• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi-AHP Method

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Application of the Delphi Technique in Modifying AHP Method (Delphi를 사용한 AHP방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sung-Hwan;Gwon, Seong-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bum;Hong, Soon-Ki
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2009
  • AHP is widely used in various fields owing to its simplicity and clarity. However, it has the problems of reliability of panel's judgement and the assumption that each panelist's ability is equal. In this paper, we propose a reliable AHP method using Delphi technique, which aims to incorporate the relative expertise of panel and to increase their consensus. The method is called the Modified Delphi-AHP. We apply the method to analyzing the demand for lectures of Management of Technology.

Prioritization in the Policy of Integrated Medicine that Uses the Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process (델파이 기법과 AHP기법을 사용한 통합의료정책 우선순위 수립 연구)

  • Park, Youn Ok;Son, Chi Hyoung
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.66-71
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of the study is to establish priorities in integrated medicine policy. Delphi method was used in conducting a survey on integrated medicine specialists regarding the policies of integrated medicine and actions. For specialists in integrated medicine, total 17 persons selected included scholars who performed minimum one study on integrated medicine, medical staff who performing integrated medical service at institutions that implemented integrated medical care or those who were involved in creating or implementing policies on integrated medicine. The first Delphi-method survey conducted from Apr. 14 through 18, while the second survey was carried out from Apr. 21 through 25. To prioritize the policies based on the results of the mini Delphi-method survey, Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was performed for 15 persons answered to mini Delphi-method from May 2 through 16, 2014. From the Delphi-method survey, four policies and 16 actions were obtained. AHP showed the first priority placed on 'Building the Infrastructure of Industrialization in the Integrative medicine' of the 4 policies and 'Developing new diagnostic and treatment instruments' was given the highest priority of the 16 actions. For implementation of integrated medicine policy, the 4 policies and the 16 actions found in this research require government support and should be urgently implemented according to its priority.

A Study on the Decision Making Model for Construction Projects using Fuzzy-AHP and Fuzzy-Delph (Fuzzy-AHP와 Fuzzy-Delphi기법을 이용한 건설프로젝트의 의사결정 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.1 s.13
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2003
  • This research suggests the FD-AHP decision making model for Construction Projects which is composed of two main method to prevent a ranking invert situation ; First, to make the consensus of the experts consistent, we utilize Fuzzy-Delphi method to adjust the fuzzy rating of every expert to achive the consensus condition with the fuzzy linguistic presentation. Second, to handle vague linguistic presentation caused by expert's experiences and subjective judgement, we propose Fuzzy-AHP which is able to enhance precision of construction projects decision mating situation. Moreover, with the correlation analysis, we show that the validity of the FD-AHP model under a decision making task specially on where highly demanded expert's experiences and intuition.

Development of Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Technology Evaluation Model Using Delphi-AHP Method (Delphi-AHP 방법을 이용한 저탄소수소 생산 기술 가치평가 모델 개발)

  • HO SEOK WHANG;UISIK KIM;YOUNGSHIN JANG;JUNGHWAN KIM;KWANG JUN KIM
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2023
  • Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.

A Development of the Post-evaluation Index about Maintenance of Remains by Using Delphi and AHP Method (델파이·AHP기법을 통한 유적정비 사후평가 지표 개발)

  • Jung, Young-Lai;Nam, Ho-Hyun
    • Journal of architectural history
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2014
  • Recently, conservation and utilization of cultural heritage has been regarded as importance. So, various research papers about maintenance of the remains have been presented in many conferences. But most of researches have focused on introduction about maintenance methods and explanation about maintenance concepts of remains. And even in case of a few papers treated post-evaluation about maintenance of the remains the criteria of the evaluation has tended to somewhat subjective. So, the purpose of this study is to show the objective post-evaluation indexes which was developed by Delphi AHP methods. This research was proceeded in two stages. First, we arranged the evaluation index in a hierarchy to be made through the analyses about references and researches about maintenance of remains. 304 evaluation articles were elicited through the process. And then, elicited evaluation articles were classified with 'conservation' and 'utilization'. Second step was to figure out importance and validity of hierarchical evaluation articles with twice questionnaire surveys. This research used interval scale to comprehend validity and AHP method to evaluate relative importance of each other articles.

Development of the Speed Limit Model for Harbour and Waterway(I) - Considerations Discrimination for Speed Limit Decision - (항만과 수로의 제한속력 설정 모델 개발에 관한 연구(I) - 제한속력 설정을 위한 고려요소 식별 -)

  • Kim, Deug-Bong;Jeong, Jae-Yong;Park, Jin-Soo;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2015
  • This research is the first research on developing the speed limit select model and also it is the result of the research on the importance of each element and consideration factors when selecting the speed limit. For the consideration factor discrimination and calculation of the importance, the delphi method and AHP method was used. The delphi survey was processed through third round survey, 5 high consideration factor(Level 1) and 23 low consideration factor(Level 2) was discriminated. During the process of the third delphi survey, when the CVR cost was in the range between 0.4~1.0 it was treated as the consideration factor when selecting the speed limit and less than 0.4 cost was eliminated. In the process of the second delphi survey, 33 consideration factors were discriminated but was reordered into 23 categories through the third survey. Based on the 23 categories earned through the third delphi analysis, the AHP survey was processed. The result of the AHP survey was that out of the importance of the 5 high consideration factor(Level 1), the traffic condition was evaluated as the number one factor and the vessel condition, waterway condition, environment condition, supporting condition and etc. conditions were evaluated following the traffic condition. Out of the 23 low consideration factor(Level 2) consideration, the visibility was evaluated to be the first important and the performance of the vessel steering, objective factors within the harbor, amount of traffic and density, distance between the passing vessel, speed of the steering capacity and tidal current were the following evaluated factors.

