• Title/Summary/Keyword: Deterministic Analysis

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Development of computational software for flutter reliability analysis of long span bridges

  • Cheng, Jin
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 2012
  • The flutter reliability analysis of long span bridges requires use of a software tool that predicts the uncertainty in a flutter response due to uncertainties in the model formulation and input parameters. Existing flutter analysis numerical codes are not capable of dealing with stochastic uncertainty in the analysis of long span bridges. The goal of the present work is to develop a software tool (FREASB) to enable designers to efficiently and accurately conduct flutter reliability analysis of long span bridges. The FREASB interfaces an open-source Matlab toolbox for structural reliability analysis (FERUM) with a typical deterministic flutter analysis code. The paper presents a brief introduction to the generalized first-order reliability method implemented in FREASB and key steps involved in coupling it with a typical deterministic flutter analysis code. A numerical example concerning flutter reliability analysis of a long span suspension bridge with a main span of 1385 m is presented to demonstrate the application and effectiveness of the methodology and the software.

Probability Analysis of Plane Strain Element using Boundary Element Method (경계요소법을 이용한 평면변형율요소의 확률해석)

  • Jeon, Jeong-Bae;Yoon, Seong-Soo;Park, Jin-Seon;Lee, Hyeong-Ryeol
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study is intended to analyze stresses using the boundary element method and probability analysis for agricultural structure. Loads and material properties are an important factor when analyzing the structure. Until now, designing structure, loads and material properties are applied deterministic value. However, load and material properties involve uncertainties due to those change probabilistic and deterministic methods could not consider uncertainties. To solve these problems, the reliability analysis based on probability properties scheme was developed. Reliability analysis is easy to approach to analysis frame structure, however it has limitation when solving plane stress strain problems a kind of agricultural structures. The BEM (Boundary Element Method) is able to analysis plane strain problems by boundary conditions. Thus, this study applied boundary element method to analysis plane strain problem, load and material properties as a probabilistic value to calculate the analytical model using Monte Carlo simulations were developed.

Probabilistic Load Analysis for Tailplane Considering Uncertainties in Design Variables (설계변수의 불확실성을 고려한 미익 하중의 확률론적 해석)

  • Choi, Yong-Joon;Kim, In-Gul;Lee, Seok-Je
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.1043-1050
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    • 2010
  • This paper examined the probabilistic load analysis for the tailplane during pitching maneuvering in the conceptual aircraft design phase. The flight load analysis based on the probabilistic distribution of design variables are compared with the results of the deterministic analysis. Two forms of variable distribution are used in this paper. One is standard normal distribution, the other distribution is calculated from the results of short-period longitudinal equation of aircraft motion. The influence of the distribution parameter on the probabilistic load analysis was investigated and the significant design variables that have an impact on the mean and variance of probabilistic load were identified. The comparison indicates that probabilistic load analysis provides more reliable probabilistic load distribution for the structural design than the traditional deterministic analysis.

Reliability-based Failure Cause Assessment of Collapsed Bridge during Construction

  • Cho, Hyo-Nam;Choi, Hyun-Ho;Lee, Sang-Yoon;Sun, Jong-Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.181-186
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    • 2003
  • There are many uncertainties in structural failures or structures, so probabilistic failure cause assessment should be performed in order to consider the uncertainties. However, in many cases of forensic engineering, the failure cause assessments are performed by deterministic approach though number of uncertainties are existed in the failures or structures. Thus, deterministic approach may have possibility for leading to unreasonable and unrealistic failure cause assessment due to ignorance of the uncertainties. Therefore, probabilistic approach is needed to complement the shortcoming of deterministic approach and to perform the more reasonable and realistic failure cause assessment. In this study, reliability-based failure cause assessment (reliability based forensic engineering) is performed, which can incorporate uncertainties in failures and structures. For more practical application, the modified ETA technique is proposed, which automatically generates the defected structural model, performs structural analysis and reliability analysis, and calculates the failure probabilities of the failure events and the occurrence probabilities of the failure scenarios. Also, for more precise reliability analysis, uncertainties are estimated more reasonably by using bayesian approach based on the experimental laboratory testing data in forensic report.

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A Study on Stability of Marine Embankment Using Reliability Analysis (신뢰성해석을 이용한 호안제체의 안정성에 관한 연구)

  • 박준모;장연수;오세웅
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.789-796
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    • 2003
  • A reliability analysis is performed to investigate the influence of the uncertainty from the limited in-situ samples and the inherent heterogeneity of the ground on the probability of piping for the marine embankment near shore. The result are compared with those of the deterministic piping stability analysis performed using the fininte element flow analysis. The random variables used are hydraulic conductivity of the ground subsurface and embankment, and the water level of both internal and external side of the embankment. The probability of piping is most sensitive to the mean and standard deviation of internal water level of the embankment among the random variables included in the reliability analysis. It is found that the lower limits of internal water level which satisfies the allowable proability of piping failure for the embankment studied were E.L(-) 1.83m and E.L(-) 1.48m during and after the construction of the embankment, respectively.

