• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme Values

Search Result 408, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

SWAT model calibration/validation using SWAT-CUP I: analysis for uncertainties of objective functions (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 SWAT 모형 검·보정 I: 목적함수에 따른 불확실성 분석)

  • Yu, Jisoo;Noh, Joonwoo;Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-56
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to quantify the uncertainty that can be induced by the objective function when calibrating SWAT parameters using SWAT-CUP. SWAT model was constructed to estimate runoff in Naesenong-cheon, which is the one of mid-watershed in Nakdong River basin, and then automatic calibration was performed using eight objective functions (R2, bR2, NS, MNS, KGE, PBIAS, RSR, and SSQR). The optimum parameter sets obtained from each objective function showed different ranges, and thus the corresponding hydrologic characteristics of simulated data were also derived differently. This is because each objective function is sensitive to specific hydrologic signatures and evaluates model performance in an unique way. In other words, one objective function might be sensitive to the residual of the extreme value, so that well produce the peak value, whereas ignores the average or low flow residuals. Therefore, the hydrological similarity between the simulated and measured values was evaluated in order to select the optimum objective function. The hydrologic signatures, which include not only the magnitude, but also the ratio of the inclining and declining time in hydrograph, were defined to consider the timing of the flow occurrence, the response of watershed, and the increasing and decreasing trend. The results of evaluation were quantified by scoring method, and hence the optimal objective functions for SWAT parameter calibration were determined as MNS (342.48) and SSQR (346.45) with the highest total scores.

Flood Routing of Sequential Failure of Dams by Numerical Model (수치모형을 이용한 순차적 댐 붕괴 모의)

  • Park, Se Jin;Han, Kun Yeun;Choi, Hyun Gu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1797-1807
    • /
    • 2013
  • Dams always have the possibility of failure due to unexpected natural phenomena. In particular, dam failure can cause huge damage including damage for humans and properties when dam downstream regions are densely populated or have important national facilities. Although many studies have been conducted on the analysis of flood waves about single dam failure thus far, studies on the analysis of flood waves about the sequential failure of dams are lacking. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to calculate the peak discharge of sequential failure of dams through flood wave analysis of sequential failure of dams and this analysis techniques to predict flood wave propagation situation in downstream regions. To this end, failure flood wave analysis were conducted for Lawn Lake Dam which is a case of sequential failure of dams among actual failure cases using DAMBRK to test the suitability of the dam failure flood wave analysis model. Based on the results, flood wave analysis of sequential failure of dams were conducted for A dam in Korea assuming a virtual extreme flood to predict flood wave propagation situations and 2-dimensional flood wave analysis were conducted for major flooding points. Then, the 1, 2-dimensional flood wave analysis were compared and analyzed. The results showed goodness-of-fit values exceeding 90% and thus the accuracy of the 1-dimensional sequential failure of dams simulation could be identified. The results of this study are considered to be able to contribute to the provision of basic data for the establishment of disaster prevention measures for rivers related to sequential failure of dams.

Contamination and Risk Analysis of Heavy Metals in Korean Foods (국내식품의 중금속 오염과 위해성 분셕)

  • 이서래;이미경
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.324-332
    • /
    • 2001
  • Foods constitute a large portion of heavy metal exposure toward general population and attract a deep concern with respect to assuring human health. This study summarized published data in Korea on the content, and dietary intake of heavy metals and assessed their risk potential in comparison with foreign data. An analysis for the yearly fluctuation of metal contents including arsenic, cadmium, mercury and lead by flood group (marine fishes, coastal shellfishes, freshwater fishes, cereal grains) exhibited a decreasing trend from the 1970s to the 1990s. When compared with domestic standards of heavy metals, their mean contents were below the limit and their maximum values seldom exceeded the limit. The data on the dietary intake of heavy metals by Koreans showed a decreasing trend from the 1980s to the 1990s. The average intakes offs and Hg were 6∼8% and those of Cd and Pb were 50∼80% of PTWI(provisional tolerable weekly intake), all of which were below the tolerance. As the extreme intakes of these metals may exceed the PTWI, a careful assessment for them may be necessary. Dietary intakes of Cd, Hg and Pb by Koreans lie in the mid-level among countries cited in the GEMS/Food monitoring data. As fishery foods are suspecious of contamination with Hg, Cd and As, and floods in general are with Pb, it is necessary to establish legal limits for these metals and monitor any progress of their contamination. Furthermore, overall assessment of exposure to heavy metals from all sources including floods, air, drinking water and occupation should be made in order to confirm the dietary risk factors and to assure the safety of food resources.

