• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative Hazard

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.035초

누적 해저드지의 모수추정에 관한 연구 - 컴퓨터 프로그래밍 및 신뢰성공학에의 응용 - (A Study on the Parameter Estimation of the Cumulative Hazard Paper)

  • 엄태원
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제16권28호
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 1993
  • This paper studies the estimation of hazard parameters, which have a close relation with product reliability characteristics in reliability test. Among the many kinds of estimation methods, hazard Probability Paper(HPP) is commonly used. The HPP is very convenient, but it has a great disadvantage in estimation W by plotting method It is very difficult to get the same results even if one use the same data several times. A computer program for the regression method is used for the parameter estimation to reduce these errors. Especially, the computer graphic program was written in GW-BASIC 3.22 language and a couple of running examples for user's reference appears in the appendix part.

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ON CONSISTENCY OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC BAYES ESTIMATORS WITH RESPECT TO A BETA PROCESS BASED ON INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Jung, In-Ha
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 1998
  • Let F and G denote the distribution functions of the failure times and the censoring variables in a random censorship model. Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) verified consistency of $F_{\alpha}$, he NPBE of F with respect to the Dirichlet process prior D($\alpha$), in which they assumed F and G are continuous. Assuming that A, the cumulative hazard function, is distributed according to a beta process with parameters c, $\alpha$, Hjort(1990) obtained the Bayes estimator $A_{c,\alpha}$ of A under a squared error loss function. By the theory of product-integral developed by Gill and Johansen(1990), the Bayes estimator $F_{c,\alpha}$ is recovered from $A_{c,\alpha}$. Continuity assumption on F and G is removed in our proof of the consistency of $A_{c,\alpha}$ and $F_{c,\alpha}$. Our result extends Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) since a particular transform of a beta process is a Dirichlet process and the class of beta processes forms a much larger class than the class of Dirichlet processes.

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Energy Ratio Factor and Phase Angle Based Fatigue Prediction Model for Flexible Pavements

  • Kim, Nak-Seok
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구의 주목적은 에너지 비율 인자와 위상각을 이용한 연성포장의 피로예측 모델을 개발하는 것이다. 본 연구에서 도입된 에너지 비율 인자와 위상각은 점탄성 재료의 기본적인 성질을 반영하기 위하여 사용되었다. 에너지 비율 인자는 가상 방출 에너지와 시험 중 파괴시 까지의 누적 방출 에너지의 비로 정의된다. 위상각은 아스팔트 혼합물의 응력과 변형률의 차이로부터 발생한다. 아스팔트 콘크리트 혼합물의 실험결과를 이용하여 위상각이 측정 되었으며 초기 stiffness와 초기 위상각의 관계가 제시 되었다. 본 연구 결과 아스팔트 콘크리트 혼합물의 점탄성 재료라는 고유한 성질을 반영할 수 있는 에너지 비율 인자와 위상각을 활용한 연성포장용 피로 예측 모델이 제안되었다.

상악동 거상술을 동반한 임플란트의 누적생존율에 대한 연구 (A retrospective study of the cumulative survival rate of implants installed in combination with sinus elevation)

  • 구해진;조영단;구영
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제55권2호
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    • pp.116-127
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    • 2017
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to evaluate the cumulative survival rates of the implants placed into grafted sinus and determine the effect of age, gender, smoking, and systemic disease on the implant cumulative survival rates. Materials and Methods : The retrospective study was performed on 51 implants placed in 26 patients by one dentist at the Dental Implant Center, Seoul National University Dental Hospital in the years 2000-2010. The cumulative survival rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The differences within the factors were analyzed using log-rank test and the correlations between the factors and implant survival rates were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard model. Results : 1. Among the total of 51 implants placed in 26 patients, 7 implants failed and 44 implants remained stable. The 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 92%, 88%, and 85%, respectively. 2. Patients in their 50s and in their 70s showed statistically significant difference in the cumulative survival rates (P < 0.05). Gender and the existence of systemic disease did not show significant results. 3. In the implant treatment, smokers showed 7.5 times higher risk of implant failure than non-smokers (P < 0.05). Conclusion: Implants installed in combination with sinus elevation can be considered as a reliable treatment method.

