• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hourly

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An Experimental Analysis of a Probabilistic DDHV Estimation Model (확률적인 중방향 설계시간 교통량 산정 모형에 관한 실험적 해석)

  • Jo, Jun-Han;Kim, Seong-Ho;No, Jeong-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2009
  • This paper is described as an experimental analysis for the probabilistic directional design hour volume estimation. The main objective of this paper is to derive acceptable design rankings, PK factors, and PD factors. In order to determine an appropriate distribution for acceptable design rankings, 12 probability distribution functions were employed. The parameters were estimated based on the method of maximum likelihood. The goodness of fit test was performed with a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The Beta General distribution among the probability distributions was selected as an appropriate model for 2 lane roadways. On the other hand, the Weibull distribution is superior for 4 lanes. The method of the inverse cumulative distribution function came up with an acceptable design ranking of design for LOS D. An acceptable design ranking of 2 lanes is 190, while an acceptable design ranking for 4 lanes is 164. The PK factor and PD factor of 2 lanes was elicited for 0.119 (0.100-0.139) and 0.568 (0.545-0.590), respectively. On the other hand, the PK factor and PD factor for 4 lanes was elicited as 0.106 (0.097-0.114) and 0.571 (0.544-0.598), respectively.

Ordinary kriging approach to predicting long-term particulate matter concentrations in seven major Korean cities

  • Kim, Sun-Young;Yi, Seon-Ju;Eum, Young Seob;Choi, Hae-Jin;Shin, Hyesop;Ryou, Hyoung Gon;Kim, Ho
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.29
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    • pp.12.1-12.8
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    • 2014
  • Objectives Cohort studies of associations between air pollution and health have used exposure prediction approaches to estimate individual-level concentrations. A common prediction method used in Korean cohort studies is ordinary kriging. In this study, performance of ordinary kriging models for long-term particulate matter less than or equal to $10{\mu}m$ in diameter ($PM_{10}$) concentrations in seven major Korean cities was investigated with a focus on spatial prediction ability. Methods We obtained hourly $PM_{10}$ data for 2010 at 226 urban-ambient monitoring sites in South Korea and computed annual average $PM_{10}$ concentrations at each site. Given the annual averages, we developed ordinary kriging prediction models for each of the seven major cities and for the entire country by using an exponential covariance reference model and a maximum likelihood estimation method. For model evaluation, cross-validation was performed and mean square error and R-squared ($R^2$) statistics were computed. Results Mean annual average $PM_{10}$ concentrations in the seven major cities ranged between 45.5 and $66.0{\mu}g/m^3$ (standard deviation=2.40 and $9.51{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively). Cross-validated $R^2$ values in Seoul and Busan were 0.31 and 0.23, respectively, whereas the other five cities had $R^2$ values of zero. The national model produced a higher cross-validated $R^2$ (0.36) than those for the city-specific models. Conclusions In general, the ordinary kriging models performed poorly for the seven major cities and the entire country of South Korea, but the model performance was better in the national model. To improve model performance, future studies should examine different prediction approaches that incorporate $PM_{10}$ source characteristics.

Improving the Usage of the Korea Meteorological Administration's Digital Forecasts in Agriculture: IV. Estimation of Daily Sunshine Duration and Solar Radiation Based on 'Sky Condition' Product (기상청 동네예보의 영농활용도 증진을 위한 방안: IV. '하늘상태'를 이용한 일조시간 및 일 적산 일사량 상세화)

  • Kim, Soo-ock;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.281-289
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    • 2015
  • Information on sunshine duration and solar radiation are indispensable to the understanding of crop growth and development. Yet, relevant variables are not available in the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) digital forecast. We proposed the methods of estimating sunshine duration and solar radiation based on the 'sky condition' of digital forecast products and validated using the observed data. The sky condition values (1 for clear, 2 for partly cloudy, 3 for cloudy, and 4 for overcast) were collected from 22 weather stations at 3-hourly intervals from August 2013 to July 2015. According to the observed relationship, these data were converted to the corresponding amount of clouds on the 0 to 10 scale (0 for clear, 4 for partly cloudy, 7 for cloudy, and 10 for overcast). An equation for the cloud amount-sunshine duration conversion was derived from the 3-year observation data at three weather stations with the highest clear day sunshine ratio (i.e., Daegwallyeong, Bukgangneung, and Busan). Then, the estimated sunshine hour data were used to run the Angstrom-Prescott model which was parameterized with the long-term KMA observations, resulting in daily solar radiation for the three weather stations. Comparison of the estimated sunshine duration and solar radiation with the observed at those three stations showed that the root mean square error ranged from 1.5 to 1.7 hours for sunshine duration and from 2.5 to $3.0MJ\;m^{-2}\;day^{-1}$ for solar radiation, respectively.

