• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision-making modeling

검색결과 422건 처리시간 0.024초

면역알고리즘 기반의 MECs (에너지 허브) 시스템 (An Immune Algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System)

  • 손병락;강유경;이현
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2014
  • Recently, in power system studies, Multiple Energy Carriers (MECs) such as Energy Hub has been broadly utilized in power system planners and operators. Particularly, Energy Hub performs one of the most important role as the intermediate in implementing the MECs. However, it still needs to be put under examination in both modeling and operating concerns. For instance, a probabilistic optimization model is treated by a robust global optimization technique such as multi-agent genetic algorithm (MAGA) which can support the online economic dispatch of MECs. MAGA also reduces the inevitable uncertainty caused by the integration of selected input energy carriers. However, MAGA only considers current state of the integration of selected input energy carriers in conjunctive with the condition of smart grid environments for decision making in Energy Hub. Thus, in this paper, we propose an immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System which can adopt the learning process in order to make a self decision making in Energy Hub. In particular, the proposed immune algorithm considers the previous state, the current state, and the future state of the selected input energy carriers in order to predict the next decision making of Energy Hub based on the probabilistic optimization model. The below figure shows the proposed immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System. Finally, we will compare the online economic dispatch of MECs of two algorithms such as MAGA and immune algorithm based MECs by using Real Time Digital Simulator (RTDS).

빅데이터 패키지 선정 방법 (Method for Selecting a Big Data Package)

  • 변대호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2013
  • 빅데이터 분석은 데이터의 양, 처리속도, 다양성 측면에서 데이터 마이닝과 달리 문제해결과 의사결정을 위해서는 새로운 도구를 필요로 한다. 많은 글로벌 IT기업들은 사용하기 쉽고 기능성이 우수한 모델링 능력을 가진 다양한 빅데이터 제품을 출시하고 있다. 빅데이터 패키지는 분석도구, 인프라, 플랫폼 형태로 하드웨어와 소프트웨어를 포함한 솔루션이다. 빅데이터의 수집, 저장, 분석, 시각화가 가능한 제품이다. 빅데이터 패키지는 업체별로 제품 종류가 많고 복잡한 기능을 가질 뿐만 아니라 선정에 있어서 전문 지식을 필요로 하며 일반적인 소프트웨어 패키지보다 그 중요성이 높기 때문에 의사결정 방법의 개발이 요구된다. 본 연구는 빅데이터 패키지 도입을 위한 의사결정지원방법을 제안하는 것이 목표이다. 문헌적 고찰을 통하여 빅데이터 패키지의 특징과 기능을 비교하고, 선정기준을 제안한다. 패키지 도입 타당성을 평가하기 위하여 비용과 혜택 각각을 목표노드로 하는 AHP 모델 및 선정기준을 목표노드로 하는 AHP 모델을 제안하고 이들을 결합하여 최적의 패키지를 선정하는 과정을 보인다.

The Effect of Cognitive Dieting Behavior on Consumers' Food Perceptions, Emotional Responses, and Value Conflict in Restaurants

  • Kim, Min Jung;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • 한국조리학회지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2017
  • This study was intended to examine the influence of health consciousness on health/taste inferences, affect-based inferences, and perceived conflict between taste and health in food decision making. Seven hundred and fifty-four participants completed the survey. Structural equation modeling with a maximum likelihood method was used to test the relationships among constructs, following the two-step approach. The results of this study showed that more health-conscious consumers have a higher perceived healthfulness of food items but lower anticipated taste. In addition, this study also found consumers' cognitive responses influenced affective responses. Results suggested that when restaurants promote menu items as both healthy and tasty, consumers' positive hedonic emotions (such as pleasure) increased and negative self-conscious emotions (such as guilt) decreased, and consumers' efforts to balance health and taste were supported. At last, the implications both for academia and marketing were also established and discussed.

지식관리시스템의 성과에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 주관적 규범, 성격특성을 중심으로 (A Study on Factors Influencing the Performance of the Knowledge Management System(KMS): Focused on Subjective Norm and Personality)

  • 강문상;강성배;신문봉
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2011
  • This study focuses on influencing factors of TAM on personality, subjective norm and then examines the relationship between influencing factors such as KMS usage and system performance. The survey was collected from KMS users by e-mail and on-line questionnaire. Finally, 206 questionnaires were chosen for the analysis of data. It was analyzed by SPSS and AMOS for the frequency analysis, reliability analysis, CFA(Confirmatory Factor Analysis) and SEM(Structural Equation Modeling). The results were as follows. First, subjective norm is found to be especially important to KMS usage. Second, Extraversion positively moderated the relationship between subjective norm and perceived usefulness. Third, KMS usage is significant to personal performance such as knowledge growth, decision making and the ability of problem solving. This study proposed that the usage of Knowledge Management System positively contributes to the improvement of personal performance.

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발주자 참여 확대를 위한 BIM 적용요소에 관한 연구 (Application of BIM Elements for Owner's Decision - Making Support)

  • 이경하;박재현;조성;조용;윤석현;백준홍
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 학계
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    • pp.185-188
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    • 2009
  • Recently clients requirements and social requirements are complex and large sized in construction projects. Futhermore, processes and steps are more complexed than before. Unsuitable reflection of clients brings mistaken opinions. A phase of middle change makes delay and change. It brings problems of waste expense and time. 80, first stage of planning and schematic design processes have to reflect of clients opinion actively. by increasing of constructions project competitiveness. Recently, BIM(Building Information Modeling is being researched frequently. Through visualization of information proceed step by step and it helps cognition of adapting information. 80, this paper finds and suggests solution of reflecting clients opinion and requirements and non professional clients and positively support of client participation watching based on BIM.

