• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dempster-Shafer증거이론

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Rainfall Frequency Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification Using Dempster-Shafer Theory (Dempster-Shafer 이론을 이용한 강우빈도분석 및 불확실성의 정량화)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Jee, Hong-Kee;Lee, Soon-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1390-1394
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    • 2010
  • Dempster-Shafer 이론은 미지의 매개변수 추정시 베이지안 기법의 제약을 완화시키기 위한 베이지안 접근법의 일반화로 해석될 수 있으며, 상호배타적인 싱글톤에만 확률이 할당되는 것이 아니라 가능한 결과의 부분집합들이 기본확률할당을 위한 대상으로 고려된다. 베이지안 접근은 우연적 불확실성 및 지식의 불확실성을 효율적으로 구분할 수 없으며, 특정도가 낮고 애매한 증거들을 다룰 수 없는 반면, Dempster-Shafer 증거추론은 이러한 문제들을 효율적으로 평가할 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 홍수위험평가 및 수자원 계획 수립시 가장 기본이 되는 강우빈도해석에서 확률분포의 매개변수에 대한 불확실성 고려한 확률강우량의 산정 및 불확실성의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 Dempster-Shafer 이론을 이용하여 불확실성을 고려한 강우빈도해석모델 구축 및 적용을 통해 홍수위험평가 및 수자원 계획 등에 있어서 불확실성 표현 및 처리기법을 제시하였다.

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FMEA for rotorcraft landing system using Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (Dempster-Shafer 증거 이론을 이용한 회전익 항공기 착륙장치의 FMEA)

  • Na, Seong-Hyeon;So, Hee-Soup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.76-84
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    • 2021
  • The quality assurance activities can detect the factors that affect the quality based on risk identification in the course of mass production. Risk identification is conducted with risk analysis, and the risk analysis method for the rotorcraft landing system is selected by failure mode effects analysis (FMEA). FMEA is a method that detects the factors that can affect the product quality by combining severity, occurrence, and detectability. The results of FMEA were prioritized using the risk priority number. On the other hand, these methods have certain shortcomings because the severity, occurrence, detectability are weighted equally. Dempster-Shafer evidence theory can conduct uncertainty analysis for the opinions with personal reflections and subjectivity. Based on the theory, the belief function and the plausibility function can be formed. Moreover, the functions can be utilized to evaluate the belief rate and credibility. The system is exposed to impact during take-off and landing. Therefore, experts should manage failure modes in the course of mass production. In this paper, FMEA based on the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is discussed to perform risk analysis regarding the failure mode of the rotorcraft landing system. The failure priority was evaluated depending on the factor values. The results were derived using belief and plausibility function graphs.

Development of Arousal Level Estimation Algorithm by Membership Function and Dempster-Shafer′s Rule of Combination in Evidence (소속함수와 Dempster-Shafer 증거합 법칙을 이용한 긴장도 평가 알고리즘 개발)

  • 정순철
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2002
  • This research was the first step to develop Expert System for Evaluation of Human Sensibility, where human sensibility can be inferred from objective physiological signals. The study aim was to develop an algorithm in which human arousal level can be judged using measured physiological signals. Fuzzy theory was applied for mathematical handling of the ambiguity related to evaluation of human sensibility, and the degree of belonging to a certain sensibility dimension was quantified by membership function through which the sensibility evaluation was able to be done. Determining membership function was achieved using results from a physiological signal database of arousal/relaxation that was generated from imagination. To induce one final result (arousal level) based on measuring the results of more than 2 physiological signals and the membership function of each physiological signal, Dempster-Shafer's Rule of Combination in Evidence was applied, through which the final arousal level was inferred.

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Multi-sensor Data Fusion Using Weighting Method based on Event Frequency (다중센서 데이터 융합에서 이벤트 발생 빈도기반 가중치 부여)

  • Suh, Dong-Hyok;Ryu, Chang-Keun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.581-587
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    • 2011
  • A wireless sensor network needs to consist of multi-sensors in order to infer a high level of information on circumstances. Data fusion, in turn, is required to utilize the data collected from multi-sensors for the inference of information on circumstances. The current paper, based on Dempster-Shafter's evidence theory, proposes data fusion in a wireless sensor network with different weights assigned to different sensors. The frequency of events per sensor is the crucial element in calculating different weights of the data of circumstances that each sensor collects. Data fusion utilizing these different weights turns out to show remarkable difference in reliability, which makes it much easier to infer information on circumstances.

