• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Method

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Decision Making of Improvement Priority by Deterioration Risk Assessment of Water Supply Infrastructures (물공급시설의 노후 위험도 평가를 통한 개선 우선순위 결정)

  • Chae, Soo-Kwon;Lee, Dae-Jong;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes an application methodology of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) based decision making theory for improvement priority by assessment of various risk factors affecting on deterioration of water supply systems, as major social infrastructure. AHP method is organized with three level of hierarchy which is introduced for multi-criteria decision making in this study. In the first level, assessment outputs are calculated by AHP for each affecting factor. In the second level, criteria are estimated by using assessment results with respect to structural and environmental factors. Consequently, ranking decision is performed in the third level. In order to present the effectiveness, a proposed method is compared with FCP(Fuzzy Composite Programming) for decision making. Since the results of the proposed method show better performance with consistent results, it can be applied as an efficient information for the determination for improvement priority of the study infrastructure.

A Study on the Decision Making Method for Prospective Industry/Occupation and Qualification (미래 유망 산업/직업 그리고 자격 예측을 위한 의사결정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Won-Park;Jung, Byung-Han
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2011
  • Nowadays, many countries have strived to promote prospective industries and occupations at the national level under the global circumstances such as green growth, job creation and so on. For this reason, the decision making method for qualifications foresight which will be available for the mentioned category-prospective industry and occupation- is required for it's feasibility. Pilot surveys on future workforce demand and promotion policies on service industries which are selected as a prospective industry or occupation by government parties were conducted through this research. Based on them, available qualifications-including not only national(skill) qualification but also private qualification- which can be created for prospective industries and occupations related to green growth and job creation were predicted. On the other hand, observing the change of service industry, occupation and qualification abroad, this research attempts to present the decision making method for verifying the decision' validity on qualification in Korean service industry and related occupation. Applying multicriteria decision making, a preference was examined for checking the validity of the created qualifications by prospective service industries and occupations in both sides-experts and laypeople. Based on it's result, the research was conducted regarding a validity of new qualifications in prospective industries and occupations.

Methodology to Decide Optimum Replacement Term for Components of Nuclear Power Plants (원전 기기의 최적교체시기 결정방법)

  • 문호림;장창희;박준현;정일석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2000
  • Mostly, the economic analyses for replacement of major components of nuclear power Plants(NPPs) have been performed in deterministic ways. However, the analysis results are more or less affected by the uncertainties associated with input variables. Therefore, it is desirable to use a probabilistic economic analysis method to properly consider uncertainty of real problem. In this paper, the probabilistic economic analysis method and decision analysis technique are briefly described. The probabilistic economy analysis method using decision analysis will provide efficient and accurate way of economic analysis for the repair and/or replace mai or components of NPPs.

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Multi-Criteria Group Decision Making under Imprecise Preference Judgments: Using Fuzzy Logic with Linguistic Quantifier

  • Choi, Duke-Hyun;Ahn, Byeong-Seok;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.557-567
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    • 2005
  • The increasing complexity of the socio-economic environments makes it less and less possible for single decision-maker to consider all relevant aspects of problem. Therefore are, many organizations employ groups in decision making. In this paper, we present a multiperson decision making method using fuzzy logic with linguistic quantifier when each of group members specifies imprecise judgments possibly both on performance evaluations of alternatives with respect to the multiperson criteria and on the criteria. Inexact or vague preferences have appeared in the decision making literatures with a view to relaxing the burdens of preference specifications imposed to the decision-makers and thus taking into account the vagueness of human judgments. Allowing for the types of imprecise judgments in the model, however, makes more difficult a clear selection of alternative(s) that a group wants to make. So, further interactions with the decision-makers may proceed to the extent to compensate for the initial comforts of preference specifications. These interaction may not however guarantee the selection of the best alternative to implement. To circumvent this deadlock situation, we present a procedure for obtaining a satisfying solution by the use of linguistic quantifier guided aggregation which implies fuzzy majority. This is an approach to combine a prescriptive decision method via a mathematical programming and a well-established approximate solution method to aggregate multiple objects.

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Effective Diagnostic Method Of Breast Cancer Data Using Decision Tree (Decision Tree를 이용한 효과적인 유방암 진단)

  • Jung, Yong-Gyu;Lee, Seung-Ho;Sung, Ho-Joong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2010
  • Recently, decision tree techniques have been studied in terms of quick searching and extracting of massive data in medical fields. Although many different techniques have been developed such as CART, C4.5 and CHAID which are belong to a pie in Clermont decision tree classification algorithm, those methods can jeopardize remained data by the binary method during procedures. In brief, C4.5 method composes a decision tree by entropy levels. In contrast, CART method does by entropy matrix in categorical or continuous data. Therefore, we compared C4.5 and CART methods which were belong to a same pie using breast cancer data to evaluate their performance respectively. To convince data accuracy, we performed cross-validation of results in this paper.