  • PDF

A Comprehensive Dosimetric Analysis of Inverse Planned Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy and Multistatic Fields Technique for Left Breast Radiotherapy (좌측 유방 방사선치료를 위한 역치료계획의 세기변조방사선치료와 다중빔조사영역치료기법 사이의 포괄적 선량측정 분석)

  • Moon, Sung-Kwon;Youn, Seon-Min
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-49
    • /
    • 2010
  • Purpose: This aim of this study is to analyze the dosimetric difference between intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) using 3 or 5 beams and MSF in the radiotherapy of the left breast. Materials and Methods: We performed a comparative analysis of two radiotherapy modalities that can achieve improved dose homogeneity. First is the multistatic fields technique that simultaneously uses both major and minor irradiation fields. The other is IMRT, which employs 3 or 5 beams using a fixed multileaf collimator. We designed treatment plans for 16 early left breast cancer patients who had taken breast conservation surgery and radiotherapy, and analyzed them from a dosimetric standpoint. Results: For the mean values of $V_{95}$ and dose homogeneity index, no statistically significant difference was observed among the three therapies. Extreme hot spots receiving over 110% of the prescribed dose were not found in any of the three methods. A Tukey test performed on IMRT showed a significantly larger increase in exposure dose to the ipsilateral lung and heart than multistatic fields technique (MSF) in the low-dose area, but in the high-dose area, MSF showed a slight increase. Conclusion: In order to improve dose homogeneity, the application of MSF, which can be easily planned and applied more widely, is considered an optimal alternative to IMRT for radiotherapy of early left breast cancer.

Effect of Antemortem and Postmortem Environmental Temperatures on Biochemical Metabolism and Tenderness in Chicken Muscels (도계처리 전후의 환경온도가 계육의 생화학적 대사 및 연도에 미치는 영향)

  • 이유방
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.24-30
    • /
    • 1979
  • 1. The effects of heat stress (38$^{\circ}C$), cold stress (4$^{\circ}C$) and extreme cold stress (-20$^{\circ}C$) before slaughter on the tenderness and postmortem glycolysis if the excised chicken breast muscle were studied Heat stress significantly (p 0.05) increased the toughness of breast muscle. Though statistically not significant, cold stress also adversely affected the tenderness. The heat-stressed birds showed higher zero hr glycogen higher zero hr pH and significantly (p 0.05) love. ultimate pH then the controls. The cold-stressed birds showed intermediate values in these parameters. Highly significant correlations. were observed between shear value and each of these three parameters. Glycolysis rate ana final moisture content were minor factors which affected the muscle tenderness to a limited extent. The slightly elevated lactate-dehydrogenase and creatine phosphokinase activities in serum and breast muscle of stressed birds failed to account for any variations in tenderness. 2. Chicken breast and thigh muscles were subjected to different environmental temperatures to determine if the phenomenon of cold shortening exists in chicken muscle. For both breast and thigh muscles, minimum shortening was observed in the 4-10$^{\circ}C$t range. Muscles held at 0$^{\circ}C$ showed a slightly higher extent of shortening than at 4$^{\circ}C$; where as muscles held at above 20$^{\circ}C$ showed a severe shortening effect. It was concluded that no apparent cold shortening was detected in chicken muscle except at 0$^{\circ}C$ and even at 0$^{\circ}C$ and even at 0$^{\circ}C$ the extent of shortening was of a small magnitude compared to bovine muscles. Since high temperature induces a much greater shortening, muscle temperature must be lowered to below 20$^{\circ}C$ as early as possible to prevent excessive muse]e shortening.

