• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2017

PURPOSES : This study is aimed at development of a stochastic pavement deterioration forecasting model using National Highway Pavement Condition Index (NHPCI) to support infrastructure asset management. Using this model, the deterioration process regarding life expectancy, deterioration speed change, and reliability were estimated. METHODS : Eight years of Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data fused with traffic loads (Equivalent Single Axle Loads; ESAL) and structural capacity (Structural Number of Pavement; SNP) were used for the deterioration modeling. As an ideal stochastic model for asset management, Bayesian Markov multi-state exponential hazard model was introduced. RESULTS:The interval of NHPCI was empirically distributed from 8 to 2, and the estimation functions of individual condition indices (crack, rutting, and IRI) in conjunction with the NHPCI index were suggested. The derived deterioration curve shows that life expectancies for the preventive maintenance level was 8.34 years. The general life expectancy was 12.77 years and located in the statistical interval of 11.10-15.58 years at a 95.5% reliability level. CONCLUSIONS : This study originates and contributes to suggesting a simple way to develop a pavement deterioration model using the total condition index that considers road user satisfaction. A definition for level of service system and the corresponding life expectancies are useful for building long-term maintenance plan, especially in Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) work.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.1199-1201
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• 2003

This paper presents an averaged switch model for an on-line deterioration analysis of inverters. The model is based on the operational characteristics of power diodes and IGBTS. Switching loss mechanisms are described and divided into the diode reverse-recovery mechanism, the IGBT current-tailing phenomenon, the IGBT turn-on time, and the output capacitances of the IGBTS and diodes. The deterioration analysis parameters are derived from the averaged switch modeling and the parameters can determinate the deterioration of the inverters.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 2005년도 봄학술 발표회 논문집(II)
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• pp.249-252
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• 2005

Chloride ingress is a common cause of deterioration of reinforced concrete structures. Modeling the chloride ingress is an important basis for designing reinforced concrete structures and for assessing the reliability of an existing structure. The modelling is also needed for predicting the deterioration of a reinforced structure. This paper presents an approach for the probabilistic modeling of the chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement steel in concrete structures that takes into account the uncertainties in the physical models. The parameters of the models are modeled as random variables and the distribution of the corrosion time and probability of corrosion are determined by using Monte Carlo simulation. The predictions of the proposed model is very effective to do the decision-making about initiation time and deterioration degree.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.685-691
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• 2011

Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.49-60
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• 2011

The geometric process (GP) has been widely used for modeling failure and repair time sequences of repairable systems. The GP is mathematically tractable but restrictive in reliability applications since it actually assumes that the mean function of inter-failure times sequence asymptotically decreases to zero; and the mean function of successive repair times sequence asymptotically increases to infinity. This is generally unrealistic from an engineering perspective. This paper presents three extended GP models for modeling reliability deterioration and improvement (or growth) process. The extensions maintain the advantage of mathematical tractability of GP model. Their usefulness and appropriateness are illustrated with three real-world examples.

• 콘크리트학회논문집
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.902-912
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• 2003

전 세계적으로 콘크리트 구조물의 열화를 발생하는 가장 중요한 원인은 중성화와 염소이온이다. 대체적으로 많은 콘크리트 구조물에서 염소이온과 중성화로 인하여 철근이 부식되며 이에 대한 많은 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 실구조물의 상황은 염소이온과 중성화가 복합적으로 발생함에도 불구하고 많은 연구들이 각각의 단일열화에 대한 연구가 이루어지고 있으며 복합열화에 대한 연구는 매우 드문 상황이다. 본 연구는 2중 복합 매체에 대한 확산모델을 이용하여 중성화된 콘크리트의 염소이온 프로파일을 예측하고자 하였다. 실험결과에 의하여 중성화 깊이로부터 3∼5 mm영역에 염소이온의 농축현상이 발생하였으며 2중 복합 구조체에 적용할 수 있는 확산 방정식에 중성화된 콘크리트와 비중성화된 콘크리트의 시간의존적인 염소이온 확산 계수를 고려하여 내구수명예측에 반영하였다.

• 보존과학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.251-260
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• 2011

이 연구에서는 석조문화유산의 손상유형별 표준범례를 제시하고, 손상지도 작성방법에 대한 공정시스템을 구축하였으며, 균열지수 개발과 표면 및 3차원 손상율 평가기법을 제시하였다. 손상유형별 표준범례는 균열, 박리, 박락, 탈락, 입상분해 및 공동으로 세분한 다음 상용 그래픽 프로그램으로 제작하였으며, 손상지도는 손상 영역에 대한 정확도와 신뢰도를 높이기 위해 3차원 디지털복원과 고해상도 사진맵핑 기술을 적용하였다. 또한 균열지수를 개발하여 대상 석조문화유산의 물리적 손상도에 대한 정량평가를 수행하였고, 가상복원 모델링을 통해 탈락부의 부피와 3차원 손상율을 산출하였다. 이를 통해 마곡사오층석탑의 손상도를 정량적으로 평가한 결과, 전체적으로 북측면이 구조상 균열(1.70), 미세균열(1.34), 박락(20.2%), 탈락(13.0%)의 손상점유율이 높게 나타났으며, 1층 옥개석의 3차원 손상율은 6.7%로 산출되었다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2008

Tunnels are generally constructed below the ground water table, which produces a long-term interaction between the tunnel lining and the surrounding geo-materials. Thus, in conjunction with tunnel design, the presence of water may require a number of considerations such as: leakage and water load. It has been reported that deterioration of a drainage system of tunnels is one of the main factors governing the long-term hydraulic and structural lining-ground interaction. Therefore, the design procedure of an underwater tunnel should address any detrimental effects associated with this interaction. In this paper an attempt to identify the coupled structural and hydraulic interaction between the lining and the ground was made using a numerical method. A main concern was given to local hindrance of flow into tunnels. Six cases of local deterioration of a drainage system were considered to investigate the effects of deterioration on tunnels. It is revealed that hindrance of flow increased pore-water pressure on the deteriorated areas, and caused detrimental effects on the lining structures. The analysis results were compared with those from fully permeable and impermeable linings.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.396-401
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• 2006

Dynamic behaviors of the impact damper are studied experimentally and numerically. In order to investigate wide range of excitation frequencies and amplitudes, a simple but high amplifying and bias-free experimental setup is designed. Experiments focused on the harsh operation condition demonstrate Accelerated mass loading which not only deteriorates the performance of the impact damper but also involves the structural resonance which should be avoided for the stability of the system. In the previous studies, instability or deterioration of the performance was reported for the off resonance frequency region. But this paper shows that the performance deterioration and structural resonances can be predicted. Using finite element modeling and analysis, accurate system parameters were derived and used for the numerical modeling employing the conservation of the momentum. Numerical study of the transient responses using 4th-order Runge-Kutta method demonstrates general performance of the system, and shows that accelerated mass loading phenomenon is deeply related with the vibration amplitudes and the mass of the auxiliary system.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.429-440
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• 2014

This study was conducted to investigate the main cause of water quality deterioration during the spring season in the transition zone between the South Han River and the river-reservoir Paldang. A water quality model modified from QUAL2E (U.S.EPA) was used, and the model showed that eutrophication and algal production in the low flow season affected about 60% of the organic pollution at the downstream of the South Han River. This result means that phosphorus control is prior to external organic material management to ameliorate the deterioration of water quality in the water body.