• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost/Reliability analysis

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Application of FMECA with Stochastic Approach to Reliability-Centered Maintenance of Electric Power Plants in Korean Power Systems (RCM 수립을 위해 발전설비의 고장확률을 고려한 확률론적 FMECA 평가 기법)

  • Joo, Jae-Myung;Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Hyo-Sang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07a
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    • pp.196-197
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    • 2006
  • Preventive maintenance can avail the generation utilities to reduce cost and gain more profit in a competitive supply-side power market. So, it is necessary to perform reliability analysis on the systems in which reliability is essential. In this paper, RCM (Reliability -Centered Maintenance) analytical method is adopted using real historical failure data in Korean power plants. Therefore, the reliability -based Probability model for predicting the failures of components in the power plant is also established, and application to FMECA(Failure Mode Effects and Critical Analysis) consideration of failure probability, Based on the weighting ranking of generating equipments which status to be probability estimation by FMECA. The FMECA is an engineering analysis and a core activity performed by reliability engineers to review the effects of probable failure modes of generating equipments and assemblies of the power system on system performance. The results of this paper show that application of FMECA with stochastic approach to the preventive maintenance can efficiently avail decreasing the cost on maintenance and hence improve the total benefit.

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Research on RAM-C-based Cost Estimation Methods for the Supply of Military Depot Maintenance PBL Project (군직 창정비 수리부속 보급 PBL 사업을 위한 RAM-C 기반 비용 예측 방안 연구)

  • Junho Park;Chie Hoon Song
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.855-866
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    • 2023
  • With the rapid advancement and sophistication of defense weapon systems, the government, military, and the defense industry have conducted various innovative attempts to improve the efficiency of post-logistics support(PLS). The Ministry of Defense has mandated RAM-C(Reliability, Availability, and Maintainability-Cost) analysis as a requirement according to revised Total Life Cycle System Management Code of Practice in May 2022. Especially, for the project budget forecast of new PBL(Performance Based Logistics) business contacts, RAM-C is recognized as an obligatory factor. However, relevant entities have not officially provided guidelines or manuals for RAM-C analysis, and each defense contractor conducts RAM-C analysis with different standards and methods to win PBL-related business contract. Hence, this study aims to contribute to the generalization of the analysis procedure by presenting a cost analysis case based on RAM-C for the supply of military depot maintenance PBL project. This study presents formulas and procedures to determine requirements of military depot maintenance PBL project for repair parts supply. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to find the optimal cost/utilization ratio. During the process, a correlation was found between supply delay and total cost of ownership as well as between cost variability and utilization rate. The analysis results are expected to provide an important basis for the conceptualization of the cost analysis for the supply of military depot maintenance PBL project and are capable of proposing the optimal utilization rate in relation to cost.

Reliability-Based Optimum Design of High-Speed Railway Steel Bridges Considering Bridge/Rail Longitudinal Analysis and Bridge/Vehicle Dynamic Effect (교량/궤도 종방향 해석 및 교량/차량 동적영향을 고려한 고속철도 강교량의 신뢰성 최적설계)

  • Lee, Jong-Soon;Ihm, Yeong-Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.974-982
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    • 2009
  • To improve the effectiveness and economics the bridge design methodology considering the bridge/rail longitudinal analysis and bridge/vehicle dynamic effect suggested in this study. The reliability-based Life-Cycle Costs(LCC) effective optimum design is applied to a 2-main steel girder bridge, 5$\times$(1@50m) for comparison with conventional design, initial cost optimization and equivalent LCC optimization. As a result of the optimum design based on reliability, it may be stated that the design of High-Speed railway bridges considering the bridge/rail longitudinal analysis and bridge/vehicle dynamic effect are more efficient than typical existing bridges and LCC optimization without respect to bridge/rail longitudinal analysis and bridge/vehicle dynamic effect. The result of optimization design considering the interaction, design methodology suggested in this study, is higher than result of initial cost optimization design in initial cost, but that has the advantage than result of initial cost optimization design in expected LCC.

The Investment Scheme of the Maintenance Planning with Limited Investment Budget in the Distribution Systems for Minimizing the Interruption Cost (제한된 투자 예산으로 정전비용 최소화를 위한 배전계통 유지보수 계획의 투자 방안)

  • Hwang, Won-Il;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Kim, Hong-Rae;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • The reliability of a power system has close relationship with the maintenance of the distribution systems. This paper presents the method of the maintenance planning of the distribution systems by minimizing the interruption cost. The interruption cost for the equipment failures is formulated using time varying failure rate and minimized by optimization of the object function. The proposed method provides the priority list for the investment of the maintenance subject to the limited investment budget by the economic analysis. In order to test the proposed method, the modified distribution system of a rural area is introduced for the testing system. Test results show that the proposed method is good enough by evaluating the improvement of the reliability of the power system.

