• 제목/요약/키워드: Impact Prediction Methods

검색결과 180건 처리시간 0.023초

철도차량 차체 굽힘모드 측정을 위한 충격시험 (Impact Test for Measurement of the Carbody Bending Modes of Railway Vehicle)

  • 신범식;최연선
    • 한국철도학회논문집
    • /
    • 제15권5호
    • /
    • pp.423-428
    • /
    • 2012
  • 철도차량의 속도가 증가함에 따라 레일 불균일에 의한 가진주파수의 상승으로 인하여 철도차량의 동특성을 고려한 승차감 예측기술이 중요해지고 있다. 철도차량의 동특성은 전산 모드해석과 더불어 시험적으로 검증되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 철도차량 차체 굽힘모드 시험을 고찰하고, 이를 대체할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 우선 차체 크기비를 반영한 평판 시편을 제적하고, 이를 기존 시험규격인 JIS E7105방법과 충격시험을 사용한 결과를 비교하여 충격시험의 타당성을 검증하였다. 또한 전산해석을 통하여 이를 재현하였다. 타당성이 검증된 결과를 바탕으로 현장 굽힘모드 시험을 유압가진 대신 충격시험으로 대체 가능성을 검토하였다.

The Energy Efficient for Wireless Sensor Network Using The Base Station Location

  • Baral, Shiv Raj;Song, Young-Il;Jung, Kyedong;Lee, Jong-Yong
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • 제7권1호
    • /
    • pp.23-29
    • /
    • 2015
  • Energy constraints of wireless sensor networks are an important challenge. Data Transmission requires energy. Distance between origin and destination has an important role in energy consumption. In addition, the location of base station has a large impact on energy consumption and a specific method not proposed for it. In addition, a obtain model for location of base station proposed. Also a model for distributed clustering is presented by cluster heads. Eventually, a combination of discussed ideas is proposed to improve the energy consumption. The proposed ideas have been implemented over the LEACH-C protocol. Evaluation results show that the proposed methods have a better performance in energy consumption and lifetime of the network in comparison with similar methods.

구조물의 자유진동특성 추정을 위한 실험적 연구 (Experimental Study on Modal Parameter Estimation of Structures)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • 전산구조공학
    • /
    • 제7권4호
    • /
    • pp.137-144
    • /
    • 1994
  • 기존 대형구조물의 안전진단에 관련하여 구조계의 동적계수를 실험적으로 추정하는 방법이 연구되었다. 시간영역방법인 순차적 예측오차방법과 주파수영역의 방법인 주파수응답함수 추정법이 비교검토되었다. 기법의 검증은 2 Bay 3층 구조물 모형에 대해서 수행되었는데, 각 실험적 방법에 의한 추정결과는 일관된 추정치를 보이었다. 그러나, 유한요소법에 의한 결과와는 차이를 보이었다. 이 차이는 구조해석시 절점조건에 대한 부적절한 모형화에 기인한 것으로 사료된다.

  • PDF

환경서비스업과 물류서비스업의 예측 및 인과성 검정 (Prediction and Causality Examination of the Environment Service Industry and Distribution Service Industry)

