• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data Bias

Search Result 1,766, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Performance Evaluation of the High-Resolution WRF Meteorological Simulation over the Seoul Metropolitan Area (WRF 모형의 수도권 지역 상세 국지 기상장 모의 성능 평가)

  • Oh, Jun-Seo;Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Woo, Ju-Wan;Lee, Doo-Il;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Seo, Jihyun;Moon, Nankyoung
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.257-276
    • /
    • 2020
  • Faithful evaluation of the meteorological input is a prerequisite for a better understanding of air quality model performance. Despite the importance, the preliminary meteorological assessment has rarely been concerned. In this study, we aim to evaluate the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model conducting a year-long high-resolution meteorological simulation in 2016 over the Seoul metropolitan area. The WRF model was configured based on a series of sensitivity simulations of initial/boundary meteorological conditions, land use mapping data, reanalysis grid nudging method, domain nesting method, and urban canopy model. The simulated results of winds, air temperature, and specific humidity in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) were evaluated following statistical evaluation guidance using the surface and upper meteorological measurements. The statistical evaluation results are presented. The model performance was interpreted acceptable for air quality modeling within the statistical criteria of complex conditions, showing consistent overestimation in wind speeds. Further statistical analysis showed that the meteorological model biases were highly systematic with systematic bias fractions (fSB) of 20~50%. This study suggests that both the momentum exchange process of the surface layer and the ABL entrainment process should be investigated for further improvement of the model performance.

A Numerical Simulation of Blizzard Caused by Polar Low at King Sejong Station, Antarctica (극 저기압(Polar Low) 통과에 의해 발생한 남극 세종기지 강풍 사례 모의 연구)

  • Kwon, Hataek;Park, Sang-Jong;Lee, Solji;Kim, Seong-Joong;Kim, Baek-Min
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.277-288
    • /
    • 2016
  • Polar lows are intense mesoscale cyclones that mainly occur over the sea in polar regions. Owing to their small spatial scale of a diameter less than 1000 km, simulating polar lows is a challenging task. At King Sejong station in West Antartica, polar lows are often observed. Despite the recent significant climatic changes observed over West Antarctica, adequate validation of regional simulations of extreme weather events such as polar lows are rare for this region. To address this gap, simulation results from a recent version of the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting model (Polar WRF) covering Antartic Peninsula at a high horizontal resolution of 3 km are validated against near-surface meteorological observations. We selected a case of high wind speed event on 7 January 2013 recorded at Automatic Meteorological Observation Station (AMOS) in King Sejong station, Antarctica. It is revealed by in situ observations, numerical weather prediction, and reanalysis fields that the synoptic and mesoscale environment of the strong wind event was due to the passage of a strong mesoscale polar low of center pressure 950 hPa. Verifying model results from 3 km grid resolution simulation against AMOS observation showed that high skill in simulating wind speed and surface pressure with a bias of $-1.1m\;s^{-1}$ and -1.2 hPa, respectively. Our evaluation suggests that the Polar WRF can be used as a useful dynamic downscaling tool for the simulation of Antartic weather systems and the near-surface meteorological instruments installed in King Sejong station can provide invaluable data for polar low studies over West Antartica.

A Study on the Fair Returns of Private Participants' Investments on BTO PPI Projects (BTO 민간투자사업 적정수익률에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-131
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study will estimate the fair return on private participants' investments on BTO type PPI (Private Public Infrastructure) projects using the data from past BTO projects in Korea. In the past, the real returns of $6%\sim9%$ were provided to private participants. The results of this study show that those returns were too high compared with the estimated fair returns, especially for projects with the minimum revenue guarantee (MRG) by the government. Moreover, the excess portion of the return over the fair return becomes even larger when there is a demand forecast bias. In reality, most of the BTO projects have far lower actual revenues than the initial forecasted revenue in concession agreements. This phenomenon implies that BTO projects have a tendency of overly forecasting revenues. If so, the value of the minimum revenue guarantee becomes larger, and therefore, the fair return to private participants should decrease. It is hoped that this study helps future BTO projects' concession agreements between the government and private participants to become more fair from the perspectives of risk and return profiles.