Optimal Burn-in Time under Cumulative Pro-Rata Replacement Warranty

  • Yun, Won-Young;Lee, Yang-Woo;Chung, Il-Han;Luis Ferreira
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, optimal bum-in time to minimize the total mean cost, which is the sum of manufacturing cost with burn-in and cumulative warranty-related cost, is obtained. When the products with cumulative pro-rata warranty have high failure rate in the early period (infant mortality period), a burn-in procedure is adopted to eliminate early product failures. After burn-in, the posterior product life distribution and the warranty-related cost are dependent on burn-in time; long burn-in period may reduce the warranty-related cost, but it increases the manufacturing cost. The paper provides a methodology to obtain total mean cost under burn-in and cumulative pro-rata warranty. Property of the optimal burn-in time is analyzed, and numerical examples and sensitivity analysis are studied.

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RELIABILITY-BASED COMPONENT DETERIORATION MODEL FOR BRIDGE LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS

  • Rong-yau Huang;Wen-zheng Hsu
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.386-397
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    • 2007
  • One major development in bridge life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) in recent years is to develop deterioration model for bridge components so that the times of repair/replacement throughout a component's life span can be properly determined. Taiwan also developed her own bridge LCCA model in 2003, integrating with the bridge inspection database in the local bridge management system (T-BMS). Under the framework of the local LCCA model, this study employs the reliability method in developing a deterioration model of bridge components. A component deteriorates through time in its reliability, which represents the probability of a component's condition index exceeds a user specified threshold. Model assumptions and rationale are described in the paper. The steps for applying the developed model are explained in detail. Results and findings are reported.

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The Reliability-Based Probabilistic Structural Analysis for the Composite Tail Plane Structures (복합재 미익 구조의 신뢰성 기반 확률론적 구조해석)

  • Lee, Seok-Je;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the deterministic optimal design for the tail plane made of composite materials is conducted under the deterministic loading condition and compared with that of the metallic materials. Next, the reliability analysis with five random variables such as loading and material properties of unidirectional prepreg is conducted to examine the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design results. The MATLAB programing is used for reliability analysis combined with FEA S/W(COMSOL) for structural analysis. The laminated composite is assumed to the equivalent orthotropic material using classical laminated plate theory. The response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are adopted to reduce computational cost with satisfying the accuracy in reliability analysis. As a result, structural weight of composite materials is lighter than that of metals in deterministic optimal design. However, the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design of the tail plane structures is too high to be neglected. The sensitivity of each variable is also estimated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis to figure out which variables are sensitive to failure. The computational cost is considerably reduced when response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are used. The study of the computationally inexpensive method for reliability-based design optimization will be necessary in further work.

A Study on the reliability method development for the LCC analysis (LCC분석에 있어서 신뢰성기법 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, J.B.;Cho, S.H.;Min, B.C.;Hong, D.Y.;Lee, W.J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2011
  • The failure of LCC analysis is recognized as a serious risk for companies in fast-paced business environment. LCC analysis has been mentioned and analyzed only in accounting perspectives, but recently engineering perspectives of LCC analysis based on the execution of appropriate procedures become more important than the accounting perspectives. Especially, the practical use of reliability engineering related methodologies is recognized as a key factor for the LCC analysis. For the practical use of reliability methods, LCC analysis for unexposed problems is a key issue, and utilizing FMEA and FTA techniques is needed to solve the unexposed problems. Reliability, maintainability, availability, and safety should be evaluated by the LCC analysis with the reliability methods, so we study methodologies for the LCC analysis. Present Worth can be calculated by multiplication of Annual Equivalent Cost and PWAF. Reliability engineering related methods are needed for the process of dividing Present Worth into PWAF, and the practical use of reliability methods can improve accuracy of LCC analysis.

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Optimal Design of the PSC Beam Reinforcement for Minimum Life-Cycle Cost (최소생애주기비용을 위한 PSC보 보강의 최적설계)

  • Bang, Myung-Seok;Han, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2008
  • To optimize the selected reinforcing method for application to PSC Beam bridges, the reliability analysis was performed with consideration for the increase and decrease of the member section based on the standard design section, and the minimum life-cycle cost(LCC) was calculated from this analysis with consideration for the aleatory uncertainty. Moreover, the mean, 50%, 75%, and 90% distributions of the analysis results were re-evaluated quantitatively by considering the effect of the epistemic uncertainty. The reliability results gained from the application of the reinforcing method, as well as the optimal design method based on the minimum LCC, will provide more reasonable design criteria for the PSC Beam bridges.