  • PDF

Analysis of Land Use Change Using RCP-Based Dyna-CLUE Model in the Hwangguji River Watershed (RCP 시나리오 기반 Dyna-CLUE 모형을 이용한 황구지천 유역의 토지이용변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Park, Jihoon;Song, Inhong;Song, Jung-Hun;Jun, Sang Min;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.33-49
    • /
    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to predict land use change based on the land use change scenarios for the Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea. The land use change scenario was derived from the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The CLUE (conversion of land use and its effects) model was used to simulate the land use change. The CLUE is the modeling framework to simulate land use change considering empirically quantified relations between land use types and socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors through dynamical modeling. The Hwangguji river watershed, South Korea was selected as study area. Future land use changes in 2040, 2070, and 2100 were analyzed relative to baseline (2010) under the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Binary logistic regressions were carried out to identify the relation between land uses and its driving factors. CN (Curve number) and impervious area based on the RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were calculated and analyzed using the results of future land use changes. The land use change simulation of the RCP4.5 scenario resulted that the area of urban was forecast to increase by 12% and the area of forest was estimated to decrease by 16% between 2010 and 2100. The land use change simulation of the RCP8.5 scenario resulted that the area of urban was forecast to increase by 16% and the area of forest was estimated to decrease by 18% between 2010 and 2100. The values of Kappa and multiple resolution procedure were calculated as 0.61 and 74.03%. CN (III) and impervious area were increased by 0-1 and 0-8% from 2010 to 2100, respectively. The study findings may provide a useful tool for estimating the future land use change, which is an important factor for the future extreme flood.

The Third Version of the Copenhagen Psychosocial Questionnaire

  • Burr, Hermann;Berthelsen, Hanne;Moncada, Salvador;Nubling, Matthias;Dupret, Emilie;Demiral, Yucel;Oudyk, John;Kristensen, Tage S.;Llorens, Clara;Navarro, Albert;Lincke, Hans-Joachim;Bocerean, Christine;Sahan, Ceyda;Smith, Peter;Pohrt, Anne
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.482-503
    • /
    • 2019
  • Introduction: A new third version of the Copenhagen Psychosocial Questionnaire (COPSOQ III) has been developed in response to trends in working life, theoretical concepts, and international experience. A key component of the COPSOQ III is a defined set of mandatory core items to be included in national short, middle, and long versions of the questionnaire. The aim of the present article is to present and test the reliability of the new international middle version of the COPSOQ III. Methods: The questionnaire was tested among 23,361 employees during 2016-2017 in Canada, Spain, France, Germany, Sweden, and Turkey. A total of 26 dimensions (measured through scales or single items) of the middle version and two from the long version were tested. Psychometric properties of the dimensions were assessed regarding reliability (Cronbach α), ceiling and floor effects (fractions with extreme answers), and distinctiveness (correlations with other dimensions). Results: Most international middle dimensions had satisfactory reliability in most countries, though some ceiling and floor effects were present. Dimensions with missing values were rare. Most dimensions had low to medium intercorrelations. Conclusions: The COPSOQ III offers reliable and distinct measures of a wide range of psychosocial dimensions of modern working life in different countries; although a few measures could be improved. Future testing should focus on validation of the COPSOQ items and dimensions using both qualitative and quantitative approaches. Such investigations would enhance the basis for recommendations using the COPSOQ III.

Scattered Point Noise Filtering Method for Image Reconstruction Performance Enhancing of White Light Interfrometry (높이영상에 산포되어 있는 점 노이즈 처리를 통한 백색광 간섭계의 영상 복원력 향상)

  • Yim, Hae-Dong;Lee, Min-Woo;Lee, Seung-Gol;Park, Se-Geun;Lee, El-Hang;O, Beom-Hoan
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-25
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, in order to enhance the image reconstruction performance of white light scanning interferometry(WLI), we demonstrate the scattered point noise filtering performance of post-processing methods. Median filtering is similar to using an averaging filter. Because the median value is less sensitive than the mean to extreme values, the median filter can remove the scattered point noise from a height-map without significantly reducing the sharpness of the image. In several specific cases, however, the median filter can't remove the scattered point noise. Therefore, we propose a comparative mean filter that uses order-statistic filtering and the mean of the neighborhood pixels. The performance is demonstrated by measuring an array of metal solder balls fabricated on PCB. The proposed method reduced the noise pixels by 4.4 percent.

