• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflow estimation

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AN APPROPRIATE INFLOW MODEL FOR SIMULTANEOUS DISSOLUTION AND DEGRADATION

  • Lee, Ju-Hyun;Kang, Sung-Kwon;Choi, Hoo-Kyun
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.109-124
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    • 2009
  • Based on the observed data for Clarithromycin released, three commonly used inflow models: the power, the exponential, and the logarithmic models are considered. Among them, the power model is used most in practice for simplicity. Using the numerical parameter estimation techniques, the parameters appeared in the model equations are estimated. Through the numerical estimation results using the several experimental data sets, the exponential model turns out to be best among the three models. More specifically, the sum of squares of absolute errors and the sum of squares of relative errors for the exponential model are reduced by 80-95 % for the experimental data sets and 60-90 % for the noise added data sets compared with those for the power and logarithmic models. A typical experimental data set is used in this paper to show the estimation method and its numerical results. The proposed numerical method and its algorithm are designed for estimating the parameters appeared in the model differential equations for which the exact form of the solution is unknown in general. The methodology developed can be applied to more general cases such as the nonlinear ordinary differential equations or the partial differential equations.

Predictive analysis of minimum inflow using synthetic inflow in reservoir management: a case study of Seomjingang Dam (자료 발생 기법을 활용한 저수지 최소유입량 예측 기법 개발 : 섬진강댐을 대상으로)

  • Lee, Chulhee;Lee, Seonmi;Lee, Eunkyung;Ji, Jungwon;Yoon, Jeongin;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2024
  • Climate change has been intensifying drought frequency and severity. Such prolonged droughts reduce reservoir levels, thereby exacerbating drought impacts. While previous studies have focused on optimizing reservoir operations using historical data to mitigate these impacts, their scope is limited to analyzing past events, highlighting the need for predictive methods for future droughts. This research introduces a novel approach for predicting minimum inflow at the Seomjingang dam which has experienced significant droughts. This study utilized the Stochastic Analysis Modeling and Simulation (SAMS) 2007 to generate inflow sequences for the same period of observed inflow. Then we simulate reservoir operations to assess firm yield and predict minimum inflow through synthetic inflow analysis. Minimum inflow is defined as the inflow where firm yield is less than 95% of the synthetic inflow in many sequences during periods matching observed inflow. The results for each case indicated the firm yield for the minimum inflow is on average 9.44 m3/s, approximately 1.07 m3/s lower than the observed inflow's firm yield of 10.51 m3/s. The minimum inflow estimation can inform reservoir operation standards, facilitate multi-reservoir system reviews, and assess supplementary capabilities. Estimating minimum inflow emerges as an effective strategy for enhancing water supply reliability and mitigating shortages.

Simplification of Monte Carlo Techniques for the Estimation of Expected Benefits in Stochastic Ananlysis of Multiple Reservoir Systems (저수지군으로부터 기대편익 산정을 위한 Monte Carlo 기법의 간략화)

  • 이광만;고석구
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 1993
  • For the system benefit optimization by considering risk or reliability from a multiple reservoir system using the Monte Carlo technique, many stochastically generated inflow series have to be used for the system analysis. In this study, the stochastically generated inflow series for the multiple reservoir system operation are preprocessed according to the considered system objectives and operating time periods. Through this procedure, several representative inflow series which have discrete probability levels and operation horizons are selected among the thousands of generated inflows. Then a deterministic optimization technique is applied to the power energy estimation from the Han River Reservoirs System which considers five reservoirs in the study. It took much lower computational requirements then using the original Monte Carlo Technique, even though estimated result was almost similar.

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Improvement of Inflow Estimation Data by Precise Measurement of Water Level in Reservoir (저수지 수위 정밀 측정에 의한 댐 유입량 자료 개선)

  • Park, Ji-Chang;Kim, Nam;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.309-314
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    • 2009
  • A accurate reservoir inflow is very important as providing information for decision making about the water balance and the flood control, as well as for dam safety. The methods to calculate the inflow were divided by the directed method to measure streamflow from upstream reservoirs and the indirected method to estimate using the correlation of reservoir water level and release. Currently, the inflow of multi-purpose dam is being calculated by the indirect method and the reservoir water level to calculate the storage capacity is being used by centimeters(cm) units. Corresponding to the storage volume of 1cm according to scale and water level of multi-purpose dam comes up to from several 10 thousand tons to several million tons. If it converts to inflow during 1 hour, and it comes to several hundred $m^3/sec$(CMS). Therefore, the inflow calculated on the hourly is largely deviated along the water level changes and is occurred minus value as the case. In this research, the water level gage has been developed so that it can measure a accurate water level for the improvement for the error and derivation of inflow, even though there might be various hydrology and meteorologic considerations to analyse the water balance of reservoir. Also, it is confirmed that the error and the standard derivation of data observed by the new gage is decreased by 89,6% and 1/3 & 87% and 2/3 compared to that observed by the existing gage of Daecheong and Juam multi-purpose dam.

