• 제목/요약/키워드: Customer Demand

검색결과 666건 처리시간 0.028초

수요측 단기 전력소비패턴 예측을 위한 평균 및 시계열 분석방법 연구 (A Study on Forecasting Method for a Short-Term Demand Forecasting of Customer's Electric Demand)

  • 고종민;양일권;송재주
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.

DSM 자원평가 및 소비자 행태 분석 (DSM Resources Evaluation and Customer Behavior Analysis)

  • 안남성;박민혁;류재국
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.49-71
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    • 2004
  • Demand-side Management can be defined as'any utility activity aimed at modifying customers' use of energy to produce desired changes in the utility's load shape'. Customers benefit by being able to control energy costs and improve quality of life and become more productive. Utilities benefit from DSM's value as a resource that enhances asset utilization and reduces both fuel costs and environmental emissions. The scope of DSM includes load management through rate schedules and conservation by improving energy effciency and using electricity consumption effectively. This paper study the DSM resource evaluation and customer behavior analysis todesign the DSM Program plan in response to customer needs. We develop basic system dynamics model to analysis the customer behavior based on a survey research. The DSM Program participants in the Hi- efficiency Inverter, Electric motor and efficient lighting applicancies operating by Conservation program 2002 become the survey objects. DSM resource evaluation evaluate firstt the distribution potentialities of each machine and then forecast the degree of diffusion. We apply the system dynamic approach to simulate the dynamic DSM market situation at the domestic beginning. This model will give the energy Planner the opportunity to create different scenarios for DSM program planning. Also it will lead to increased understanding of the dynamic DSM market

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관광지역 외식점포의 운영실태 및 관광객의 - 동해시를 중심으로 - (Analyzing the Current Operating Management and Customer Royalty of Restaurants at Tourism Provineces in Donghea city)

  • 채인숙
    • 한국식생활문화학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.388-395
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the current operating management practices and tourist royalty of restaurants at the tourism provinces in Donghae city. Forty restaurants were surveyed for sales status, customer management, menu management, advertising, marketing strategy and seventy seven tourists replied to the attitudinal and behavioral aspects of customer royalty for regular visiting restaurant. Statistical data analyses were completed using the SPSS/WIN pact(age program for descriptive analysis, paired difference test, t-test, ANOVA, and pearson correlation. The results of quantitative analysis indicated that the average sales per day on a high-demand season were 1,571 thousand won and one on a slack season were 614 thousand won. The average check on a high-demand season(109 persons) and a slack season(38 persons) were significant difference(t=6.834, p<.001). A total of 93.5% of the restaurateurs answered that menu pricing was decided by the owner and 21.7% of the subjects used the only restaurant homepage in the advertising method. A total of 40.6% of the restaurants utilized the only kind service for regular customers and 35.1% of the subjects had no method for them. The results suggest that systematic management policies and marketing strafes for regular customer is very necessary. Also, the correlation between tourists' attitudinal and behavioral aspects of customer royalty for regular visiting restaurant was found out. High correlation was existed between the overall tourists' satisfaction on regular visiting restaurant, the intention to revisit(BCL 1, p<.001), the intention to recommend(BCL 2, p<.001), and indicators of customer royalty. Finally, restaurateurs at the tourism provinces should focus on marketing strategy to keep and improve current customer to rise the tourist royalty.

Kano 모델 기반의 잠재적 고객 요구 개선 지수의 개발 : 교육서비스 분야를 중심으로 (Development of Potential Customer Demand Improvement Index Based on Kano Model : Focused on Educational Service)

  • 이형준;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 2018
  • Recently, service quality must reflect several demands of customers who show rapid and various changes so as to be compared with the past. So, objective and rapid measuring methods for service quality are necessary. For them, first of all, service company must calculate their standard of service quality accurately by measuring service quality exactly. Kano classified the degree of influence that is the degree of correspondence of the quality attributes of products and services to the subjective satisfaction of customers. As a result, the types of qualities are classified as attractive, must be, one dimensional, and indifference attributes. They have been widely used quality attributes in various industrial fields up to now. However, Kano model has a limit that it ignores the characters of the next frequent numbers even though there are not much gap comparing to the most frequent number in the questionnaire answers. The limit is attributed to the character of Kano model that the most frequent number is accepted as the only quality character. Timko calculated the customer satisfaction coefficient by using Kano's method and studied the differences in quality character by classifying the quality characteristics in a graphical way through the relationship between the satisfaction and the dissatisfaction coefficient. In this study, we used the quality level determination method of the 7-point Likert scale, which takes the weight into account, to complement the deficiencies of the existing Kano model. We also developed and applied a Potential Satisfaction Level (P) and Potential Customer Demand Improvement (PCDI) Index to present a new approach to the determination of service quality attributes. To measure the level of potential service satisfaction and to understand the degree of improvement, we collected specimens of 51 participants who has been trained in the National Strategy Business Training Program, which has been managed by government agent, and analyzed the results.