Uncertainty Data Reasoning Considering User Preferences Based on Dempster-Shafer Theory (사용자 성향을 고려한 Dempster-Shafer Theory 기반의 불확실한 데이터 추론)

  • Kim, Hee-Seong;Kang, Hyung-Ku;Youn, Hee-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2012.06b
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    • pp.510-512
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    • 2012
  • 상황인식 서비스 분야에서 불확실한 데이터를 추론하는 것은 매우 어렵고 복잡하다. 이러한 상황정보들에서 얻어지는 데이터는 불확실성을 내포하고 있어서 불확실한 추론 결과를 초래할 수 있다. 비록 불확실성 문제들을 해결하기 위해 퍼지 이론, 뉴런 네트워크, 동적 베이지안 네트워크, 은닉 마르코프 모델과 같은 여러 종류의 방법들이 제시되었지만 이러한 방법들은 가설들을 하나의 숫자에 의해 신뢰의 정도를 표시하기 때문에 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 논문에서는 사용자들이 제공받는 서비스들에 대하여 만족도를 평가한 후 수집된 데이터를 활용하여 사용자들의 상관 관계를 분석한다. 그리고 Dempster-Shafer 이론을 사용하여 사용자들로부터 측정된 믿음 값을 융합한다. 이는 불확실성 값을 낮추어 추론결과의 정확성을 높이고 증거구간을 재설정하여 사용자들에게 신뢰성 있는 적응형 서비스를 제공하게 한다.

Intelligent Design for Protection Systems of Industrial Power System Using Dempster-Shafer's Theory of Evidence (Dempster-Shafer 증거이론을 이용한 산업 전력 계통의 지능적 보호 시스템 설계)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Cha, Min-Cheul;Choe, Hang-Seob;Kim, Sang-Tae;Kim, Bong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07c
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    • pp.988-990
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, the design automation system is proposed, which adopts the expert system technology and fuzzy decision making technology. It has a capability of selecting the most desirable protective devices for the industrial power systems.

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Protection Level Evaluation of Distribution Systems Based on Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence (Dempster-Shafer 증거 이론을 이용한 배전계통 보호도 평가)

  • Kim, He-Chul;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kang, Sang-Hee;Ahn, Bok-Shin;Park, Jong-Kuk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.896-898
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    • 1998
  • Recent development of the digital computer and communication technology has made the concept of the adaptive protection possible, which is to adapt the operating parameters of the protective devices to the system changes, so that the best protection function can be maintained all the time. In order to achieve the adaptive protection, it is necessary to have the way to determine whether the change of the settings is needed under the certain system change or how good the current protection level is. This paper proposed the protectability index, which is a way to evaluate the protection level of the system under arbitary conditions and the operating strategy of the adaptive protection utilizing this index. It is based on an hierachical evaluation model and the evidence combination rule of the Dempster-Shafer theory.

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A study on classification accuracy improvements using orthogonal summation of posterior probabilities (사후확률 결합에 의한 분류정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • 정재준
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.111-125
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    • 2004
  • Improvements of classification accuracy are main issues in satellite image classification. Considering the facts that multiple images in the same area are available, there are needs on researches aiming improvements of classification accuracy using multiple data sets. In this study, orthogonal summation method of Dempster-Shafer theory (theory of evidence) is proposed as a multiple imagery classification method and posterior probabilities and classification uncertainty are used in calculation process. Accuracies of the proposed method are higher than conventional classification methods, maximum likelihood classification(MLC) of each data and MLC of merged data sets, which can be certified through statistical tests of mean difference.

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A Novel Method of Basic Probability Assignment Calculation with Signal Variation Rate (구간변화율을 고려한 기본확률배정함수 결정)

  • Suh, Dong-Hyok;Park, Chan-Bong
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.465-470
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    • 2013
  • Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory is available for multi-sensor data fusion. Basic Probability Assignment is essential for multi-sensor data fusion using Dempster-Shafer Theory. In this paper, we proposed a novel method of BPA calculation with signal assessment. We took notice of the signal that reported from the sensor mote at the time slot. We assessed the variation rate of the reported signal from the terminal. The trend of variation implies significant component of the context. We calculated the variation rate of signal for reveal the relation of the variation and the context. We could reach context inference with BPA that calculated with the variation rate of signal.

An contention-aware ordered sequential collaborative spectrum sensing scheme for CRAHN (무선인지 애드 혹 네트워크를 위한 순차적 협력 스펙트럼 센싱 기법)

  • Nguyen-Thanh, Nhan;Koo, In-Soo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • Cognitive Radio (CR) ad hoc network is highly considered as one of promising future ad hoc networks, which enables opportunistic access to under-utilized licensed spectrum. Similarly to other CR networks, the spectrum sensing is a prerequisite in CR ad hoc network. Collaborative spectrum sensing can help increasing sensing performance. For such an infrastructureless network, however the coordination for the sensing collaboration is really complicated due to the lack of a central controller. In this paper, we propose a novel collaborative spectrum sensing scheme in which the final decision is made by the node with the highest data reliability based on a sequential Dempster Shafer theory. The collaboration of sensing data is also executed by the proposed contention-aware reporting mechanism which utilizes the sensing data reliability order for broadcasting spectrum sensing result. The proposed method reduces the collecting time and the overhead of the control channel due to the efficiency of the ordered sequential combination while keeping the same sensing performance in comparison with the conventional cooperative centralized spectrum sensing scheme.