  • 선일석;이충효
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제12권6호
    • /
    • pp.49-57
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose - The world now recognizes environmental disruption as a serious issue when regarding growth-oriented strategies; therefore, environmental preservation issues become pertinent. Consequently, green distribution is continuously emphasized. However, studying the prediction and association of distribution and the environment is insufficient. Most existing studies about green distribution are about its necessity, detailed operation methods, and political suggestions; it is necessary to study the distribution service industry and environmental service industry together, for green distribution. Research design, data, and methodology - ARIMA (auto-regressive moving average model) was used to predict the environmental service and distribution service industries, and the Granger Causality Test based on VAR (vector auto regressive) was used to analyze the causal relationship. This study used 48 quarters of time-series data, from the 4th quarter in 2001 to the 3rd quarter in 2013, about each business type's production index, and used an unchangeable index. The production index about the business type is classified into the current index and the unchangeable index. The unchangeable index divides the current index into deflators to remove fluctuation. Therefore, it is easy to analyze the actual production index. This study used the unchangeable index. Results - The production index of the distribution service industry and the production index of the environmental service industry consider the autocorrelation coefficient and partial autocorrelation coefficient; therefore, ARIMA(0,0,2)(0,1,1)4 and ARIMA(3,1,0)(0,1,1)4 were established as final prediction models, resulting in the gradual improvement in every production index of both types of business. Regarding the distribution service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 114.35, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 123.48. Moreover, regarding the environmental service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 110.95, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 111.67. In a causal relationship analysis, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. Conclusions - This study predicted the distribution service industry and environmental service industry with the ARIMA model, and examined the causal relationship between them through the Granger causality test based on the VAR Model. Prediction reveals the seasonality and gradual increase in the two industries. Moreover, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. This study contributed academically by offering base line data needed in the establishment of a future style of management and policy directions for the two industries through the prediction of the distribution service industry and the environmental service industry, and tested a causal relationship between them, which is insufficient in existing studies. The limitations of this study are that deeper considerations of advanced studies are deficient, and the effect of causality between the two types of industries on the actual industry was not established.

Prediction of Local Tumor Progression after Radiofrequency Ablation (RFA) of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Assessment of Ablative Margin Using Pre-RFA MRI and Post-RFA CT Registration

  • Yoon, Jeong Hee;Lee, Jeong Min;Klotz, Ernst;Woo, Hyunsik;Yu, Mi Hye;Joo, Ijin;Lee, Eun Sun;Han, Joon Koo
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • 제19권6호
    • /
    • pp.1053-1065
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective: To evaluate the clinical impact of using registration software for ablative margin assessment on pre-radiofrequency ablation (RFA) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and post-RFA computed tomography (CT) compared with the conventional side-by-side MR-CT visual comparison. Materials and Methods: In this Institutional Review Board-approved prospective study, 68 patients with 88 hepatocellulcar carcinomas (HCCs) who had undergone pre-RFA MRI were enrolled. Informed consent was obtained from all patients. Pre-RFA MRI and post-RFA CT images were analyzed to evaluate the presence of a sufficient safety margin (${\geq}3mm$) in two separate sessions using either side-by-side visual comparison or non-rigid registration software. Patients with an insufficient ablative margin on either one or both methods underwent additional treatment depending on the technical feasibility and patient's condition. Then, ablative margins were re-assessed using both methods. Local tumor progression (LTP) rates were compared between the sufficient and insufficient margin groups in each method. Results: The two methods showed 14.8% (13/88) discordance in estimating sufficient ablative margins. On registration software-assisted inspection, patients with insufficient ablative margins showed a significantly higher 5-year LTP rate than those with sufficient ablative margins (66.7% vs. 27.0%, p = 0.004). However, classification by visual inspection alone did not reveal a significant difference in 5-year LTP between the two groups (28.6% vs. 30.5%, p = 0.79). Conclusion: Registration software provided better ablative margin assessment than did visual inspection in patients with HCCs who had undergone pre-RFA MRI and post-RFA CT for prediction of LTP after RFA and may provide more precise risk stratification of those who are treated with RFA.

