• 제목/요약/키워드: Hypothesis Tests

검색결과 349건 처리시간 0.021초

Are Korean Industry-Sorted Portfolios Mean Reverting?

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.169-190
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    • 2016
  • This paper tests the weak-form efficient market hypothesis for Korean industry-sorted portfolios. Based on a panel variance ratio approach, we find significant mean reversion of stock returns over long horizons in the pre Asian currency crisis period but little evidence in the post-crisis period. Our empirical findings are consistent with the fact that Korea accelerated its integration with international financial market by implementing extensive capital liberalization since the crisis.

Some Nonparametric Tests for Change-points with Epidemic Alternatives

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this paper is to discuss distribution-free tests of hypothesis that the random samples are identically distributed against the epidemic alternative. But most tests that have been considered are depended only on specific null distribution. Two nonparametric tests are considered and compared with a likelihood ratio test by the empirical powers.

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Monte Carlo simulation for verification of nonparametric tests used in final status surveys of MARSSIM at decommissioning of nuclear facilities

  • Sohn, Wook;Hong, Eun-hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권5호
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    • pp.1664-1675
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    • 2021
  • In order to verify the statistical performance of the nonparametric tests used in the MARSSIM approach, all plausible contamination distribution types that can be encountered in a survey area should be investigated. As the first of such investigations, this study aims to perform the verification for normal distribution of the contamination in a survey area by simulating the collection of random samples from it through the Monte Carlo simulation. The results of the simulations conducted for a total of 81 simulation cases showed that Sign test and WRS test both exhibited an excellent statistical performance: 100% for the former and 98.8% for the latter. Therefore, in final status surveys of the MARSSIM approach, a high statistical performance can be expected in applying the nonparametric hypothesis tests to survey areas whose net contamination can be assumed to be normally distributed.

Investigation on the integrated transfer function characteristics for the buffeting response prediction of elongated structures

  • Yi Su;Mingshui Li;Jin Di;Yang Yang;Shaopeng Li
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.399-412
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    • 2023
  • Previous studies have shown that the integrated transfer function (ITF) is independent of turbulence characteristics and can be effectively applied to predict the buffeting response of elongated structures, assuming that the strip hypothesis is valid. However, existing research has not effectively identified the ITF through segment model vibration tests, and the influence of the 3D effect on the accuracy of the strip hypothesis and the characteristics of the ITF in wind tunnel tests has not been quantitatively studied. A segment model vibration measurement device that can change a test model's span-width ratio was designed in this study. An airfoil section and a streamlined box girder section structure were taken as the background, and their ITFs were effectively identified under different L/B (L denotes the turbulent integral scale and B denotes the structural width) and model span-width ratios. The influence laws of the 3D effect on the accuracy of the strip hypothesis and ITF identification in wind tunnel tests were systematically investigated. The results showed that L/B and the structural span-width ratio are two significant controlling factors that affect the accuracy of the strip hypothesis and ITF identification. The research provides an effective experimental method for accurately predicting the buffeting response of elongated structures based on ITFs identified through segment model vibration tests.

비열등성 임상시험에서 독립인 두 비율 차 검정에 대한 비교 연구 (Comparative Analysis of Two Independent Proportions in Non-Inferiority Trials)

  • 윤민;곽민정
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1115-1124
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    • 2010
  • 두 비율비교 비열등성 임상시험(non-inferiority trial)에서의 검정은 두 비율간에 차이가 없다는 영가설에 근거한 정규근사 산출식이 흔히 사용 된다. 본 연구에서는 두 비율차이가 영이 아니라는 가설에서 유도된 Miettinen과 Nurminen이 제안한 우도 스코어검정(likelihood score test)과 Farrington과 Manning의 검정 그리고 비대칭도(skewness)을 보정한 Gart와 Nam이 제안한 검정방법을 소개하고 모의실험을 통하여 제 1종 오류와 검정력을 비교하여 비열등성 임상시험에서 검정방법의 결정에 가이드라인을 제시하고자 한다.

