• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-control model

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Short-Term Forecasting of City Gas Daily Demand (도시가스 일일수요의 단기예측)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Jung, Chul Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2013
  • Korea gas corporation (KOGAS) is responsible for the whole sale of natural gas in the domestic market. It is important to forecast the daily demand of city gas for supply and demand control, and delivery management. Since there is the autoregressive characteristic in the daily gas demand, we introduce a modified autoregressive model as the first step. The daily gas demand also has a close connection with the outdoor temperature. Accordingly, our second proposed model is a temperature-based model. Those two models, however, do not meet the requirement for forecasting performances. To produce acceptable forecasting performances, we develop a weighted average model which compounds the autoregressive model and the temperature model. To examine our proposed methods, the forecasting results are provided. We confirm that our method can forecast the daily city gas demand accurately with reasonable performances.

An Adaptive Multi-Echelon Inventory Control Model for Nonstationary Demand Process

  • Na, Sung-Soo;Jun, Jin;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.441-445
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we deal with an inventory model of a multi-stage, serial supply chain system where a single product type and nonstationary customer demand pattern are considered. The retailer and suppliers place their orders according to an echelon-stock based replenishment control policy. We assume that the suppliers can access online information on the demand history and use this information when making their replenishment decisions. Using a reinforcement learning technique, the inventory control parameters are designed to adaptively change as the customer demand pattern is altered, in order to maintain a given target service level. Through a simulation based experiment, we verified that our approach is good for maintaining the target service level.

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Development of Daily Peak Power Demand Forecasting Algorithm with Hybrid Type composed of AR and Neuro-Fuzzy Model (자기회귀모델과 뉴로-퍼지모델로 구성된 하이브리드형태의 일별 최대 전력 수요예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Yong-San;Ji, Pyeong-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.63 no.3
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    • pp.189-194
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    • 2014
  • Due to the increasing of power consumption, it is difficult to construct accurate prediction model for daily peak power demand. It is very important work to know power demand in next day for manager and control power system. In this research, we develop a daily peak power demand prediction method based on hybrid type composed of AR and Neuro-Fuzzy model. Using data sets between 2006 and 2010 in Korea, the proposed method has been intensively tested. As the prediction results, we confirm that the proposed method makes it possible to effective estimate daily peak power demand than conventional methods.

Investigation of Demand-Control-Support Model and Effort-Reward Imbalance Model as Predictor of Counterproductive Work Behaviors

  • Mohammad Babamiri;Bahareh Heydari;Alireza Mortezapour;Tahmineh M. Tamadon
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.469-474
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    • 2022
  • Background: Nowadays, counter-productive work behaviors (CWBs) have turned into a common and costly position for many organizations and especially health centers. Therefore, the study was carried out to examine and compare the demand-control-support (DCS) and effort-reward imbalance (ERI) models as predictors of CWBs. Methods: The study was cross-sectional. The population was all nurses working in public hospitals in Hamadan, Iran of whom 320 were selected as the sample based on simple random sampling method. The instruments used were Job Content Questionnaire, Effort-Reward Imbalance Questionnaire, and Counterproductivity Work Behavior Questionnaire. Data were analyzed using correlation and regression analysis in SPSS18. Results: The findings indicated that both ERI and DCS models could predict CWB (p ≤ 0.05); however, the DCS model variables can explain the variance of CWB-I and CWB-O approximately 8% more than the ERI model variables and have more power in predicting these behaviors in the nursing community. Conclusion: According to the results, job stress is a key factor in the incidence of CWBs among nurses. Considering the importance and impact of each component of ERI and DCS models in the occurrence of CWBs, corrective actions can be taken to reduce their incidence in nurses.

A Study on the Building Energy Analysis and Algorithm of Energy Management System (건물 에너지 분석 및 에너지 관리 시스템 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Byung-Jo;Park, Ki-Kwang;Koo, Kyung-Wan;Yang, Hai-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.505-510
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, building energy analysis and energy cost of power stand up and demand control over the power proposed to reduce power demand. Through analysis of the load power demand special day were able to apply the pattern. In addition, the existing rate of change of load forecasting to reduce the large errors were not previously available data. And daily schedules and special day for considering the exponential smoothing methods were used. Previous year's special day and the previous day due to the uncertainty of the load and the model components were considered. The maximum demand power control simulation using the fuzzy control of power does not exceed the contract. Through simulation, the benefits of the proposed energy-saving techniques were demonstrated.

