• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood risk index

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Study on the Method of Development of Road Flood Risk Index by Estimation of Real-time Rainfall Using the Coefficient of Correlation Weighting Method (상관계수가중치법을 적용한 실시간 강우량 추정에 따른 도로 침수위험지수 개발 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eunmi;Rhee, Kyung Hyun;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.478-489
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    • 2014
  • Recently, flood damage by frequent localized downpours in cities are on the increase on account of abnormal climate phenomena and growth of impermeable area by urbanization. In this study, we are focused on flooding on roads which is the basis of all means of transportation. To calculate real-time accumulated rainfall on a road link, we use the Coefficient of Correlation Weighting method (CCW) which is one of the revised methods of missing rainfall as we consider a road link as a unobserved rainfall site. CCW and real-time accumulated rainfall entered through the Internet are used to estimate the real-time rainfall on a road link. Together with the real-time accumulated rainfall, flooding history, rainfall range causing flooding of a road link and frequency probability precipitation for road design are used as factors to determine the Flood Risk Index on roads. We simulated two cases in the past, July, 7th, 2009 and July, 15th, 2012 in Busan. As a result, all of road links included in the actual flooded roads at that time got the high level of flood risk index.

Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level (분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Song, Inhong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

A Study on the Development of the Flood Risk Index for Roads Considering Real-time Rainfall (실시간 강수량을 고려한 도로 침수위험지수 개발 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eunmi;Hwang, Hyun Suk;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.610-618
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    • 2013
  • The damaged district by flooding has been changed from mainly farmland to cities due to the weather phenomena which is different from the past. This has caused not only irreparable damage of people's lives and property but social infrastructures. There also exist serious damages such as isolation of drivers and traffic jam as the roads were flooded. In this study, we suggested a method to develop a flood risk index focused on not Si, Gun or Gu but roads. In addition, flood risk index in the roads just at the moment, when it rains quantitatively, will be provided by using real-time rainfall information provided by the Weather Center. Then it should be helpful to prevent people from being isolated by flooded roads in advance.

Development of integrated disaster mapping method (II) : disaster mapping with risk analysis (통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(II) : 리스크 분석을 적용한 재해지도 작성)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

Vulnerability Analysis in the Nakdong River Basin for the Utilization of Flood Risk Mapping (홍수위험지도 활용을 위한 낙동강 유역에서의 홍수취약도 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Cho, Wan-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.203-222
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    • 2011
  • The characteristics of flood damages have been increasingly strengthened and take the form of unpredictable and unusual weather phenomena caused by climate change and climate anomalies. To prevent inundation damage caused by breach of hydraulic structure such as dam or levee, and trouble of drainage of inner basin, the prediction necessity of flood inundation area, flood risk analysis, and drawing flood risk maps have been on the rise, and the national flood risk maps have been produced. In this study, the quantitative flood vulnerability analysis was performed, which represents population living within flood-affected areas, types of economic activities, facilities affected by flood, in order to extend flood risk mapping from simple hazard concept into risk based idea. By applying it to Nakdong River basin, the flood vulnerability indices were estimated to draw flood risk maps subdivided into administrative districts. The result of this study can be applied to establish the disaster prevention measures and priority decision of disaster prevention project.

Urban Flood Vulnerability Assessment Based on FCDM and PSR Framework

  • Quan Feng;Seong Cheol Shin;Wonjoon Wang;Junhyeong Lee;Kyunghun Kim;Hung Soo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.181-181
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    • 2023
  • Flood is a major threat to human society, and scientific assessment of flood risk in human living areas is an important task. In this study, two different methods were used to evaluate the flood in Ulsan City, and the results were comprehensively compared and analyzed. Based on the fuzzy mathematics and VIKOR method of the multi-objective decision system, similar evaluation results were obtained in the study area. The results show that due to the large number of rivers in Ulsan City and the relatively high exposure index, the whole city faces a high risk of flooding. However, fuzzy mathematics theory pays more attention to the negative impact of floods on people, and the adaptability in the Nam-gu District is lower. In contrast, the VIKOR method pays more attention to the positive role of the economy and population in flood protection, and thus obtains a higher score. Both approaches demonstrate that the city of Ulsan faces a high risk of flooding and that its citizens and policymakers need to invest in preventing flood damage.

