• Title/Summary/Keyword: ESTIMATE POPULATION NUMBER

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Estimate over the Number of Chronic Disease Patients and Medical Care Expenditure at the Time of Transition of Baby Boomer into 65 Years Old Aging Population (베이비붐세대가 65세 노인인구로 전환 시의 만성질환 환자수와 진료비 예측)

  • Lee, Sun-Young;Kim, Young-Hoon;Kim, Han-Sung
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.376-386
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of study is to estimate the number of chronic disease patients and medical care expenditure at the time baby-boomers belong to 65 years old aging population, and compare with current 65 year-old aging population. Methods: Analysis method used an estimating formula devised by the researcher and estimated the number of chronic disease patients and medical care expenditure of each generation. Results: When comparing the estimated number of chronic diseases patients of each generation, 40.6% of the first generation, 76.4% of the second generation, 95.2% of third generation are expected to get chronic disease. When comparing each generation's total medical care expenditure, based on the estimated number of chronic diseases patients of each generation, the second generation( 1,206,251,224 thousand won) showed higher than other generation. This study compared the number of chronic disease patients and medical care expenditure between the second generation of the elderly and current elder generation. As a result, the second generation patients was higher than the fourth generation in high blood pressure, diabetes, psychological and behavioral disorder, and neurological diseases whereas the fourth generation is only high the number of patients in heart disease. As for total medical care expenditure, the second generation paid more in high blood pressure, psychological and behavioral disorder while the fourth generation in neurological disease and heart disease. Conclusion: It is desired that considering the number of chronic disease patients and medical care expenditure of baby boomers accounting for 14.6% of total population, in-depth follow-up study is carried out that inquires into what are issues with a current chronic disease management project, what business is needed in order to manage these issues, and how to fund to cover increasing medical care expenditure.

Efficient method to estimate the number of exposed people to industrial noise using the GIS and three dimensional noise mapping (GIS와 3차원 소음지도를 이용한 소음 폭로인구 산정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Joon-Hee;Lee, Ki-Jung;An, Jang-Ho;Chang, Seo-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.438-442
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    • 2006
  • Reasonably accurate estimation of the exposed population to the distinct levels of noise is essential to the efficient management of urban environmental noise. This study proposes a method of calculating the number of exposed people to industrial noise by using GIS tool and noise mapping. The exposed population of noise based on estimation of the number of people that lived in each building in urban area is compared with the one based on density of population. This study suggests the six step method that consists of gathering the fundamental data, extracting the property from the digital map, noise mapping based on the three dimensional topography, estimating population that lives in each building, merging the various results with GIS tool, and estimating exposed population to industrial noise through analyzing the noise map with GIS tools

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Population Policy and Population Quality(Report 1. General Review on the Problems of Mental and Physical Handicaps) (인구정책과 인구자질향상을 위한 연구(제 1 보 심신장애자 발생억제대책))

  • Kim, Jong-Kun;Huh, Jung
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.5-41
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    • 1979
  • Vast volumes of studies of the medical and public health aspects of fertility and family planning have been published by the various institutes of health related research and university scholars in Korea. None of them, however, have dealed with the population problems associated with biologically and mentally handicapped people. It must be emphasized that the purpose of Korea's population policy should be to improve the quality of the population rather than to decrease its rate of increase. In this spirit, the first report of this study is to identify problems related with mentally and physically less fitted population, and to attempt to offer the possible solutions to the health planners and policy-makers. Several nation-wide surveys of the handicapped people in Korea have been compared. Each survey shows a wide range of difference in the prevalence of the handicaps(see Table 13). In this study, the data on the handicaps are collected by two independent system ; one by the nation-wide survey and the other by the reporting system existing at the Seoul National University Demonstration Health Project. The Chandrasekar-Deming technique was used to estimate the total number of handicaps. The estimates are summarized in the tables 8, 9 and 10. Estimate of total number of handicapped people in Korea is 601, 400 with the prevalence rate of 16.1 per thousand persons. Even if taking a number of conditions which may result in a biased estimate of the total number of the handicaps into consideration, the proportion of handicapped people in Korea has increased in the past two decade as the result of the rapid decline in fertility and childhood mortality, which consequently prolonged life expectancy of persons with congenital or acquired impediment. An increase in the proportion of handicapped people will eventually bring about serious problems of social welfare, medical care, and population qualities from various aspects including eugenics. To tackle the problem, there must be an increased emphasis on the prevention of handicaps from the government and private sector. Based on the amount and quality of data, and from the practical point of view, this study prepared a set of recommendations for the government to strengthen its programs of the preventive activities during the prenatal period and early childhood, early finding from routine examinations, and proper social and medical rehabilitation.

