• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제30권2호
• /
• pp.141-153
• /
• 2020

Probabilistic information regarding directional extreme wind speeds is important for the precise estimation of the design wind loads on structures. A joint probability distribution model of directional extreme typhoon wind speeds is established using Monte Carlo simulation and empirical copula function to fully consider the correlations of extreme typhoon wind speeds among the different directions. With this model, a procedure for estimating directional extreme wind speeds for given return periods, which ensures that the overall risk is distributed uniformly by direction, is established. Taking 5 typhoon-prone cities in China as examples, the directional extreme typhoon wind speeds for given return periods estimated by the present method are compared with those estimated by the method proposed by Cook and Miller (1999). Two types of directional factors are obtained based on Cook and Miller (1999) and the UK standard's drafting committee (Standard B, 1997), and the directional risks for the given overall risks are discussed. The influences of the extreme wind speed correlations in the different directions and the simulated typhoon wind speed sample sizes on the estimated extreme wind speeds for a given return period are also discussed.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제14권2호
• /
• pp.96-107
• /
• 2013

초고층 건물공사에서 타워크레인의 양중계획은 전체 공사의 성패를 좌우할 수 있는 매우 중요한 요소 중 하나이다. 타워크레인의 양중계획에 있어 양중시간은 기본적인 요소 중 하나로 이를 바탕으로 양중부하 및 타워크레인을 선정하기 때문에 양중계획을 위해서는 정확한 양중시간의 예측이 필요하다고 할 수 있다. 현재 초고층 공사의 양중시간 예측은 기존의 실적자료와 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 수행하고 있지만 양중작업에 영향을 미치는 환경적인 요인에 대해서는 충분히 고려되지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 양중작업에 영향을 크게 미치는 바람을 시뮬레이션에 반영하여 초고층 공사의 타워크레인 양중시간을 예측하는 시뮬레이션 모델을 개발하였다. 시뮬레이션 분석 결과 바람의 영향을 반영한 양중시간은 높이가 올라갈수록 증가하였으며, 초고층부의 경우 기계적 양중시간보다 바람의 영향에 의한 양중 지연시간이 더 크다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 또한 연구 대상지인 서울의 풍속은 4월이 강하고 10월이 약하게 나타났으며, 양중시간을 예측한 결과 둘 간의 큰 차이가 발생함을 알 수 있었다. 이 같은 결과는 향후 초고층 타워크레인 양중계획 시 바람이 양중에 미치는 영향을 예측하고 이를 고려하여 실제 상황과 동일한 양중계획을 세우는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제21권2호
• /
• pp.203-221
• /
• 2015

Wind speed is the most important parameter in the design and study of wind energy conversion systems. The weibull distribution is commonly used for wind energy analysis as it can represent the wind variations with an acceptable level of accuracy. In this study, the wind data for 11 cities in Iran have been analysed over a period of one year. The Goodness of fit test is used for testing data fit to weibull distribution. The results show that this data fit to weibull function very well. The scale and shape factors are two parameters of the weibull distribution that depend on the area under study. The kinds of numerical methods commonly used for estimating weibull parameters are reviewed. Their performance for the cities under study was compared according to root mean square and wind energy errors. The result of the study reveals the empirical, modified maximum likelihood estimate of wind speed with minimum error. Also, that the moment and modified maximum likelihood are the best methods for estimating the energy production of wind turbines.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
• /
• 제18권6호
• /
• pp.63-70
• /
• 2015

This paper proposes a novel airfoil named "KA2" for the blade of the wind turbine systems. Dynamic loads characteristics are analyzed and compared using aerodynamic data of ten airfoils including the proposed airfoil. The blade is divided into the sixteen elements in the longitudinal direction of the blade for applying the Blade Element Method Theory (BEMT) method, and in each element, torque, thrust, and pitching moment are calculated using turbulent time varying wind speed and aerodynamic data of each wing. Additionally, each force and torque is accumulated in the whole region of the blade for the estimation of representative values. The magnitude of such forces is comparatively analyzed for different airfoils. The angle of attack is constant below the rated wind speed due to the fact that the tip speed ratio is kept at the constant value, and it increases in the region of over rated wind speed as the tip speed ratio decreasing with constant rated rpm and increasing wind speed. Such increase in the angle of attack causes the changes of the force acting on the airfoil with different characteristics of lift and drag in the stall region of each different airfoil. Even though the mean wind speed is in the rated speed in a given time, because of the turbulence, it has either the over rated or under rated speed most of the time. Furthermore, the dynamic properties of each force are analyzed in this rated wind speed in order to objectively understand the dynamic properties of the blades which are designed based on the different airfoils. These dynamic properties are also compared by the standard deviation of time varying characteristics. Moreover, the output characteristics of the wind turbine are investigated with different airfoils and wind speeds. Based on these investigations, it was revealed that the proposed airfoil (KA2) is well applicable to the blade with passive pitch control system.

