• 대한예방한의학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2004

This paper estimated the demand and supply of physicians for oriental medicine for the period of $2009{\sim}2019$. Two equation models were used in the estimation of manpower. In 2004, the total number of physicians of oriental medicine was amounted to 13,662 registered and 10,532 available in clinical practice, respectively. According to estimates in the study, overall excess supply of physician manpower in oriental medicine was expected in the period, such as $5,300{\sim}5,700$ persons in 2009 and $900{\sim}1,700$ persons in 2019. However, the excess supply would be mitigated after 2019 mainly due to an increase in demand for oriental medical services. Specially, opening medical service market to overseas could be an exogenous variable in physician supply. An alternative manpower policy for oriental medical doctors is needed in a way of controlling oversupply.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.29-52
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• 2021

The purpose of this paper is to measure the impact of the recent Korea-Japan trade dispute on the Korean economy using supply-driven input-output analysis. In July 2019, Japan announced the decision to tighten the export control of three materials which are indispensable in the manufacturing of semiconductors and electronic display panels. Japan's decision directly affects production in Korea's semiconductor and display sectors and is hence not a demand shock. For this reason, a standard demand-driven input-output analysis is not valid despite the fact that it can still be applied. The impact of Japan's decision on Korea's aggregate and individual sectors' gross output, GDP and employment were computed using both methods.

• 에너지공학
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.37-44
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• 2016

2차 에너지인 전력은 다양한 연료를 발전원으로 하고 있기 때문에, 전력에 대한 수요는 에너지 각 부문에 적지 않은 영향을 미친다. 이에 본 논문에서는 전력수요함수를 추정하여 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성에 대한 정량적 정보를 도출하고자 한다. 이를 위해 1991년부터 2014년까지의 연간 시계열 자료를 이용하되, 탄력성을 단기와 장기를 구분하여 추정할 수 있는 내생시차변수모형을 적용한다. 종속변수로는 연간 전력수요, 독립변수로는 상수항, 전력실질가격, 실질 국내총생산의 3가지를 이용한다. 분석결과 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.142 및 0.866으로 추정되었으며 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 즉 전력수요는 단기적인 관점에서 가격 변화에 대해 비탄력적임과 동시에 소득 변화에 대해서도 비탄력적이다. 장기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성을 추정한 결과를 살펴보면 각각 -0.210 및 1.287이며 이 값은 유의수준 5%에서 통계적으로 유의하다. 장기적인 관점에서 보더라도 전력수요는 가격 변화에 대해 여전히 비탄력적인 반면에, 소득 변화에 대해서는 전력수요가 탄력적으로 변한다. 따라서 가격정책 위주의 수요관리정책은 단기 및 장기 모두 효과가 제한적이며, 향후 예상되는 소득 증가에 기인하는 전력수요의 증가는 단기보다는 장기에 보다 두드러질 것으로 예상된다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.47-60
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• 2013

A study on the seamen's demand - supply has been focused on early 1990s, and never studied yet since 2007. Because previous studies related to the seamen are very different in conditions the environments around the fishery recently. It is serious problem that the number of domestic semen are decreasing continually. To depend on foreign seamen because of lacking of domestic seamen should be linked closely with the fishing industry environment in our country. Therefore, this study is limited to domestic seamen. Lacking recent domestic seamen, it is the most likely to rise imbalance between demand - supply in the future. Through medium and long term its analysis based on data, we are willing to discover various political subjects for seamen's welfare, the training of manpower, education, etc. To solve these issues, it can be made institutional changes as follows ; First, it is necessary policy-making related the deteriorating employment situation based on its analysis of medium and long term for seamen. Second, it is necessary to overcome a dual system for its management for seamen. Third, it is necessary to improve problems of statistics data for fishery and build a statistical system for seamen. Also, it will be improved a insurance system under 5 ton and strengthen the function for Korean seamen welfare and employment center and must be urgently countermeasures for the minimal unemployment rate through a content development and management of home page. Finally, it will be supplied reliably seamen to improve a practice system for apprentices according to the international regulations(STCW-F) for fishery students.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.46-54
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• 2009

우리나라는 1990년대에 건설발주 물량의 증가로 인한 건설기술자가 매우 부족한 실정이었다. 따라서 정부는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 1995년에 인정기술자제도를 도입하게 되었다. 그러나, 2000년 이후 건설기술자의 부족 문제는 해결되었으나, 오히려 건설기술자의 공급과잉으로 인한 새로운 문제가 발생되었다. 따라서, 정부는 2007년도에 기존 인정기술자제도를 폐지하고, 건설기술자 제도는 산업기사, 기사, 기술사 등의 기술자격을 가진 자만 건설활동을 할 수 있는 제도로 변화되었다. 이러한 측면에서 본 연구는 정책변화에 따른 가장 적합한 건설기술자의 수요와 공급예측 모델을 개발하여 2008년부터 2017년까지 수요공급예측을 하는 것이 중요한 사항으로 대두되었다. 따라서, 본 연구는 GDP와 건설시장분석을 기반으로 건설기술자의 수요예측과 공급예측모델을 제안하고, 중장기 수급예측을 전망하였다. 이러한 연구결과는 정책수립자가 건설기술자의 수요와 공급의 수립시 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2004년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.31-34
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• 2004