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An Estimation of Occupancy Population Using the Expanded Mobile Phone Data (이동통신 자료 전수화를 통한 존재인구 산정 방안)

  • KIM, Kyoung Tae;LEE, Inmook;KWAK, Ho-Chan;MIN, Jae Hong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.222-233
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    • 2016
  • Recently, mobile phone data was applied in travel demand modeling as a new source of dynamic population movement. This study is also aimed to estimate "occupancy population" during a given period of time within a given spatial region using mobile phone data. An occupancy population was defined as the number of people residing or moving within a given time and space. In case of Seoul Metropolitan area, we divided the area into a number of administrative districts as zones for analysis and estimated the occupancy population of each zone by mobile phone data collected by SK telecom Co., a wireless telecommunication provider in Korea. For the expansion of mobile phone data, a new concept of "communication probability" was introduced and applied in the estimation of occupancy population of each zone by the hour. We compared the estimated number with the daytime population and the daytime population index referred by the Statistics Korea. The results showed that a positive correlation existed between the estimated number and the statistical number by nationwide survey. It was concluded that mobile phone data could be more cost-effective sources than a conventional survey method to estimate the pattern of population movement by the hour or by the day.

Allozyme Diversity and Population Genetic Structure in Korean Endemic Plant Species : II. Hosta yingeri (Liliaceae)

  • Chung, Myong Gi
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 1994
  • Levels of genetic diversity, population genetic structure, and gene flow in Hosta yingeri, a herbaceous perennial endemic to Taehuksan, Sohuksan, and Hong Islands, were investigated. Starch gel electrophoresis was conducted on leaves for 101 plants collected from three populations. Although the distribution of thespecies is restricted in the islands, it maintains high levels of genetic variatin; 64% of polymorphic loci in at least one population (Ps), the mean number of alleles per locus (Ap) of 1.92, and the mean effective number of alleles per locus (Aep) of 1.52. Overall, mean genetic diversity (Hep=0.250) was substantially higher than mean estimate for species with very similarlife history traits (0.102). Large populaton size, the persistence of multiple generations within populations, high fecundity, predominantly outcrossing breeding system, large size of pollinator visitation areas may be explanatory factors contributing the higher level of genetic diversity maintained within populations. Analysis of fixation indices showed an overall slight excess of heterozygotes (mean FIS=-0.066) relative to Hardy-Weinberg expectations, which may in part be due to the near self-incompatible breeding system in the species. Significant differences in allele frequencies among populaitns were found for 14 out of 16 polymorphic loci (P<0.05). Slightly more than 80% of the total variation in the species was common to all populations (GST=0.198). As expected, indirect estimate of the number of migrants per generation (Nm=0.45, calculated from mean GST) and nine private alleles found in the three populations indicate that gene movement among three isolated island populations was low.

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A composite estimator for stratified two stage cluster sampling

  • Lee, Sang Eun;Lee, Pu Reum;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2016
  • Stratified cluster sampling has been widely used for effective parameter estimations due to reductions in time and cost. The probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling method is used when the number of cluster element are significantly different. However, simple random sampling (SRS) is commonly used for simplicity if the number of cluster elements are almost the same. Also it is known that the ratio estimator produces a good performance when the total number of population elements is known. However, the two stage cluster estimator should be used if the total number of elements in population is neither known nor accurate. In this study we suggest a composite estimator by combining the ratio estimator and the two stage cluster estimator to obtain a better estimate under a certain population circumstance. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the superiority of the suggested estimator with two other estimators.

A Validation of Estimating the National Cancer Incidence in Korea using the Databases of 7 Population-based Regional Cancer Registries except Seoul (서울을 제외한 7개 지역암등록본부 자료를 활용한 국가 암통계 추정의 타당성)

