• 제목/요약/키워드: Electric forecasting

검색결과 177건 처리시간 0.03초

퍼지 예측 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측 (Electric Power Load Forecasting using Fuzzy Prediction System)

  • 방영근;심재선
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제62권11호
    • /
    • pp.1590-1597
    • /
    • 2013
  • Electric power is an important part in economic development. Moreover, an accurate load forecast can make a financing planning, power supply strategy and market research planned effectively. This paper used the fuzzy logic system to predict the regional electric power load. To design the fuzzy prediction system, the correlation-based clustering algorithm and TSK fuzzy model were used. Also, to improve the prediction system's capability, the moving average technique and relative increasing rate were used in the preprocessing procedure. Finally, using four regional electric power load in Taiwan, this paper verified the performance of the proposed system and demonstrated its effectiveness and usefulness.

저압 배전선 반송 방식의 원격검침 실증 연구 (The Study on the Automated Meter Reading using Low Voltage Power)

  • 박상만;하복남;이중호;조남훈;김명수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
    • /
    • pp.985-987
    • /
    • 1997
  • AMR(Automated Meter Reading) has been considered to solve the lack of meter mem caused by the rise of cost, inefficiency of manual meter reading. Demand forecasting and efficient management of facilities can be accomplished by increasing meter reading efficiency and correcting various data. In this paper, we introduce AMR system using LV PLC in KANG-DONG blanch office of KEPCO.

  • PDF

인공지능을 적용한 전력 시스템을 위한 보안 가이드라인 (Guideline on Security Measures and Implementation of Power System Utilizing AI Technology)

  • 최인지;장민해;최문석
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
    • /
    • 제6권4호
    • /
    • pp.399-404
    • /
    • 2020
  • There are many attempts to apply AI technology to diagnose facilities or improve the work efficiency of the power industry. The emergence of new machine learning technologies, such as deep learning, is accelerating the digital transformation of the power sector. The problem is that traditional power systems face security risks when adopting state-of-the-art AI systems. This adoption has convergence characteristics and reveals new cybersecurity threats and vulnerabilities to the power system. This paper deals with the security measures and implementations of the power system using machine learning. Through building a commercial facility operations forecasting system using machine learning technology utilizing power big data, this paper identifies and addresses security vulnerabilities that must compensated to protect customer information and power system safety. Furthermore, it provides security guidelines by generalizing security measures to be considered when applying AI.

전원구성비율 예측을 위한 System Dynamics모형 개발 (Development of a System Dynamics Model for the Electric Power Generation Mix Forecasting in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;나기룡;박문희;최기련
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제4권1호
    • /
    • pp.33-53
    • /
    • 2003
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. Because the nst of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

  • PDF

캄보디아 국경연계 송전망 타당성 연구 (Feasibility Study for the cross border transmission project in Cambodia)

  • 백승도;김종화;김세현;최상주
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
    • /
    • pp.38-39
    • /
    • 2006
  • KEPCO is executing a project in Cambodia consisting of two components, "Power Development Master Plan and Institutional Strengthening" and "Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) Power Project Preparation" upon request by the government of the Ministry of Industry, Mines and Energy of Cambodia, contracted on $29^{th}$ September 2005. This paper includes a basic design and review of economical efficiency for constructing the two (2) cross border 115 kV transmission lines, which run from the border of Vietnam and Laos to Cambodia, and four (4) 115kV substations. The main contents of the paper include the process of design and results of a review of line route selection, tower and hardware design regarding transmission line design, as well as the type of substation, and arrangement and specifications of equipment with expects to substation design. Also, long-term demand forecasting, and an economic analysis of the project area are included.

  • PDF

배전변압기의 전등부하 추정을 위한 상관계수 산정 및 신뢰성 검증 (Adjustment of correlation coefficient for Pole transformer's load estimation and its reliability verification.)

  • 박창호;한용희;김준오;조성수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
    • /
    • pp.1073-1075
    • /
    • 1999
  • This Paper Presents the process of load management for distribution Pole transformer at KEPCO. The purpose of this process is to establish reasonable peak load forecasting and prevention of Pole transformer damages caused by overload through the investigation of correlation coefficient for recent load characteristics. In this Paper, we newly proposed more reliable correlation coefficient using improved method and verified its reliability in various ways.

  • PDF

신재생에너지 보급확대에 따른 국내전력시장 운영방안 (The improvement in operating rules of Cost Based Pool(CBP) considering the increasing Renewable Energy Capacity)

  • 이재걸;남수철;신정훈;김태균
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.580-583
    • /
    • 2008
  • As the construction of renewable energy generators is on the rise and gets bigger in size, researchers pay more and more attention to the impact of such facilities on the power market as well as on the stability of power grid system. In Korea, while studies on the latter, including calculating the marginal capacity of renewable energy generators, is being made, those on the former has not yet been performed. As such, this paper analyses the impact of a big renewable energy generators on the price and transaction cost of domestic power market and proposes ideas to minimize such influence by applying the technology of forecasting renewable energy.

  • PDF

퍼지 논리를 이용한 일일 냉방부하 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Daily Cooling Load Forecast Using Fuzzy Logic)

  • 신관우;이윤섭
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제8권11호
    • /
    • pp.948-953
    • /
    • 2002
  • The electric power load during the peak time in summer is strongly affected by cooling load, which decreases the preparation ratio of electricity and brings about the failure in the supply of electricity in the electric power system. The ice-storage system and heat pump system are possible solutions to settle this problem. In this study. the method of estimating temperature and humidity to forecast the cooling load of ice-storage system is suggested, then the method of forecasting the cooling load using fuzzy logic is suggested by simulating that the cooling load is calculated using actual temperature and humidity. The forecast of the temperature, humidity and cooling load are simulated, and it is shown that the forecasted data approach to the actual data. Operating the ice-storage system by the forecast of cooling load with night electric power will improve the ice-storage system efficiency and reduce the peak electric power load during the summer season as a result.

전력량 예측 및 부하 패턴을 근거로 한 부하 곡선 예측 (Electric Energy Forecasting and Development of Load Curve Based on the Load Pattern)

  • 지평식;조성현;이종필;남상천;임재윤;김정훈
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
    • /
    • pp.163-165
    • /
    • 1996
  • In this paper, we are proposed development of electric energy method and load curve. A daily electric energy is forecasted using artificial neural network. The load curve is obtained by combining forecasted electric energy and typical daily load patterns which are classified using KSOM and Fuzzy system. As a result, we know that we could get more accurate results and easier application than the results from based on the hourly historical data.

  • PDF

데이터 전처리와 퍼지 논리 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측 (Electric Load Forecasting using Data Preprocessing and Fuzzy Logic System)

  • 방영근;이철희
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제66권12호
    • /
    • pp.1751-1758
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents a fuzzy logic system with data preprocessing to make the accurate electric power load prediction system. The fuzzy logic system acceptably treats the hidden characteristic of the nonlinear data. The data preprocessing processes the original data to provide more information of its characteristics. Thus the combination of two methods can predict the given data more accurately. The former uses TSK fuzzy logic system to apply the linguistic rule base and the linear regression model while the latter uses the linear interpolation method. Finally, four regional electric power load data in taiwan are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed prediction system.