• 한국유기농업학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.37-50
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• 2022

This study analyzes the impact of Import beer demand on Anti-Japanese sentiment. Recently anti-Japanese sentiment heightened by the media was found to be drastically reducing the consumption of Japanese beer in the domestic imported beer market. Thus, the study used the import demand function of imported beer to analyze the impact of the 'Priming Effect' on the consumption of imported beer by anti-national sentiment, indicating a significant drop in Japanese beer consumption in other countries. Therefore, this study used the imported beer import demand function by country to analyze the impact of the priming effect on imported beer consumption according to anti-national sentiment. As a result, in the case of imported beer consumption in other countries, it was estimated that indirect consumption substitution occurred considerably.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.97-110
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• 1998

This paper tries to estimate Korea's import demand function for fisheries using cointegration analysis. The estimation function consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries(FTIW) and two independent variables-relative price(RP) between importable and domestic products and real income(GDP). As it has been empirically found out that almost all of time series of macro-variables such as GDP, price index are nonstationary, existing studies which ignore this fact need to be reexamined. Conventional econometric method can not analyze nonstationary time series in level. To perform the analysis, time series should be differenciated until stationarity is guaranteed. Unfortunately, the difference method removes the long run element of data, and so leads to difficulties of interpretation. But according to new developed econometric theory, cointegration approach could solve these problems. Therefore this paper proceeds the estimation on the basis of cointegration analysis, because the quartly variables from 1988 to 1997 used in the model is found out to be nonstationary. The estimation results show that all of the variables are statistically significant. Therefore Korea's import demand for fisheries has been strongly affected by the variation of real income and the relative price.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.91-109
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• 2008

The worldwide proliferation of regional trade agreements combined with rising interests of 37countries has led to the emergence of a possible GSTP between each country. Although there are many obstacles to GSTP, its effect, if a realized, will go beyond trade related issues. This study was to specify and estimate a model of Korea-GSTP Ground in Korea that can be used to evaluate and improve management decisions. The development of the model relied on several submodels. On the trade negotiation side, a import demand function was estimated in order to account for the increasing amount of import. In terms of margin of preference(MOP)s, they were used to estimate values after decreasing tax based on scenarios I, II, and III. The results showed that the highest effects for increasing value and amount of import are a freezing crab(HS code 0306143000) and freezing hairtail(HS code 0303793000). This paper will be provide to help policy makers understand the Korea-GSTP Ground in the Korea fishery.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.655-660
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• 2003

일반적으로 Support Vector Machine은 이진 분류 모형에 있어 우수한 성능을 보이지만 모델의 한계로 인하여 다중 패턴의 분류 문제에는 쉽게 적용하기가 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 이진 분류를 포함한 다중 레이블을 갖는 데이터의 정확한 패턴 분류를 위하여 Zhu가 제안한 Import Vector Machine에 커널 Bagging 전략을 적용하여 분류의 정확성을 향상시키기 위한 Import Vector Voting 모형을 제안한다. 이러한 Import Vector Voting 모형은 다수의 커널함수를 적용한 결과 중에서 가장 성능이 우수한 커널함수를 이용하여 최종 분류를 수행하기 위한 voting 전략으로 사용한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 Import Vector Voting 모형은 이진 분류를 포함한 3개 이상의 다중 패턴 데이터에 대한 분류 문제에 있어 매우 정확한 분류 성능을 보임을 실험을 통해 입증한다.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.13-26
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• 2019

This paper aims to empirically examine the short-run and long-run aggregate demand for the US imports using quarterly economic data for the period 2000-2018 including aggregate imports, final expenditure components, gross fixed capital formation and relative price of imports. According to the results of both multivariate co-integration analysis and error correction model, the above variables are all cointegrated and significant differences are found to exist among the long-run partial elasticities of imports as regards different macro components of final expenditure. Partial elasticities with respect to government expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, exports and relative price of import are found to be positive while imports seems to respond negatively to changes in private consumption, implying that an increase in private consumption could result in a significant reduction in demand for imports in the long run. With regard to the relative import prices, the results appear to indicate a relatively insignificant influence on the aggregate imports in the US in the long run. However, an error correction model designed for predicting the short-term variability shows that only exports have an impact on the imports in the short run.

