• 경영과학
• /
• 제26권1호
• /
• pp.53-64
• /
• 2009

AHP is widely used in various fields owing to its simplicity and clarity. However, it has the problems of reliability of panel's judgement and the assumption that each panelist's ability is equal. In this paper, we propose a reliable AHP method using Delphi technique, which aims to incorporate the relative expertise of panel and to increase their consensus. The method is called the Modified Delphi-AHP. We apply the method to analyzing the demand for lectures of Management of Technology.

• 동의생리병리학회지
• /
• 제29권1호
• /
• pp.66-71
• /
• 2015

The purpose of the study is to establish priorities in integrated medicine policy. Delphi method was used in conducting a survey on integrated medicine specialists regarding the policies of integrated medicine and actions. For specialists in integrated medicine, total 17 persons selected included scholars who performed minimum one study on integrated medicine, medical staff who performing integrated medical service at institutions that implemented integrated medical care or those who were involved in creating or implementing policies on integrated medicine. The first Delphi-method survey conducted from Apr. 14 through 18, while the second survey was carried out from Apr. 21 through 25. To prioritize the policies based on the results of the mini Delphi-method survey, Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was performed for 15 persons answered to mini Delphi-method from May 2 through 16, 2014. From the Delphi-method survey, four policies and 16 actions were obtained. AHP showed the first priority placed on 'Building the Infrastructure of Industrialization in the Integrative medicine' of the 4 policies and 'Developing new diagnostic and treatment instruments' was given the highest priority of the 16 actions. For implementation of integrated medicine policy, the 4 policies and the 16 actions found in this research require government support and should be urgently implemented according to its priority.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제4권1호
• /
• pp.81-89
• /
• 2003

This research suggests the FD-AHP decision making model for Construction Projects which is composed of two main method to prevent a ranking invert situation ; First, to make the consensus of the experts consistent, we utilize Fuzzy-Delphi method to adjust the fuzzy rating of every expert to achive the consensus condition with the fuzzy linguistic presentation. Second, to handle vague linguistic presentation caused by expert's experiences and subjective judgement, we propose Fuzzy-AHP which is able to enhance precision of construction projects decision mating situation. Moreover, with the correlation analysis, we show that the validity of the FD-AHP model under a decision making task specially on where highly demanded expert's experiences and intuition.

• 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
• /
• 제34권2호
• /
• pp.113-121
• /
• 2023

Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.

• 건축역사연구
• /
• 제23권4호
• /
• pp.19-33
• /
• 2014

Recently, conservation and utilization of cultural heritage has been regarded as importance. So, various research papers about maintenance of the remains have been presented in many conferences. But most of researches have focused on introduction about maintenance methods and explanation about maintenance concepts of remains. And even in case of a few papers treated post-evaluation about maintenance of the remains the criteria of the evaluation has tended to somewhat subjective. So, the purpose of this study is to show the objective post-evaluation indexes which was developed by Delphi AHP methods. This research was proceeded in two stages. First, we arranged the evaluation index in a hierarchy to be made through the analyses about references and researches about maintenance of remains. 304 evaluation articles were elicited through the process. And then, elicited evaluation articles were classified with 'conservation' and 'utilization'. Second step was to figure out importance and validity of hierarchical evaluation articles with twice questionnaire surveys. This research used interval scale to comprehend validity and AHP method to evaluate relative importance of each other articles.

• 해양환경안전학회지
• /
• 제21권2호
• /
• pp.171-178
• /
• 2015

본 연구는 제한속력 설정 모델 개발을 위한 1차 연구로서 제한속력 설정 시 고려요소에는 어떤 것이 있으며, 각 요소별 중요도는 얼마나 되는지에 대한 연구의 결과이다. 고려요소 식별과 중요도 산정을 위해 델파이(Delphi)기법과 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)기법을 이용하였다. 델파이 설문은 3차에 걸쳐 수행하였고 3차에 걸친 설문을 통해 5개 상위요소(Level 1)와 23개 하위요소(Level 2)가 식별되었다. 3차 델파이 설문과정에서 내용타당도비율(CVR)값이 0.4~1.0 범위에 있으면 제한속력 설정 시 고려요소로서 반영하였고 0.4 미만의 값은 고려요소에서 제외하였다. 2차 델파이 설문과정에서 33개 고려요소가 식별되었으나 3차 설문을 통해 23개 항목으로 축소되었다. 델파이 3차 분석을 통해 얻은 23개 항목을 대상으로 AHP 설문을 수행하였다. AHP 설문 결과, 5개 상위요소(Level 1)에 대한 중요도는 교통조건이 가장 중요한 요소로 평가되었고, 선박조건, 항로조건, 자연조건, 외부지원 및 기타 조건 순으로 평가되었다. 23개 하위요소 중에서 시정이 가장 중요(1위)하다고 평가되었으며, 선박조종성능, 항로 내 수중장애물, 교통량 및 밀도, 통항선박간 거리, 타효가능속력, 조류 순으로 평가되었다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국건축시공학회 2005년도 춘계 학술기술논문발표대회 논문집
• /
• pp.141-147
• /
• 2005