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Estimation of the Flash Flood Index by the Probable Rainfall Data for Ungauged Catchments (미계측 유역에서의 확률강우에 대한 돌발홍수지수 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Choi, Hyun-Il;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2010
  • As there occurs recently and frequently a flash flood due to the climate change, a sudden local flood of great volume and short duration caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time over a small area, it is increasing that significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as the whole world. Since a flash flood usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small steep slope regions and has rapid runoff and debris flow, a flood rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning to prevent flood damage. The aim of this study is to quantify the severity of flash food by estimation of a flash flood index(FFI) from probability rainfall data in a study basin. FFI-D-F(FFI-Duration-Frequency) curves that present the relative severity of flash flood are developed for a study basin to provide regional basic information for the local flood forecasting and warning system particularly in ungauged catchments. It is also expected that FFI-D-F curves can be utilized for evaluation on flash flood mitigation ability and residual flood risk of both existing and planned flood control facilities.

Establishment of Flood Risk Index for Flood Management (치수특성평가를 위한 홍수위험지수 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Lim, Kwang-Suop;Choi, Si-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.342-346
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    • 2009
  • 홍수피해를 발생시키는 외부적인 요소 측면에서 과거와는 다른 강우특성이 뚜렷이 나타나고 있고, 홍수 피해의 측면에서 홍수에 의한 피해 잠재성이 매우 커지고 있는 시점에서 치수대책은 내 외부적인 여건변화에 민감하게 대처해야 한다. 수자원장기종합계획보고서(국토해양부, 2006)에서는 과거와 같은 제방위주의 치수대책으로는 변화하고 있는 강우상황에 대처할 수 없을 뿐만 아니라 급증하는 홍수피해를 줄이기에는 한계가 있다고 강조하고 있다. 따라서 이와 같은 내 외부적인 환경변화에 대응하기 위해 새로운 패러다임의 홍수대책의 수립이 필요하고, 급변하는 기후변동에 의한 유역의 홍수취약성을 파악하기 위한 지표를 개발하여 치수 정책과 관련 사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 체계가 뒷받침 되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 P(Pressure, 압력)-S(State, 현상)-R(Response, 대책) 구성체계를 기반으로 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)를 개발하여 유역 간 홍수의 취약성 비교 분석을 하고 해당 지역의 주된 취약요인을 파악하여 정부 및 지자체의 치수관련 정책 결정을 효과적으로 지원할 수 있도록 하는데 목적이 있다.

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A Study on Potential Flood Damage Classification and characteristic analysis (시군별 홍수위험잠재능 유형화 및 특성분석)

  • Kim, Soo-Jin;Eun, Sang-Kyu;Kim, Seong-Pil;Bae, Seung-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2017
  • Climate change is intensifying storms and floods around the world. Where nature has been destroyed by development, communities are at risk from these intensified climate patterns. This study was to suggest a methodology for estimating flood vulnerability using Potential Flood Damage(PFD) concept and classify city/county about Potential Flood Damage(PFD) using various typology techniques. To evaluate the PFD at a spatial resolutions of city/county units, the 20 representative evaluation indexing factors were carefully selected for the three categories such as damage target(FDT), damage potential(FDP) and prevention ability(FPA). The three flood vulnerability indices of FDT, FDP and FPA were applied for the 167 cities and counties in Korea for the pattern classification of potential flood damage. Potential Flood Damage(PFD) was classified by using grouping analysis, decision tree analysis, and cluster analysis, and characteristics of each type were analyzed. It is expected that the suggested PFD can be utilized as the useful flood vulnerability index for more rational and practical risk management plans against flood damage.

Inflow Characteristics of Debris Flow and Risk Assessment for Different Shapes of Defensive Structure (방어구조물 형상에 따른 토석류의 유입특성과 위험도 평가)

  • Oh, Seung Myeong;Song, Chang Geun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the inflow characteristics of debris flow according to shape of defensive structure and computed risk index. In order to simulate debris flow, two shapes of defensive structure were considered. Initial mass distribution was set with a rectangular shape and defensive structures were set semi-circular shape and rectangular shape, respectively. It was found that a defensive structure with semicircular shape was more vulnerable to debris impact compared with rectangular shape because the flow mass became concentrated in quadrant part of the inner circle. If the velocity of the debris flow was less than 1 m/s, the risk assessment by FII (Flood Intensity Index) was much appropriate. However, when the movement of debris runout was faster than 1 m/s, the risk index of FHR (Flood Hazard Rating) provided improved classification due to its subdivided hazardous range.