• Title/Summary/Keyword: Investment Cycle

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A Study on the Strategy for Optimizing Investment Portfolios (최적 투자 포트폴리오 구성전략에 관한 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.300-310
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    • 2010
  • This paper is about an optimal investment portfolio strategy. Financial data of stocks, bonds, and savings from January 2. 2001 through October 30. 2009 were utilized in order to suggest the optimal portfolio strategies. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis were used in stocks-related strategy, whereas passive investment strategy and active investment strategy were used in bond-related strategy. The score is assigned to each stock index according to the suggested strategies and set trading rules are based on the scores. The simulation has been executed about each 29,400-portfolios and we figured out with the simulation result that 26.75% of 7,864 portfolios are more profitable than average stock market profit (22.6%, Annualized). The outcome of this research is summarized in two parts. First, it's the rebalancing strategy of portfolio. The result shows that value-oriented investment(long-term investment) strategy yields much higher than short-term investment strategies of stocks or active investment of bonds. Second, it's about the rebalancing cycle forming the portfolios. The result shows that the rate of return for the portfolio is the best when rebalancing cycle is 12 or 18 months.

Method for Composing a Portfolio for REITs Investment Using Markowitz's Portfolio Model

  • Lee, Chi-Joo;Lee, Ghang;Won, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2011
  • Domestic construction companies are suffering from financing difficulties in the wake of the economic slump in Korea and abroad. During this economic slump, real estate investment trusts (REITs), facilitators for improving financing and stimulating construction businesses, have increasingly expanded since their introduction in 2001. However, in terms of growth speed and marketing size, Korean REITs are falling behind those of other nations. The purpose of this study is to suggest a method for composing a portfolio using the Markowitz portfolio selection model to stimulate REITs. The main contents are as follows. First, a comparative analysis was conducted of increased REIT profit with the application of the Markowitz model and the average REIT profit rate from July 3, 2007, to July 21, 2008, during the investment analysis periods. The results showed that the total profit rate from the Markowitz model was about 10% higher than the average REIT profit rate. Second, the sensitivity was analyzed according to the portfolio's data-gathering and replacement cycle to measure the optimum cycle and yield. The six-mouth profit data collection period showed about 16% higher profits with the Markowitz model than with the REITs. The two-week portfolio change period resulted in about 11% higher profits with the Markowitz model than with the REITs.

Empirical Research on Cyclical Patterns of R&D Investment (R&D 투자의 경기순환적 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, U-Seong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2008
  • The researches on cyclical patterns of R&D investment has a long history in developed economies since the Schumpeterian hypothesis that long-term productivity-enhancing innovative activities increase during recession. But in Korea the cyclical patterns of R&D investment is one of the unexplored academic areas. Unlike theoretical explanation of R&D's cyclical pattern, empirical results has shown that R&D investment is procyclical to business cycles in developed countries. This paper investigates whether Korean R&D investment show procyclical or countercyclical pattern to business cycles. The empirical results show that Korean R&D investment in private area is procyclical to business cycles with statistical significance, which confirms the credit-constraint theory's prediction, while public area's is not sensitive to them. Public R&D investment has long-term investment characteristics and can be utilized to stabilize procyclically-fluctuating private R&D investment.

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A Study on the Characteristics of Real Estate Investment Sentiment by Real Estate Business Cycle Using Text Mining (텍스트 마이닝을 이용한 부동산경기 순환기별 부동산 투자심리 특성 연구)

  • Hyun-Jeong Lee;Yun Kyung Oh
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2024
  • This study explores shifts in real estate investment sentiment using media reports from 2012 to 2022, segmenting the market dynamics into three distinct cycles based on housing and land transaction indices. Leveraging 54 BigKinds media sources, we investigates 3,387 headlines and 8,544 body texts using LDA topic modeling. The results show that the first cycle (2012-2015 ) centered on apartment pre-sales, where policy changes influenced sentiment but did not consistently affect investment decisions. The second cycle (2016-2018) was characterized by interest rate hikes and rising property prices in Seoul, resulting in significant fluctuations in transaction volumes. The third cycle (2019-2022) encompassed the effects of COVID-19, market instability, and policy failures, leading to distorted and weakened investment sentiment. Each cycle demonstrated that policies, interest rates, and economic events significantly shaped investor sentiment, as reflected in media reports.

