• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost/Reliability analysis

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Accelerated Life Prediction for STS301L Gas Welded Joint (I) - Fillet Type - (STS301L 가스용접 이음재의 가속수명예측 (I) - Fillet Type -)

  • Baek, Seung-Yeb
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2010
  • Stainless steel sheets are widely used as the structural material for railroad cars and commercial vehicles. Structures made of stainless steel sheets are commonly fabricated by gas welding, For the fatigue design of gas welded joints such as fillet joints, it is necessary to obtain design information of the stress distribution at the weldment as well as the fatigue strength of the gas-welded joints. Further, the influence of the geometrical parameters of gas-welded joints on stress distribution and fatigue strength must be evaluated. in this study, ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were obtained by fatigue tests. and, the ${\Delta}P-N_f$ curves were rearranged on the basis of the ${\Delta}{\sigma}-N_f$ relation for the hot-spot stresses at the gas-welded joints. These results, were used for conducting an accelerated life test(ALT) From the experiment results, an acceleration model was derived and factors were estimated. The objective is to obtain the information required for the analysis of the fatigue lifetime of fillet welded joints and for data analysis by the statistic reliability method to save time and cost and to develop optimum accelerated life prediction plans.

Reliability of Revenue Recognition by Percentage of Completion Method in Construction Industry - Empirical Analysis from Information Perspective (건설업의 공사진행기준에 의한 수익인식의 신뢰성 검증 - 정보적 측면에서의 실증분석)

  • Park, Hong-Jo;Ji, Hyun-Mi
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.463-470
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    • 2016
  • Construction companies calculate their revenues and costs from constructing activities using the 'Percentage of Completion Method', which is based on ratio of actual construction cost to total costs estimated. The reliability of the net profit of construction companies is being evaluated lower than other industries due to incorrect application of 'Percentage of Completion Method' to cover losses actually occurred. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the quality of earnings calculated based on 'Percentage of Completion Method' in terms of information usefulness. Results from empirical analysis show that investors in stock market underestimate the value of the construction companies' earning information by applying 'Percentage of Completion Method' and not actively use in investment decision making. Accordingly, it has been confirmed that the association between income information and stock prices falling. These results suggest the need for strict supervision of the supervisory authorities and the practical application of 'Percentage of Completion Method' in reliability.

Gear Analysis of Hydro-Mechanical Transmission System using Field Load Data (필드 부하를 활용한 정유압기계식 변속시스템의 기어 해석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gil;Lee, Dong-Keun;Oh, Joo-Young;Nam, Ju-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2021
  • A tractor is an agricultural machine that performs farm work, such as cultivation, soil preparation, loading, bailing, and transporting, through attached working implements. Farm work must be carried out on time per the growing season of crops. As a result, the reliability of a tractor's transmission is vital. Ideally, the transmission's design should reflect the actual load during agricultural work; however, configuring such a measurement system is time- and cost-intensive. The design and analysis of a transmission are, therefore, mainly performed by empirical methods. In this study, a tractor with a measurement system was used to measure the actual working load in the field. Its hydro-mechanical transmission was then analyzed using the measured load. It was found that the velocity factor, load distribution factor, lubrication factor, roughness factor, relative notch sensitivity factor, and life factor affect the gear strength of the transmission. Also, loading conditions have a significant influence on the reliability of the transmission. It is believed that transmission reliability can be enhanced by analyzing the actual load on the transmission, as performed in this study.

The Reliability Design Method According to the Experimental Study of Components and Materials of Railway Rail Fastening System (철도용 레일체결장치 부품.소재의 실험적 연구를 통한 신뢰성 설계 방안)

