• Title/Summary/Keyword: Information of flood-risk

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Development of Probabilistic Flood Risk Map Considering Uncertainty of Levee Break (하천제방 붕괴의 불확실성을 고려한 확률론적 홍수위험지도 개발)

  • Nam, Myeong-Jun;Lee, Jae-Young;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, probabilistic flood risk maps were produced for levee break caused by possible flood scenarios. The results of the previous studies were employed for flood stages corresponding to hydrological extreme event quantified uncertainties and then predicted the location of a levee breach. The breach width was estimated by combining empirical equation considered constant width and numerical modeling considered uncertainties on compound geotechnical component. Accordingly, probabilistic breach outflow was computed and probabilistic inundation map was produced by 100 runs of 2D inundation simulation based on reliability analysis. The final probabilistic flood risk map was produced by combining probabilistic inundation map based on flood hazard mapping methodology. The outcomes of the study would be effective in establishing specified emergency actin plan (EAP) and expect to suggest more economical and stable design index.

Flood risk estimation with scenario-based, coupled river-overland hydrodynamic modeling (시나리오 기반 하천-제내지 연계 통합수리해석에 의한 홍수위험도 산정)

  • Lee, Jae Young;Nam, Myeong Jun;Kwon, Hyun Han;Kim, Ki Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.9
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    • pp.773-787
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    • 2016
  • A coupled river-overland hydrodynamic model was applied to estimate flood risk by a scenario-based approach. The study area is Seongseo Industrial Complex in Daegu which is located near Nakdong river and Geumho river. Inundation depth and velocity at each time were calculated by applying a coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic model to the target area of interest. The 2D inundation analysis for river and overland domain was performed with the scenario-based approach that there are levee overflow against 100/200 year high quantile (97.5%) design flood and levee break against 100/200 year normal quantile (50%) design flood. The level of flood risk was displayed for resident/industrial area using information about maximum depth and velocity of each node computed from the 2D inundation map. The research outcome would be very useful in establishing specified emergency action plans (EAP) in case of levee break and overflowing resulting from a flood.

Risk assessment for inland flooding in a small urban catchment : Focusing on the temporal distribution of rainfall and dual drainage model (도시 소유역 내 내수침수 위험도 평가 : 강우 시간분포 및 이중배수체계 모형을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jaehyun;Park, Kihong;Jun, Changhyun;Oh, Jeill
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.389-403
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    • 2021
  • In this study, dual drainage system based runoff model was established for W-drainage area in G-si, and considering the various rainfall characteristics determined using Huff and Mononobe methods, the degree of flooding in the target area was analyzed and the risk was compared and analyzed through the risk matrix method. As a result, the Monobe method compared to the Huff method was analyzed to be suitable analysis for flooding of recent heavy rain, and the validity of the dynamic risk assessment considering the weight of the occurrence probability as the return period was verified through the risk matrix-based analysis. However, since the definition and estimating criteria of the flood risk matrix proposed in this study are based on the return period for extreme rainfall and the depth of flooding according to the results of applying the dual drainage model, there is a limitation in that it is difficult to consider the main factors which are direct impact on inland flooding such as city maintenance and life protection functions. In the future, if various factors affecting inland flood damage are reflected in addition to the amount of flood damage, the flood risk matrix concept proposed in this study can be used as basic information for preparation and prevention of inland flooding, as well as it is judged that it can be considered as a major evaluation item in the selection of the priority management area for sewage maintenance for countermeasures against inland flooding.

Sensitivity Analysis of Uncertainty Sources in Flood Inundation Mapping by using the First Order Approximation Method (FOA를 이용한 홍수범람도 구축에서 불확실성 요소의 민감도 분석)

  • Jung, Younghun;Park, Jeryang;Yeo, Kyu Dong;Lee, Seung Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2293-2302
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    • 2013
  • Flood inundation map has been used as a fundamental information in flood risk management. However, there are various sources of uncertainty in flood inundation mapping, which can be another risk in preventing damage from flood. Therefore, it is necessary to remove or reduce uncertainty sources to improve the accuracy of flood inundation maps. However, the entire removal of uncertainty source may be impossible and inefficient due to limitations of knowledge and finance. Sensitivity analysis of uncertainty sources allows an efficient flood risk management by considering various conditions in flood inundation mapping because an uncertainty source under different conditions may propagate in different ways. The objectives of this study are (1) to perform sensitivity analysis of uncertainty sources by different conditions on flood inundation map using the FOA method and (2) to find a major contributor to a propagated uncertainty in the flood inundation map in Flatrock at Columbus, U.S.A. Result of this study illustrates that an uncertainty in a variable is differently propagated to flood inundation map by combination with other uncertainty sources. Moreover, elevation error was found to be the most sensitive to uncertainty in the flood inundation map of the study reach.

A Study on Inundation Analysis Considering Inland and River Flood (내수 및 외수영향을 고려한 침수해석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Hyeon-Sik;Kim, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.74-89
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to present countermeasures for mitigation of flood damage with inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood and prediction of flood inundation area, depth and time against emergencies caused by abnormal flood and local torrential rainfall. In this study, 2-D inundation analysis was fulfilled on the basis of river flood analysis applying to HEC-HMS and FLDWAV model and inundation analysis applying to SWMM model for the area of Shineum-dong, Gimcheon-si. Also expected inundation depth and area about probable rainfall of 100 and 200 years frequency were suggested. If expected inundation depth and flooding area is presented on the basis of this inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood, it would be an important preliminary data to establish structural and nonstructural countermeasures for flood prevention. Also if flood risk map is prepared based on the result of inundation analysis, it would be useful to evacuate residents in high-risk area and regulate road and vehicle.