A Study of Pathogenesis Classification using Decision Tree Method (의사결정나무법을 이이용한 병인(病因)분류에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyuk-Jae;Kim, Min-Yong;Oh, Hwan-Sup;Park, Young-Bae
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.27-40
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    • 2008
  • Background : In spite of the predominant of the theory of Pathogenesis, the method of Pathogenesis classification is depending on the doctor's clinical trials because od the lack of the objective test criteria. Methods and Results : This study is trying to improve the objectiveness of classification using a new statistical method, decision tree. Decision tree method -a classification technique in the statistical analysis- was used to analyze the result of pathogenesis questionnaire instead of using discriminant analysis. As a result, 10 among 38 pathogenesis questionnaire was selected as important questions and 12 terminal nodes was built to classify the pathogenesis. Conclusions : Using only 10 questions shown in the result of decision tree, we can classify and interpret the pathogenesis easily and effectively.

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Using an Evaluative Criteria Software of Optimal Solutions for Enterprise Products' Sale

  • Liao, Shih Chung;Lin, Bing Yi
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study focuses on the use of evaluative criteria software for imprecise market information, and product mapping relationships between design parameters and customer requirements. Research design, data, and methodology - This study involved using the product predicted value method, synthesizing design alternatives through a morphological analysis and plan, realizing the synthesis in multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM), and using its searching software capacity to obtain optimal solutions. Results - The establishment of product designs conforms to the customer demand, and promotes the optimization of several designs. In this study, the construction level analytic method and the simple multi attribute comment, or the quantity analytic method are used. Conclusions - This study provides a solution for enterprise products' multi-goals decision-making, because the product design lacks determinism, complexity, risk, conflict, and so on. In addition, the changeable factor renders the entire decision-making process more difficult. It uses Fuzzy deduction and the correlation technology for appraising the feasible method and multi-goals decision-making, to solve situations of the products' multi-goals and limited resources, and assigns resources for the best product design.

Selection of the Optimal Decision Tree Model Using Grid Search Method : Focusing on the Analysis of the Factors Affecting Job Satisfaction of Workplace Reserve Force Commanders (격자탐색법을 이용한 의사결정나무 분석 최적 모형 선택 : 직장예비군 지휘관의 직장만족도에 대한 영향 요인 분석을 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Chulwoo;Jeong, Won Young;Shin, David
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest the grid search method for selecting an optimal decision tree model. It chooses optimal values for the maximum depth of tree and the minimum number of observations that must exist in a node in order for a split to be attempted. Therefore, the grid search method guarantees building a decision tree model that shows more precise and stable classifying performance. Through empirical analysis using data of job satisfaction of workplace reserve force commanders, we show that the grid search method helps us generate an optimal decision tree model that gives us hints for the improvement direction of labor conditions of Korean workplace reserve force commanders.

A Study on Decision-making of Equipment Procurement for Plant Operations & Maintenance (O&M) - Focused on Technology Strategy perspective - (플랜트 O&M을 위한 기자재 조달방식 의사결정에 관한 연구 - 기술전략 관점을 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Daegeun;Lim, Yongtaek
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2019
  • In the plant industry, the share of equipment accounts for 45 ~ 75%, which is very high. It is a traditional plant centered on processes and reactions like petroleum and chemical plants. Renewable energy generation plants such as wind power generation and solar power generation are equipment-centric plants. Equipment-centric plants are very important not only in the EPC phase but also in the operation and management phase. The procurement of equipment for plant operation and management can be divided into make and buy. Make is a method of producing equipment itself, and buy is a method of procuring equipment from the outside. The procurement method of the equipment directly affects the plant operation and management cost. In this study, the decision making of equipment procurement method for plant operation and management is defined as 4 phase. Each phase is selection of procurement decision-making objects, technology strategy perspective, finance perspective, and production perspective. In detail, we defined selection process of procurement decision-making objects and technology strategy perspective process. We will contribute to the enhancement of the competitiveness of the plant operation and management area by carrying out researches on the process and application examples of financial and production perspectives in the future.

Use of Mobile Devices in the Performance of Group Decision-Making under Contextual Pressure

  • Kwon, Oh-Byung;Kim, Tae-Kyung;Kim, Choong-Rhyun
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2007
  • Mobile technology appears promising as a method to promote group performance in circumstances dependent on time, but not member proximity. However, the success of mobile technology in group decision-making situations has not yet been proven. This paper aims to see how mobile technology affects the performance of group decision-making tasks that should be resolved urgently and/or sources of idea are disconnected with on-line network. Laboratory experiment was used to investigate the effects of mobile factors on group decision-making. The results from the experiment supported the proposition that pressures of time and location play a significant role in the assessment of group decision performance measures. We found that the adoption of mobile technology to group decision-making procedures might be competitive when group decision-making tasks are urgent and sources of idea are disconnected with on-line network, even though mobile technology is not a panacea on which to depend when designing group decision-making.