FUTURE GASOLINE AND DIESEL ENGINES - REVIEW

  • Monaghan, M.L.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2000
  • This paper reviews the main drivers forcing change and progress in powertrains for passenger cars in the coming years. The environmental drivers of omissions and CO2 will force better technical performance, but customer demand for increased choice will force change in the basic engine design and provide opportunities for alternate configurations of powertrain. Gasoline engines will embody refinements of valve train actuations as well as developments in combustion, especially direct injection and possibly a lean booated form of direct injection. Nevertheless, the conventional, port injected engine will continue to be the dominant engine for some years to come. The high speed direct injection diesel will very soon supplant its indirect injection predecessor completely. It will take an increasing share of the total powertrain market as improved specific power and refinement make it even more attractive to the customer. Car manufacturers will provide diesel models to satisfy this customer demand as well as using the efficiency of the diesel to enable them to meet their fleet CO2 commitments. Both gasoline and diesel engines will see an increasing degree of electrification and partial hybridisation as efficient flywheel mounted electrical devices become available.

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이중 재고한계점에 반응하는 고객이탈행위를 고려한 강건한 뉴스벤더 모델 (Robust Newsvendor Model with Customer Balking by the Bi-levels of Inventory Threshold)

  • 정욱;이세원
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2013
  • Many retailer store managers are experiencing the situation where some customers balk at purchasing products if the stock is low. In this paper, we extend the single period newsvendor model in an environment of customer balking behavior occurring at double threshold inventory levels assuming the chance of sales during balking is a discrete function of inventory level. Our analysis is based on the assumption that only the mean and the variance of demand are known, without assuming any specific distributional form. We derive the explicit general expression of optimal order quantity with unknown distribution of demand with double threshold inventory levels of customer balking. Then, we illustrate the concepts developed here through simple numerical examples and conclude the future research topics under balking situation.

시계열 모델을 이용한 행동기반 에너지 효율화 프로그램의 고객기준부하 산정 방안 (Customer Baseline Load Calculation using Time Series Prediction Technique in Energy Efficiency Programs)

  • 고세현;주성관;이재희;문국현;위영민
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제68권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • As global demand for energy, energy prices, and power generation has increased worldwide, the government is turning to supply-oriented electricity supply and demand policies, such as behavior-based energy efficiency programs. In order to measure the implementation effect of the behavior-based energy efficiency program, the energy reduction must be accurately calculated by calculating the customer baseline load.

BESS의 DR(Demand Response) 적용 시 수용가의 투자비 최소화를 위한 적정용량산출방법 (A Study on the Battery Storage Volume Optimization in case of DR Participation for the Minimization of the Customer's Investment Cost)

  • 양승권;김대영
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2013
  • The BESS(Battery Energy Storage System) is an useful device for load leveling, but the high cost, installation space and safety issues are the main barriers for supplying it widely. The important factor in supplying BESS to customers successfully is the payback period. As most of the H/W cost factors are uncontrollable, the optimization of storage volume can be useful factor in improving payback period. In order to obtain optimized BESS volume, the load factor, demand ratio, peak shaving ratio, electric rates and benefits from DR participation of customer should be analyzed. In this paper, we could verify the peak cutting capability and cost effectiveness under the some proposed conditions and changing value of PCS and battery based on the customers data after volume optimization process was applied, and we can identified the saturation point of load factor and shortening of customer's payback period.

A Lagrangean Relaxation Method for the Zero-One Facility Location Problem with Uniform Customer Demands and Facility Capacities

  • Tcha, Dong-Wan;Yoo, Chun-Beon
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 1986
  • Consider a capacitated facility location problem in which the demands of customers are all equal and so are the capacities of facilities. Under the restriction that each customer's uniform demand be met by exactly one facility, the objective is to select a set of facilities to open, and to assign customer's demand to them so as to minimize the total cost which includes fixed costs of opening facilities as well as variable assignment costs. The problem is modelled as a pure zero-one program which may be viewed as a variant of well-known capacitated facility location problems. The purpose of this study is to develop efficient computational procedures for solving the pure zero-one facility location problems. Due to the special structure of our zero-one location problem with uniform demand, it can be converted to a location problem with the unimodular property. A Lagrangean relaxation algorithm is developed to solve the location problem. The algorithm is made efficient by employing a device which exploits the special structure of a surrogate constraint. The efficiency of the algorithm is analyzed through computational experiments with some test problems.

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반도체부품 수요 및 납기 불확실성을 고려한 안전재고 설정 프레임워크 (Safety Stock Management Framework for Semiconductor Enterprises Under Demand and Lead Time Uncertainties)

  • 황호신;김수영;오진우;정세진;박인범
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.104-111
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    • 2023
  • The semiconductor industry, which relies on global supply chains, has recently been facing longer lead time for material procurement due to supply chain uncertainties. Moreover, since increasing customer satisfaction and reducing inventory costs are in a trade-off relationship, it is challenging to determine the appropriate safety stock level under demand and lead time uncertainties. In this paper, we propose a framework for determining safety stock levels by utilizing the optimization method to determine the optimal safety stock level. Additionally, we employ a linear regression method to analyze customer satisfaction scores and inventory costs based on variations in lead time and demand. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed framework, we compared safety stock levels obtained by the regression equations with those of the conventional method. The numerical experiments demonstrated that the proposed method successfully reduces inventory costs while maintaining the same level of customer satisfaction when lead time increases.

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