• Title/Summary/Keyword: Event tree

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Safety Assessment for PCS of Photovoltaic and Energy Storage System Applying FTA (FTA를 적용한 태양광 발전 및 ESS 연계형 PCS의 안전성 평가)

  • Kim, Doo-Hyun;Kim, Sung-Chul;Kim, Eui-Sik;Nam, Ki-Gong;Jeong, Cheon-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a safety assessment based approach for the safe operation for PCS(Power Conditioning System) of photovoltaic and energy storage systems, applying FTA. The approach established top events as power outage and a failure likely to cause the largest damage among the potential risks of PCS. Then the Minimal Cut Set (MCS) and the importance of basic events were analyzed for implementing risk assessment. To cope with the objects, the components and their functions of PCS were categorized. To calculate the MCS frequency based on IEEE J Photovolt 2013, IEEE Std. 493-2007 and RAC (EPRD, NPRD), the failure rate and failure mode were produced regarding the basic events. In order to analyze the top event of failure and power outage, it was assumed that failures occurred in DC breaker, AC breaker, SMPS, DC filter, Inverter, CT, PT, DSP board, HMI, AC reactor, MC and EMI filter and Fault Tree was drawn. It is expected that the MCS and the importance of basic event resulting from this study will help find and remove the causes of failure and power outage in PCS for efficient safety management.

A Study on Analysis Method of Fire path for Shipping Chemical (선박적재 화학물의 화재사고 경로 분석기법에 관한 고찰)

  • Kang, Yu-Mi;Yang, Hyeongsun;Park, Deuk-Jin;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.267-267
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the risk of chemical product, Styrene Monomer(SM), shipped in a vessel. SM is harmful chemical product which can make injury, explosion and/or fire in a vessel. The understand of SM risk is very important to protect seafarer's body and vessel safety. This research can be expected that the understanding of SM risk by a seafarer's to prevent accidents by SM explosion/fire. In this study we used event tree analysis method using chemical reaction cased by explosion. As a result, we founded various chemical reaction and visualization for explosion path.

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A Study on the Influence Diagrams for the Application to Containment Performance Analysis (격납용기 성능해석을 위한 영향도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Joon-Won;Jae, Moon-Sung;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 1996
  • Influence diagram method is applied to containment performance analysis of Young-Gwang 3&4 in an effort to overcome some drawbacks of current containment performance analysis method. Event tee methodology has been adopted as a containment performance analysis method. There are, however, some drawbacks on event tree methodology. This study is to overcome three major drawbacks of the current containment performance analysis method : 1) Event tree cannot express dependency between events explicitly. 2) Accident Progression Event Tree (APET) cannot represent entire containment system. 3) It is difficult to consider decision making problem. To resolve these problems, influence diagrams, is proposed. In the present ok, the applicability of the influence diagrams has been demonstrated for YGN 3&4 containment performance analysis and accident management strategy assessments of this study are in good agreement with those of YGN 3&4 IPE. Sensitivity analysis has been peformed to identify relative important variables for each early containment failure, late containment and basemat melt-though. In addition, influence diagrams are used to assess two accident management strategies : 1) RCS depressurization, 2) cavity flooding. It is shown that influence diagrams can be applied to the containment performance analysis.

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Analysis of Leaf Node Ranking Methods for Spatial Event Prediction (의사결정트리에서 공간사건 예측을 위한 리프노드 등급 결정 방법 분석)

  • Yeon, Young-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2014
  • Spatial events are predictable using data mining classification algorithms. Decision trees have been used as one of representative classification algorithms. And they were normally used in the classification tasks that have label class values. However since using rule ranking methods, spatial prediction have been applied in the spatial prediction problems. This paper compared rule ranking methods for the spatial prediction application using a decision tree. For the comparison experiment, C4.5 decision tree algorithm, and rule ranking methods such as Laplace, M-estimate and m-branch were implemented. As a spatial prediction case study, landslide which is one of representative spatial event occurs in the natural environment was applied. Among the rule ranking methods, in the results of accuracy evaluation, m-branch showed the better accuracy than other methods. However in case of m-brach and M-estimate required additional time-consuming procedure for searching optimal parameter values. Thus according to the application areas, the methods can be selectively used. The spatial prediction using a decision tree can be used not only for spatial predictions, but also for causal analysis in the specific event occurrence location.

An Event-Driven Failure Analysis System for Real-Time Prognosis (실시간 고장 예방을 위한 이벤트 기반 결함원인분석 시스템)

  • Lee, Yang Ji;Kim, Duck Young;Hwang, Min Soon;Cheong, Young Soo
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.250-257
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    • 2013
  • This paper introduces a failure analysis procedure that underpins real-time fault prognosis. In the previous study, we developed a systematic eventization procedure which makes it possible to reduce the original data size into a manageable one in the form of event logs and eventually to extract failure patterns efficiently from the reduced data. Failure patterns are then extracted in the form of event sequences by sequence-mining algorithms, (e.g. FP-Tree algorithm). Extracted patterns are stored in a failure pattern library, and eventually, we use the stored failure pattern information to predict potential failures. The two practical case studies (marine diesel engine and SIRIUS-II car engine) provide empirical support for the performance of the proposed failure analysis procedure. This procedure can be easily extended for wide application fields of failure analysis such as vehicle and machine diagnostics. Furthermore, it can be applied to human health monitoring & prognosis, so that human body signals could be efficiently analyzed.

