• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflow estimation

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The estimation of parameter using muskingum model in nak-dong river basin incorporating lateral inflow (측방유입량을 고려한 낙동강 유역의 머스킹검 매개변수 추정)

  • Jung, Chan-Yong;Jung, Young-Hun;Kim, Hyoung-Seop;Jung, Sung-Won;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2270-2275
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    • 2008
  • 수문학적 하도추적법의 하나인 Muskingum 모형은 미 육군공병단(U.S. Army Corps of Engineers)에 의해서 미국 Ohio 주의 Muskingum 유역에 홍수조절계획으로 처음 사용되었으며 모형의 구조 및 입력자료의 단순성에 비하여 비교적 우수한 결과를 모의할 수 있는 것으로 알려져 있다. 1938년 McCarthy에 의해서 개발되었고 구간내 총저류량은 prism 저류와 wedge 저류로 구분하여 prism 저류는 유출량에 wedge 저류는 유입량과 유출량의 차에 직접 비례한다는 가정하에 추적식을 개발하였다. 이후 지속적인 연구가 이뤄져 1985년 O'Donnel은 측방유입량(lateral inflow)을 상류단의 유입량에 비례하는 형태로 3-매개변수 muskingum 모형을 제안하여 추적계수의 결정을 선형대수(linear algebra)에서 동차(homogeneous)연립방정식 해를 구하는 Cramer 법칙인 matrix 기법을 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 홍수사상으로부터 측방유입량이 고려되고 추적계수 결정에 있어서 직접 계산이 가능한 O'Donnel(1985)이 제안한 3-매개변수 muskingum 모형을 적용하였다. 추적계수들의 결정은 직접 matrix 기법을 적용하였고 적용대상은 낙동강 유역의 낙동 지점을 상류단으로 구미 지점을 하류단으로 선정하였다. 홍수사상은 낙동강 유량측정 조사사업 2005년${\sim}$2007년 보고서에 수록된 수문자료를 선정하여 관측치와 계산치를 비교하였고 홍수사상에 적용하여 수문곡선을 추정하였으며, 각각의 매개변수가 추적구간에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 변수간의 관계를 분석하였다. 또한, 관측치와 계산치의 적합도 검증은 평균제곱근오차(root mean squar error; RMSE)와 모형 효율성 계수(model efficiency; ME)를 산정하여 분석하였으며, 하도 구간내 저류량은 대상구간에 대한 유입량과 유출량의 가중합에 비례한다는 선형모형을 적용하였다.

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Estimation of the Water Surface Slope by the River Bend Curvature and Flood Discharge (하천 만곡률과 홍수량에 따른 수면경사도 산정)

  • Choi, Han-Kuy;Lee, Mun-Hee;Baek, Hyo-Sun;Park, Soo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.2 s.25
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2007
  • In this research, we made a one and two-dimensional analysis of numerical data collected from the bend curvature of a bended river section. According to the result from the numerical analysis, the inflow & output angle caused a water level deviation which increased with an increase of the flood discharge. From the water level deviation of our two-dimensional numerical model, we obtained the maximum slope of 6,67% when the inflow and output angle was 105 degrees and the flood discharge was 500 CMS. As for the right side, the differences with the one-dimensional numerical model were reduced when the angle was more than $90^{\circ}$. As for the left side the differences were reduced when the angle was more than $105^{\circ}$. For a river with more than 90 degrees bend curvature, a hydraulic experiment would be more appropriate than a numerical analysis.

Seasonal Variation Estimation of Inflow Pollutant Loads of Yeong-il Bay by using Tank Model (Tank모델에 의한 영일만 유입오염부하량의 계절변동 예측)

  • Lee In-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2003
  • This study investigated about the seasonal variation of pollutant loads flowing into the Yeong-il bay from constructing Tank model which is the simulation model to evaluate the daily river discharge and pollutant load in the Hyeong-san river watershed. The estimated annual average river discharge of Hyeong-san river flowing into Yeong-il bay is about 878.34×10/sup 6/㎥/year which is about 73% of annual average of total precipitation in Hyeong-san river watershed. The annual average of pollutant load flowing into Yeong-il bay was estimated each 15.11 ton-COD/year, 23.24 ton-SS/year, 10.65 ton-TN/year, and 0.54 ton-Tp/year. For the seasonal variation of pollutant loads, it was tended as increasing of river discharge as increasing of inflow pollutant loads at June and July of summer and October of autumn. The main source of pollutant loads was found to be the Pohang city and Pohang industrial complex which are located near the mouth of Hyeong-san river. Therefore, for effective water quality management of Yeong-il bay, the counterplan to reduce pollutant loads from the main source of pollutant loads is required.

