• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.99-104
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• 2016

Road Sink Phenomenon (RSP) is one of the major issues in South Korea. National and local governments are trying to develop effective preventive measures against the RSP. Developing the policy-oriented RSP management is most important to minimize possible losses induced by RSP. In this study, we employed the Futures Wheel (FW) method to derive influence factors for RSP management. FW method is widely used for predicting future social-environmental condition. In addition, RAND Corporation's method is used to derive potential strategic agenda based on derived influence factors by FW method. These derived strategic agenda can contribute to develop the policies related with RSP management.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.154-161
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• 2009

Thanks to the circumstance of digital convergence, most of the world TV and radio stations are gearing up for digitalisation of broadcasting. In this flux, digital switchover in South Korea should be completed by 2012 when transmission of analogue broadcasting signal will be ceased. According to the report, it shows only over 30% take up roughly so far, but there is no official survey from relevant organisation. It is very comparable with British digital switchover which is same year as S. Korea and has been reported 88% take up as of 2008 Q2. Yet the digital switchover in S. Korea inferred from this current is not a rosy future and even seems to be perilous. The purpose of this paper is to predict the media future of S. Korea at the view point of futurology and draw out the possibilities which enable to affect viewing behavior. In order to analyse it applies the futures wheel which is one of useful tools for future work. Consequently it suggests a number of scenarios how to cope with the impending situation in S. Korea.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.14 no.12
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• pp.141-153
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is to predict future of wage-peak system by using text mining, futures wheel and polarity voting (+, -) techniques after reviewing a variety of documents. For this study, we collected articles, news articles, SNS(Twitter, Blog), research report documents. Above all, we extracted keywords for main subject words by utilizing text mining techniques. Next, we drew a final conclusion about future of wage-peak system by using futures wheel and polarity voting techniques. The result showed that future of wage peak system is positive. Two of five main topics were negatively predicted (favor/oppose of wage-peak system, solving task of wage-peak system), however, three of five main topics were positively predicted (background of wage-peak system, purpose/reason of wage-peak system, alternative wage-peak system). Therefore, because three of the five main topics were positively predicted, the future for wage-peak system is positive.

• The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.69-89
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• 2006

Due to the technological developments and industrial changes , studying for the future has been attached great importance. According to the forthcoming ubiquitous computing environment or smart environment, it is necessary for a country and an enterprise to forecast the future or foresight the future technologies . Although many countries have been doing the foresight, it is difficult for the enterprise to try future foresight activity, because the foresight activity needs lots of the costs and time for good results. Also, almost methodologies used in foresight are suitable for country level foresight projects. In this research, a methodology is developed for an enterprise to use easily, and a case based on the proposed methodology is presented. The proposed foresight methodology is developed based on the traditional forecasting methods, FAR, Future Wheel, and Scenario. Especially, the methodology focused on the customers of a company.

• Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.757-769
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to investigate the key factors affecting the future college of education and describe two scenarios for prospecting the future college of education. In these scenarios, two important factors are selected to influence the college of education : 'Expansion of the marketization' and 'Development of technology'. As a result, two different scenarios have been identified. Scenario 1 is 'College of education realizing user centered education by development of the marketization and technology'. Scenarios 2 is 'College of education realizing welfare and the public of edaucaiton by using technology'. This study has some significance to the college of education in Korea in following aspects. 1) It applies future research methodology in method aspect 2) It arouses attention to the future college of education and reminds probabilities of change in context aspect.