• Title/Summary/Keyword: Integrated risk analysis

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Identifying Hotspots on Freeways Using the Continuous Risk Profile With Hierarchical Clustering Analysis (계층적 군집분석 기반의 Continuous Risk Profile을 이용한 고속도로 사고취약구간 선정)

  • Lee, Seoyoung;Kim, Cheolsun;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Lee, Chungwon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2013
  • The Continuous Risk Profile (CRP) has been well known to be the most accurate and efficient among existing network screening methods. However, the classical CRP uses safety performance functions (SPFs) which require a huge investment to construct a database system. This study aims to suggest a new CRP method using average crash frequencies of homogeneous groups, instead of SPFs, as rescaling factors. Hierarchical clustering analysis is performed to classify freeway segments into homogeneous groups based on the data of AADT and number of lanes. Using the data from I-880 in California, the proposed method is compared to other several network screening methods. The results show that the proposed method decrease false positive rates while it does not produce any false negatives. The method developed in this study can be easily applied to screen freeway networks without any additional complex database systems, and contribute to the improvement of freeway safety management systems.

Chuna Manual Therapy for Spondylolisthesis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (척추전방전위증의 추나 치료에 대한 체계적 문헌 고찰 및 메타 분석)

  • Hong, Su Min;Ha, Hyun Ju;Yoon, Kwang Sik
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2020
  • Objectives This study is aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of Chuna therapy for spondylolisthesis. Methods We searched th following 10 online databases without a language restriction (National Digital Science Library [NDSL], Research Information Sharing Service [RISS], Oriental Medicine Advanced Searching Integrated System [OASIS], KMBASE, MEDLINE/PubMed, Cochrane library, Ebscohost, EMBASE, Ovid, China National Knowledge Infrastru [CNKI]) to find randomized controlled trials that used Chuna therapy for spondylolisthesis. The methodological quality of each randomized controlled clinical trial was assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool and meta-analyses were perfomed. Results Eleven randomized controlled trials were included. Chuna therapy showed statistically significant reduction of symptoms. Meta-analysis showed positive results for Chuna therapy for spondylolisthesis in terms of therapeutic effects to traction, chinese medicine, therapeutic exercise. Conclusion In this study, we reviewed studies about Chuna therapy used for spondylolisthesis. The studies showed that Chuna therapy can significantly effective on spondylolisthesis. But according to Cochrane risk of bias evaluation method, most of the studies's risk of bias were unclear. Therefore, more high-quality studies will be needed.

A Pesticide Residue Risk Assessment from Agricultural Land Using GIS

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Krishina, Ganeshy;Han, Moo-Young;Yang, Jung-Seok;Choi, Jae-Young
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 2008
  • Water quality contamination issues are of critical concern to human health, whilst pesticide release generated from irrigated land should be considered for protecting natural habitats and human health. This paper suggests new method for evaluation and analysis using the GIS technique based on integrated spatial modeling framework. The pesticide use on irrigated land is a subset of the larger spectrum of industrial chemicals used in modern society. The behavior of a pesticide is affected by the natural affinity of the chemical for one of four environmental compartments; solid matter, liquid, gaseous form, and biota. However, the major movements are a physical transport over the ground surface by rainfall-runoff and irrigation-runoff. The irrigated water carries out with the transporting sediments and makes contaminated water by pesticide. This paper focuses on risk impact identification and assessment using GIS technique. Also, generated data on pesticide residues on farmland and surface water through GIS simulation will be reflected to environmental research programs. Finally, this study indicates that GIS application is a beneficial tool for spatial pesticide impact analysis as well as environmental risk assessment.

Risk assessment of karst collapse using an integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and grey relational analysis model

  • Ding, Hanghang;Wu, Qiang;Zhao, Dekang;Mu, Wenping;Yu, Shuai
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2019
  • A karst collapse, as a natural hazard, is totally different to a normal collapse. In recent years, karst collapses have caused substantial economic losses and even threatened human safety. A risk assessment model for karst collapse was developed based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and grey relational analysis (GRA), which is a simple and effective mathematical algorithm. An evaluation index played an important role in the process of completing the risk assessment model. In this study, the proposed model was applied to Jiaobai village in southwest China. First, the main controlling factors were summarized as an evaluation index of the model based on an investigation and statistical analysis of the natural formation law of karst collapse. Second, the FAHP was used to determine the relative weights and GRA was used to calculate the grey relational coefficient among the indices. Finally, the relational sequence of evaluation objects was established by calculating the grey weighted relational degree. According to the maximum relational rule, the greater the relational degree the better the relational degree with the hierarchy set. The results showed that the model accurately simulated the field condition. It is also demonstrated the contribution of various control factors to the process of karst collapse and the degree of collapse in the study area.

A Study on the Privacy Concern of e-commerce Users: Focused on Information Boundary Theory (전자상거래 이용자의 프라이버시 염려에 관한 연구 : 정보경계이론을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Ki;Oh, Da-Woon
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 2017
  • Purpose This study provided empirical support for the model that explain the formation of privacy concerns in the perspective of Information Boundary Theory. This study investigated an integrated model suggesting that privacy concerns are formed by the individual's disposition to value privacy, privacy awareness, awareness of privacy policy, and government legislation. The Information Boundary Theory suggests that the boundaries of information space dependends on the individual's personal characteristics and environmental factors of e-commerce. When receiving a request for personal information from e-commerce websites, an individual assesses the risk depending on the risk-control assessment, the perception of intrusion give rise to privacy concerns. Design/methodology/approach This study empirically tested the hypotheses with the data collected in a survey that included the items measuring the constructs in the model. The survey was aimed at university students. and a causal modeling statistical technique(PLS) is used for data analysis in this research. Findings The results of the survey indicated significant relationships among environmental factors of e-commerce websites, individual's personal privacy characteristics and privacy concerns. Both individual's awareness of institutional privacy assurance on e-commerce and the privacy characteristics affect the risk-control assessment towards information disclosure, which becomes an essential components of privacy concerns.