The Study on the Analysis of Factors Decreasing Construction Labor-Productivity Using AHP Method (AHP기법을 이용한 건설노동생산성 저하요인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Pyo Young-Min;Bae Soo-Yong;Ryu Hyoung-Han;Lee Sang-Beom
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2005
  • Usually, processing whole project or a part of frame work delays due to acceleration, changing orders, management, characters of project. overtime, worker crowding, early occupation in the field of construction. Through a whole project, these factors cause decreasing construction labor-productivity which is the most dependent in business of construction. These kind of decreasing of construction labor-productivity cause many negative effects, just as extension of time, increasing cost in project of construction. Regardless of characters of construction or decreasing labor-productivity, extension of time is a incident which needs acceleration, also it cause a high possibility of claim and dispute. The productivity has just a broad meaning in business of construction. That's why it's difficult to apply in the field of construction. Especially, factors increasing or decreasing labor-productivity is defined by analysis of working as qualitative and outlined evaluation. However, study of the each factor decreasing construction labor-productivity analysis has not researched, because of difficulty of systematic measurement and management. The existed studies about management of productivity are just focused on estimation of productivity, not on evaluation of productivity. It was true that I couldn't examine clearly about the analysis of how much important per each the factor which have influence on labor-productivity because of the characteristic as qualitative that the labor productivity have On this study, i tried to get the factors decreasing of labor- productivity with gathering opinions of panels of expert's studies about the factors decreasing of labor-productivity on project of construction through Delphi method and i evaluated the result factors as quantitatively and subjectively about importance of factors decreasing construction labor-productivity Analysis, using AHP Method by Saaty. Also, using Delphi and AHP method, 1 suggest substantiated method qualitative factors are measured by quantitative criteria.

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A Study on Segmentation and Priority of Tactical Considerations (METT+TC) (전술적 고려요소 (METT+TC)의 세분화 및 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Jo;Park, Joon-Hyoung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to subdivide the tactical considerations (METT+TC; Mission, Enemy, Terrain & Weather, Troops available, Time available, Civil considerations) through Delphi method and prioritize those via AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process). Though it has been taken for granted that the tactical considerations were inevitable for decision making relating to military operations, their segmentation and priority have not been studied sufficiently in military. The data for Delphi method and AHP were based on interview with military experts and questionnaires answered by those. Six tactical considerations were segmented into 34 sub-considerations by Delphi, and Six tactical considerations and 34 sub-ones were prioritized through AHP in attack and defense aspects. If the research results will be embedded into database of automatic command and control system (e.g. ACTIS; Army Tactical Command Information System), effective decision-making process will get easier and faster.

정보통신표준화분야 우선순위결정을 위한 방법론 연구

  • 박기식;구경철;서의호
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.129-151
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    • 1994
  • This paper focuses on method of setting priorities for telecommunications Standardization in which usually includes prioritization, resource allocation, standardization schedule for each SWA is based on prioritization of SWAs. We mainly used the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and a modified Delphi technique as a method for planning process. Recently, rapid technology evolution in telecommunications fields increases the necessity of developing more and more new standards. Also increased complexity of technologies makes standards more complicated, more specified and more thick than the past ones. As a result, the number of SWAa(Standardization Work Areas) and SWIs(Standardization Work Iterms) is being increased continuously. Furthermore, rapid telecommunication environment changes such as deregulation, liberalization, privatization, regionalization, and globalization surrounding telecommunications standardization grows increasingly important. To cope with these challenges and to make the more efficient use of the limited standardization resources, i.e., time, financial, personal resources, we will suggest logical and rational approach that is a backbone of strategic plan for telecommunication standardization. The telecommunication standardization planning process involves a MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is a kind of MCDM approach. Our method is based on a combination of a modified Delphi technique and an application of AHP(spreadsheet model). Analyzed data from Delphi technique is used as inputs to AHP. In addition we also focus on the technique how to combine group judgments and to handle a large number of comparisons.

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The Development of Quality Evaluation Index of Vinegar Beverage - Using Delphi Method and Analytical Hierarchical Process(AHP) - (식초 음료의 품질평가지표 개발에 관한 연구 - 델파이 및 AHP 기법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jihyung;Ko, Jae-Youn;Yoo, Eunyi
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.288-301
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    • 2016
  • This paper employed typology and stratification as key elements to estimate quality evaluation of vinegar drink through Delphi and AHP(analytical hierarchical process) method to contribute the market expansion of the vinegar drink as a health drink. Through literature research and brainstorming with professionals, the first round of Delphi method was conducted with the open-ended questions including five upper concepts, i.e. 'ingredients', 'production method', 'product characteristics', 'functions' and 'packaging design'. Original study had 50 lower concepts as a result of the first round and added 'marketing' as an additional upper concept. The second and third round of Delphi method have been conducted with closed-ended questions based on the 50 lower concepts resulted from the first round. To seek concordant objectivity among the answers from the survey, the study used Kendall's W coefficient of concordance. 11 items were removed while 16 items were removed at the third round leaving 23 items through second round of Delphi method. For the final round, this study utilized the Pairwise Comparison Method to figure out the relative importance of the 23 items for the prioritization. Finally, current study formulated the final items which should be considered as an important factor in the quality evaluation of vinegar drink.