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한국여성의 출산율 변화와 출산간격 영향요인 (The change in the fertility rates and the determinants of birth interval of Korean women)

  • 류기철;박영화
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 설문조사자료를 이용하여 1940년대 이후 출생한 우리나라 여성들의 연령별 출산율, 연령별 누적출산율, 결혼연령을 5개의 출생코호트별로 살펴보고 위험도 모형을 이용하여 결혼연령 및 결혼 이후 초산까지의 간격에 영향을 미치는 요인을 각각 분석하였다. 먼저 연령별 출산율을 보면 출생시기가 늦은 코호트일수록 출산율이 최고수준에 이르는 연령이 높아지는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 연령별 누적출산율은 50년대 코호트와 60년대 코호트의 경우 각각 직전 코호트에 비해 누적출산율이 크게 하락하였으나 70년대 코호트나 80년대 코호트는 60년대 코호트에 비해 누적출산율에 있어서 별다른 차이를 보이지 않았다. 결혼연령을 보면 최근의 출생코호트로 올수록 결혼연령이 높아졌다. 한편, 결혼 위험도 모형을 추정한 결과에 의하면 여성의 출생시기가 늦을수록 그리고 교육수준이 높을수록 결혼연령이 높아지는 것으로 나타났으며 특히 출생시기의 영향은 그간 진행된 여성의 취업기회의 확대와 여성의 상대적 지위의 향상 등 경제적 및 사회문화적 변화를 종합적으로 반영하는 것으로 해석된다. 다음으로 결혼 이후 첫 자녀의 출산 위험도의 경우에는 출생시기나 결혼시기 모두 유의한 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편, 결혼 이후에도 상당기간 취업상태를 유지한 여성의 경우 출산 위험도가 크게 낮았으며 또한 중졸 이하 학력을 가진 여성은 여타 수준의 학력을 가진 여성에 비해 출산 위험도가 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 이는 여성의 취업이나 낮은 가구소득이 출산율을 낮추는 중요한 요인임을 의미하는 것으로 중요한 정책적 시사점을 가진다.

Cumulative survival rate and associated risk factors of Implantium implants: A 10-year retrospective clinical study

  • Park, Jin-Hong;Kim, Young-Soo;Ryu, Jae-Jun;Shin, Sang-Wan;Lee, Jeong-Yol
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.195-199
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSE. The objective of this study was to determine the cumulative survival rate (CSR) and associated risk factors of Implantium implants by retrospective clinical study. MATERIALS AND METHODS. Patients who received Implantium implants (Dentium Co., Seoul, Korea) at Korea University Guro Hospital from 2004 to 2011 were included. The period between the first surgery and the last hospital visit until December 2015 was set as the observation period for this study. Clinical and radiographic data were collected from patient records, including all complications observed during the follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to examine CSR. Multiple Cox proportional hazard model was employed to assess the associations between potential risk factors and CSR. RESULTS. A total of 370 implants were placed in 121 patients (mean age, 56.1 years; range, 19 to 75 years). Of the 370 implants, 13 failed, including 7 implants that were lost before loading. The 10-year cumulative survival rate of implants was 94.8%. The multiple Cox proportional hazard model revealed that significant risk factor of implant failure were smoking and maxillary implant (P<.05). CONCLUSION. The 10-year CSR of Implantium implants was 94.8%. Risk factors of implant failure were smoking and maxillary implant.

The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants

  • Kim, Young-Kyun;Kim, Bum-Su;Yun, Pil-Young;Mun, Sang-Un;Yi, Yang-Jin;Kim, Su-Gwan;Jeong, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study was performed to analyze the cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants (Osstem Implant Co., Ltd.) over a seven-year period. Materials and Methods: A total of 105 patients who had 467 Osstem implants that were placed at the Section of Dentistry, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital (Seongnam, Korea) from June 2003 through December 2005 were analyzed. The life table method and a cross-tubulation analysis, log rank test were used to evaluate the survival curve and the influence that the prognostic factors. The prognostic factors, i.e., age and gender of patients, diameter and length, type of implants, bone graft history and loading time were determined with a Cox proportional hazard model based on logistic regression analysis. Results: The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants was 95.37%. The Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the following factors had a significant influence on survival rate; increased diameter, reduced prosthetic loading period and performance of bone grafting. Conclusion: The osstem implants showed satisfactory results over the seven-year study period.