This research proposes the lateral transshipment policy that can deal efficiently with stockout in the two-echelon distribution network in supply chain. The lateral transshipment policy can be expected for retailers to response the change of customers' demands efficiently. Because of various factors, such as demand fluctuation, replenishment quantity, lead time, and so on, it is very difficult to decide optimal lateral transshipment time and quantity. We suggest the new lateral transshipment policy based on the service level in this research. The efficiency of this policy is proved by simulation experiments.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.151-157
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• 1993

In this paper, we investigate the effects of yield randomness for lot-sizing in a multi-stage production system. The practical importance of incorporating yield randomness into production models has been emphasized by many researchers. Yield randomness, especially in semiconductor manufacturing, poses a mojor challenge for production planning and control. The task becomes even more difficult if the demand for final product is uncertain. An attempt to meet the demand with a higher level of confidence forces one to release more input in the fabrication line. This leads to excessive work-in-process (WIP) inventories which cause jobs to spend unpredictably longer time waiting for the machines. The result is that it is more difficult to meet demand with exceptionally long cycle time and puts further pressure to increase the safety stocks. Due to this spiral effect, it is common to find that the capital tied in inventory is the msot significant factor undermining profitability. We propose a policy to determine the quantity to be processed at each stage of a multi-stage production system in which the yield at each stage may be random and may need rework.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.457-478
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• 2023

Background: This study aims to contribute to the adjustment of the appropriate doctor manpower by analyzing the distribution, supply and demand, and estimation of the doctor manpower. Methods: This study utilized the medical personnel data of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, population trend data of the National Statistical Office, and health insurance benefit performance data of the National Health Insurance Service. Based on 2021, we compared the number of doctors in actual supply and the number of doctors in demand according to the amount of medical use by gender and age for 250 regions. Logistic regression analysis and scenario analysis were performed to estimate the future medical workforce by considering the demand for doctors according to the future demographic structure, the size of the quota in medical schools, and the retirement rate. Results: There were 186 regions in which the supply of doctors was below average, and the average ratio of the number of doctors in supply to demand in the region was 62.1%. Conclusion: In order to increase the number of active doctors nationwide to at least 80%, 7,756 people must be allocated. The number of doctors in demand is estimated to decrease after increasing to 1.492 times in 2059. The future projected number of doctors is expected to increase to 1.349 times in 2050 and then decrease taking into account the doctor quota and the retirement rate.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신재생에너지학회 2010년도 추계학술대회 초록집
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• pp.144-144
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• 2010

Reasonable usage methods of energy resources, which are limited for human beings to use, consists of new & renewable energy (NRE) and demand side management (DSM). All technologies and policies for energy resources are classified into two fields, methods for using new energy resources and methods for using conventional fuel energy resources. Various development activities for these fileds have been implemented and various subsidy programs have been operated to penetrate into markets rapidly. These subsidy programs have various types of subsidy by energy resources and programs and the budget are funded by government, which is called Electric Power Industry Basis Fund and is managed considering technology level, economic analysis, global environment, etc. These subsidy programs are managed by Korea Energy Management Corporation (KEMCO) for NRE and by Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) for DSM, the management are different among two corporations because the purposes and features of establishment are different though these are all public organization. KEMCO is managing the NRE subsidy programs according to the government will, while the management of KEPCO subjects to power system operations though the government will for DSM is considered. NRE which is on the initial phase of diffusion would not affect on power system seriously but the affects could be grown when the diffusion and importance are expanded. Hence some integrated affection analyses considering NRE and DSM are required and this paper shows the concept of integrated operation strategies with ground source heat pump systems which are related with two fields simultaneously.

• 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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• 제7권5호
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• pp.721-736
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• 2004

휴대용 컴퓨터나 PDA등의 증가로 이동성에 대한 사용자의 요구가 점점 늘어나고 있으나 현재의 프로토콜은 자신의 IP 주소를 변경하지 않고 다른 네트워크로 이동할 경우 호스트의 새로운 위치로 IP 패킷을 전달할 수 없다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 IETF에서는 이동 IP라는 프로토콜을 제안하였다. 오늘날 인터넷은 최신형 서비스라 불리는 서비스를 제공하고 있다. 그러나 인터넷이 상업화됨에 따라 서비스 요구가 다양해지고 있으며 동시에 QoS에 대한 요구가 급증하고 있다. 정책기반 네트워크 관리는 IP 망을 대상으로 관리의 복잡성, QoS 및 보안에 있어서의 문제점을 해결할 수 있는 방안으로 제시하고 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 이동 IP 환경에서 인터넷 차별화 서비스를 제공하는 정책기반 네트워크 관리에 대한 네트워크 토폴로지 구성을 살펴보고 그들의 동작 절차와 구조를 제안하고, 정책 시나리오를 표현하기 위해 정책 클래스로 정책들을 나누어서 본 논문에서 제안하는 정책 언어를 사용하여 제시하였다. 또한 여러 가지 제어와 네트워크 동작 절차를 실행하기 위해 이동 IP 환경에서 인터넷 차별화 서비스를 제공하는 정책기반 네트워크 관리를 구현하였다.