Usability Evaluation of Lateral Sliding Table in CT Examination (CT 검사에서 Lateral Sliding Table의 유용성 평가)

  • Choi, Jeong Hun;Kong, Chang gi;Song, Jong Nam;Han, Jae Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.677-684
    • /
    • 2020
  • Miscentering in the left and right X axis direction during CT examination affects dose and quality. When the CT Gantry Isocenter and the center of the examination objective are matched using the Lateral Sliding Table, the image quality is improved and the exposure dose is reduced. CTDI Head Phantom (Kimda, Korea) and dosimeter (Ray Safe, Sweden) were used to measure dose comparison CTDI (mGy) due to center deviation, and Water Phantom (HITACHI, Japan) was used to measure noise to see the difference in uniformity due to center deviation. Measurements of doses for dose comparison CTDI (mGy) with a deviation showed that doses were consistently reduced and exact dose was not projected until they were moved to 80 mm by 20 mm from the Isocenter. SD values were measured to see the difference in uniformity due to center deviation and the noise continued to increase until it was moved by 20 mm to 80 mm. The range of collimation has increased by the extent of deviating from the center and the range of exposure has increased. Using the Lateral Sliding Table, you can easily adjust the Isocenter, increase the quality of the image by adjusting the Isocenter in areaa such as the cardiac examination of the location away from the Isocenter, Extreme bone and Shoulder, and greatly reduce the collimation to the Isocenter, so it can be used to reduce unnecessary exposure dose.

Classification of Atmospheric Vertical Environment Associated with Heavy Rainfall using Long-Term Radiosonde Observational Data, 1997~2013 (장기간(1997~2013) 라디오존데 관측 자료를 활용한 집중호우 시 연직대기환경 유형 분류)

  • Jung, Sueng-Pil;In, So-Ra;Kim, Hyun-Wook;Sim, JaeKwan;Han, Sang-Ok;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.611-622
    • /
    • 2015
  • Heavy rainfall ($>30mm\;hr^{-1}$) over the Korean Peninsula is examined in order to understand thermo-dynamic characteristics of the atmosphere, using radiosonde observational data from seven upper-air observation stations during the last 17 years (1997~2013). A total of 82 heavy rainfall cases during the summer season (June-August) were selected for this study. The average values of thermo-dynamic indices of heavy rainfall events are Total Precipitable Water (TPW) = 60 mm, Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) = $850J\;kg^{-1}$, Convective Inhibition (CIN) = $15J\;kg^{-1}$, Storm Relative Helicity (SRH) = $160m^2s^{-2}$, and 0~3 km bulk wind shear = $5s^{-1}$. About 34% of the cases were associated with a Changma front; this pattern is more significant than other synoptic pressure patterns such as troughs (22%), migratory cyclones (15%), edges of high-pressure (12%), typhoons (11%), and low-pressure originating from Changma fronts (6%). The spatial distribution of thermo-dynamic conditions (CAPE and SRH) is similar to the range of thunderstorms over the United States, but extreme conditions (supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes) did not appear in the Korean Peninsula. Synoptic conditions, vertical buoyancy (CAPE, CIN), and wind parameters (SRH, shear) are shown to discriminate among the environments of the three types. The first type occurred with high CAPE and low wind shear by the edge of the high pressure pattern, but Second type is related to Changma front and typhoon, exhibiting low CAPE and high wind shear. The last type exhibited characteristics intermediate between the first and second types, such as moderate CAPE and wind shear near the migratory cyclone and trough.