Administration Call Center Counseling Demand)

  • 지영미;박태영;이영섭
    • 대기
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.377-384
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    • 2017
  • The effective management of call centers under special circumstances is critical to improve customer satisfaction. In order to effectively respond to call center counseling demand, this paper aims to identify factors having the greatest impact on the number of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) call center counseling. To do so, we propose to combine call center data with severe weather announcement data and investigate how the severe weather announcement affects the number of KMA call center counseling. A time lag analysis is conducted and it is found that the severe weather announcement takes about an hour to be reflected in the number of KMA call center counseling. Based on the result of the time lag analysis, we conduct a comparative analysis according to time and season using the data collected from 1 January 2012, to 29 June 2016. The results show that the number of KMA call center counseling increases at lunchtime and decreases during nighttime, and the average rate of change in call center counseling demand tends to be larger under the severe weather announcement. For the comparative analysis according to the season, there are significant differences in the effect of severe weather announcement on the number of KMA call center counseling in spring, fall and winter.

DEVELOPING THE CLOUD DETECTION ALGORITHM FOR COMS METEOROLOGICAL DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM

  • Chung, Chu-Yong;Lee, Hee-Kyo;Ahn, Hyun-Jung;Ahn, Hyoung-Hwan;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.200-203
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    • 2006
  • Cloud detection algorithm is being developed as major one of the 16 baseline products of CMDPS (COMS Meteorological Data Processing System), which is under development for the real-time application of data will be observed from COMS Meteorological Imager. For cloud detection from satellite data, we studied two different algorithms. One is threshold technique based algorithm, which is traditionally used, and another is artificial neural network model. MPEF scene analysis algorithm is the basic idea of threshold cloud detection algorithm, and some modifications are conducted for COMS. For the neural network, we selected MLP with back-propagation algorithm. Prototype software of each algorithm was completed and evaluated by using the MTSAT-1R and GOES-9 data. Currently the software codes are standardized using Fortran90 language. For the preparation as an operational algorithm, we will setup the validation strategy and tune up the algorithm continuously. This paper shows the outline of the two cloud detection algorithm and preliminary test result of both algorithms.

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이동속도와 방향을 고려한 수치모델의 태풍진로 예측성 평가 (Evaluation of the Numerical Models' Typhoon Track Predictability Based on the Moving Speed and Direction)

  • 신현진;이우정;강기룡;변건영;윤원태
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.503-514
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    • 2014
  • Evaluation of predictability of numerical models for tropical cyclone track was performed using along-and cross-track component. The along-and cross-track bias were useful indicators that show the numerical models predictability associated with cause of errors. Since forecast errors, standard deviation and consistency index of along-track component were greater than those of cross-track component, there was some rooms for improvement in alongtrack component. There was an overall slow bias. The most accurate model was JGSM for 24-hour forecast and ECMWF for 48~96-hour forecast in direct position error, along-track error and cross-track error. ECMWF and GFS had a high variability for 24-hour forecast. The results of predictability by track type showed that most significant errors of tropical cyclone track forecast were caused by the failure to estimate the recurvature phenomenon.

기상청 현업 지역통합모델 물리과정 최적화를 통한 예측 성능 향상 (The Improvement of Forecast Accuracy of the Unified Model at KMA by Using an Optimized Set of Physical Options)

  • 이주원;한상옥;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2012
  • The UK Met Office Unified Model at the KMA has been operationally utilized as the next generation numerical prediction system since 2010 after it was first introduced in May, 2008. Researches need to be carried out regarding various physical processes inside the model in order to improve the predictability of the newly introduced Unified Model. We first performed a preliminary experiment for the domain ($170{\times}170$, 10 km, 38 layers) smaller than that of the operating system using the version 7.4 of the UM local model to optimize its physical processes. The result showed that about 7~8% of the improvement ratio was found at each stage by integrating four factors (u, v, th, q), and the final improvement ratio was 25%. Verification was carried out for one month of August, 2008 by applying the optimized combination to the domain identical to the operating system, and the result showed that the precipitation verification score (ETS, equitable threat score) was improved by 9%, approximately.