A Study on Analysis for Energy Demand of the Heating, Cooling and Lighting in Office Building with Transparent Thin-film a-Si BIPV Window (투광형 박막 BIPV 창호 적용에 따른 냉난방 및 조명 부하 저감에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Jong-Ho;An, Young-Sub;Park, Jang-Woo;Kim, Bit-Na
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the annual energy demand including heating, cooling and lighting according to kind of windows with transparent thin-film a-Si Building Integrated Photovoltaic(a-Si BIPV) for office building. The analysis results of the annual energy demand indicated that the a-si BIPV window was reduced by 8.4% than the clear gazing window. The base model A was combinate with a-Si BIPV window area of 67% and clear window area of 33% among the total exterior area. The model B is to be applied with low-e clear glass instead of clear glass of the base model A. The model B was reduced to annual energy demand of 1% more than the model A. Therefore, By using a-si BIPV solar module, the cooling energy demand can be reduced by 53%(3.4MWh) and the heating energy demand can be increase by 58%(2.4MWh) than clear glazing window in office building. Also, Model C applied to the high efficient lighting device to the model B was reduced to annual energy demand of 14.4% more than the Model D applied to the high efficient lighting device to the model A. The Model E applied with daylight dimming control system to the Model C was reduced to annual energy demand of 5.9% more than Model C.

소형전산기를 이용한 재고관리 시뮤레이션 모델 연구

  • Kim Yeong-Gil
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1985
  • A computer-aided simulation model for inventory control was developed using Apple II Plus micro-computer. The model forecasts quarterly demands with Single Exponential Smoothing method and simulates Supply Demand Review and Inventory Level Settings for each items. The simulation is based on the assumption that the demand occurrences have their own probability distributions.

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Analyzing the Supply and Demand Structure of the Korean Flatfish Aquaculture Market : A System Dynamics Approach (시스템다이내믹스기법을 이용한 우리나라 양식넙치시장의 수급구조 분석)

  • Park, Byung-In
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.17-42
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    • 2008
  • This study tried to build a structure model for the Korean flatfish aquaculture market by a system dynamics approach. A pool of several factors to influence the market structure was built. In addition, several reasonable factors related to the flatfish aquaculture market were selected to construct the causal loop diagram (CLD). Then the related stock/flow diagrams of the causal loop diagrams were constructed. This study had been forecasting a production price and supply, demand, and consumption volume for the flatfish market by a monthly basis, and then made some validation to the forecasting. Finally, four governmental policies such as import, storage, reduction of input, and demand control were tentatively evaluated by the created model. As a result, the facts that the demand control policy is most effective, and import and storage policies are moderately effective were found.

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A Study on the Elderly Workers' Psychological Well-being - An Application of the Demand-Control-Support Model (경제 활동을 하는 남녀 노인의 삶의 질에 관한 탐색적 연구 - 요구-조절-지지 모델을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Yoon-Joo;Lee, Sook-Hyun
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.127-141
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    • 2007
  • This study examined the differences of elderly workers' psychological well-being according to gender and explored the variables which account for their psychological well-being. Paid laborers aged 60 or older(eight-five men and nine-eight females) were interviewed. The psychological well-being of male workers was higher than that of the female workers. The control level of activity and family support were the variables that explained the psychological well-being of male paid workers. The higher the control level of activity was, and the more support given from family, the higher the psychological well-being scores they showed. Educational level, demand level of activity, and material reward determined the psychological well-being of female workers. The higher their educational level was, the lower the demand level of activity was, and the fewer rewards they received from paid work, the higher their psychological well-being was.

Provision of Two-area Automatic Generation Control by Demand-side Electric Vehicle Battery Swapping Stations

  • Xie, Pingping;Shi, Dongyuan;Li, Yinhong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.300-308
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    • 2016
  • Application of demand-side resources to automatic generation control (AGC) has a great significance for improving the dynamic control performance of power system frequency regulation. This paper investigates the possibility of providing regulation services by demand-side energy storage in electric vehicle battery swapping stations (BSS). An interaction framework, namely station-to-grid (S2G), is presented to integrate BSS energy storage into power grid for giving benefits to frequency regulation. The BSS can be regarded as a lumped battery energy storage station through S2G framework. A supplementary AGC method using demand-side BSS energy storage is developed considering the vehicle user demand of battery swapping. The effects to the AGC performance are evaluated through simulations by using a two-area interconnected power grid model with step and random load disturbance. The results show that the demand-side BSS can significantly suppress the frequency deviation and tie-line power fluctuations.