자녀의 인적자본형성을 위한 가정의 총투자량과 영향요인 : 주부의 취업유무에 따른 비교

  • 문숙재
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to identify how the households invest in their children as a human capital. In addition, contributing factors to households' human capital investment was examined. The results of this study are as follows; First, Average number of children 2 children of surveyed housewives, full time housewives had more time spent for children than working counterparts. The former spent 6.8 hours a day with the latter 4.98 hour a day while both of them shared the most time in nonphysical care of their children. meanwhile, money paid for children was that full time housewife family spent 1,014,000 and a working housewife family paid 974,000. Second, In the full time housewives, total amount of time housewives spend for their children was greatly influenced by the income, the age of the youngest child, and emotional value. The housewives' educational level, life cycle, and an income were a significant impact on money investment. Total investment was influenced by the housewives' educational level, life cycle, income, and the number of children.

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The Effects of Non-synchronized Investment Behavior under Industrial Business Cycles (산업경기순환 하에서 투자행동 비동기화의 효과)

  • Kim, Chang-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.5-37
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    • 2011
  • This article aims to clarify what is the best investment behavior in Capital Intensive Industries(hereinafter CIIs) which show repeated business cycles. In CIIs, investments is centered in the period of upturns and goes beyond the adequate level because of the time that takes to completion of facilities. This over-investment causes oversupply and downturn, and in period of downturn, investments shrinks under the adequate level. The repeated change of over-investment and under-investment is the reason for the business cycles. In this article, a simulation model replicating the business cycles in CIIs was constructed and the effects of various investment strategies was tested. The results are as follows. First, the investment behavior following market condition causes the ongoing fluctuation of profits. Second, strategic increase in flexibility such as adjustment of facility utilization and shortening of facility construction time contributes to the increase in profit and stabilization of income. Third, in relation to market condition, the constant investment is more profitable in stagnated market and the counter-market investment is more profitable in growing market. In sum, it is desirable not to synchronize their investment with those of competitors.

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Portfolio Management with the Business Cycle and Bayesian Learning (경기주기와 베이지안 학습(Bayesian learning) 기법을 고려한 개인의 자산관리 연구)

  • Park, Seyoung;Lee, Hyun-Tak;Rhee, Yuna;Jang, Bong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2014
  • This paper studies optimal consumption and investment behaviors of an individual when risky asset returns and her income are affected by the business cycle. The investor considers the incomplete information risk of unobservable macroeconomic conditions and updates her belief of expected risky asset returns through Bayesian learning. We find that the optimal investment strategy, certainty equivalent wealth, and portfolio hedging demand significantly depend on the belief about the macroeconomic conditions.

A study on the economic feasibility and the LCCO2 of Main floor covering materials in day care centers (어린이집 주요 바닥마감재의 경제성 및 LCCO2 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Pil;Cho, Kyu-Man
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2013
  • As the construction industry develops, environmental pollution gets increasingly serious, giving damage including the increase of incidence of respiratory diseases and skin diseases among children with weakened immune systems, rather than adults. In daycare centers, infants and children spending much of their time, have high frequency of contact with the interior floor finish material. However, the majority of the child care centers don not use eco-friendly flooring but ordinary monorium flooring, because the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring is higher than ordinary monorium flooring. Therefore, in this study, life cycle costs including the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring and ordinary monorium flooring were calculated, demonstrating that the eco-friendly flooring is more economical than ordinary monorium flooring in terms of life-cycle cost. In addition, the analysis of the environmental performance also showed the excellence of the eco-friendly floor finishes. It is expected that the use of the eco-friendly floor finishes will increase due to their excellence in the aspect of life cycle cost and eco-friendly performance, through this study.

Forecasting and Prolonging Method of Optimum Economic Life for Office Buildings using Life Cycle Cost (LCC분석에 의한 오피스건축물의 최적경제수명추정분석 및 장수명화에 관한 연구)

  • Yang Bong-Seog;Jeong Hee-Cheol;Kim Kyung-Rai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.4 s.8
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate and analyze the optimum economic life of office buildings in consideration of their LCC (Life Cycle Cost), and thereby, explore the ways to manage the outlived office buildings economically. In estimating the economic life, initial investment cost and maintenance cost are taken into due consideration. For this study, those office buildings in Yeouido and Mapo region were sampled. The surveyed details were reduced to unit area to calculate a unit value, and then, their optimum economic life was estimated using LCC. Five alternatives for management of outlived office buildings were compared in terms of reconstruction or rehabilitation cost.

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