Application of the Fuzzy Method to Improve GIS Geomorphological Method of Predicting Flood Vulnerable Area

  • Kim Su Jeong;Yom Jae-Hong;Lee Dong-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.264-267
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    • 2004
  • In identifying flood vulnerable areas, three methods are generally deployed: the geomorphology method which is based on topographic features; the past evidence method based on observed data of past actual floods; and, prediction of flood areas through hydrologic models. This study aims to improve the prediction model of the geomorphology method through the application of fuzzy method in GIS modeling. The generally used GIS method of superimposing thematic map layers assumes crisp boundaries of the layers, which results in either risk-averse solutions or risk-taking solutions. The introduction of fuzzy concepts to processing of evaluation criteria (DEM, slope, aspect) solves this problem. As the result of applying the fuzzy method to a test site in the west Nak-Dong river, similar flood vulnerable areas were predicted as when using the conventional Boolean criteria. The resulting map, however, showed varying degree of uncertainty of flooding in these areas. This extra information is deemed to be valuable in taking phased actions during flood response, leading to a more effective and timely decision-making.

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Development of a Prototype for GIS-based Flood Risk Map Management System (GIS를 이용한 홍수위험지도 관리시스템 프로토타입 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kye-Hyun;Yoon, Chun-Joo;Lee, Sang-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.4 s.129
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2002
  • The damages from the natural disasters, especially from the floods, have been increasing. Therefore, it is imperative to establish a BMP to diminish the damages from the floods and to enhance the welfare of the nation. Developed countries have been generating and utilizing flood risk maps to raise the alertness of the residents, and thereby achieving efficient flood management. The major objectives of this research were to develop a prototype management system for flood risk map to forecast the boundaries oi the inundation and to plot them through the integration of geographic and hydrologic database. For more efficient system development, the user requirement analysis was made. The GIS database design was done based on the results from the research work of river information standardization. A GIS database for the study area was built by using topographic information to support the hydrologic modeling. The developed prototype include several modules; river information edition module, map plotting module, and hydrologic modeling support module. Each module enabled the user to edit graphic and attribute data, to analyze and to represent the modeling results visually. Subjects such as utilization of the system and suggestions for future development were discussed.

Pre-resilience Group Activities Against a Forthcoming Big Flood Disaster in Tokyo Below-Sea-Level Area

  • Ichiko, Taro;Kato, Takaarki;Ishikawa, Kinji
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2011
  • In April 2010, Japan Cabinet Office has published the first countermeasure report for severe flood disasters. This report showed various flood-disaster scenarios and factors that widened damages. One of important suggestions was to transmit precious information for long-distance evacuation. So far, local municipalities have made Flood Hazard Map to inform resident risk and evacuation. In this paper, cognition and effectiveness of a flood hazard map in the down ARAKAWA river Tokyo were measured by social questionnaire survey. In conclusion, there were 3 factors to effect validity of a flood hazard map. There were (1) commitment to their neighborhood organization, (2) experience of Kathleen typhoon in 1947 and (3) level of using targeted river. As results, a logical diagram about a flood hazard map perception was drawn and discussed from a view of community-based approach.

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Flood Risk for Power Plant using the Hydraulic Model and Adaptation Strategy

  • Nguyen, Thanh Tuu;Kim, Seungdo;Van, Pham Dang Tri;Lim, Jeejae;Yoo, Beomsik;Kim, Hyeonkyeong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2017
  • This paper provides a mathematical approach for estimating flood risks due to the effects of climate change by developing a one dimensional (1D) hydraulic model for the mountainous river reaches located close to the Yeongwol thermal power plant. Input data for the model, including topographical data and river discharges measured every 10 minutes from July $1^{st}$ to September $30^{th}$, 2013, were imported to a 1D hydraulic model. Climate change scenarios were estimated by referencing the climate change adaptation strategies of the government and historical information about the extreme flood event in 2006. The down stream boundary was determined as the friction slope, which is 0.001. The roughness coefficient of the main channels was determined to be 0.036. The results show the effectiveness of the riverbed widening strategy through the six flooding scenarios to reduce flood depth and flow velocity that impact on the power plant. In addition, the impact of upper Namhan River flow is more significant than Dong River.

A Study on the Development of the Flood Risk Index for Roads Considering Real-time Rainfall (실시간 강수량을 고려한 도로 침수위험지수 개발 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eunmi;Hwang, Hyun Suk;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.610-618
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    • 2013
  • The damaged district by flooding has been changed from mainly farmland to cities due to the weather phenomena which is different from the past. This has caused not only irreparable damage of people's lives and property but social infrastructures. There also exist serious damages such as isolation of drivers and traffic jam as the roads were flooded. In this study, we suggested a method to develop a flood risk index focused on not Si, Gun or Gu but roads. In addition, flood risk index in the roads just at the moment, when it rains quantitatively, will be provided by using real-time rainfall information provided by the Weather Center. Then it should be helpful to prevent people from being isolated by flooded roads in advance.