Nomogram Estimating the Probability of Intraabdominal Abscesses after Gastrectomy in Patients with Gastric Cancer

  • Eom, Bang Wool;Joo, Jungnam;Kim, Young-Woo;Park, Boram;Yoon, Hong Man;Ryu, Keun Won;Kim, Soo Jin
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.262-269
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose: Intraabdominal abscess is one of the most common reasons for re-hospitalization after gastrectomy. This study aimed to develop a model for estimating the probability of intraabdominal abscesses that can be used during the postoperative period. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the clinicopathological data of 1,564 patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer between 2010 and 2012. Twenty-six related markers were analyzed, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to develop the probability estimation model for intraabdominal abscess. Internal validation using a bootstrap approach was employed to correct for bias, and the model was then validated using an independent dataset comprising of patients who underwent gastrectomy between January 2008 and March 2010. Discrimination and calibration abilities were checked in both datasets. Results: The incidence of intraabdominal abscess in the development set was 7.80% (122/1,564). The surgical approach, operating time, pathologic N classification, body temperature, white blood cell count, C-reactive protein level, glucose level, and change in the hemoglobin level were significant predictors of intraabdominal abscess in the multivariate analysis. The probability estimation model that was developed on the basis of these results showed good discrimination and calibration abilities (concordance index=0.828, Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-statistic P=0.274). Finally, we combined both datasets to produce a nomogram that estimates the probability of intraabdominal abscess. Conclusions: This nomogram can be useful for identifying patients at a high risk of intraabdominal abscess. Patients at a high risk may benefit from further evaluation or treatment before discharge.

Panoramic radiological study to identify locally displaced maxillary canines in Bangladeshi population

  • Alif, Sheikh Mohammad;Haque, Sejuty;Nimmi, Naima;Ashraf, Ali;Khan, Saeed Hossain;Khan, Mahfujul Haq
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
    • /
    • v.41 no.4
    • /
    • pp.155-159
    • /
    • 2011
  • Purpose : This study was performed to determine the prevalence of maxillary canine impaction on a basis of a single panoramic radiograph in Bangladeshi population. Materials and Methods : A random sample of seven hundred panoramic radiographs was collected from the patient record of a dental clinic. All the selected panoramic radiographs were taken from January 2009 to August 2010 by a single panoramic radiograph machine with the same exposure time (19 seconds) for all radiographs. One hundred and twenty panoramic radiographs were excluded to minimize the selection bias. In a dim lit room, an observer assessed the radiographs on a standard radiographic light box. The position of the impacted maxillary canine was recorded in line with the longitudinal axis of a tooth using the edge of a metal ruler. Data were subsequently put on SPSS 11.5 software and chi-square (${\chi}^2$) tests were applied to find out the association. Results : Among 580 panoramic radiographs it was found that impacted maxillary canines were present in only 7 (1.2%) radiographs. A statistical significant difference was found between the age of the patients and the vertical position of the impacted canines (p=0.000) and between the age of the patients and the horizontal position of the impacted canines (p=0.003). Conclusion : The prevalence was found to be low compared with the present study from the limitation of panoramic image. Further study needs to include three-dimensional imaging modality.

Structural Relationships among Frontline Hotel Employees' Core Self-evaluations, Perceived Customer Verbal Aggression and Turnover Intention (호텔직원의 핵심자기평가, 지각된 고객언어폭력 및 이직의도 간의 구조적 관계)

  • Kim, Tae-Goo;Lee, Gye-Hee
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.100-117
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the structural relationships among frontline hotel employees' core-self evaluations (self-esteem, generalized self-evaluations, locus of control, and emotional stability) as personal resources, customer verbal aggression as a job stressor, and turnover intention as a job outcome. Data were gathered from a sample of frontline employees of 10 five-star hotels in Busan via self-administered questionnaires. A total number of 405 questionnaires were utilized. This study used structural equation modeling to verify the research model and hypotheses. As hypothesized, the results demonstrated that core-self evaluations reduced customer verbal aggression and turnover intention, and customer verbal aggression amplified turnover intention. Finally, practical implications were discussed in detail and limitations of the study and future research directions were also suggested.

