• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.13-26
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• 2019

This paper aims to empirically examine the short-run and long-run aggregate demand for the US imports using quarterly economic data for the period 2000-2018 including aggregate imports, final expenditure components, gross fixed capital formation and relative price of imports. According to the results of both multivariate co-integration analysis and error correction model, the above variables are all cointegrated and significant differences are found to exist among the long-run partial elasticities of imports as regards different macro components of final expenditure. Partial elasticities with respect to government expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, exports and relative price of import are found to be positive while imports seems to respond negatively to changes in private consumption, implying that an increase in private consumption could result in a significant reduction in demand for imports in the long run. With regard to the relative import prices, the results appear to indicate a relatively insignificant influence on the aggregate imports in the US in the long run. However, an error correction model designed for predicting the short-term variability shows that only exports have an impact on the imports in the short run.

• 복식
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• 제50권2호
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• pp.29-45
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• 2000

The object of this study is to predict the import demands for korean textile, textile products and clothing products. The analyzing method performs through demand prediction method is by using Exponential Smoothing Model and STATGRAPHICS. The result from the practice of study is as follows ; Textile import ratio is expected to be increased constantly and the portion of textile import in our national total import is precited to reach to 3.92% in 2003. The import of the textile product to textile will be increased to 33.12% in 2003. The import ratio of clothing product ratio is also estimated to increase annually, Import ratio of clothing-product in textile-product import reaching to total 6.42% (83.89% in 2000, 90.31% in 2003), the growth rate of clothing import will be much higher than that of clothing export. From 2000 to 2003 , textile import is precited to be 5.23%. The import of the textile product will be increased by 8.04%. The import of clothing product will reaches 11.21%, which would be the highest rate among the products under review. Also , it predicts the constant increase as a result of prediction in the nation's total amount of import including the import amount of textile, textile-product, and clothing product.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.23-40
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• 2010

This study investigated the effects of imported fisheries products on WTO/DDA tariff negotiations. To calculate the results, the study estimated the demand functions of imported fisheries products by using unit root and cointegration approaches. These approaches allowed us to solve spurious regression problems with macro-economic variables. In addition, this study surmised the effects of change by individually imported fish products from a tariff negotiation model using price elasticities of estimated import demand function. In a process of the analysis for estimating import effects, this study found out that 39 out of 128 imported fish products had positive (+) price elasticities or did not exhibit cointegrations. To cure this problem, this study suggested that the effects of these 39 imported products be estimated with the average variation rate of import volume, rather than by the Ordinary Least Squares approach. In this study, a case-study of tariff formula with coefficient 8 based on a 'Swiss formula' for priority duty rate of 2001 and 2008 was used by to analyze the effect of change in the 128 imported fish products of both years, respectively.

• 기술사
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.18-22
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• 1979

"In summary, the freezing facilitty manufacturing industry has a bright prospects for further development. So followings are recommended: 1) The import restriction policy should be continued to expand the demand for the 10callT manufactured facilities, 2) Training of local people and import of advanced technologies should be encouraged 3) The capacities of the local manufacturing industry should be expanded to meet the: increasing demand for the facilities, 4) Further incentives should be affered to the freezing & cold storage sector for the repla¬cement of the worm-out facilities 5) The marketing channel of marine products should be reorganized into ""cold-chain system"" by providing a legislative supports."

• 한국의상디자인학회지
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.85-95
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• 2022

This study aimed to clarify relationships between the westernization of military uniform systems and changes in the textile import industry during the Eulmi reforms of clothing regulation. For the goal, the study investigated the content and features of that had been enacted under the Eulmi reforms. It also examined the status of the textile import industry at the time, especially in relation to outer garments such as jackets or Eui, trousers or Go, and overcoats. Moreover, this study inspected how the above westernization changed the textile import industry. More specifically, the research analyzed the content of based on articles from the then state newsletter or 『Gwanbo』, and the then cabinet meeting or Euijeongbu's proceedings or 『Euiju』. Concerning the textile import industry, this study looked into relevant descriptions and trade statistics from 『KOPEИ(Hankukji)』, and analyzed changes in that industry in connection with the introduction of Western military uniform systems. As a result, this study found that increased imports of cotton fabrics during the Eulmi reforms of clothing regulation was correlated with surging demand for shirt or lining materials and increase in the use of Myeonyung following military uniform westernization. Similarly, an increase in silk fabric imports was an outcome of increased demand for lining materials. Also, the import growth of woolen fabrics was seemingly attributed to the use of Heuknasa and Heukyung as basic materials of military uniforms. Thus, military uniforms began to be made of fabrics, which hadn't been used before in the wake of westernization. This development brought changes in the textile import industry, which is supported by textile import statistics of the time. In conclusion, the westernization of military uniform systems under the Eulmi reforms of clothing regulation was a significant factor that changed the industry.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.17-42
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• 2008