Method Extracting Observation Data by Spatial Factor for Analysis of Selective Attention of Vision (시각의 선택적 주의집중 분석을 위한 공간요소별 주시데이터 추출방법)

  • Kim, Jong-Ha;Kim, Ju-Yeon
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2015
  • This study has extracted observation data by spatial factor for the analysis of subjects' selective attention with the objects of public space at the entrance of subway stations. The methods extracting observation data can be summarized as the following. First, the frequency analysis by lattice was prevalent for those methods, but there is a limitation to the analysis of the observation data. On the contrary, the method extracting observation data by factor applied in this study can make it clear if any sight is concentrated on any particular factors in a space. Second, the results from the extracted data corresponding to the observation area can be objectified while the method setting up the observation area by applying the radius of fovea. Third, time-sequential trace of observation results of relevant factors was possible through hourly analysis of spatial factors. The consideration of the results of "corresponding spatial scope" which is the object of this study will reveal that the more the observation time, the less the degree of attention it receives. Fourth, the frequency of observation superiority was applied for the analysis of the sections with selective attention by time scope; this revealed that men and women had intensive observation in time scope I (52.4 %) and in time scope IV (24.0 %), respectively.

Compatibility of DOAS and Conventional Point Monitoring System Through an Evaluation of Bias Structures Using Long-term Measurement Data in Seoul (장기관측자료를 이용한 DOAS와 점측정 분석시스템의 바이어스 구조에 대한 평가)

  • 김기현;김민영
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.395-405
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    • 2001
  • To make an assessment of the compatibility between DOAS and conventional point monitoring system (MCSAM-2: MS2), we investigated the concentrations of three criteria pollutants which include S $O_2$, N $O_2$, and $O_3$from a national monitoring station in Seoul during the periods of June 1999~August 2000. The average concentration values for the whole study period derived from hourly concentration data sets of those three species indicated that the mean differences between the two methods can be approximated as 18%. When the bias structure of two systems was evaluated through the computation of percent difference(PD) between the two such as ( $C_{DOAS}$- $C_{conventional}$ $C_{DOAS}$*100, differences between the two systems appeared to be quite systematic among different compounds. While the mode of bias peaked at 0~20% or 20~40% in terms of PD values, the cause of such positive bias mainly arised from generally enhanced concentration values of DOAS system. The structure of bias among different species was further assessed through linear regression analysis. Results of the analysis indicated that the dominant portions of differences observed from two monitoring systems can be accounted for by the systematic differences in their spanning and zeroing systems. S $O_2$(MS2)=0.6385 S $O_2$(DOAS)+2.0985($r^2$=0.7894) N $O_2$(MS2)=0.6548 N $O_2$(DOAS)+7.437($r^2$=0.7687) $O_3$(MS2)=1.0359 $O_3$(DOAS)-7.7885($r^2$=0.7944) The findings of slope values at around 0.64~0.65 from two species suggest that DOAS should respond more sensitively in upper bound concentration range. The offset values apart from zero indicate that more deliberate comparison needs to be made between these monitoring systems. However, based on the existence of strong correlations from at least 8,000 data points for each species of comparison, we were able to conclude that the compatibility of two monitoring systems is highly significant. With the improvement of calibration techniques for the DOAS system. its applicability for routine monitoring of airborne pollutant species is expected to be quite extendable.