• 생물환경조절학회지
• /
• 제1권1호
• /
• pp.1-13
• /
• 1992

본 연구는 생물생산시설의 안전구조설계기준 마련을 위한 기초자료를 제공하기 위하여, 우리나라의 60개 지역에 대한 기상자료를 사용하여 설계하중 산정에 필요한 재현기간별 설계풍속 및 설계 적설심을 구하고 등풍속선도 및 등적설심선도를 작성하였으며, 얻어진 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 년최고치 계열의 최대풍속 및 최대적설심 자료에 대한 Type-I 극치분포의 적정 확률분포형 검정을 위해 Chi-Square검정을 실시한 결과 대부분 지역에서 적합성이 인정되었다. 2. 적정 확률분포형으로 설정된 Type-I 극치분포에 의하여 재현기간별 표본 수에 따른 빈도계수를 구하고, 각 지역의 설계풍속 및 설계적설심을 구하였으며 결과는 Table 5와 Table 6, 그리고 Fig.3 및 Fig.4와 같다. 3. 최대풍속의 최빈풍향 분석결과 최대풍속의 약 46.4 %가 일정한 방향인 것으로 나타났으며, 지형이나 환경상의 문제가 없을 경우 최빈풍향을 고려해 주는 시설배치로 구조적 안전성을 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 생각된다. 4. 우리나라의 풍속 및 적설심을 고려해 볼 때 울릉도 및 영동지방은 시설재배지역으로 매우 불리하며, 충남과 전북 서해안 지역은 적설에, 서남해안 지역은 바람에 강한 구조로 설계하는 것이 바람직하다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
• /
• 제27권6호
• /
• pp.729-741
• /
• 2011

Wind speeds have long been estimated from C-band VV-polarized SAR data by using the CMOD algorithms such as CMOD4, CMOD5, and CMOD_IFR2. Some SAR data with HH-polarization without any observations in VV-polarization mode should be converted to VV-polarized value in order to use the previous algorithms based on VV-polarized observation. To satisfy the necessity of polarization ratio (PR) for the conversion, we retrieved the conversion parameter from full-polarized SIR-C SAR image off the east coast of Korea. The polarization ratio for SIR-C SAR data was estimated to 0.47. To assess the accuracy of the polarization ratio coefficient, pseudo VV-polarized normalized radar cross section (NRCS) values were calculated and compared with the original VV-polarized ones. As a result, the estimated psudo values showed a good agreement with the original VV-polarized data with an root mean square error by 0.99 dB. We applied the psudo NRCS to the estimation of wind speeds based on the CMOD wind models. Comparison of the retrieved wind field with the ECMWF and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis wind data showed relatively small rms errors of 1.88 and 1.91 m/s, respectively. SIR-C HH-polarized SAR wind retrievals met the requirement of the scatterometer winds in overall. However, the polarization ratio coefficient revealed dependence on NRCS value, wind speed, and incident angle.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제47권1호
• /
• pp.59-65
• /
• 2015

Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

• 한국항해학회지
• /
• 제24권5호
• /
• pp.397-403
• /
• 2000

Since very large and high-speed ships have been appeared in marine transportation from 1970s, these ships with poor maneuverability have made large-scale accidents frequently all over the world. The IMO(International Maritime Organization) recommended that ship designers should evaluate various maneuvering performance at initial stage and serve them to ship operators when they deliver a new ship. Meantime, it is expected that ships with large and wide superstructure would have poor maneuverability when they are affected by strong wind. Therefore, car carrier ship with large superstructure was selected to confirm how the ship responds to the external wind forces in this paper. The lateral and transverse projected areas above the water level were considered and ship behaviors were checked by change of rudder angles under severe wind conditions of different directions. In addition, hydrodynamic derivatives and coefficients were predicted from ship particulars and numerical calculations were carried out with the mathematical model of low speed maneuvering motions.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
• /
• 제24권12호
• /
• pp.138-146
• /
• 2010

On wind turbine generators, the speed and volume of the wind affect the turbine angle speed which finally determines the output level of the electric power. However it is very difficult to forecast correctly the future power output and quality based on previous fixed sampling methods. This paper proposes a variable sampling method based on Buneman frequency estimation algorithm to reflect the variations of the frequency and amplitude on wind power outputs. The proposed method is also verified through the performance test by comparing with the results from previous fixed sampling methods and the real measurement data.

• 태양에너지
• /
• 제5권2호
• /
• pp.3-10
• /
• 1985

This paper is concerned with the characterized method of wind speed distribution for calculation of wind power density of regional group and wind potential in Korea. It is shown that the Rayleigh distribution, K = 2, is not suitable for analyzing wind data in Korea. Simple relationship, K = 0.21 V + 0.84, is derived from Weibull wind distribution by analyzing wind data obtained from 24 meteorological station and is a suitable tool for estimation of wind power density. Application of this result, the domestic ideal and actual wind potential are estimated as $3.16{\times}10^9$ KWH/year and $7.14{\times}$10^8 KWH/year respectively for the case of 10 meter height, $1m^2$ swept area and $0.1{\times}0.1Km^2$ land area. And for the case of 50 meter height, ideal and actual wind potential are increased as $7.56{\times}10^9$ KWH/year and $2.37{\times}10^9$ KWH/year respectively.