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Estimation Suspended Solids Concentration of the Doam Reservoir under Dry and Wet Weather Conditions (강수조건에 따른 도암호 부유물질 거동 평가)

  • Choi, Jae-Wan;Shin, Dong-Seok;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Lee, Sang-Soo;Kang, Min-Ji
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2012
  • BACKGROUND: The Doam watershed in Korea has been managed for the reduction and the prevention of non-point source pollution since 2007. Especially, the water quality of the Doam reservoir is a primary issue related to the Doam dam reoperation. We have carried out the modeling to evaluate the water quality based on suspended solids (SS) of the Doam watershed and the Doam reservoir. Two powerful hydrological and water quality models (HSPF and CE-QUAL-W2) were employed to simulate the combined processes of water quantity and quality both in the upland watershed of the Doam reservoir and the downstream waterbody. METHODS AND RESULTS: The HSPF model was calibrated and validated for streamflow and SS. The CE-QUAL-W2 was calibrated for water level, water temperature, and SS and was validated for the only water level owing to data lack. With the parameters obtained through the appropriate calibration, SS concentrations of inflow into and in the Doam reservoir were simulated for three years (2008, 2004 and 1998) of the minimum, the average, and the maximum of total annual precipitation during recent 30 years. The annual average SS concentrations of the inflow for 2008, 2004, and 1998 were 8.6, 10.9, and 18.4 mg/L, respectively and those in the Doam reservoir were 9.2, 13.8, and 21.5 mg/L. CONCLOUSION(s): The results showed that more intense and frequent precipitation would cause higher SS concentration and longer SS's retention in the reservoir. The HSPF and the CE-QUAL-W2 models could represent reasonably the SS from the Doam watershed and in the Doam reservoir.

Analysis on Load of Non-point Source from Sewage Treatment Districts in Nakdong River (낙동강 유역 내 하수처리구역의 비점 배출 부하량 분석)

  • Shin, Hyun Suk;Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Jae Moon;Jang, Jong Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.695-709
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    • 2015
  • The inflow of nonpoint pollution sources due to sustainable development and urbanization is gradually increasing and causes a diversity of water pollution. There are lots of difficulties to find a solution as the problems related to variation of hydrological and natural phenomenon. A differentiated method to estimate the nonpoint pollution sources has been proposed using rainfall and characteristics of urbanization and observed data from sewage treatment districts in the study. The types of nonpoint pollution sources on an assumption of combined sewer system have been classified as three types which are inflow of rainfall, bypass of sewage treatments, and combined sewer overflows from a river. Three types for estimation of nonpoint pollution sources applied more accurately to generate a amount of nonpoint pollution loads. This study is expecting a wide application for effective water resource management on TMDL (total maximum delivery load) unit watershed and sewage treatment districts.

Use of the Extended Kalman Filter for the Real-Time Quality Improvement of Runoff Data: 1. Algorithm Construction and Application to One Station (확장 칼만 필터를 이용한 유량자료의 실시간 품질향상: 1. 알고리즘 구축 및 단일지점에의 적용)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Hwang, Jung-Ho;Kim, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.7
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    • pp.697-711
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    • 2012
  • This study applied the extended Kalman Filter, a data assimilation method, for the real-time quality improvement of runoff measurements. The state-space model of the extended Kalman Filter was composed of a rainfall-runoff model and the runoff measurement. This study divided the purpose of quality improvement of runoff measurements into two; one is to suppress the abnormally high variation of dam inflow data, and the other to amend the missing or erroneous measurements. For each case, a proper model of extended Kalman Filter was proposed, and the main difference between two models is whether only the variation is considered or both the bias and variation are considered in the estimation of covariance function. This study was applied to the Chungju Dam Basin to confirm the proposed models were effectively worked to improve the quality of both the dam inflow data and the runoff measurements with some missing and erroneous part.