Risk Assessment of Integrated Leak Rate Test(ILRT) Extension for Korea Standard Nuclear Power Plant (한국표준형원전의 격납건물종합누설률 시험 주기연장에 대한 리스크 평가)

  • Chi, Moon-Goo;Hwang, Seok-Won;Oh, Ji-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2011
  • An ILRT Interval for a nuclear power plant in Korea was extended from once in five years to once in ten years. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate risk impact for ILRT interval extensions. In this paper, input data were generated for the reference plants, KSNP, using raw data such as meteorological data, population distribution data and source term data. And, using MACCS II code the risk impact assessment was performed based on the two methodologies of NUREG-1493 and NEI Interim Report. The risk impact derived from an ILRT interval extension was identified not to be significant. It is considered to apply this study and results to making an accident management plan and safety goal, and to the field of public acceptance.

Scenario Analysis Technology for Flood Risk Management in the Taihu Basin

  • Changwei, Hu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2010
  • The Taihu Basin is located in the east coast of China, where the threats of frequent floods have induced construction of massive, complex, hierarchical flood defense systems over the interconnected river networks. Digital modeling of flooding processes and quantitative damage assessment still remain challenging due to such complexity. The current research uses an integrated approach to meet this challenge by combining multiple types of models within a GIS platform. A new algorithm is introduced to simulate the impacts of the flood defense systems, especially the large number of polders, on floods distributions and damages.

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Analysis of a Targeted Intervention Programme on the Risk Behaviours of Injecting Drug Users in India: Evidence From the National Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveillance Survey

  • Sahu, Damodar;Ranjan, Varsha;Chandra, Nalini;Nair, Saritha;Kumar, Anil;Arumugam, Elangovan;Rao, Mendu Vishnu Vardhana
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.407-413
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study provides insights on the impact of a targeted intervention (TI) programme on behaviour change among injecting drug users (IDUs) in India. Methods: This paper examined the data from the Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveillance 2014-2015 for IDUs in India. Logistic regression was performed to understand the factors (TI programme services) that affected injecting risk behaviours by adjusting for covariates. Propensity score matching was conducted to understand the impact of the TI programme on using new needles/syringes and sharing needles/syringes in the most recent injecting episode by accounting for the covariates that predicted receiving the intervention. Results: Participants who received new needles and syringes from peer educators or outreach workers were 1.3 times (adjusted odds ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 1.53) more likely to use new needles/syringes during most recent injecting episode than participants who did not receive needles/syringes. The matched-samples estimate (i.e., average treatment effect on treated) of using new needles in the most recent injecting episode showed a 2.8% (95% CI, 0.0 to 5.6) increase in the use of new needles and a 6.5% (95% CI, -9.7 to -3.3) decrease in needle sharing in the most recent injecting episode in participants who received new needles/syringes. There was a 2.2% (95% CI, -3.8 to -0.6) decrease in needle sharing in the most recent injecting episode among participants who were referred to other services (integrated counselling and testing centre, detox centres, etc.). Conclusions: The TI programme proved to be effective for behaviour change among IDUs, as substantiated by the use of new needles/syringes and sharing of needles/syringes.

Preventable Lifestyle Risk Factors for Non-Communicable Diseases in the Pakistan Adolescents Schools Study 1 (PASS-1)

  • Khuwaja, Ali Khan;Khawaja, Saleem;Motwani, Komal;Khoja, Adeel Akbar;Azam, Iqbal Syed;Fatmi, Zafar;Ali, Badar Sabir;Kadir, Muhammad Masood
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.210-217
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: The rising burden of preventable risk factors for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among adolescents is a major public health challenge worldwide. We identified the preventable risk factors for NCDs in adolescents. Methods: In a school-based study, pre-tested structured questionnaires were completed by 414 adolescents (14 to 17 years) at six schools in three cities in Pakistan. The chi-squared test and adjusted odds ratio (aOR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated in a multinomial logistic regression analysis. Results: Over 80% of the adolescents had unhealthy diets, and 54% were physically inactive. Most adolescents were exposed to passive smoking, and 14% were also current smokers. More than one-third of participants chewed betel nut, and one-quarter used oral tobacco. More girls were physically inactive (OR, 4.07; 95% CI, 2.69 to 6.17), whereas a greater proportion of boys were current smokers (OR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.19 to 3.91), exposed to passive smoking (OR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.72 to 3.83), and using betel nut (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.34 to 3.06). Only 3.1% of the participants were without any preventable lifestyle risk factor for NCDs, and over 80% had ${\geq}$2 factors. Co-existence of risk factors was independently associated with fathers being blue-collar workers (aOR, 3.57; 95% CI, 1.07 to 11.92) and parents not treating their child fairly (aOR, 5.05; 95% CI, 1.29 to 19.78). Conclusions: Most of the adolescents studied had preventable risk factors for NCDs. These results warrant comprehensive and integrated interventions to prevent lifestyle risk factors, and parents are front-line stakeholders.