• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand Research

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Regional Electricity Demand Forecasting for System Planning (계통계획을 위한 지역별 전력수요예측)

  • Jo, I.S.;Rhee, C.H.;Park, J.J.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.292-294
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    • 1998
  • It is very important for electric utility to expand generating facilities and transmission equipments in accordance with the increase of electricity demand. Regional electricity demand forecasting is among the most important step for long-term investment and power supply planning. The main objectives of this paper are to develop the methodologies for forecasting regional load demand. The Model consists of four models, regional economy, regional electricity energy demand, areal electricity energy demand. and areal peak load demand. This paper mainly suggests regional electricity energy demand model and areal peak load demand. A case study is also presented.

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Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

Development of Representative Curves for Classified Demand Patterns of the Electricity Customer

  • Yu, In-Hyeob;Lee, Jin-Ki;Ko, Jong-Min;Kim, Sun-Ic
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1379-1383
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    • 2005
  • Introducing the market into the electricity industry lets the multiple participants get into new competition. These multiple participants of the market need new business strategies for providing value added services to customer. Therefore they need the accurate customer information about the electricity demand. Demand characteristic is the most important one for analyzing customer information. In this study load profile data, which can be collected through the Automatic Meter Reading System, are analyzed for getting demand patterns of customer. The load profile data include electricity demand in 15 minutes interval. An algorithm for clustering similar demand patterns is developed using the load profile data. As results of classification, customers are separated into several groups. And the representative curves for the groups are generated. The number of groups is automatically generated. And it depends on the threshold value for distance to separate groups. The demand characteristics of the groups are discussed. Also, the compositions of demand contracts and standard industrial classification in each group are presented. It is expected that the classified curves will be used for tariff design, load forecasting, load management and so on. Also it will be a good infrastructure for making a value added service related to electricity.

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An Impact of Gas Prices on Transit Demand Using a Time-series Analysis and a Regression Analysis (시계열 및 회귀분석을 활용한 휘발유가격의 광역권별·수단별 대중교통수요 영향력 비교분석)

  • Lee, Kwang Sub;Eom, Jin Ki;Moon, Dae Seop;Yang, Keun Yul;Lee, Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2014
  • Depending most of its energy sources on foreign countries, Korea efforts to reduce energy consumption in transportation. While studies on the relationship between gas price and transportation demand are many in number, most previous studies have focused on automobile and Seoul. This study analyzes the impact of gas price on transit (bus and subway) demand using monthly data and for various metropolitan areas (Seoul, Busan, Daejeon, Daegu and Gwangju). The research utilizes a time-series model and a multiple regression model, and calculates modal demand elasticities of gas price. The result shows that elasticities of subway demand with respect to gas price is higher than those of bus demand. In addition, elasticities of predominantly automobile cities are more likely to be more sensitive to gas price than those of cities with well-structured transit system.

Issue Difference of Ecosystem Service Demand and Supply through Text Mining Analysis: Case Study of Shiheung using Complaints and Urban Planning Materials (텍스트 마이닝 분석을 통한 생태계서비스 수요-공급의 이슈 차이분석 - 시흥시 민원과 도시계획 자료를 활용하여 -)

  • Lee, Jae-hyuck;Park, Hong-jun;Kim, Il-kwon;Kwon, Hyuk-soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2018
  • The comparison of demand and supply is needed for efficient ecosystem services planning. However, the gap between them cannot be analyzed as existing studies mainly dealt with only the supply of ecosystem services. This study compares the demand and supply of ecosystem services in Shiheung using environmental complaints and urban planning by semantic network analysis. As a result, 'air' and 'water' quality are magnified in demand, 'energy' and 'water' are crucial in supply. This result presents that citizen ask for the improvement of air quality in regulation services, although local government has plans for energy support in provisioning services. Periodic ecosystem services demand and supply monitoring will be the base of effective ecosystem services planning, which reduce insufficiency and surplus.

