• 한국농공학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.35-41
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• 1998

Cost estimate system Will be changed from the prime. cost calculation to the historical cost data because the present system has some problems. In this situation, each owner should prepare his own cost estimate system based on the historical cost data. In this study, the standard work items were classified and the criteria of their work amount computation were established for rural improvement projects. And also the historical cost data were collected in all range of rural improvement projects, and the database system, "HICOMS" (HIstorical COst data Management System) was built. In order to test the applicability of the HICOMS, standard work cost and contractor cost were compared. The results by HICOMS showed high significance and it was concluded that the HICOMS could be applicable for the cost estimate of the rural improvement projects. projects.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.667-676
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• 2014

본 연구는 제주특별자치도 내 실적공사비가 적용된 도로현장을 중심으로 물가변동에 따른 실적공사비 등락률 산정의 문제점을 분석하기 위하여 실시되었다. 본 연구를 위하여 제주특별자치도 내 9개 도로공사 현장을 중심으로 실적공사비방식, 표준품셈방식, 건설공사비지수방식에 따른 등락률을 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과 9개 현장 중 약 56%인 5개 현장에서 실적공사비의 지수조정률이 표준품셈과 건설공사비지수의 지수조정률에 비해 낮게 산정되었다. 이는 실적공사비가 적용됨에 따라 물가변동으로 인한 계약금액 조정 성립요건이 지연되고 있다는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이에 따라 공사 준공 전 물가변동으로 인한 계약금액 조정횟수의 감소와 함께 물가변동금액 역시 차이를 보일 수 있음을 의미한다. 또한, 건설공사비지수 사례분석 결과, 도로부문에 대한 지수를 적용하여 지수조정률을 산출하였으나 지수조정률이 2.0%~9.4%까지 산정되어 이는 공사금액 및 물가변동 적용시기에 따라 상당한 영향을 미치는 문제점이 나타났다.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.111-121
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• 2005

This study purposed to derive a model to estimate appropriate construction costs for the application of the estimation system based on historical construction data. For this purpose, it analyzed data ($1999\sim2004$) on the construction costs of reinforced concrete apartments (Long-Lamina-type apartments), which have been highly standardized and have a lot of relevant objective data using statistical analysis techniques and developed an estimation model.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.55-62
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• 2010

Currently, cost estimation is very important to the government acquisition programs to support decisions about funding and to evaluate resource requirement as key decision points. Parametric cost estimating models have been used extensively to obtain appropriate cost estimates in early acquisition phase. However, they have many restrictions to ensure the cost estimating result in Korean defense environment because they are developed in the U.S.A. environment. In order to obtain a good R&D cost estimate, developing our own CERs (Cost Estimation Relationships) using historical R&D data is essential. Nevertheless, there has been little research to develop our own CERs. In this research, we established a CER development process and found some cost drivers in the historical movement weapon system R&D data. The R&D CER is developed using the PCR(Principle Component Regression) method to remove multicollinearity among data and to overcome the restriction of the insufficient number of sample. At least, this research is meaningful as a first attempt in terms of defining the CER development process and obtaining our own R&D CER based on the historical data in Korean weapon system R&D environment.

• 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건설관리학회 2002년도 학술대회지
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• pp.423-426
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• 2002

현재 우리나라에서는 건설공사비 산출방식을 실적공사비 적산제도로 전환하기 위한 기반을 마련 중에 있다. 실적공사비 적산제도가 원활하게 시행되기 위해서는 이에 필요한 각종 실적자료가 필요하다. 공사비 지수는 이러한 실적자료의 하나로서 외곽의 경우에는 정부 및 민간기관에서 공사비 지수를 제공해 주고 있지만, 국내의 경우는 도로공사를 제외하고는 건설공사에서 적용할 수 있는 공사비 지수가 공표되지 않고 있는 실정이다. 공사비 지수는 건설공사의 입찰가 분석, 단가 및 공사비 조정, 공사비 예측을 위해 사용하는 것으로, 본 연구에서는 단지조성공사 설계내역서 22개를 표본으로 하여 우리나라와 영국에서 사용되고 있는 공사비 지수 작성기준을 비교하여 국내의 공사비 지수 산출방식의 문제점을 분석하였으며, 그 개선방안과 함께 단지공사용 공사비 지수를 작성하여 제시하였다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2008년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.159-165
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• 2008