Usually, processing whole project or a part of frame work delays due to acceleration, changing orders, management, characters of project. overtime, worker crowding, early occupation in the field of construction. Through a whole project, these factors cause decreasing construction labor-productivity which is the most dependent in business of construction. These kind of decreasing of construction labor-productivity cause many negative effects, just as extension of time, increasing cost in project of construction. Regardless of characters of construction or decreasing labor-productivity, extension of time is a incident which needs acceleration, also it cause a high possibility of claim and dispute. The productivity has just a broad meaning in business of construction. That's why it's difficult to apply in the field of construction. Especially, factors increasing or decreasing labor-productivity is defined by analysis of working as qualitative and outlined evaluation. However, study of the each factor decreasing construction labor-productivity analysis has not researched, because of difficulty of systematic measurement and management. The existed studies about management of productivity are just focused on estimation of productivity, not on evaluation of productivity. It was true that I couldn't examine clearly about the analysis of how much important per each the factor which have influence on labor-productivity because of the characteristic as qualitative that the labor productivity have On this study, i tried to get the factors decreasing of labor- productivity with gathering opinions of panels of expert's studies about the factors decreasing of labor-productivity on project of construction through Delphi method and i evaluated the result factors as quantitatively and subjectively about importance of factors decreasing construction labor-productivity Analysis, using AHP Method by Saaty. Also, using Delphi and AHP method, 1 suggest substantiated method qualitative factors are measured by quantitative criteria.

• 디지털융복합연구
• /
• 제14권10호
• /
• pp.173-181
• /
• 2016

본 논문의 목적은 델파이 (Delphi) 기법과 분석적계층과정 (AHP; Analytic Hierarchy Process)를 통해서 전술적 고려요소인 METT+TC (임무, 적, 지형 및 기상, 가용부대, 가용시간, 민간요소)를 세분화하고 우선순위를 정하는 것이다. 군의 작적수행과정상의 의사결정과정에서 전술적 고려요소는 매우 중요한 요소로 작용하지만, 6개 요소의 세분화 및 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구는 그동안 충분히 수행되지 않았다. 델파이와 분석적계층과정은 군사 전문가들의 인터뷰와 설문지 작성을 통해 이루어졌으며, 최초 6개의 전술적 고려요소는 델파이 분석을 통해 34개의 하위요소로 세분화되었고, 분석적계층과정을 통해 6개의 고려요소와 34개의 하위요소는 우선순위가 정량적으로 공격과 방어 국면을 구분하여 제시되었다. 본 연구결과는 군의 ATCIS와 같은 의사결정지원시스템상의 DB로 활용되고, 이를 활용할 수 있는 의사결정 애플리케이션이 도입된다면, 효과적이고 빠른 의사결정에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제11권3호
• /
• pp.129-151
• /
• 1994

This paper focuses on method of setting priorities for telecommunications Standardization in which usually includes prioritization, resource allocation, standardization schedule for each SWA is based on prioritization of SWAs. We mainly used the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and a modified Delphi technique as a method for planning process. Recently, rapid technology evolution in telecommunications fields increases the necessity of developing more and more new standards. Also increased complexity of technologies makes standards more complicated, more specified and more thick than the past ones. As a result, the number of SWAa(Standardization Work Areas) and SWIs(Standardization Work Iterms) is being increased continuously. Furthermore, rapid telecommunication environment changes such as deregulation, liberalization, privatization, regionalization, and globalization surrounding telecommunications standardization grows increasingly important. To cope with these challenges and to make the more efficient use of the limited standardization resources, i.e., time, financial, personal resources, we will suggest logical and rational approach that is a backbone of strategic plan for telecommunication standardization. The telecommunication standardization planning process involves a MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is a kind of MCDM approach. Our method is based on a combination of a modified Delphi technique and an application of AHP(spreadsheet model). Analyzed data from Delphi technique is used as inputs to AHP. In addition we also focus on the technique how to combine group judgments and to handle a large number of comparisons.

• 한국조리학회지
• /
• 제22권4호
• /
• pp.288-301
• /
• 2016

본 연구에서는 건강 음료로써 식초 음료 시장의 확대에 기여하고자 전문가들을 대상으로 설문하여 델파이와 AHP를 적용하여 식초 음료의 주된 요소들을 유형화, 계층화하였다. 따라서 문헌 연구와 전문가들의 브레인 스토밍을 통해 상위 개념인 원료, 생산방법, 제품특징, 기능성, 패키지 디자인의 5가지에 대해 개방형 설문으로 1차 델파이를 실시하였는데, 그 결과 하위 개념 50개를 도출하였고, 상위 개념으로 마케팅 1개를 추가하였다. 이렇게 1차 델파이에서 도출된 50개의 개념을 폐쇄형 설문으로 2차, 3차 델파이를 실시하였고, 의견의 일치성을 객관적으로 파악하고자 켄달의 W 검증을 실시한 결과, 2차 델파이에서는 11개 항목이 제거되었고, 3차 델파이에서는 16개 항목이 제거되어 총 23개 문항을 도출하였다. 마지막으로 델파이를 통해 도출된 23개 문항의 상대적 중요도를 파악하고자 쌍대 비교를 실시하여 각 항목 간 우선순위를 도출하여 식초 음료의 품질 평가 시, 중요하게 고려해야할 항목을 구성하였다.