A tutorial on generalizing the default Bayesian t-test via posterior sampling and encompassing priors

  • Faulkenberry, Thomas J.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.217-238
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    • 2019
  • With the advent of so-called "default" Bayesian hypothesis tests, scientists in applied fields have gained access to a powerful and principled method for testing hypotheses. However, such default tests usually come with a compromise, requiring the analyst to accept a one-size-fits-all approach to hypothesis testing. Further, such tests may not have the flexibility to test problems the scientist really cares about. In this tutorial, I demonstrate a flexible approach to generalizing one specific default test (the JZS t-test) (Rouder et al., Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16, 225-237, 2009) that is becoming increasingly popular in the social and behavioral sciences. The approach uses two results, the Savage-Dickey density ratio (Dickey and Lientz, 1980) and the technique of encompassing priors (Klugkist et al., Statistica Neerlandica, 59, 57-69, 2005) in combination with MCMC sampling via an easy-to-use probabilistic modeling package for R called Greta. Through a comprehensive mathematical description of the techniques as well as illustrative examples, the reader is presented with a general, flexible workflow that can be extended to solve problems relevant to his or her own work.

기울기를 이용한 랜덤워크 부호검정 (A sign test for random walk hypothesis based on slopes)

  • 김태윤;박철용;김슬기;김찬진;김현;유주형;장경민;장영석
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.385-392
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    • 2014
  • 랜덤워크 가설은 금융시장의 예측 어려움을 이론적으로 설명하는 가설이다. 현재까지 다양한 랜덤워크 검정방법들이 개발되어 왔으나 낮은 검정력과 유의수준 왜곡 등의 문제를 보이는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점들을 개선하기 위해 부호검정에 기초한 랜덤워크 검정방법을 제안하였다. 랜덤워크와 관련하여 흔히 사용되고 있는 Dickey와 Fuller (1979) 검정과 모의실험을 통해 성능을 비교하였다.

A Test of the Underlying Processes of the Price-Induced Quality Perception

  • Suk, Kwan-Ho
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2008
  • It is well known that consumer's quality perception is strongly affected by price. Higher priced products tend to be perceived to have better quality than lower priced products although the objective product quality is the same. However, it is less known the process through which quality perception is affected by price cues. The existing literature suggests three potential hypotheses (i.e., the selectiveprocessing hypothesis, the selective interpretation hypothesis, and the representativeness heuristic hypothesis) that explain the underlying processes of the price-induced quality perception. The current research tests among the three competing hypotheses and also examines the role of consumer knowledge as a moderating factor. An experiment was conducted to test the moderating role of the knowledge in the price-quality relationship and to investigate the underlying process. The results indicate that theinfluence of price on perceived quality differs between novices and experts. Expert consumers' quality perception is not significantly influenced by price and this finding is consistent with the extant literature. On the other hand, novice consumers' quality perception is affected by price and the tests on the underlying process support for the representativeness heuristic hypothesis. Novice consumers assess that a high-priced brand should have good product quality due to the belief that high (low) price brands represent better (worse) brand quality and such a representativeness heuristic occurs without involving selective attention or selective interpretation price-consistent information.

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A Family of Tests for Trend Change in Mean Residual Life using Censored Data

  • Na, Myung-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2000
  • In a resent paper, Na and Kim(2000) develop a family of test statistics for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend based on complete data and show that the new tests perform better than previously known tests. In this paper, we extend their tests to the randomly censored data. The asymptotic normality of the test statistics is established. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare our tests with a previously known test by the power of tests.

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Asymptotic Relative Efficiency of Chi-squared Type Tests Based on the Empirical Process

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 1996
  • The chi-squared type statistic generated from the empirical process can be used for testing the goodness of fit hypothesis on iid random sample. Lee (1995) showed that under some conditions, the chi-squared type statistic is asymptotically maximin in the sense of Strasser (1985). Since the chi-squared type statistic depends on the choice of *points in the unit interval, it is worth investigating the points yielding more efficient tests. Motivated by this viewpoint, we are led to study the asymptotic relative efficiency of chi-squared type tests in the same setting of Lee (1995). Some examples are given for illustration.

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