For deciding the profitability and feasibility of the construction project, the schematic estimation has to not only link the design decision-making but also estimate the cost with reliability. The Object-based schematic estimation system was developed for easily linking with design-making and supports to evaluate the design alternatives in the design development stage but didn't consider the cost estimated by object supplementary and parameter work item. This research presents the Integrated Object-Parameter Schematic Estimation Model in the design development stage that can lead to more accurately estimate the cost through analyzing historical data from the high-storied office buildings. For the development of the proposed model for schematic estimation, after analyzing and classifying the work items from the Bills of Quantities(BOQs) and drawings of historical data, this research proposed the methods of estimating cost in accordance with attributes of each work item using regression analysis. In addition, a case study is performed for the effectiveness as comparing the proposed model with the previous estimating model.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.175-184
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• 2008

건설 프로젝트의 수익성 및 타당성을 판단하기 위한 기준으로 설계초기단계에 활용되는 개산견적은 설계의사결정 업무와 밀접한 연계성을 가지고 수행되어야 할 뿐만 아니라, 정확하고 신뢰성 있는 견적결과를 도출해야 한다. 설계초기단계에서 설계자의 의사결정 지원과 설계변경에 대한 즉각적인 대처를 위해 프로토타입기반 개산견적 시스템이 개발되었지만, 파라미터에 의해 산정되는 공사항목 및 사용자에 의한 추가공사에 대한 공사비 고려가 미흡하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 견적의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해 실제 고층 오피스 빌딩 프로젝트의 실적자료 분석을 통해 기본설계단계에서 오브젝트-파라미터기반 건축마감공사비 산정 모델(Object & Parameter based Schematic Estimation Model, OPSEM)을 개발하였다. 모델 개발을 위해 공사비 내역서, 도면으로부터 얻은 작업항목에 대한 정보를 분석 및 분류하고, 각 작업항목 속성에 맞는 공사비 산정 방식을 제안하였다. 본 연구의 실무 효용성 검증을 위해 유사 사례 프로젝트를 바탕으로 기존의 견적방식과 제시된 모델을 활용한 견적방식의 오차율을 분석하여 정확도 비교를 실시하였다.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제8권
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• pp.125-136
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• 1997

The simulation techniques of hydrologic data series have develped for the purposes of the design of water resources system, the optimization of reservoir operation, and the design of flood control of reservoir, etc. While the stochastic models are usually used in most analysis of water resources fields for the generation of data sequences, the indexed sequential modeling (ISM) method based on generation of a series of overlapping short-term flow sequences directly from the historical record has been used for the data generation in the western USA since the early of 1980s. It was reported that the reliable results by ISM were obtained in practical applications. In this study, we generate annual inflow series at a location of Hong Cheon Dam site by using ISM method and autoregressive, order-1 model (AR(1)), and estimate the drought characteristics for the comparison aim between ISM and AR(1).

• ETRI Journal
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.421-431
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• 2008

In this paper, we offer a new technique to discover frequent spatiotemporal patterns from a moving object database. Though the search space for spatiotemporal knowledge is extremely challenging, imposing spatial and timing constraints on moving sequences makes the computation feasible. The proposed technique includes two algorithms, AllMOP and MaxMOP, to find all frequent patterns and maximal patterns, respectively. In addition, to support the service provider in sending information to a user in a push-driven manner, we propose a rule-based location prediction technique to predict the future location of the user. The idea is to employ the algorithm AllMOP to discover the frequent movement patterns in the user's historical movements, from which frequent movement rules are generated. These rules are then used to estimate the future location of the user. The performance is assessed with respect to precision and recall. The proposed techniques could be quite efficiently applied in a location-based service (LBS) system in which diverse types of data are integrated to support a variety of LBSs.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.176-181
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• 2011

A role of cost modeler is that of facilitating design process by the systematic application of cost factors so as to maintain sensible and economic relationships between cost, quantity, utility and appearance. These relationships help to achieve the client's requirements within an agreed budget. The purpose of this study is to develop a parametric cost estimating model for the early design stage by using the multi-dimensional system of OLAP (On-line Analytical Processing) based on the case of quantity data related to architectural design features. The parametric cost estimating models have been adopted to support decision making in the early design stage. These models typically use a similar instance or a pattern of historical case. In order to effectively use this type of data model, it is required to set data classification and prediction methods. One of the methods is to find the similar class in line with attribute selection measure in the multi-dimensional data model. Therefore, this research is to analyze the relevance attribute influenced by architectural design features with the subject of case-based quantity data used for the parametric cost estimating model. The relevance attributes can be analyzed by Analytical Characterization. It helps determine what attributes to be included in the OLAP multi-dimension.