A Study of Manufacturing Cell Based on the Demand Rate (부품 수요율을 고려한 제조 셀의 운용)

  • 박승헌
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.49
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 1999
  • This research presents the relationship among machining time, cycle time and demand rate in a cellular manufacturing system. The manufacturing cell produces part families by automated machines. This paper discusses the cases of increasing demand rate in an existing cell and designing cell based on the demand rate. This research developed an algorithm for decision making such as cycle time, machines and workers in order to minimize the total machine capacity and the number of workers for any given demand rate. The proposed algorithm was successfully applied for the design and operation of cell manufacturing with a good result.

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A Study on the Factors Affecting Personal User's Acceptance of On-demand Software (개인 사용자의 On-demand Software 수용에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jun, Byoung-Ho;Lee, Ju-Hyung;Kang, Byung-Goo
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.41-57
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    • 2008
  • The development of service-based software and web-based application aims for providing user-demand service. On-demand software is emerging for same reason. Software delivery models like on-demand software is expected to change the software industry as an important technical revolution with the firm's strategy. Few research, however, has been done on the on-demand software. While much research on ASP and SaaS focused on firm' use, this study intends to examine the intention of using on-demand software targeting personal user. The intention to use of on-demand software was empirically examined in terms of quality, user characteristics, usefulness, easy of use, and security. Results shows that usefulness and easy of use are most significantly related to the intention of using on-demand software. Other factors are also found to affect the intention to use of on-demand software. This study contributes to improve the understanding and interest in on-demand software and it is expected to spread widely for individual user.

Long Term Forecastig for Durable Goods by Cross Country Analysis Using Growth Curve (성장곡선을 이용한 횡단면 분석에 의한 내구재의 장기유요예측모형)

  • 정규석
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 1985
  • In this paper, the approach getting a total demand by forecasting the new demand and the replacement demand separately and adding them is used for long term forecasting of durable goods. Cross country analysis using the income as an independent variable and S-shaped growth curve as a fitting model is developed as a method of forecasting new demand. To get the replacement demand the methods using the number of ownership and the replacement rate and the methods using the past demand and the distribution of the product life are proposed. And the theoretical explannation for product life cycle's diversity, which is the one of the major considerations in the long term forecasting, is attempted by the combination of the new demand and the replacement demand patterns. This is applicated the long term forecasting of Korean passenger cars.

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The Technology of Peak Demand Reduction using Automatic Water Tank Pumping System on the Apartment And Analysis of Effect of Energy Cost (아파트 고가수조 자동급수장치를 이용한 전력피크 감소 및 전력시장에서의 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Gul;Lee, Yun-Kyoung;Cho, Won-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.161-163
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    • 2006
  • This paper introduce the technology of peak demand reduction using automatic water tank pumping system on the apartment. That systems on the apartments installed water tank can control pumping(electricity) demand. Generally, system peak demand is occurred at the same time on workday and many water pumps consume electric power randomly. At this point, shift of operating time of water pump can reduce peak demand using automatic water tank pumping system. We were operating this system on some apartments for test of effect of peak demand reduction. and we represent result of demand shift. This result suggests that spread of the automatic water pumping system can contribute to reduce system peak demand and reduce system operation cost.

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The Relationship between Firefighters' Work Demand and Work-related Musculoskeletal Disorders: The Moderating Role of Task Characteristics

  • Kodom-Wiredu, Justice K.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2019
  • Background: Emergency workers such as firefighters are cataloged within the most demanding and injurious professions globally. Considering the health and safety implications in firefighting, a lot of research needs to be conducted to examine how firefighters' task characteristics and their work demand influence the development of work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs). This study therefore examines how the task characteristics of firefighters moderates the relationship between their work demand and the development of WMSDs. Methods: Convenient sampling was employed to select 320 firefighters in the Greater Accra region of Ghana. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and regression. Results: The findings revealed that work demand and task characteristics have significant positive effects on WMSDs. Again, the task characteristics of firefighters moderates the relationship between their work demand and WMSDs. Conclusion: Since the study shows that task characteristics influences the relationship between work demand and WMSDs, it is vital for managers to constantly modify the nature of tasks performed by and work demand of emergency workers to minimize the development of WMSDs and other industrial health complications.