비파괴충격파 시험법을 이용한 동탄성계수 평가 (Evaluation of the Dynamic Modulus by using the Impact Resonance Testing Method)

  • 김도완;장병관;문성호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.35-41
    • /
    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The dynamic modulus for a specimen can be determined by using either the non-destructed or destructed testing method. The Impact Resonance Testing (IRT) is the one of the non-destructed testing methods. The MTS has proved the source credibility and has the disadvantages which indicate the expensive equipment to operate and need a lot of manpower to manufacture the specimens because of the low repeatability with an experiment. To overcome these shortcomings from MTS, the objective of this paper is to compare the dynamic modulus obtained from IRT with MTS result and prove the source credibility. METHODS : The dynamic modulus obtained from IRT could be determined by using the Resonance Frequency (RF) from the Frequency Response Function (FRF) that derived from the Fourier Transform based on the Frequency Analysis of the Digital Signal Processing (DSP)(S. O. Oyadigi; 1985). The RF values are verified from the Coherence Function (CF). To estimate the error, the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) method could be used. RESULTS : The dynamic modulus data obtained from IRT have the maximum error of 8%, and RMSE of 2,000MPa compared to the dynamic modulus measured by the Dynamic Modulus Testing (DMT) of MTS testing machine. CONCLUSIONS : The IRT testing method needs the prediction model of the dynamic modulus for a Linear Visco-Elastic (LVE) specimen to improve the suitability.

ICT 활용 역량이 실시간기업(RTE)역량과 공급사슬 성과에 미치는 영향 (Impact of ICT Capability on Real Time Enterprise Capability and Supply Chain Performance)

  • 김승기;박소현;노혜영;김승철
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제43권1호
    • /
    • pp.110-122
    • /
    • 2020
  • Many companies make considerable efforts in implementing supply chain management systems to increase their competitiveness. In particular, there are significant investments in their ICT (Information and Communication Technology) and supply chain. However, considerable diversity exists in how well firms have been able to assimilate ICT and leverage the business value of it. In addition, studies on supply chains, particularly Real Time Enterprise (RTE) competence, which is cited for rapid information sharing and dynamic capabilities for each role in the supply chain, are insufficient. The purpose of this paper is to explore and evaluate effect of ICT utilization capabilities, including 'ICT internal cooperative capabilities' and 'ICT operational flexibility capabilities', on RTE capabilities (flexibility, visibility and prediction) and supply chain performance. To validate the research model proposed in the study, survey was conducted on companies using ICT along the supply chain of manufacturing industries. 216 data were used, SPSS and AMOS were used for the analysis methods. Study results showed that ICT internal collaboration capabilities affect agility, one of RTE capabilities, but not visibility and prediction, and ICT operational flexibility capabilities have affected all three RTE capacities. And, RTE capabilities had a huge impact on supply chain performance as expected. In this paper, it has been found that the ICT capabilities in manufacturing are an important factor in improving RTE capabilities that are important in the supply chain and improving the performance of the supply chain.

부도예측을 위한 확신 기반의 선택 접근법에서 앙상블 멤버 사이즈의 영향에 관한 연구 (Impact of Ensemble Member Size on Confidence-based Selection in Bankruptcy Prediction)

  • 김나라;신경식;안현철
    • 지능정보연구
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.55-71
    • /
    • 2013
  • 부도예측을 위한 지식기반시스템에서 모델은 실적에 영향을 끼치는 주요한 요인이다. 예측 모형의 개발에 있어 초기 연구들은 통계기법 및 인공지능기법들을 이용하여 최고 실적을 가지는 단일 모델을 만드는데 주력하였다. 1980년대 중반 이후에는 다수 기술의 통합(하이브리드), 더 나아가, 다수 모델의 결과의 결합(앙상블) 기법이 수많은 실험에서 개별 모델들보다 더 나은 결과를 보여왔다. 다수 모델들의 출력값들을 결합하여 한 개의 최종 예측값을 산출하는 앙상블 모델링에서 결합기법은 앙상블의 예측 정확도에 영향을 끼치는 중요한 이슈이다. 본 논문은 부도예측을 위한 앙상블 결합기법으로서 앙상블 멤버들이 다른 유형의 연속형 수치 출력값들을 산출하더라도 통일된 확신을 측정할 수 있는 확신 기반의 선택 접근법을 제안하고 이에 대한 앙상블 멤버 사이즈의 영향을 연구하였다. 실험 결과는 앙상블 멤버들의 생성 타입에 따라 결합하는 모델 개수를 변화시켰을 때 가장 많은 기본 모델들을 가지는 앙상블에서의 제안 결합기법이 부도예측에 가장 자주 사용되는 다른 방법들에 비해서도 가장 높은 실적을 가진다는 것을 보였다.