  • Kim, Hyo-San;Park, Joon-Hyung;Kim, Myung-Ryule;Park, Kwang-Hwa;Lee, Dal-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.2090-2100
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    • 2011
  • Railway rail fastening system is the critical device which gives big influences to not only the vehicle driving stability and the orbit's structural stability against the impulsive load, but also the noise vibration and the ride comfort. As a part of the low-carbon green growth, the importance of the railroad industry is getting highlights on its excellent energy-efficiency and eco-friendliness. However, so far the Korea's domestic rail fastening system technology is not so good and the technical reliance to abroad is very heavy. In this study, we conducted comparative analysis on the rail fastening system with new and used one of the same type. And those systems are imported by Seoul Metro and are being used by it. With this basis, we developed the components and the materials and then, established the durability assessment methods appropriate to the Korean domestic circumstances. And through the reliability qualification test on the 7 parts of the rail fastening system, we've improved the reliability and guaranteed the 15 years of service lifetime. ($B_{10}Life15$) Establishment and standardization of Reliability Standard on the parts of the rail fastening system such as anti-vibration pads, guide-plate, screw spike made it possible to perform the internationally fair assessment. And it is thought that we can satisfy the manufactures' and consumers' needs of cost-cutting and qualification security by shortening of assessment period on rail fastening system.

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Accident Information Based Reliability Estimation Model for Car Insurance Smart Contract (자동차보험용 스마트 컨트랙트를 위한 사고정보 기반 신뢰도 산정 모델)

  • Lee, Soojin;Kim, Aeyoung;Seo, Seung-Hyun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2020
  • In order to reduce the time and cost used in insurance processing, studies have been actively carried out to apply blockchain smart contract technology to car insurance. However, by using traffic data that is insufficient to prove accidents, existing studies are being exposed to the risk of insurance fraud, such as forgery and overstated damage by malicious insurers. To solve this problem, we propose an accident data-based reliability estimation model by using both various types of data through sensors, RSUs, and IoT devices embedded in automobiles and smart contracts. In particular, the regression model was applied in consideration of the weight estimation according to the type of traffic accident data and the reliability estimation model trained according to various accident situations. The proposed model is expected to effectively reduce fraud and insurance litigation while providing transparency in the insurance process and streamlining it is well.

Structural reliability assessment using an enhanced adaptive Kriging method

  • Vahedi, Jafar;Ghasemi, Mohammad Reza;Miri, Mahmoud
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.66 no.6
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    • pp.677-691
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    • 2018
  • Reliability assessment of complex structures using simulation methods is time-consuming. Thus, surrogate models are usually employed to reduce computational cost. AK-MCS is a surrogate-based Active learning method combining Kriging and Monte-Carlo Simulation for structural reliability analysis. This paper proposes three modifications of the AK-MCS method to reduce the number of calls to the performance function. The first modification is related to the definition of an initial Design of Experiments (DoE). In the original AK-MCS method, an initial DoE is created by a random selection of samples among the Monte Carlo population. Therefore, samples in the failure region have fewer chances to be selected, because a small number of samples are usually located in the failure region compared to the safe region. The proposed method in this paper is based on a uniform selection of samples in the predefined domain, so more samples may be selected from the failure region. Another important parameter in the AK-MCS method is the size of the initial DoE. The algorithm may not predict the exact limit state surface with an insufficient number of initial samples. Thus, the second modification of the AK-MCS method is proposed to overcome this problem. The third modification is relevant to the type of regression trend in the AK-MCS method. The original AK-MCS method uses an ordinary Kriging model, so the regression part of Kriging model is an unknown constant value. In this paper, the effect of regression trend in the AK-MCS method is investigated for a benchmark problem, and it is shown that the appropriate choice of regression type could reduce the number of calls to the performance function. A stepwise approach is also presented to select a suitable trend of the Kriging model. The numerical results show the effectiveness of the proposed modifications.

Applying a Forced Censoring Technique with Accelerated Modeling for Improving Estimation of Extremely Small Percentiles of Strengths