  • PDF

Electroacupuncture for Treatment of Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome: Systematic Review of Randomized Controlled Trials (다낭성 난소증후군의 전침 치료 연구에 관한 체계적 문헌 고찰)

  • Yoon, Jun-Geol;Park, Nam-Chun;Ji, Hae-Ri;Park, Kyoung-Sun;Hwang, Deok-Sang;Lee, Jin-Moo;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Jang, Jun-Bock
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-53
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of this review was to overview and evaluate the efficacy of electroacupunture for women with polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) Methods: Relevant randomized controlled studies (RCTs) were identified by database searches in PubMED, EMBASE, OASIS, and Google scholar, up to May 2018. Data were extracted regarding hyperandrogenism, obesity and hyperinsulinemia indices. The risk of bias was assessed. Results: Five RCTs were included for analysis. In one RCT, electroacupuncture group had significantly lower free testosterone and testosterone, compared to no treatment group. However, The other RCTs showed no significant difference between two groups. For LH/FSH, Ferriman Gallway score, anti-mullerian hormone, body mass index, weight and waist, and insulin, electroacupuncture group showed no significant difference, compared to physical exercise, no treatment, and sham acupuncture group. Conclusions: Only a limited number of RCTs have been reported. At present, there is insufficient evidence to support the use of electroacupuncture for treatment of PCOS.

Impact of Digital Divide on Online Political Participation: With Focus on the Gap of Operational Skills of Digital Device Users (온라인 정치참여에서 디지털 정보격차의 영향: 디지털 기기 이용자의 기기 운용 기술 격차를 중심으로)

  • Jang, Changki;Sung, WookJoon
    • Informatization Policy
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.36-54
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study empirically analyzes the impact of digital divide between digital device usage motivation and operational skills on online political participation. The analysis was performed using the National Information Society Agency's 2018 digital divide survey data from September to December 2018 and applying the Heckman selection model to control the sample selection bias that may occur between internet users and non-users. The result shows the gap in motivation and device operational skills of individual citizens using digital devices has significant impact on online political participation. In socio-economic terms, it shows the age, education level and regional factors also have significant impact on online political participation, while gender and income levels do not. This study holds significance in that there are different patterns of digital divide between digital devices, identifying the motivation to use a digital device as an important factor for mobile device users, and the device operational skills, for personal computer users.

The Comparison of Sphere Fitting Methods for Estimating the Center of Rotation on a Human Joint (인체관절의 회전중심 추정을 위한 구적합법의 비교)

  • Kim, Jin-Uk
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.53-62
    • /
    • 2013
  • The methods of fitting a circle to measured data, geometric fit and algebraic fit, have been studied profoundly in various areas of science. However, they have not been applied exactly to a biomechanics discipline for locating the center of rotation of a human joint. The purpose of this study was to generalize the methods to fitting spheres to the points in 3-dimension, and to estimate the center of rotation of a hip joint by three of geometric fit methods(Levenberg-Marquardt, Landau, and Sp$\ddot{a}$th) and four of algebraic fit methods(Delogne-K${\aa}$sa, Pratt, Taubin, and Hyper). 1000 times of simulation experiments for flexion/extension and ad/abduction at an artificial hip joint with four levels of range of motion(10, 15, 30, and $60^{\circ}$) and three levels of angular velocity(30, 60, and $90^{\circ}$/s) were executed to analyze the responses of the estimated center of rotation. The results showed that the Sp$\ddot{a}$th estimate was very sensitive to the marker near the center of rotation. The bias of Delogne-K${\aa}$sa estimate existed in an even larger range of motion. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm of geometric fit and the Pratt of algebraic fit showed the best results. The combination of two methods, using the Pratt's estimate as initial values of the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, could be a candidate of more valid estimator.

A High Speed CMOS Arrayed Optical Transmitter for WPON Applications (WPON 응용을 위한 고속 CMOS어레이 광트랜스미터)

  • Yang, Choong-Reol;Lee, Sang-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.38B no.6
    • /
    • pp.427-434
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, the design and layout of a 2.5 Gbps arrayed VCSEL driver for optical transceiver having arrayed multi-channel of integrating module is confirmed. In this paper, a 4 channel 2.5 Gbps VCSEL (vertical cavity surface emitting laser) driver array with automatic optical power control is implemented using $0.18{\mu}m$ CMOS process technology that drives a $1550{\mu}m$ high speed VCSEL used in optical transceiver. To enhance the bandwidth of the optical transmitter, active feedback amplifier with negative capacitance compensation is exploited. We report a distinct improvement in bandwidth, voltage gain and operation stability at 2.5Gbps data rate in comparison with existing topology. The 4-CH chip consumes only 140 mW of DC power at a single 1.8V supply under the maximum modulation and bias currents, and occupies the die area of $850{\mu}m{\times}1,690{\mu}m$ excluding bonding pads.