Simulation analysis and evaluation of decontamination effect of different abrasive jet process parameters on radioactively contaminated metal

  • Lin Zhong;Jian Deng;Zhe-wen Zuo;Can-yu Huang;Bo Chen;Lin Lei;Ze-yong Lei;Jie-heng Lei;Mu Zhao;Yun-fei Hua
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제55권11호
    • /
    • pp.3940-3955
    • /
    • 2023
  • A new method of numerical simulating prediction and decontamination effect evaluation for abrasive jet decontamination to radioactively contaminated metal is proposed. Based on the Computational Fluid Dynamics and Discrete Element Model (CFD-DEM) coupled simulation model, the motion patterns and distribution of abrasives can be predicted, and the decontamination effect can be evaluated by image processing and recognition technology. The impact of three key parameters (impact distance, inlet pressure, abrasive mass flow rate) on the decontamination effect is revealed. Moreover, here are experiments of reliability verification to decontamination effect and numerical simulation methods that has been conducted. The results show that: 60Co and other homogeneous solid solution radioactive pollutants can be removed by abrasive jet, and the average removal rate of Co exceeds 80%. It is reliable for the proposed numerical simulation and evaluation method because of the well goodness of fit between predicted value and actual values: The predicted values and actual values of the abrasive distribution diameter are Ф57 and Ф55; the total coverage rate is 26.42% and 23.50%; the average impact velocity is 81.73 m/s and 78.00 m/s. Further analysis shows that the impact distance has a significant impact on the distribution of abrasive particles on the target surface, the coverage rate of the core area increases at first, and then decreases with the increase of the impact distance of the nozzle, which reach a maximum of 14.44% at 300 mm. It is recommended to set the impact distance around 300 mm, because at this time the core area coverage of the abrasive is the largest and the impact velocity is stable at the highest speed of 81.94 m/s. The impact of the nozzle inlet pressure on the decontamination effect mainly affects the impact kinetic energy of the abrasive and has little impact on the distribution. The greater the inlet pressure, the greater the impact kinetic energy, and the stronger the decontamination ability of the abrasive. But in return, the energy consumption is higher, too. For the decontamination of radioactively contaminated metals, it is recommended to set the inlet pressure of the nozzle at around 0.6 MPa. Because most of the Co elements can be removed under this pressure. Increasing the mass and flow of abrasives appropriately can enhance the decontamination effectiveness. The total mass of abrasives per unit decontamination area is suggested to be 50 g because the core area coverage rate of the abrasive is relatively large under this condition; and the nozzle wear extent is acceptable.

데이터마이닝 기법들을 통한 제주 안개 예측 방안 연구 (A Study on Fog Forecasting Method through Data Mining Techniques in Jeju)

  • 이영미;배주현;박다빈
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제25권4호
    • /
    • pp.603-613
    • /
    • 2016
  • Fog may have a significant impact on road conditions. In an attempt to improve fog predictability in Jeju, we conducted machine learning with various data mining techniques such as tree models, conditional inference tree, random forest, multinomial logistic regression, neural network and support vector machine. To validate machine learning models, the results from the simulation was compared with the fog data observed over Jeju(184 ASOS site) and Gosan(185 ASOS site). Predictive rates proposed by six data mining methods are all above 92% at two regions. Additionally, we validated the performance of machine learning models with WRF (weather research and forecasting) model meteorological outputs. We found that it is still not good enough for operational fog forecast. According to the model assesment by metrics from confusion matrix, it can be seen that the fog prediction using neural network is the most effective method.