A Study on A Dynamic Reliability Analysis Model (동적신뢰도 평가모델의 연구)

  • 제무성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a new dynamic approach for assessing feasibility associated with the implementation of accident management strategies by the operators. This approach includes the combined use of both the concept of reliability physics and a dynamic event tree generation scheme. The reliability physics is based on the concept of a comparison between two competing variables, i.e., the requirement and the achievement parameter, while the dynamic event tree generation scheme on the continuous generation of the possible event sequences at every branch point up to the desired solution. This approach is applied to a cavity flooding strategy in a reference plant, which is to supply water into the reactor cavity using emergency fire systems in the station blackout sequence. The MAAP code and Latin Hypercube sampling technique are used to determine the uncertainty of the requirement parameter. It has been demonstrated that this combined methodology may contribute to assessing the success likelihood of the operator actions required during accidents and therefore to developing the accident management procedures.

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R-Tree Construction for The Content Based Publish/Subscribe Service in Peer-to-peer Networks (피어투피어 네트워크에서의 컨텐츠 기반 publish/subscribe 서비스를 위한 R-tree구성)

  • Kim, Yong-Hyuck;Kim, Young-Han;Kang, Nam-Hi
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.46 no.11
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2009
  • A content based pub/sub (Publish/subscribe) services at the peer-to-peer network has the requirements about how to distribute contents information of subscriber and to delivery the events efficiently. For satisfying the requirements, a DHT(Distributed Hash Table) based pub/sub overlay networking and tree type topology based network construction using filter technique have been proposed. The DHT based technique is suitable for topic based pub/sub service but it's not good contents based service that has the variable requirements. And also filter based tree topology networking is not efficient at the environment where the user requirements are distributed. In this paper we propose the R-Tree algorithm based pub/sub overlay network construction method. The proposed scheme provides cost effective event delivery method by mapping user requirement to multi-dimension and hierarchical grouping of the requirements. It is verified by simulation at the variable environment of user requirements and events.

The Evaluation of Explosion For Toluene Storage Tank by Computer-Aided Fault Tree Analysis (Fault Tree Analysis(FTA)에 의한 Toluene저장 Tank의 폭발해석)

  • Chung, Jae-Hee;Yi, Young-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 1988
  • This study is conducted to evaluate the explosion of tolune storage tank in the petrochemical plant by Fault Tree Analysis. The conclusions are as follows; 1) Fault Tree diagram and the required computer program for evaluation of explosion accident is developed. 2) The probability of the top event, explosion accident, is $1.5\;{\times}\;10^{-8}$ per year, so there is almost no possibility of explosion during the life cycle of tank. However, the probability of Gate 6 and Gate 7 is 8.8 per month, therefore, attention should be paid to them for accident prevention. 3) The number of minimal cut sets is 67 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. All the minimal cut sets should be examined case by case. However, it is necessary to be paid attention to COM1, 126, 131, and COM4 in minimal cut sets, because the number of appearance is so high. 4) The number path sets is 70 sets which are not calculated the probability of each set, because of the lack of computer capacity. It is very useful to prepare safety checklist by using this minimal path sets. Also, the events which appear many times, 123, COM5, 139, 127 and 128, are very high in reliability.

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Analysis of PD Distribution Characteristics and Comparison of Classification Methods according to Electrical Tree Source in Power Cable (전력용 케이블 시편에서 전기트리 발생원에 따른 부분방전 분포 특성 및 발생원 분류기법 비교)

  • Park, Seong-Hee;Jeong, Hae-Eun;Lim, Kee-Joe;Kang, Seong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2007
  • One of the cause of insulation failure in power cable is well known by electrical treeing discharge. This is occurred for imposed continuous stress at cable. And this event is related to safety, reliability and maintenance. In this paper, throughout analysis of partial discharge(PD) distribution when occurring the electrical tree, is studied for the purpose of knowing of electrical treeing discharge characteristics according to defects. Own characteristic of tree will be differently processed in each defect and this reason is the first purpose of this paper. To acquire PD data, three defective tree models were made. And their own data is shown by the phase-resolved partial discharge method (PRPD). As a result of PRPD, tree discharge sources have their own characteristics. And if other defects (void, metal particle) exist internal power cable then their characteristics are shown very different. This result Is related to the time of breakdown and this is importance of cable diagnosis. And classification method of PD sources was studied in this paper. It needs select the most useful method to apply PD data classification one of the proposed method. To meet the requirement, we select methods of different type. That is, neural network(NN-BP), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and PCA-LDA were applied to result. As a result of, ANFIS shows the highest rate which value is 98 %. Generally, PCA-LDA and ANFIS are better than BP. Finally, we performed classification of tree progress using ANFIS and that result is 92 %.

Tabu Search-Genetic Process Mining Algorithm for Discovering Stochastic Process Tree (확률적 프로세스 트리 생성을 위한 타부 검색 -유전자 프로세스 마이닝 알고리즘)

  • Joo, Woo-Min;Choi, Jin Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2019
  • Process mining is an analytical technique aimed at obtaining useful information about a process by extracting a process model from events log. However, most existing process models are deterministic because they do not include stochastic elements such as the occurrence probabilities or execution times of activities. Therefore, available information is limited, resulting in the limitations on analyzing and understanding the process. Furthermore, it is also important to develop an efficient methodology to discover the process model. Although genetic process mining algorithm is one of the methods that can handle data with noises, it has a limitation of large computation time when it is applied to data with large capacity. To resolve these issues, in this paper, we define a stochastic process tree and propose a tabu search-genetic process mining (TS-GPM) algorithm for a stochastic process tree. Specifically, we define a two-dimensional array as a chromosome to represent a stochastic process tree, fitness function, a procedure for generating stochastic process tree and a model trace as a string of activities generated from the process tree. Furthermore, by storing and comparing model traces with low fitness values in the tabu list, we can prevent duplicated searches for process trees with low fitness value being performed. In order to verify the performance of the proposed algorithm, we performed a numerical experiment by using two kinds of event log data used in the previous research. The results showed that the suggested TS-GPM algorithm outperformed the GPM algorithm in terms of fitness and computation time.