• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expected Total Cost

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A Case Study on Sensitivity Analysis of KHP Total Ownership Cost (KHP 총소유비용의 민감도 분석 사례 연구)

  • Byun, Hyung-Kyun;Lee, Sang-Woo;Kwon, Moon-Won;Kim, Joo-Kyun;Choi, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.187-212
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    • 2011
  • KHP project sets total ownership cost as the target cost by applying CAIV and administrates total ownership cost through compromise analysis, a periodical estimate and management of design alternatives for each development. Based on expected cost results, sensibility of total ownership cost is analyzed complying with the change of reliability, availability, maintainability and other related factors. By considering potential total ownership cost saving methods, first of all, this paper identifies total ownership cost changing effects for each related factor, secondly, suggests total ownership cost and maintenance and operating cost saving methods via finding components that affect total ownership cost and lastly, suggests total ownership cost saving directions that may be applied to other projects in the future.

Cost Ratios for Cost and ROC Curves (비용곡선과 ROC곡선에서의 비용비율)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Yoo, Hyun-Sang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.755-765
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    • 2010
  • For classification problems on mixture distribution, a threshold based on cost functions is optimal from the viewpoint of a minimum expected cost. Assuming that there is no cost information, we propose cost ratios in the expected cost corresponding to thresholds where the total accuracy and the true rate are maximized to explain the relation of these cost ratios minimizing the expected cost. Other cost ratios are also proposed by comparing the normalized expected costs when classification accuracy is maximized. The values of these cost ratios are located between two cost ratios for the expected costs based on classification accuracies, and converge to that of the minimum expected cost. This work suggests two cost ratios: one is minimized by the expected cost and the normalized expected cost, and the other in the expected cost and the normalized expected cost functions that are maximized classification accuracies. We discuss their compatibility based on the relation of these cost ratios.

Comments on : An Expected Loss Model for FMEA under Periodic Monitoring of Failure Causes (FMEA에서 주기적인 고장원인 감시하의 기대손실모형에 대한 소고)

  • Yun, Won Young;Kwon, Hyuck-Moo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.321-324
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    • 2014
  • Kwon et al. (2013) studied the optimal monitoring interval of systems with finite life cycle. It is assumed that there are several failure modes from several failure causes and the occurrence of causes follows a homogeneous Poisson process. The total expected cost is used as an optimization criterion. In this article, we derive newly the total expected cost under the same assumptions and consider some extended models.

Optimum Life Cycle Cost Design of Steel Box Girder Bridges (강상형교의 최적 Life Cycle Cost 설계)

  • 조효남;민대홍;김구선
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an optimal decision model for minimizing the life-cycle cost of steel box girder bridges. The point is that it takes into account service life process as a whole, and the life-cycle costs include initial (design, testing, and construction) costs, maintenance costs and expected failure costs. The problem is formulated as that of minimization of expected total life-cycle cost with respect to the design variables. The optimal solution identifies those values of the decision variables that result in minimum expected total cost. The performance constraints in the form of flexural failure and shear failure are those specified in the design code. Based on extensive numerical investigations, it may be positively stated that the optimum design of steel box girder bridges based on life-cycle cost approach proposed in this study provides a lot more rational and economical design, and thus the proposed approach will propose the development of new concepts and design methodologies that may have important implications in the next generation performance-based design codes and standards.

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Cost Analysis Model with Minimal Repair of Spare Unit Repair Policy under Periodic Maintenance Policy (정기보전 제도에서 응급수리를 고려한 대체품 수리정책에서의 비용분석 모델)

  • Kim Jae-Joong
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2006
  • This article is concerned with cost analysis model in periodic maintenance policy. The repair policy is differently applied according as unit importance during an item being used and unit restoration during an item being failed. So in this paper the repair policy with minimal repair is considered as follow : as the occurrence of failure between minimal repair and periodic interval time, unit is replaced by a spare unit until the periodic maintenance time arrived. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to scale parameter of failure distribution in a view of customer's. The total expected costs are included repair and usage cost : operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and spare unit cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of item has Erlang distribution.