UNCERTAINTIES IN AMV ESTIMATION

  • Sohn, Eun-Ha;Cho, Hee-Je;Ou, Mi-Lim;Kim, Yoon-Jae
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.153-155
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    • 2007
  • Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has operationally produced Atmospheric Motion Vector (AMV) from the consecutive MTSAT-1R satellite image dataset. Comparing with radiosonde data, our current AMV scheme shows more than 10 m/s RMSE. Therefore we need to improve continuously its accuracy. Many AMV producers have stated that the bad performance of the Height Assignment (HA) algorithm is the main reason of degrading the accuracy of AMV. The uncertainties in AMV HA can occur in the algorithm itself, used NWP profiles, and the performance of Radiative Transfer Model (RTM) etc. This study introduces currently operated AMV HA schemes and the impacts of NWP profile data and RTM that these schemes use were investigated. Finally we analyzed the relationship between vectors by vector tracking and heights assigned to each vector by using collocated wind profile dataset with radiosonde data. This study is a preliminary work to improve the accuracy of AMV by removing or decreasing the uncertainties in AMV estimation.

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X밴드 이중편파레이더를 활용한 고양 토네이도 발생 사례 분석: 2014년 6월 10일 (Investigation of Goyang Tornado Outbreak Using X-band Polarimetric Radar: 10 June 2014)

  • 정종훈;김연희;오수빈;임은하;주상원
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2016
  • On 10 July 2014, tornado outbreak occurred over Goyang province in Korea. This was the first supercell tornado ever reported or documented in Korea. The characteristics of the supercell tornado were investigated using an X-band polarimetric radar, surface meteorological observation, wind profiler, and operational numerical weather prediction (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System, RDAPS). The supercell tornado developed along a preexisting dryline that was contributed to surface wind shear. The radar analyses examined here show that the supercell tornado indicated a hook echo with mesocyclone. The decending reflectivity core as well was detected before tornadogenesis and prior to intensification of supercell. The supercell tornado exhibited characteristics similar to typical supercell tornado over the Great Plains of the United States, such as hook echo, bounded weak echo region, and slower movement speed relative to the mean wind. Compared to the typical supercell tornado over U.S., this tornado showed horizontal scale of the mesocyclone was relatively smaller and left-mover.

Developing the Cloud Detection Algorithm for COMS Meteorolgical Data Processing System

  • Chung, Chu-Yong;Lee, Hee-Kyo;Ahn, Hyun-Jung;Ahn, Myoung-Hwan;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.367-372
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    • 2006
  • Cloud detection algorithm is being developed as primary one of the 16 baseline products of CMDPS (COMS Meteorological Data Processing System), which is under development for the real-time application of data will be observed from COMS Meteorological Imager. For cloud detection from satellite data, we studied two different algorithms. One is threshold technique based algorithm, which is traditionally used, and another is artificial neural network model. MPEF scene analysis algorithm is the basic idea of threshold cloud detection algorithm, and some modifications are conducted for COMS. For the neural network, we selected MLP with back-propagation algorithm. Prototype software of each algorithm was completed and evaluated by using the MTSAT-IR and GOES-9 data. Currently the software codes are standardized using Fortran90 language. For the preparation as an operational algorithm, we will setup the validation strategy and tune up the algorithm continuously. This paper shows the outline of the two cloud detection algorithms and preliminary test results of both algorithms.

IMPLEMENTATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR KOREAN METEROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION AND ITS MEANINGS

  • Chang, Eun-Mi;Park, Jong-Seo;Suh, Ae-Sook
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.163-165
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    • 2006
  • We aim to archive all the satellite images that had been scattered into Satellite Imagery Information System with setting naming rules and metadata. More than one million of scenes were collected, rectified into error-free status with metadata . Converting various formats into HDF format after considering GEOTIFF and HDF. Intranet and Internet System had been development to allow all the images to be searched and downloaded with less effort. These system will expand the usage of meteorological satellite images for expert groups and the public outside of KMA.

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