Estimation of Supply and Demand for Cardiologists in Korea

  • Mira Kim;Kyunghee Chae;Ju Mee Wang;Arum Choi;Jang-Whan Bae;Keon-Woong Moon;Sukil Kim
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2024
  • Background and Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the supply and demand for cardiologists in Korea and provide evidence for healthcare policy to ensure a stable and adequate workforce for optimal cardiovascular disease management. Methods: Past trends of inflow and outflow of cardiologists were used to make crude projections, which were then adjusted based on demands of services to obtain final projections. Inflow of cardiologists was estimated using second-order polynomial regression and demand for cardiology care was estimated using linear regression. Results: There were 1,139 active cardiologists who were under the age of 65 in clinical practice in Korea. The estimated number of cardiologists from 2022 to 2040 showed that the number of cardiologists would peak at 1,344 in 2032 and gradually decrease thereafter. We also estimated an increase of 947,811 cases of heart-related procedures annually from 2023 to 2032. The number of heart-related procedures per cardiologist would increase 1.4 times from 12,964 in 2023 to 17,862 in 2032. The estimated number of emergency patients per cardiologist under 50 years old would almost double from 544 in 2022 to 987 in 2032. Conclusions: We expect significant shortage of cardiologists in Korea within the next 10 years. The number of emergency patients per cardiologist will increase by nearly 50%, leading to high individual workload for cardiologists. To prevent this imbalance between supply and demand, an organized and collective approach by the specialty of cardiology is imperative to produce a balanced workforce.

Estimation of Geostrophic Current Calculated from Sea Surface Topography in East Sea (동해의 해면지형 계산에 의한 지형류의 흐름 추정)

  • Yun Hong-Sic;Lee Dong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the estimation of geostrophic current using the sea surface topography calculated from the geoidal height from EGM96 geopotential model and the mean sea surface height from CLS_SHOM mean sea surface model. The CLS_SHOM model was developed using the altimetry data set. The estimation of geostrophic current is available in the characteristic research of ocean in many country, while for East Sea a few studies were done. The goal of this study is basically to provide the characteristics of geostrophic current in East Sea. The results show that the mean sea surface topography (SST) in East Sea is about 0.37 m and the mean geostrophic velocity is -0.028 m/sec. The Pacific water enters into the East Sea through the Korea Strait and after passing the strait, this inflow splits into two branches: one flows northward along the Korean coast and another outflows into Pacific ocean through Tsugaru and Soya strait passing the east-northeastward along the Japanese outer shelf, and outflows into Okhotsk ocean.

Assessment of Permissible Inflow Load for Water Quality Management in Yeoja Bay, Korea (여자만의 수질관리를 위한 허용유입부하량 산정)

  • Kim, Hyung-Chul;Lee, Won-Chan;Kim, Jong-Gu;Hong, Sok-Jin;Kim, Kyoung-Mi;Cho, Yoon-Sik;Park, Sung-Eun;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2011
  • Based on the consideration of land based pollutant discharges from the basin and seawater quality related carrying capacity and the seawater quality improvement in receiving water bodies of Yeoja Bay where eutrophication and organic pollution are in progress, were evaluated. The permissible inflow loads of BOD, TN and TP by using the geographical features and box modelling method were estimated. As results, it is shown that the reduction rate of discharged BOD and TP loads were 39.3% and 30.8 %, respectively, however, 6.9% was estimated for TN. According to the pollutant loading in each tributary and generated load of the basin, it is given much weight on the land use group, and also was shown in discharged load estimation. This suggests that it is important to control nonpoint source pollutant such as livestock and land use groups as well as point source to contribute the proposition of the water quality improvement plan according to the characteristics of the bay.

Estimation of Heavy Metal Contamination by PM10 Inflow Pathways while Asian Dust in Gwangju (광주지역 황사시 미세먼지 유입경로별 중금속 오염도 평가)

  • Yang, Yoon-Cheol;Lee, Se-Haeng;Park, Byoung-Hoon;Jo, Gwang-Un;Yoon, Sang-Hoon;Park, Ji-Young;Jang, Dong;Chong, Ji-hyo;Bae, Seok-Jin;Jeong, Suk-Kyoung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship of fine dust PM10 and heavy metals in PM10 in Asian dust flowing into Gwangju from 2013 to 2018. The migration pathways of Asian dust was analyzed by backward trajectory analysis using HYSPLIT (Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) model, and the change of heavy metal concentration and heavy metal content per 1 ㎍/㎥ of fine dust PM10 in Gwangju area were analyzed. Also, the characteristics of the heavy metals were analyzed using the correlation between the heavy metals in PM10. As a result of analyzing Asian dust entering the Gwangju region for 6 years, the average concentration of PM10 measured in Asian dust was 148 ㎍/㎥, which was about 4.5 times higher than in non-Asian dust, 33 ㎍/㎥. A total of 13 Asian dust flowed into the Gwangju during 6 years, and high concentration of PM10 and heavy metals in that were analyzed in the C path flowing through the Gobi/Loess Plateau-Korean Peninsula. As a result of the correlation analysis, in case of Asian dust, there was a high correlation between soil components in heavy metals, so Asian dust seems to have a large external inflow. On the other hand, in case of non-Asian dust, the correlation between find dust PM10 and artificial heavy metal components was high, indicating that the influence of industrial activities in Gwangju area was high.