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Reaction characteristics of hydrocarbon fuels under various operation conditions of hydro-upgrading process for vegetable oil-based bio-jet fuel production (식물성 오일 기반 바이오항공유 제조공정에서 수소첨가 업그레이딩을 위한 운전조건에 따른 탄화수소화합물의 특성)

  • Kwak, Yeonsu;Jang, Jung Hee;Kim, Sungtak;Ahn, Minhwei;Lee, Eun-Sil;Han, Gi Bo;Jeong, Byung Hun;Han, Jeong Sik;Jeon, Cheol-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.731-743
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    • 2018
  • In bio-jet fuel production, selecting operating conditions of hydro-upgrading is of great importance to make iso-Paraffin rich hydrocarbons with carbon distribution including jet fuel range. Herein, iso-Paraffin rich biofuel including jet fuel range hydrocarbons ($C_8-C_{16}$) is produced from simultaneous cracking and isomerization using n-Paraffin rich hydrocarbon derived from hydrotreated vegetable oil over 0.5 wt..% Pt/Zeolite catalyst. We report and analyze the yields and compositions in the produced hydrocarbons affected by various operating conditions, such as reaction temperature, reaction pressure, molar ratio of reactants, and weight hourly space velocity. Aforementioned operating conditions not only can help interpret the reaction dynamics of hydro-upgrading, but also further produce bio jet-fuel after distillation.

Implementation Of DDoS Botnet Detection System On Local Area Network (근거리 통신망에서의 DDoS 봇넷 탐지 시스템 구현)

  • Huh, Jun-Ho;Hong, Myeong-Ho;Lee, JeongMin;Seo, Kyungryong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.678-688
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    • 2013
  • Different Different from a single attack, in DDoS Attacks, the botnets that are distributed on network initiate attacks against the target server simultaneously. In such cases, it is difficult to take an action while denying the access of packets that are regarded as DDoS since normal user's convenience should also be considered at the target server. Taking these considerations into account, the DDoS botnet detection system that can reduce the strain on the target server by detecting DDoS attacks on each user network basis, and then lets the network administrator to take actions that reduce overall scale of botnets, has been implemented in this study. The DDoS botnet detection system proposed by this study implemented the program which detects attacks based on the database composed of faults and abnormalities collected through analyzation of hourly attack traffics. The presence of attack was then determined using the threshold of current traffic calculated with the standard deviation and the mean number of packets. By converting botnet-based detection method centering around the servers that become the targets of attacks to the network based detection, it was possible to contemplate aggressive defense concept against DDoS attacks. With such measure, the network administrator can cut large scale traffics of which could be referred as the differences between DDoS and DoS attacks, in advance mitigating the scale of botnets. Furthermore, we expect to have an effect that can considerably reduce the strain imposed on the target servers and the network loads of routers in WAN communications if the traffic attacks can be blocked beforehand in the network communications under the router equipment level.

Local Wind Field Simulation over Coastal Areas Using Windprofiler Data (윈드프로파일러 자료를 이용한 연안 지역 국지 바람장 모의)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Park-Sa;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of windprofiler input data were investigated to generate three dimensional wind field. A logical diagnostic model CALMET with windprofiler data at ten sites and with weather forecasting model WRF output was evaluated by statistically comparing with the radiosonde data at eight sites. The horizontal wind speed from CALMET simulated with hourly windprofiler data is in good agreement with radiosonde observations within 1.5 m/s of the root mean square error, especially local circulation of wind such as sea breeze over the coastal region. The root mean square error of wind direction ranged $50^{\circ}{\sim}70^{\circ}$ is due to the wind direction error from the windprofiler polluted by ground clutters. Since the exact wind can be produced quickly and accurately in most of the altitude with windprofiler data on CALMET, we expect the method presented in this study to be useful for the monitoring of safe environment as well as weather in the coastal zone.