Flood Inflow Estimation at Large Multipurpose Dam using Distributed Model with Measured Flow Boundary Condition at Direct Upstream Channels (직상류 계측유량경계조건과 분포형모델을 이용한 대규모 다목적댐 홍수유입량 산정)

  • Hong, Sug-Hyeon;Kang, Boosik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1039-1049
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    • 2015
  • The inflow estimation at large multipurpose dam reservoir is carried out by considering the water balance among the discharge, the storage change during unit time interval obtained from the observed water level near dam structure and area-volume curve. This method can be ideal for level pool reservoir but include potential errors when the inflow is influenced by the water level slope due to backwater effects from upstream flood inflows and strong wind induced by typhoon. In addition, the other uncertainties arisen from the storage reduction due to sedimentation after the dam construction and water level noise due to mechanical vibration transmitted from the electric power generator. These uncertainties impedes the accurate hydraulic inflow measurement requiring exquisite hydrometric data arrangement for reservoir waterbody. In this study, the distributed hydrologic model using UBC-3P boundary setting was applied and its feasibility was evaluated. Finally, the modeling performance has been verified since the calculated determination coefficient has been in between 0.96 to 0.99 after comparing with observed peak inflow and total inflow at Namgang dam reservoir.

Development of seawater inflow equations considering density difference between seawater and freshwater at the Nakdong River estuary (해담수 밀도차를 고려한 낙동강하굿둑 해수유입량 산정식 개발)

  • Jeong, Seokil;Lee, Sanguk;Hur, Young Teck;Kim, Youngsung;Kim, Hwa Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2022
  • The restoration of the Nakdong River estuary is one of the most important projects of the Ministry of Environment, Republic of Korea. A real-scale experiment of gate operation was executed from 2019 to 2020, and a pilot operation was performed in 2021. The gate of Nakdong River Estuary Barrier (NEB) is supposed to be continuously opened based on the experiment results. Many critical decisions should be made immediately during the experiment based on the real-time measured data and numerical analysis considering the seawater inflows. The decision-making sequence was made systematically with the accurate estimation of seawater inflow. The estimation of seawater inflow is the main research objective and the equations of seawater inflow were developed, reflecting the structural characteristics of NEB. The inflow equations were developed in two forms, overflow and underflow. ADCP (Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler) was used to measure seawater inflow, check the accuracy of the developed equations, and derive the flow coefficient. The comparison error of the developed equations was about 3% compared to the measured data.

Estimation of the Inflow Pollutant Loads for the So-okcheon Watershed using BAWAST Model (DAWAST 모형을 이용한 소옥천의 유달오염부하량 추정)

  • Park, Jong-Bong;Kim, Tai-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.456-459
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    • 2001
  • A relationship between the water quantity and the inflow pollutant loads of BOD, TN, and TP in So-okcheon of the upper Keum river in 2000 was investigated in this study. Daily streamflow of So-okcheon needed to compute the pollutant loads was estimated by the DAWAST model, because there is no measurement of the discharge. From a relative function of the inflow pollutant loads using DAWAST, BOD can be estimated by the relation of $y=145.31x^{1.06},\;TN\;by\;y=598.11x^{0.90}\;and\;TP\;by\;y=39.60x^{0.89}$.

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A Study on the Quantitative Analysis of SO$_2$ Dry Deposition in the Northeastern Asia (동북아 지역에서의 SO$_2$ 건성 침적에 관한 정량분석)

  • 홍민선;김순태;이동섭
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.231-241
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    • 1997
  • A tracer model was applied in the Far East Asia to investigate the dry deposition rates of air pollutants on Korean Peninsula originated from different countries including China and Japan. Wind direction was chosen to predict the maximum deposition rates and SO$_2$ was chosen as a tracer to estimate the source strength. Model simulation shows that inflow, deposition and airborne ratios of China-originated SO$_2$ were 50%, 8% and 30%, respectively, at most. Also it was found that deposition, outbounded and airborne ratios of Korea-originated SO$_2$ were 15~77%, 8~75%, and 3~30%, respectively Model simulation also shows that inflow, deposition and airborne ratios of Kyushu-originated SO$_2$ were, 30~45%, 8~14% and 20~25%, respectively. This study shows that tracer model can be applied on the estimation of air pollutants partitioning in regional scale and that more sophisticated modules and schemes can be developed and applied to better predict the transboundary amounts of air pollutants in this region.

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Forecasting the Flood Inflow into Irrigation Reservoir (관개저수지의 홍수유입량 예측)

  • 문종필;엄민용;박철동;김태얼
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.512-518
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    • 1999
  • Recently rainfall and water evel are monitored via on -line system in real-time bases. We applied the on-line system to get the rainfall and waterlevel data for the development of the real-time flood forecasting model based on SCS method in hourly bases. Main parameters for the model calibration are concentration time of flood and soil moisture condition in the watershed. Other parameters of the model are based on SCS TR-%% and DAWAST model. Simplex method is used for promoting the accuracy of parameter estimation. The basic concept of the model is minimizing the error range between forcasted flood inflow and actual flood inflow, and accurately forecasting the flood discharge some hours in advance depending on the concentration time. The flood forecasting model developed was applied to the Yedang and Topjung reservoir.

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Analysis on Correlation between Infiltration/Inflow and Defective Rate in Sewer (하수관거 침투수/유입수(I/I)와 불량률과의 상관성 분석)

  • Choi, Seung-cheol;Kwon, Young-sung;Rim, Jay-myoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2005
  • This study has suggested the base data for decision of maintenance ranking and estimation of maintenance effect in the maintenance project of sewers as based on investigation of the defective rate in the sewer through Infiltration/Inflow(I/I) and CCTV analysis. It also analyzed the correlation between I/I and defective rate of sewer. As the result of this study, (1) Defective items of sewer was found out one item each 12.97m with an average. (2) By regression analysis, I/I has high correlation with defective rate of sewer like that $R^2$ is 0.7806. (3) The first thing in the item with bad influence on the I/I was joint badness and secondary was cross connection.