• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future Prediction

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Predictive model for the shear strength of concrete beams reinforced with longitudinal FRP bars

  • Alzabeebee, Saif;Dhahir, Moahmmed K.;Keawsawasvong, Suraparb
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.84 no.2
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2022
  • Corrosion of steel reinforcement is considered as the main cause of concrete structures deterioration, especially those under humid environmental conditions. Hence, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) bars are being increasingly used as a replacement for conventional steel owing to their non-corrodible characteristics. However, predicting the shear strength of beams reinforced with FRP bars still challenging due to the lack of robust shear theory. Thus, this paper aims to develop an explicit data driven based model to predict the shear strength of FRP reinforced beams using multi-objective evolutionary polynomial regression analysis (MOGA-EPR) as data driven models learn the behavior from the input data without the need to employee a theory that aid the derivation, and thus they have an enhanced accuracy. This study also evaluates the accuracy of predictive models of shear strength of FRP reinforced concrete beams employed by different design codes by calculating and comparing the values of the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean (𝜇), standard deviation of the mean (𝜎), coefficient of determination (R2), and percentage of prediction within error range of ±20% (a20-index). Experimental database has been developed and employed in the model learning, validation, and accuracy examination. The statistical analysis illustrated the robustness of the developed model with MAE, RMSE, 𝜇, 𝜎, R2, and a20-index of 14.6, 20.8, 1.05, 0.27, 0.85, and 0.61, respectively for training data and 10.4, 14.1, 0.98, 0.25, 0.94, and 0.60, respectively for validation data. Furthermore, the developed model achieved much better predictions than the standard predictive models as it scored lower MAE, RMSE, and 𝜎, and higher R2 and a20-index. The new model can be used in future with confidence in optimized designs as its accuracy is higher than standard predictive models.

Estimated Analysis for Runway Occupancy Time Improvement (활주로 점유 시간 개선의 효과성 예측 분석)

  • GwangHoon Park;GumSeock Kang;SungKwan Ku
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.666-673
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    • 2023
  • The runway occupancy time of landing aircraft is an important factor in determining runway capacity. The purpose of this study is to suggest improvement measures for runway occupancy time to improve the operation of existing airports. In order to derive improvement measures, a comparative analysis was conducted on the effectiveness of improvement using aircraft operation status data for specific days at the case airport. The FAA REDIM model was used to analyze the improvement plan, and the improvement application function of the model was used to confirm the effect of improving runway capacity by adding a rapid escape taxiway to an airport without a rapid escape taxiway. This study's approach can be applied to the derivation of runway improvement measures and preliminary prediction of effectiveness, and it presents cases that can be applied to future airport construction projects or airport improvement projects.

MLP Based Real-Time Gravity Disturbance Compensation in INS Embedded Computer (다층 레이어 퍼셉트론 기반 INS 내장형 컴퓨터에서의 실시간 중력교란 보상)

  • Hyun-seok Kim;Hyung-soo Kim;Yun-hyuk Choi;Yun-chul Cho;Chan-sik Park
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.674-684
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, a real-time prediction technique for gravity disturbances is proposed using a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) model. To select a suitable MLP model, 4 models with different network sizes were designed to compare the training accuracy and execution time. The MLP models were trained using the data of vehicle moving along the surface of the sea or land, including their positions and gravity disturbance. The gravity disturbances were calculated using the 2160th degree and order EGM2008 with SHM. Among the models, MLP4 demonstrated the highest training accuracy. After training, the weights and biases of the 4 models were stored in the embedded computer of the INS to implement the MLP network. MLP4 was found to have the shortest execution time among the 4 models. These research results are expected to contribute to improving the navigation accuracy of INS through gravity disturbance compensation in the future.