This study tried to build a structure model for the Korean flatfish aquaculture market by a system dynamics approach. A pool of several factors to influence the market structure was built. In addition, several reasonable factors related to the flatfish aquaculture market were selected to construct the causal loop diagram (CLD). Then the related stock/flow diagrams of the causal loop diagrams were constructed. This study had been forecasting a production price and supply, demand, and consumption volume for the flatfish market by a monthly basis, and then made some validation to the forecasting. Finally, four governmental policies such as import, storage, reduction of input, and demand control were tentatively evaluated by the created model. As a result, the facts that the demand control policy is most effective, and import and storage policies are moderately effective were found.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.194-202
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• 2006

Using a multi-variable linear regression technique and SUR(seemingly unrelated regression) model, the demand functions of tractor, combine and rice transplanter were estimated. The demand was regarded as an annual supply of each machine and modeled as a function of 11 independent variables which reflect the actual farmer's income, actual prices of farm machines, previous supply, previous stock, actual amount of available subsidy, actual amount of available loan, arable land, import of farm machines and rice price. The actual amount of available loan affects most significantly the demand functions. The actual farmer's income, actual farmer's asset, loan coverage, and rice price affect the demand positively while prices of farm machines and import negatively. The annual demands of tractor, combine and rice transplanter estimated using the demand functions were also presented over the next 4 years.

• 자원리싸이클링
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• 제30권5호
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• pp.3-9
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• 2021

우리나라에서 연, 아연, 동, 주석, 니켈, 알루미늄 등의 베이스메탈의 수급구조는 양극화된 특성을 지니고 있다. 연, 아연, 동 등은 국내에 세계적 규모의 생산기업이 있는 반면, 주석, 니켈, 알루미늄 등은 국내 생산기업이 전무하거나, 생산량이 미비하여 내수량의 대부분을 수입에 의존하고 있다. 따라서 베이스메탈의 수입중단 또는 국내생산기업의 생산 중단 등의 공급중단에 따른 리스크에 대한 대비가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 베이스메탈 6종(구리, 연, 아연, 알루미늄, 니켈, 주석)을 대상으로 수입중단 리스크 발생 시 대응이 필요한 물량과 시장이 대응할 수 있는 물량, 정부가 대응해야 하는 물량(전략비축)을 정량화하였다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2021

Purpose - This study reviews changes in the steel export-import structure between Korea and Japan to strengthen the competitive advantage of the Korea Steel industry using a trade-related index. Design/methodology - This study focuses on analyzing comparative advantage based on the trade intensity index (TII), revealed comparative advantage index (RCA), and trade specialization index (TSI). Findings - Korea's steel import from Japan increased due to the domestic supply shortage of HR (Hot Rolled Coil) and Plate, rather than the sharp decline of the domestic steel industry's competitiveness in 2010. However, after the completion of Hyundai Steel's blast furnace, the Korea Steel industry solved the supply shortage. Additionally, the import of Japanese steel products had decreased significantly from 2009 to 2019. Originality/value - This study attempts to analyze Japanese steel products' competitiveness in trade and the domestic influence of high-quality Japanese steel products. These results are connected to domestic steel supply and demand structure and relations with the Japanese steel industry. After completing Hyundai Steel's blast furnace, the Korea Steel industry solved the supply shortage, and the import of Japanese steel products has decreased significantly from 2009 to 2019.

• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.19-28
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• 2024

Purpose: In the era of global economic integration, China's doors of openness have widened, leading to increasingly frequent economic and trade exchanges between countries. Exchange rates, as a crucial economic lever for regulating foreign markets, play a vital role in the balanced development of a nation's international trade. Therefore, the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and foreign trade has garnered widespread attention. Research design, data and methodology: This study utilizes import and export trade data between China and five ASEAN countries from 1998 to 2019. It employs regression analysis to examine the specific impact of the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi on China's import and export trade with these ASEAN nations. Results: The empirical analysis yields the following conclusions: Firstly, the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi exhibits a long-term stable relationship with China's import and export trade with the five ASEAN countries. Renminbi appreciation contributes to an increase in export trade volume but is detrimental to import trade. While this conclusion may deviate from classical trade theories, it aligns with the practical realities of China's foreign trade. Secondly, the coefficients before Gross Domestic Product (GDP) all display positive values, indicating that the growth of total economic demand has a stimulating effect on China's import and export trade.