• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Oil Prices

Search Result 71, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Overseas Construction Order Forecasting Using Time Series Model (시계열 모형을 이용한 해외건설 수주 전망)

  • Kim, Woon Joong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.107-116
    • /
    • 2018
  • Since 2010, Korea's overseas construction orders have seen dramatic fluctuations. I propose causes and remedies for the industry as a whole. Orders have recorded an annual average of $63.8 billion dollars from 2011 to 2014, reaching its highest at $71.6 billion dollars(2010) which marked the peak of Korea's overseas construction. However, due to a decline in international oil prices, starting in the last half of 2014, Korea's overseas construction orders have followed suit recording $46.1 billion dollar in 2014, $28.2 billion dollars in 2016, and $29.0 billion dollars in 2017. Facing uncertainty in Korea's overseas construction market, caused by continued slow growth of the global economy, Korean EPC contractors are at a critical point in regards to their award-winning capabilities. Together with declining oil prices, the challenges have never been bigger. To mitigate the challenges, I would suggest policy direction as a way to grow and develop the overseas construction industry. Proper counterplans are needed to foster Korea's overseas construction industry. Forecasting total order amount for overseas construction projects is essencial. Analyzing contract award & tender structure and its changing trends in both overseas and world construction markets should also be included. Korea has great potential and global competitiveness. These measures will serve to enhance Korea's overall export strategy in uncertain overseas markets and global economy.

Measures of Underlying Inflation and Evaluation of Inflation Targeting with Global Crisis in Korea (글로벌 금융위기와 물가안정목표제 평가: 근원인플레이션을 중심으로)

  • Park, Won-Am
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-32
    • /
    • 2010
  • The global financial crisis has exerted enormous impacts on the attainment of inflation target in Korea. The annual average CPI inflation was 3.3% during the targeting period of 2007-2009 and the target was $3.0{\pm}0.5%$. Thus Korea has succeeded in keeping annual average CPI inflation just below the upper limit of the 2007-2009 target under the global crisis. This paper intends to evaluate the performance of the inflation targeting system in Korea. First, it estimates the conventional call rate reaction equation under the global crisis and finds that the policy interest rates never reacted to expected inflation, output gap, and won/dollar exchange rate, as expected by theory. Second, it identifies the shock of global financial crisis into core and non-core, applying the structural VAR model. The core shock was defined to have no (medium- to) long-run impact on real output. The core shock was identified to have the character of the demand shock, since it has the positive impact on the inflation and output in the short run. The structural core inflation due to core shock was an attractor of headline inflation, not vice versa. Therefore, the structural core inflation that reflects the demand-side shock would be the better intermediate target for the final headline inflation target than the official core inflation that excludes the volatile inflation of agricultural and oil-related products. During the inflation targeting period of 2007-2009, the structural core inflation was more volatile than the official core inflation, because the global crisis has very large negative impacts on the domestic demand as well as the prices of agricultural and oil-related products. This paper shows that the negative core shock during the fourth quarter of 2008 was larger than that in the financial crisis in 1998. But the core shock turned into positive very quickly in 2009, as the Korean economy recovered very quickly from crisis. The volatile changes in structural core inflation suggests that the Bank of Korea barely managed to attain the 2007-2009 inflation target, owing to the very large negative impacts of the global financial crisis on the domestic demand. It also suggests that the rapid rise in core inflation with the rapid recovery of the Korean economy will lead to rapid rise in headline inflation.

  • PDF

A Study on the Energy Saving through Pollutant removal of Intake gate (취수구 스크린 협잡물 제거를 통한 에너지 절감효과 분석)

  • Kim, Byeong-Kakg;Park, Inn;You, Si-Og;Jang, Seung-Don
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2011.07a
    • /
    • pp.930-931
    • /
    • 2011
  • As the upsurge in oil prices and global warming, Energy saving is needed to overall industry. If The head of Intake gate screen is high. The pumping process involves a loss of energy and results in high emissions of greenhouse gases. Therefore, blockages in intake gate should be free. Another advantage of cleaning is stabilizing pumping system. Because vibration and cavitation decreases when loss of head is low.

  • PDF

The strategy of the enlargement Revitalization of small hydropower development (소수력 발전의 보급 활성화 전략)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Bae;Lee, Eun-Woong
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.230-233
    • /
    • 2006
  • Small hydropower, one of renewable energies, is the clean energy which emits no carbonic acid gas. It has noting to do with global warming. It is a useful resource to contribute to the dispersion of power. Because of ballooning oil prices, the need for small hydropower is increasing. Recently small hydropower development using dams, small rivers, reservoirs, water pipes, sewage treatment plants and cool ing water of thermal power plants is conducting. By suggesting the strategy of the enlargement revitalization of small hydropower development, we hope to waken the people's interest in the small hydropower

  • PDF

Development of Transportation Bio-energy and Its Future (수송용 바이오에너지 개발과 미래)

  • Chung, Jay-H.;Kwon, Gi-Seok;Jang, Han-Su
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-5
    • /
    • 2008
  • Negative environmental consequences of fossil fuels and the concerns about their soaring prices have spurred the search for alternative energy sources. While other alternative energies-like solar, wind, geothermal, hydroelectric, and tidal-offer viable options for electricity generation, around 40% of total energy consumption requires liquid fuels like gasoline or diesel fuel. This is where bio-energy/biofuels is especially attractive, where they can serve as a practical alternative to oil. The production of liquid biofuels for transportation will depend upon a stable supply of large amount of inexpensive cellulosic biomass obtained on a sustainable basis. This paper reviewed development status of transportation bio-energy for vehicles, technical barriers to the production of cellulosic ethanol, and the global future of bio-diesel and ethanol production.