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Risk-averse Inventory Model under Fluctuating Purchase Prices (구매가격 변동시 위험을 고려한 재고모형)

  • Yoo, Seuck-Cheun;Park, Chan-Kyoo;Jung, Uk
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2010
  • When purchase prices of a raw material fluctuate over time, the total purchasing cost is mainly affected by reordering time. Existing researches focus on deciding the right time when the demand for each period is replenished at the lowest cost. However, the decision is based on expected future prices which usually turn out to include some error. This discrepancy between expected prices and actual prices deteriorates the performance of inventory models dealing with fluctuating purchase prices. In this paper, we propose a new inventory model which incorporates not only cost but also risk into making up a replenishment schedule to meet each period's demand. For each replenishment schedule, the risk is defined to be the variance of its total cost. By introducing the risk into the objective function, the variability of the total cost can be mitigated, and eventually more stable replenishment schedule will be obtained. According to experimental results from crude oil inventory management, the proposed model showed better performance over other models in respect of variability and cost.

A Note on Sudden Death Tests (sudden death 시험에 대한 고찰)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2012
  • Successive and simultaneous sudden death tests are compared with the complete and Type II censored samples in terms of expected test duration and Total Time on Test(TTT) subject to the same number of failures in order to maintain the equal statistical precision under Weibull lifetime distribution with known shape parameter. Also, two sudden death tests under a proposed cost model are discussed and a numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed cost model.

Optimal Working Cycles for Minimal Repair Policy (정기교체 및 최소수리를 고려한 작업주기 횟수 최적화)

  • Lee, Jinpyo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.201-214
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to determine an optimal number of cycle times for the replacement under the circumstance where the system is replaced at the periodic time and the multiple number of working cycles whichever occurs first and the system is minimally repaired between the replacements if it fails. Methods: The system is replaced at periodic time () or cycle time, whichever occurs first, and is repaired minimally when it fails between successive replacements. To determine the optimal number of cycle times, the expected total cost rate is optimized with respect to the number of cycle times, where the expected total cost rate is defined as the ratio of the expected total cost between replacements to the expected time between replacements. Results: In this paper, we conduct a sensitivity analysis to find the following results. First, when the expected number of failures per unit time increases, the optimal number of cycle times decreases. Second, when the periodic time for replacement becomes longer, the optimal number of cycle times decreases. Third, when the expected value for exponential distribution of the cycle time increases, the optimal number of cycle times increases. Conclusion: A mathematical model is suggested to find the optimal number of cycle times and numerical examples are provided through the sensitivity analysis on the model parameters to see the patterns for changes of the optimal number of cycle times.

A System Analysis of a Controllable Queueing Model Operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} Policy (조정가능한 대기모형에 {T:Min(T,N)} 운용방침이 적용되었을 때의 시스템분석)

  • Rhee, Hahn-Kyou
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2015
  • A steady-state controllable M/G/1 queueing model operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is considered where the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is defined as the next busy period will be initiated either after T time units elapsed from the end of the previous busy period if at least one customer arrives at the system during that time period, or after T time units elapsed without a customer' arrival, the time instant when Nth customer arrives at the system or T time units elapsed with at least one customer arrives at the system whichever comes first. After deriving the necessary system characteristics including the expected number of customers in the system, the expected length of busy period and so on, the total expected cost function per unit time for the system operation is constructed to determine the optimal operating policy. To do so, the cost elements associated with such system characteristics including the customers' waiting cost in the system and the server's removal and activating cost are defined. Then, procedures to determine the optimal values of the decision variables included in the operating policy are provided based on minimizing the total expected cost function per unit time to operate the queueing system under considerations.

Effects of Long-Term Harbor Shutdown and Temporal Operational Stoppage upon Optimal Design of Vertical Breakwater Caisson (장기간의 항만 폐쇄와 일시적 운영 중단이 직립 방파제 케이슨의 최적 설계에 미치는 영향)

  • Suh, Kyung-Duck;Kim, Deok-Lae;Kim, Kyung-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2007
  • In this study, a model to calculate the expected total construction cost is developed that simultaneously considers the rehabilitation cost related to the sliding of the caisson, the economic damage cost due to harbor shutdown in the event of excessive caisson sliding, and the economic damage cost due to temporal operational stoppage by excessive wave overtopping. A discount rate is used to convert the damage costs occurred at different times to the present value. The optimal cross-section of a caisson is defined as the cross-section that requires a minimum expected total construction cost within the allowable limit for the expected sliding distance of the caisson during the lifetime of the breakwater. Two values are used for the allowable limit: 0.3 and 0.1 m. It was found that the economic damage cost due to harbor shutdown by excessive caisson sliding is more critical than the rehabilitation cost of the caisson or the economic damage cost by excessive wave overtopping in the decision of the optimal cross-section. In addition, the optimal cross-section of the caisson was shown to be determined by the allowable limit for the expected sliding distance rather than the minimum expected total construction cost as a larger value is used for the threshold sliding distance of the caisson for harbor shutdown.