Forecasting Market trends of technologies using Bigdata (빅데이터를 이용한 기술 시장동향 예측)

  • Mi-Seon Choi;Yong-Hwack Cho;Jin-Hwa Kim
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2023
  • As the need for the use of big data increases, various analysis activities using big data, including SNS data, are being carried out in individuals, companies, and countries. However, existing research on predicting technology market trends has been mainly conducted using expert-dependent or patent or literature research-based data, and objective technology prediction using big data is needed. Therefore, this study aims to present a model for predicting future technologies through decision tree analysis, visualization analysis, and percentage analysis with data from social network services (SNS). As a result of the study, percentage analysis was better able to predict positive techniques compared to other analysis results, and visualization analysis was better able to predict negative techniques compared to other analysis results. The decision tree analysis was also able to make meaningful predictions.

A Review of the Methods for the Estimation of the Explosion Parameters for Gas Explosions (가스 폭발에 따른 폭발 인자 추정을 위한 방법 고찰)

  • Minju Kim;Jeewon Lee;Sangki Kwon
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.73-92
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    • 2023
  • With the increase of risk of gas explosion, various methods for indirectly estimating the explosion paramaters, which are required for the prediction of gas explosion scale and impact. In this study, the characteristics of the most frequently used methods such as TNT equivalent method, TNO multi-energy method, and BST method and the processes for determining the parameters of the methods were compared. In the case of TNT equivalent method, an adequate selection of the efficiency factor for various conditions such as the type of vapor cloud explosion and explosion material is needed. There is no objective guidelines for the selection of class number in TNO multi-energy method and it is not possible to estimate negative overpressure. It was found that there were some mistakes in the reported parameter values and suggested corrected values. BST method provides more detailed guidelines for the estimation of the explosion parameters including negative overpressure, but the graphs used in this methods are not clear. In order to overcome the problem, the graphs were redrawn. A more convenient estimation of explosion parameters with the numerical expression of the redrawn graphs will be available in the future.

A Study on Improving Shock Absorption Test of Safety Helmet (안전모의 충격 흡수성 시험 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Sang Woo Shim;Yong Su Sim;Jong Bin Lee;Seong Rok Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2023
  • In this study, 50 ABE-type hard hats were procured from five certified commercial manufacturers, and shock absorption tests were conducted in accordance with Protective Equipment Safety Certification Notice No. 2020-35. The tests were performed under both high- and low-temperature conditions, adhering to safety helmet testing standards. The highest shock transmission ranges were recorded in the tests, with an average energy range of 2,600-4,108 N at high temperatures and 2,316-3,991 N at low temperatures. All five hard hat models demonstrated a maximum transmitted impact force below 4,450 N, without any loss of cap and attachment functionality, confirming their compliance with performance standards. Furthermore, we evaluated the side impact performance of the safety helmets of each company, with an average range of 4,722-5,267 N. Company A exhibited the lowest measurement at 4,722 N. Comparing these results with international safety standards and the national shock absorption test criteria, it was observed that the maximum transmitted shock value using government-specified impact weight falls within the range of 4,450-5,000 N. However, it was noted that developed countries have established specific standards for the side impact forces on safety helmets, which are legally mandated. Consequently, it is imperative for South Korea to enhance its safety helmet side impact performance test methodology to align with domestic standards in the future.

Prediction model for dental implants utilization in the elderly after the national health insurance coverage of dental implants: focusing on socioeconomic factors (치과 임플란트 국민건강보험 급여화 이후 노인의 치과 임플란트 이용에 대한 예측 모형: 사회경제적 요인 중심으로)

  • Sang-Hee Lee;Kyu-Seok Kim;Hye-Young Mun;Jung-Yun Kang
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: The demand for dental care is expected to increase as the population ages. This study aimed to predict the utilization of dental implant care following the expansion of national health insurance benefits for dental implants. Methods: Multiple linear regression analysis was performed on HIRA big data open portal data and DNN-based artificial intelligence models to forecast the utilization of dental care in relation to the national health insurance coverage for dental implants. Results: National health insurance coverage of dental implants was found to be associated with the number of patients using dental implant services and demonstrated a statistical significance. The dental implant services utilization increased with the increased dental implant health insurance benefits for the elderly population, increased mean by region, increased number of dental institutions by region, and increased health insurance coverage rate for dental implants. However, the dental implant services utilization decreased with the increased number of older people living alone and increased size of dental institutions. Conclusions: With the expansion of the national health insurance coverage for dental implants, it is predicted that the utilization of dental implant medical services will increase in the future.