Effect of Thermal Stress on Sexual Behaviour of Superovulated Bharat Merino Ewes

  • Maurya, V.P.;Naqvi, S.M.K.;Gulyani, R.;Joshi, A.;Mittal, J.P.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.1403-1406
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    • 2005
  • The present study was undertaken to study the effect of thermal stress on sexual behaviour of superovulated ewes. Fourteen adult Bharat Merino ewes with an average body weight of 29.4${\pm}$2.34 kg were randomly allocated into two groups of 7 each. All the animals were grazed on natural pasture in the morning and evening hours and housed in shed during night. Animals of Group-1 were housed in shed from 10:00 to 16:00 h while the animals of Group-2 were exposed to thermal stress in a hot chamber ($40^{\circ}C$ /6 h/day). All the animals were offered drinking water once a day at 16:30 h. Meteorological observations i.e. dry bulb, wet bulb, minimum and maximum temperature were recorded daily inside the shed as well as in hot chamber throughout the experimental period. For superovulation of animals, standard protocol developed at the Institute, using FSH (Ovagen 5.4 mg in eight injections) and PMSG (200 IU) was followed. Various sexual behaviour parameters (circling, tail fanning, head turning, standing and approaching to ram) and estrus incidence (onset of estrus and estrus duration) were observed in both the groups. The different estrus symptoms were graded subjectively on arbitrary scale of 0-5 where 0 representing no sexual behaviour (0%) and 5 representing maximum intensity in sexual behaviour (100%). Estrus was detected with the help of a marked aproned ram of proven vigor at six hourly intervals. The average percent values for sexual behaviour parameters recorded in Group-1 and Group-2 animals were 53.7${\pm}$3.76 vs. 41.1${\pm}$2.18 for circling, 71.8${\pm}$5.42 vs. 49.0${\pm}$4.41 for tail fanning, 64.7${\pm}$3.30 vs. 44.5${\pm}$4.34 for head turning, 90.1${\pm}$3.16 vs. 75.8${\pm}$4.02 for standing and 63.8${\pm}$4.8 vs. 41.9${\pm}$4.58 for approaching to ram. Animals exposed to thermal stress had significantly lower values of these sexual behaviour parameters. The animals kept in shed exhibited estrus earlier (25.4${\pm}$1.12 h) and duration was higher (37.7${\pm}$1.59 h) as compared to animals exposed to thermal stress i.e. 30.6${\pm}$1.16 h and 31.7${\pm}$3.57 h, respectively. The findings of the study indicate that thermal stress reduces the intensity of sexual behaviour in ewes and may result in failure of the animal to mate and conceive.

Inspection on the Influence of Asian Dust on the Distribution of Atmospheric Mercury Observed for a Long Time (장기간 관측을 통한 황사 현상이 수은의 분포에 미치는 영향 고찰)

  • Lee, Jeong-Soon;Kim, Min-Young;Kim, Ki-Hyun;Hong, S.M.;Son, Z.H.;Lee, S.C.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.169-182
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    • 2007
  • To evaluate the possibly potent role of Asian Dust (AD) on the long range transport of Hg, statistical analyses were carried out using the hourly concentration data of gaseous elemental mercury (Hg) along with relevant environmental parameters. For the purpose of this study, Hg data were collected from Yang-Jae monitoring station in Seoul, Korea during Sept. 1997 to June 2002. During the study period, Hg concentrations in non-AD period ranged from $0.03\;to\;32.70\;ng\;m^{-3}$ with a mean $5.27{\pm}3.06\;ng\;m^{-3}$, while those in AD period from $1.79\;to\;32.60\;ng\;m^{-3}$ with a mean $5.20{\pm}3.06\;ng\;m^{-3}$. The air quality during AD were typically deteriorated by enhanced PM10 mass concentration (by $2{\sim}5$ times) compared to non-AD period, however comparison of the Hg concentration data indicates that they are not critically distinguished between events of AD and non-AD, except for the high minimum level of Hg during AD. The results of correlation and factor analysis also indicated somewhat complex patterns; in the case of AD events, Hg and $SO_{2}$ were assorted concurrently into a same factor. Evidence collected from this study thus suggests that long-range transport of Hg, if occurring, is unlikely to raise statistically Hg concentration levels such as seen during AD event. However, in nighttime of winter season, Hg concentrations are higher during AD (along with PM10 levels) than non-AD period. Although such observations suggest the effect of long range transport on the enhancement of Hg concentrations, more deliberate analysis may be required to track down the effect of such mechanism in relation with various factors including the air mass transport route.