No-Touch Radiofrequency Ablation Using Twin Cooled Wet Electrodes for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Locoregional Treatments

  • Seong Jun Hong;Jae Hyun Kim;Jeong Hee Yoon;Jeong Hoan Park;Jung-Hwan Yoon;Yoon Jun Kim;Su Jong Yu;Eun Ju Cho;Jeong Min Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.438-448
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    • 2024
  • Objective: To evaluate the therapeutic outcomes of no-touch radiofrequency ablation (NT-RFA) using twin cooled wet (TCW) electrodes in patients experiencing recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after undergoing locoregional treatments. Materials and Methods: We conducted a prospective, single-arm study of NT-RFA involving 102 patients, with a total of 112 recurrent HCCs (each ≤ 3 cm). NT-RFA with TCW electrodes was implemented under the guidance of ultrasonography (US)-MR/CT fusion imaging. If NT-RFA application proved technically challenging, conversion to conventional tumor puncture RFA was permitted. The primary metric for evaluation was the mid-term cumulative incidence of local tumor progression (LTP) observed post-RFA. Cumulative LTP rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression was used to explore factors associated with LTP. Considering conversion cases from NT-RFA to conventional RFA, intention-to-treat (ITT; including all patients) and per-protocol (PP; including patients not requiring conversion to conventional RFA alone) analyses were performed. Results: Conversion from NT-RFA to conventional RFA was necessary for 24 (21.4%) out of 112 tumors. Successful treatment was noted in 111 (99.1%) out of them. No major complications were reported among the patients. According to ITT analysis, the estimated cumulative incidences of LTP were 1.9%, 6.0%, and 6.0% at 1, 2, and 3 years post-RFA, respectively. In PP analysis, the cumulative incidence of LTP was 0.0%, 1.3%, and 1.3% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. The number of previous locoregional HCC treatments (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.265 per 1 treatment increase; P = 0.004), total bilirubin (aHR, 7.477 per 1 mg/dL increase; P = 0.012), and safety margin ≤ 5 mm (aHR, 9.029; P = 0.016) were independently associated with LTP in ITT analysis. Conclusion: NT-RFA using TCW electrodes is a safe and effective treatment for recurrent HCC, with 6.0% (ITT analysis) and 1.3% (PP analysis) cumulative incidence of LTP at 2 and 3-year follow-ups.

모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교 (Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators)

  • 김재희;이시은
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.1253-1262
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    • 2016
  • 위험률에 변화점이 존재할 경우 위험률 변화점에 대한 추정 정확한 모수 추정을 위해 매우 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 한 개 위험률 변화점이 존재하는 경우 위험률의 변화점 추정량에 대한 비교 연구를 수행하였다. 우도함수에 기반한 모수적 방법인 Matthews와 Farewell (1982) 위험률 변화점 추정량과 Nelson-Aalen 누적 위험률에 기반한 비모수적 방법의 Zhang 등 (2014) 위험률 변화점 통계량을 고찰하여 특성을 파악하였다. 모의실험에서 지수분포를 따르는 생존데이터에 대해 위험률 변화점이 한 개 있는 경우 중도절단이 없는 경우와 중도절단이 있는 경위험률 추정량의 능력을 평균제곱오차를 계산하여 비교하였다. 실제 데이터에 대한 적용으로 백혈병 생존데이터와 원발성 담백증 경화 생존데이터에 대해 위험률 변화점을 추정하고 비교해 보았다.

VDT 작업현장에서의 누적외상질환에 관한 연구 (An ergonomic survey on cumulative trauma disorders at the VDT-based phone directory service workstations)

  • 이남식;한정수;안재용
    • 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한인간공학회 1996년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 1996
  • Cumulative trauma disorders (CTDs) are becoming a major health hazard among phone directory service operators. In order to clarify the causes and to reduce the occurrence of CTDs, a site survey was done. The survey includes observation of the task and the working environment. Also, operators were closely examined and diagnosed to understand the exact causes of CTDs. Different types of CTDs were identified and the most cases were developed in a two or three-years after using new VDT-based workstations. The various design features of workstation aggravated the developemtn of CTDs together with the intense workload. The ergonomic resolutions were suggested based upon these observations.

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