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A Path Specification Approach for Production Planning in Semiconductor Industry

  • Seo, Kwang-Kyu
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2010
  • This paper explores a new approach for modeling of decision-making problems that involve uncertain, time-dependent and sequence-dependent processes which can be applied to semiconductor industry. In the proposed approach, which is based on probability theory, approximate sample paths are required to be specified by probability and statistic characteristics. Completely specified sample paths are seen to be elementary and fundamental outcomes of the related experiment. The proposed approach is suitable for modeling real processes more accurately. A case study is applied to a single item production planning problem with continuous and uncertain demand and the solution obtained by the approximate path specification method shows less computational efforts and practically desirable features. The application possibility and general plan of the proposed approach in semiconductor manufacturing process is also described in the paper.

Modified Structural Modeling Method and Its Application: Behavior Analysis of Passengers for East Japan Railway Company

  • Nagata, Kiyoshi;Umezawa, Masashi;Amagasa, Michio;Sai, Fuyume
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2008
  • In order to cope with the ill-defined problem of human behavior being immanent uncertainty, several methodologies have been studied in game theoretic, social psychological and political science frameworks. As methods to arrange system elements systematically and draw out the consenting structural model concretively, ISM, FSM and DEMATEL based on graph theory etc. have been proposed. In this paper, we propose a modified structural modeling method to recognize the nature of problem. We introduce the statistical method to adjust the establishment levels in group decision situation. From this, it will become possible to obtain effectively and smoothly the structural model of group members in comparison with the traditional methods. Further we propose a procedure for achieving the consenting structural model of group members based on the structural modeling method. By applying the method to recognize the nature of ill-defined problems, it will be possible to solve the given problem effectively and rationally. In order to inspect the effectiveness of the method, we conduct a practical problem as an empirical study: "Behavior analysis of passengers for the Joban line of East Japan Railway Company after new railway service of Tsukuba Express opened".

STATE TOKEN PETRI NET MODELING METHOD FOR FORMAL VERIFICATION OF COMPUTERIZED PROCEDURE INCLUDING OPERATOR'S INTERRUPTIONS OF PROCEDURE EXECUTION FLOW

  • Kim, Yun Goo;Seong, Poong Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권8호
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    • pp.929-938
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    • 2012
  • The Computerized Procedure System (CPS) is one of the primary operating support systems in the digital Main Control Room. The CPS displays procedure on the computer screen in the form of a flow chart, and displays plant operating information along with procedure instructions. It also supports operator decision making by providing a system decision. A procedure flow should be correct and reliable, as an error would lead to operator misjudgment and inadequate control. In this paper we present a modeling for the CPS that enables formal verification based on Petri nets. The proposed State Token Petri Nets (STPN) also support modeling of a procedure flow that has various interruptions by the operator, according to the plant condition. STPN modeling is compared with Coloured Petri net when they are applied to Emergency Operating Computerized Procedure. A converting program for Computerized Procedure (CP) to STPN has been also developed. The formal verification and validation methods of CP with STPN increase the safety of a nuclear power plant and provide digital quality assurance means that are needed when the role and function of the CPS is increasing.

해상교통분석 시뮬레이션을 위한 항해사의 충돌회피 행동분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Ship Officers' Collision-Avoidance Behavior During Maritime Traffic Simulation)

  • 김홍태;안영중;양영훈
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.469-476
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    • 2020
  • 해상교통 분야와 같이 선박, 항해사, 관제센터, 해운선사, 기상시스템, 지리정보시스템 등의 복잡하고 넓은 범위의 요구사항을 갖는 시스템의 모델링 및 시뮬레이션(Modeling and Simulation, M&S)을 위해서는 인간을 포함한 체계가 필요하다. 해상교통을 모의하기 위해서는 주요 요소인 항해사의 인적요인에 대한 모델링이 필요하다. 즉, 현실감 있는 해상교통 상황의 재현 및 예측을 위해 항해사의 행동양식, 항해전문성, 항해오류 등을 모델링하여 반영하는 것이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 에이전트 기반의 해상교통 시뮬레이션을 위해서 항해사의 충돌회피를 위한 행동 분석을 수행하였으며, 기초 데이터의 확보를 위해 설문조사를 실시하였다. 설문조사를 통해 분석된 정보를 이용하여 선박 충돌상황에서 항해사의 행동과 유사한 에이전트 기반의 항해행동 모델을 개발하였으며, 해상교통분석 시뮬레이션 플랫폼의 개발을 위해 활용될 것이다.

원자력 발전소 사고 예측 모형과 병합한 최적 운행중지 결정 모형 (Deciding the Optimal Shutdown Time Incorporating the Accident Forecasting Model)

  • 양희중
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the continuing operation of nuclear power plants has become a major controversial issue in Korea. Whether to continue to operate nuclear power plants is a matter to be determined considering many factors including social and political factors as well as economic factors. But in this paper we concentrate only on the economic factors to make an optimum decision on operating nuclear power plants. Decisions should be based on forecasts of plant accident risks and large and small accident data from power plants. We outline the structure of a decision model that incorporate accident risks. We formulate to decide whether to shutdown permanently, shutdown temporarily for maintenance, or to operate one period of time and then periodically repeat the analysis and decision process with additional information about new costs and risks. The forecasting model to predict nuclear power plant accidents is incorporated for an improved decision making. First, we build a one-period decision model and extend this theory to a multi-period model. In this paper we utilize influence diagrams as well as decision trees for modeling. And bayesian statistical approach is utilized. Many of the parameter values in this model may be set fairly subjective by decision makers. Once the parameter values have been determined, the model will be able to present the optimal decision according to that value.