Energy-Efficient Operation Simulation of Factory HVAC System based on Machine Learning (머신러닝 기반 공장 HVAC 시스템의 에너지 효율화 운영 시뮬레이션)

  • Seok-Ju Lee;Van Quan Dao
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2024
  • The global decrease in traditional energy resources has prompted increasing energy demand, necessitating efforts to replace and optimize energy sources. This study focuses on enhancing energy efficiency in manufacturing plants, known for their high energy consumption. Through simulations and analyses, the study proposes a temperature-based control system for HVAC (Heating, Ventilating, and Air Conditioning) operations, utilizing machine learning algorithms to predict and optimize factory temperatures. The results indicate that this approach, particularly the prediction-based free cooling algorithm, can achieve over 10% energy savings compared to existing systems. This paper presents that implementing an efficient HVAC control system can significantly reduce overall factory energy consumption, with plans to apply it to real factories in the future.

Changes and Perspects in the Regulation on Medical Device Approval Report Review, etc. : Focus on Traditional Korean Medical Devices (의료기기 허가·신고·심사 등에 관한 규정 변화와 전망 : 한의 의료기기 중심으로)

  • DaeJin Kim;Byunghee Choi;Taeyeung Kim;Sunghee Jung;Woosuk Kang
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2024
  • Objective : In order to understand the changes in domestic approval regulations applicable to traditional Korean medical device companies, this article will explain the major amendments 「Regulation on Medical Device Approval Report Review, etc.」 from 2005 to the present on a year-by-year basis, and provide a counter plan to the recent changes in approval regulations. Methods : We analysed the changes in approval regulatory amendments related to the traditional Korean medical devices from 2005 to the present. Results : The Ministry of Food and Drug Safety is continuously improving medical device approval regulations to ensure the global competitiveness of domestic medical devices and contribute to the improvement of public health. Recent major approval regulatory amendments include the establishment of a review system for software medical devices and digital therapeutics, the recognition of real world evidence materials, the introduction of a biological evaluation of medical devices within a risk management process and a medical device approval licence renewal system. Conclusions : It is expected that the range of medical devices available to Korean medicine doctors will continue to expand in the future through the provision of non-face-to-face medical services and the development of advanced and new medical devices, as well as wearable medical devices and digital therapeutics. In order to increase the market entry potential of traditional Korean medical devices that incorporate advanced technologies such as digital technology and AI-based diagnosis and prediction technology, it is urgent that the government provide significant support to traditional Korean medical device companies to improve approval regulatory compliance.

Development of the Artificial Intelligence Literacy Education Program for Preservice Secondary Teachers (예비 중등교사를 위한 인공지능 리터러시 교육 프로그램 개발)

  • Bong Seok Jang
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.16 no.1_spc
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2024
  • As the interest in AI education grows, researchers have made efforts to implement AI education programs. However, research targeting pre-service teachers has been limited thus far. Therefore, this study was conducted to develop an AI literacy education program for preservice secondary teachers. The research results revealed that the weekly topics included the definition and applications of AI, analysis of intelligent agents, the importance of data, understanding machine learning, hands-on exercises on prediction and classification, hands-on exercises on clustering and classification, hands-on exercises on unstructured data, understanding deep learning, application of deep learning algorithms, fairness, transparency, accountability, safety, and social integration. Through this research, it is hoped that AI literacy education programs for preservice teachers will be expanded. In the future, it is anticipated that follow-up studies will be conducted to implement relevant education in teacher training institutions and analyze its effectiveness.