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Low Cost SOC(System-On-a-Chip) Testing Method for Reduction of Test Data and Power Dissipation (테스트 데이터와 전력소비 단축을 위한 저비용 SOC 테스트 기법)

  • Hur Yongmin;Lin Chi-ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.41 no.12
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes an efficient scan testing method for compression of test input data and reduction of test power for SOC. The proposed method determines whether some parts of a test response can be reused as a part of next input test data on the analysis of deterministic test data and its response. Our experimental results show that benchmark circuits have a high similarity between un-compacted deterministic input test data and its response. The proposed testing method achieves the average of 29.4% reduction of power dissipation based on the number of test clock and 69.7% reduction of test data for ISCAS'89 benchmark circuits.

NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE COST ESTIMATION AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF UNIT COSTS ON THE BASIS OF AN EQUILIBRIUM MODEL

  • KIM, S.K.;KO, W.I.;YOUN, S.R.;GAO, R.X.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 2015
  • This paper examines the difference in the value of the nuclear fuel cycle cost calculated by the deterministic and probabilistic methods on the basis of an equilibrium model. Calculating using the deterministic method, the direct disposal cost and Pyro-SFR (sodium-cooled fast reactor) nuclear fuel cycle cost, including the reactor cost, were found to be 66.41 mills/kWh and 77.82 mills/kWh, respectively (1 mill = one thousand of a dollar, i.e., $10^{-3}$ $). This is because the cost of SFR is considerably expensive. Calculating again using the probabilistic method, however, the direct disposal cost and Pyro-SFR nuclear fuel cycle cost, excluding the reactor cost, were found be 7.47 mills/kWh and 6.40 mills/kWh, respectively, on the basis of the most likely value. This is because the nuclear fuel cycle cost is significantly affected by the standard deviation and the mean of the unit cost that includes uncertainty. Thus, it is judged that not only the deterministic method, but also the probabilistic method, would also be necessary to evaluate the nuclear fuel cycle cost. By analyzing the sensitivity of the unit cost in each phase of the nuclear fuel cycle, it was found that the uranium unit price is the most influential factor in determining nuclear fuel cycle costs.

Stochastic Fatigue Life Assesment based on Bayesian-inference (베이지언 추론에 기반한 확률론적 피로수명 평가)

  • Park, Myong-Jin;Kim, Yooil
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2019
  • In general, fatigue analysis is performed by using deterministic model to estimate the optimal parameters. However, the deterministic model is difficult to clearly describe the physical phenomena of fatigue failure that contains many uncertainty factors. With regard to this, efforts have been made in this research to compare with the deterministic model and the stochastic models. Firstly, One deterministic S-N curve was derived from ordinary least squares technique and two P-S-N curves were estimated through Bayesian-linear regression model and Markov-Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Secondly, the distribution of Long-term fatigue damage and fatigue life were predicted by using the parameters obtained from the three methodologies and the long-term stress distribution.

SCHEDULING REPETITIVE PROJECTS WITH STOCHASTIC RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS

  • I-Tung Yang
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.881-885
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    • 2005
  • Scheduling repetitive projects under limitations on the amounts of available resources (labor and equipment) has been an active subject because of its practical relevance. Traditionally, the limitation is specified as a deterministic (fixed) number, such as 1000 labor-hours. The limitation, however, is often exposed to uncertainty and variability, especially when the project is lengthy. This paper presents a stochastic optimization model to treat the situations where the limitations of resources are expressed as probability functions in lieu of deterministic numbers. The proposed model transfers each deterministic resource constraint into a corresponding stochastic one and then solves the problem by the use of a chance-constrained programming technique. The solution is validated by comparison with simulation results to show that it can satisfy the resource constraints with a probability beyond the desired confidence level.

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A Few Applications of Polarity Correlation Method in a Frame of Deterministic Signals

  • Kim, io-Sasaki;Mariko Ikeda
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.86.1-86
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    • 2002
  • Polarity correlation is a simplified version of the usual, having a possibility of real-time processing without any reduction of precision. In this paper, its applicability in deterministic signals is first explored generally, by theoretical or numerical analysis of four kinds of the typical signals. Then, based on the results, its two applications are proposed, that are detection and demodulation of FSK signals in digital communication, and time delay estimasion in ultrasonic A-mode measurement. The effectiveness of the proposed applications is confirmed by its superior implementation ability and the results of numerical experiments under practical circumstances.

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