• 한국안광학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.11-17
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• 2009

목적: 본 연구는 안경 및 콘택트렌즈 수입이 경제변수로부터 어떻게 반응하고 어떤 행태를 보이는가를 실증적으로 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 방법: 이를 위하여 모형의 강건성을 위한 EG공적분 기법과 Johansen's 다변량 공적분기법을 이용하였다. 그 결과 변수와 모형이 안정적임이 확인되면 수입함수를 추정한다. 그리고 오차수정모형을 통하여 안경과 콘택트렌즈 수입의 실제치와 균형치 간의 괴리가 매월 제거되거나 수정되는 비율을 본다. 또한 시간경과에 따라 변수의 동태성 점검을 위한 전향적 이동회귀를 실시한다. 결과: 이러한 분석 결과를 보면, 안경과 콘택트렌즈 수입은 경제변수에 탄력적임을 밝히고 있다. 특히, 콘택트렌즈보다 안경이 더욱 더 민감하게 반응하는 것을 보여주고 있다. 결론: 본 논문은 안경과 콘택트렌즈 수입이 환율과 경기와 같은 경제변수 및 계절적 요인에 영향을 받는다는 것을 밝히고 있다.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제98권2호
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• pp.148-155
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• 2009

The objective of this study is to know market structures of softwood logs being imported to South Korea from log producing countries. Import demand of softwood logs imported to South Korea from America, New Zealand and Chile is fixed as a function of log prices, the lagged dependent variable and output. On the basis of the adaptive expectations model, linear regression models that the explanatory variables included and the lagged dependent variable were estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The short-run and long-run own price elasticity of America's softwood log import demand is -1.738 and -4.250 respectively. Then long-run elasticity is much higher than short-run elasticity. Short-run and long-run crosselasticity of New Zealand's softwood log import demand with respect to American's softwood log import price are inelastic at 0.505 and 0.883 respectively. Short-run and long-run cross-elasticity of Chile's softwood log import demands with respect to American's softwood log import prices were highly elastic at 2.442 and 4.462 respectively. Long-run elasticity was almost twice as high as short-run elasticity.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.23-40
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• 2010

This study investigated the effects of imported fisheries products on WTO/DDA tariff negotiations. To calculate the results, the study estimated the demand functions of imported fisheries products by using unit root and cointegration approaches. These approaches allowed us to solve spurious regression problems with macro-economic variables. In addition, this study surmised the effects of change by individually imported fish products from a tariff negotiation model using price elasticities of estimated import demand function. In a process of the analysis for estimating import effects, this study found out that 39 out of 128 imported fish products had positive (+) price elasticities or did not exhibit cointegrations. To cure this problem, this study suggested that the effects of these 39 imported products be estimated with the average variation rate of import volume, rather than by the Ordinary Least Squares approach. In this study, a case-study of tariff formula with coefficient 8 based on a 'Swiss formula' for priority duty rate of 2001 and 2008 was used by to analyze the effect of change in the 128 imported fish products of both years, respectively.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.219-234
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• 2021

Armington elasticity has been a methodology for analyzing how much imports could increase in response to importing price cuts, assuming the possibility of incomplete substitution of domestic and imported products. This study calculates Armington elasticity values in Korean fisheries sector and presents an analysis method for classifying items based on price and preference differences. The model is modified reflecting the characteristics of the fisheries market along with the typical OLS, PAM, and ECM models. The result's implication is that products with a high import growth rate do not necessarily show a high Armington value, but it could be seen that price is not the only factor facilitating fisheries imports increase. Considering the items of which demand increases due to importing price cuts have an indiscriminate demand between domestic and imported products, the results could be interpreted that the Korean fisheries importing market has been easily affected by the changes in import prices. Fisheries grouping by price and preference demonstrates that explanatory variables other than price should be considered when estimating import demand.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제53권1호
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• pp.55-72
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• 2022

The domestic catch of squid is decreasing every year. Import volume is increasing to replace these domestic products. Import volume is expected to increase in the future, so it is necessary to study import substitution. Therefore, in this study, after selecting frozen squid, which accounts for the majority of imported squid, as the target fish species, China, Chile and Peru, which account for the majority of frozen squid imports, will be selected as the target countries for analysis. Then, the demand function of squid is estimated using the Rotterdam model, the inverse Rotterdam model, AIDS and inverse AIDS, which are the simultaneous equation demand types, and then elasticity is derived. After that, these models are compared in terms of significance, theoretical fit and practical fit.