A BIM-based Design Method for Energy-Efficient Housing (BIM 기반의 저에너지 주거공간 설계 기법 연구)

  • Yoon, Seung-Hyun;Park, Nam-Hee;Choi, Jin-Won
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
    • /
    • 2009.04a
    • /
    • pp.187-192
    • /
    • 2009
  • Nowadays, global warming and high oil prices were a threat to the survival of the whole human race. One of a solution to respond to these problems is to reduce energy consumption of building. By adopting energy-saving design, the dissemination of low energy building is required. Therefore, to improve energy efficiency while reducing the usage of the design method is necessary to study actively. BIM-based systems applied to buildings, scheduled to be built by reducing the amount of energy reduction technologies can be analyzed. Depending on various design and equipment to set energy savings goals, you can select an alternative. If it is possible to predict the energy efficiency from the initial stage of design and support designing low energy building, we would be able to expect improvement in the economics of housing due to the reduction of energy consumption.

  • PDF

A Study Analysis on Roof BIPV System Performance of the Apartment Building (공동주택의 지붕용 BIPV시스템 성능 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Beum;Park, Jung-Lo;Kim, Joo-Heyng;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.127-128
    • /
    • 2012
  • Exhaustion of fossil fuels and continued high oil prices, global warming, climate change and to respond to the development and use of alternative energy technologies is expanding rapidly throughout the world. Recently, character of domestic building is appearing by along with economic growth, high-rise, large size, congestion. For this reason, the amount of electrical energy used in a building is increasing. In this study, the applicability of PV modules that are used as roofing and efficiency analysis, and more from the building of BIPV modules built using the activation of alternative energy sources in Korea are aimed want done.

  • PDF

Country Analysis: Algeria

  • Mehyaoul, Quafaa
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.29-31
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose - The purpose of this country analysis is to examine its current state: economically, politically, legally, and ethically, and look at small and medium Algerian businesses to identify any issues that could hinder economic and business performance and growth. Research Design, and Methodology - This is a case study, an analytical approach, which focuses on exploring and analyzing different aspects of Algeria. Results - Since 2008, the Algerian economy has experienced a relative slowdown due to falling oil and gas prices and the economic recessions of its main trading partners, in particular, European countries. Algeria has still not managed to diversify its economy or establish competitive industrialization at the international level; it has had difficulty shifting from its economic dependence on hydrocarbons. Algerian businesses continue to face obstacles and constraints, penalized in their performance and prevented from success in a dense and competitive global marketplace. Conclusion - The Algerian economy and Algerian businesses have shown positive performance and growth over the last few decades. However, issues exist that may hinder both business and economic progress in the future.

The Study on Installation Application of Personal Rapid Transit (승객여정선택형 대중교통수단 설치적용방안 검토)

  • Jeong, Rag-Gyo;Kim, Back-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2009.04b
    • /
    • pp.195-197
    • /
    • 2009
  • The role of environment-friendly and energy-efficient rail transportation is on the rise as a "sustainable transportation means" to cope with environmental changes that are major concerns around the world. Along with the environmental problems, the CO2 inhibition issue became critical for mankind to prepare global warming and high oil prices. It has come to a point where an alternate means are needed to revitalize plans including renewable energy, bicycle utilization, and prepare new solutions for decreasing number of cars within the city The personal rapid Transit(PRT) is the revolutionary future transportation means that can replace cars to deal with ever-increasing traffic congestions, vehicles, and environmental/energy problems. Expected as an efficient means, technology development has already taken place in developed countries such as U.S., England, and Germany. To meet the future demands, PRT installation around the nation's new and existing towns is being examined to produce important factors. The factors are produced for examining the availability of system requirements during design and construction practice.

  • PDF

Improved Scheme to Manage Engineering Man-hour in a Plant Project (플랜트 프로젝트에서의 설계시간 관리 기법 개선 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Ji-Roh;Moon, Seung-Jae;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Plant Journal
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-59
    • /
    • 2009
  • The global plant construction market has grown dramatically since 2000. As the market grows, domestic EPC contractors are expanding to meet its needs and have made great strides in terms of economic indicators from a decade ago. Larger projects involve a number of risk factors, such as volatile oil prices, however, and thus require quantitative and elaborate project management techniques for the ultimate success of a project's profitability. In addition, many Korean companies face difficulties in predicting potential risks and problems due to a lack of experience in dealing with the global market trend toward projects based on the Cost-re(Cost Reimbursable) contract as opposed to those based on the LSTK(Lumpsum Turnkey) contract. This study will examine methods and types of man-hour management according to plant project contract types. Further, it will explore the man-hour management system for successful completion of projects by satisfying the client's needs and enhancing the convenience in engineers' using the system. Additionally, this study will analyze the current system and identify its problems to address potential problems.

  • PDF