  • Bae, Jong-Myeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.130-134
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : A method of estimation using 8 populationbased cancer registries databases in Korea(KRCR DB) has been introduced as another strategy for validly estimating the national cancer incidence(NCI) in Korea. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the validity of this method with using the 7 KRCR DBs, excluding Seoul covering 21% of the total population of Korea. Methods : We designed the study method(NCSE_7) as same as the estimating method with using 8 KRCR DBs (NCSE_8) in order to ensure maximal comparability. We defined the expected number of cancer cases in each registry as the number of observed cases and then we added the weighted observed cases according to gender, age and the proportion of the population covered by each registry for the population of the seven regions and the population of all areas, with excluding these seven regions. From the expected number of total cancer incidents, the estimated NCI was calculated by dividing the expected number of cancer cases by the number of the total population. The standard error(SE) of the estimated incidence was also taken from the expected number of total cancer incidents. Results : Compared with the results of the NCSE_8, the overall age-standardized rates(ASR) in men and women became over-estimated and under-estimated, respectively. Primary sites that showed statistically significant differences were the colo-rectum, prostate, breast and thyroid. The index of death certificate only(DCO)and microscopically verified(MV)% indicating levels of data quality were decreased, especially for the brain in DCO% and kidney in the MV%. Conclusions : The database of Seoul regional cancer registry has a key role for the method to estimate the valid nationwide cancer statistics in Korea with using the population-based cancer registries databases.

A Study on the Estimation Method of the Consultation-Rooms for the O. P. D. in General Hospital (종합병원 외래진료부의 진찰실수 산정방법에 관한 연구)

  • No, Byung-Ok;Lee, Teuk-Koo
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the number of the consulation rooms for the O.P.D. in General Hospital. To estimate optimal number of consulation rooms, it has to be considered the factors of population density, neighboring medical supply, condition of location, and the number of bed etc. And the figure of Out-Patients has to be expected as exact as possible. In calculation of consulation rooms, existing hospital planning has been considered only the number of bed, without considering many other factors. According to it, the number of consulation rooms was calculated by consulation and then work out the total number of consulation rooms for the O.P.D.. Therefore this method has been had a lot of problems But. this study considered four factors, and calculated the total number of consulation rooms for O.P.D. and then worked out the number of consulation rooms by O.P.D.

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Efficient Method to Estimate the Number of Exposed People to Industrial Noise Using the GIS and Three Dimensional Noise Mapping - Focusing on the Industrial Noise - (GIS와 3차원 소음지도를 이용한 소음 노출 인구 산정 방법에 관한 연구 - 공장 소음을 중심으로 -)

  • Ko, Joon-Hee;Chun, Hyung-Joon;Chang, Seo-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6 s.123
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    • pp.491-497
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    • 2007
  • Reasonably accurate estimation of the exposed population to the distinct levels of noise is essential to the efficient management of urban environmental noise. This study proposes a method of calculating the number of exposed people to industrial noise by using GIS tool and noise mapping. The exposed population of noise based on estimation of the number of people that lived in each building in urban area is compared with the one based on density of population. This study suggests the five step method that consists of gathering the fundamental data, extracting the property from the digital map, noise mapping based on the three dimensional topography, estimating population that lives in each building, merging the various results with GIS tool, and estimating exposed population to industrial noise through analyzing the noise map with GIS tools.

An Estimation of the National Cancer Incidence in Korea for 2000-2002 Using the Databases of 8 Population-based Regional Cancer Registries (한국 8개 지역암등록본부 자료를 활용한 2000-2002년 한국인 국가 암통계 추정)

  • Bae, Jong-Myeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2008
  • Objectives: Valid data on the national cancer incidence (NCI) is the data should be needed to plan, monitor and evaluate the national cancer control programs. The purpose of this study was to estimate the NCI for 2000-2002 from 8 population-based cancer registries database in Korea (KRCR DB). Methods: We defined the expected number of cancer cases in each registry as the number of observed cases and then adding to the weighted observed cases, according to sex, age groups, and the proportion of the population covered by each registry for the population of the eight regions and the population of all areas with excluding the 8 regions. From the expected number of total cancer incidents, he estimated NCI was calculated by dividing the expected number of cancer cases by he umber of the total population. The standard error (SE) of the estimated incidence was also taken from the expected number of total cancer incidents. Results: The overall estimated crude rates in 2000-2002 ere 267.1 and 219.0 per 100,000 for men and women, respectively. The overall age-standardized rates (ASR) were 290.1 and 180.7 per 100,000, respectively. Compared with the ASRs obtained from Korea National Cancer Incidence database (KNCI DB), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB did not show statistically significant differences except for some cancers in women. For the aspect of the SE, index of DCO(death certificate only) and of MV(microscopically verified), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB are more accurate and they have higher quality rather than the calculated ASRs from the KNCI DB. Conclusions: We found that this developed method using the KRCR DB is valid and it could be another strategy for estimating the NCI in Korea.