  • Chen Weiwei;Leon Ramon V.;Young Timothy M.;Guess Frank M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2006
  • Many real world cases in material failure analysis do not follow perfectly the normal distribution. Forcing of the normality assumption may lead to inaccurate predictions and poor product quality. We examine the failure process of the internal bond (IB or tensile strength) of medium density fiberboard (MDF). We propose a forced censoring technique that closer fits the lower tails of strength distributions and better estimates extremely smaller percentiles, which may be valuable to continuous quality improvement initiatives. Further analyses are performed to build an accelerated common-shaped Weibull model for different product types using the $JMP^{(R)}$ Survival and Reliability platform. In this paper, a forced censoring technique is implemented for the first time as a software module, using $JMP^{(R)}$ Scripting Language (JSL) to expedite data processing, which is crucial for real-time manufacturing settings. Also, we use JSL to automate the task of fitting an accelerated Weibull model and testing model homogeneity in the shape parameter. Finally, a package script is written to readily provide field engineers customized reporting for model visualization, parameter estimation, and percentile forecasting. Our approach may be more accurate for product conformance evaluation, plus help reduce the cost of destructive testing and data management due to reduced frequency of testing. It may also be valuable for preventing field failure and improved product safety even when destructive testing is not reduced by yielding higher precision intervals at the same confidence level.

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Test Method of Communication Reliability based on HPGP between PEV and EVSE (전기차와 충전기 간 HPGP 기반 통신 신뢰성 테스트 방안)

  • Choi, Byeong-Gon;Kim, Kyung-Seok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2015
  • Smart Grid is a next-generation intelligent grid to optimize energy efficiency by integrating information and communication technologies to the existing power grid as a two-way exchange of information. HPGP communication standard for smart grid implementation has been developed for the emerging smart energy, home automation, electric vehicle communications applications. HPGP communication standard has the advantage of reducing cost and power consumption. Also, it can be interoperated with the previous HPAV communication standard. For the introduction of a new communication standard, the analysis of the reliability and interoperability verification is required. In this paper, we present sniffer test method as reliability test method about power line communication between PEV(Plug-in Electric Vehicle) and EVSE(Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment). Power line communication between PEV and EVSE is one of the most important Smart Gird applications. Also, we analyzed sniffer test results about power line communication based on HPGP between PEV and EVSE by using QCA7000 device, AVitar and Tool kit.

Performance Analysis of Consensus Algorithm considering NFT Transaction Stability (NFT 거래 안정성을 고려한 합의알고리즘 성능분석)

  • Min, Youn-A;Lim, Dong-Kyun
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the performance of various blockchain consensus algorithms was compared and analyzed as a method to increase the transaction cost and processing time during NFT transactions and to increase the transaction stability requirements that occur during smart contract execution. Network reliability and TPS are evaluation items for performance comparison. TPS and the stability of the Consensus algorithm are presented for three evaluation items. In order to establish a standardized expression for each evaluation item, the reliability of the node and the success rate of the smart contract were considered as variables in the calculation formula, and the performance of the consensus algorithm of the three groups, PoW/PoS, Paxos/Raft and PBFT, was compared under the same conditions. / analyzed. As a result of the performance evaluation, the network reliability of the three groups was similar, and in the case of the remaining two evaluation items, it was analyzed that the PBFT consensus algorithm was superior to other consensus algorithms. Through the performance evaluation equations and results of this study, it was analyzed that when the PBFT consensus processing process is reflected in the consensus process, the network reliability can be guaranteed and the stability and economic efficiency of the consensus algorithm can be increased.

Effectiveness Analysis for the Precision Guided and Controled Underwater Vehicle system with Integrated Navigation System (복합항법센서를 갖는 수중운동체의 정밀 유도제어 정확도 분석)

  • Han, Yongsu;Hyun, Chul;Jeong, Dongmin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.2751-2757
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    • 2015
  • To obtain the system requirement specification in the beginning of the precision guidance and control system development, the effectiveness and reliability analysis for the system are necessary. The main purpose of this research is to obtain the system requirement specification by carrying out the effectiveness analysis using the modeling and simulation(M&S) scheme. M&S model is constructed using 6-DOF dynamic model, environment model, guidanc -navigation & control model. Assume that the navigation sensor is consist of inertial navigation sensor(INS) and doppler velocity log(DVL), and the speed and direction of current is environment parameter. The effectiveness analysis is carried out using circular error probability(CEP) and variance analyze scheme. Also, the effectiveness analysis is utilized for cost-performance analysis considering the cost of commercial INS and DVL sensor. This paper shows the high-level INS and the low-level DVL configure a high price-performance integrated navigation system.