• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conceptual estimation

검색결과 115건 처리시간 0.025초

유전적 프로그래밍을 이용한 노이지 데이터의 Curve Fitting과 선박설계에서의 적용 (Genetic Programming Approach to Curve Fitting of Noisy Data and Its Application In Ship Design)

  • 이경호;연윤석
    • 한국CDE학회논문집
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2004
  • This paper deals with smooth curve fitting of data corrupt by noise. Most research efforts have been concentrated on employing the smoothness penalty function with the estimation of its optimal parameter in order to avoid the 'overfilling and underfitting' dilemma in noisy data fitting problems. Our approach, called DBSF(Differentiation-Based Smooth Fitting), is different from the above-mentioned method. The main idea is that optimal functions approximately estimating the derivative of noisy curve data are generated first using genetic programming, and then their integral values are evaluated and used to recover the original curve form. To show the effectiveness of this approach, DBSP is demonstrated by presenting two illustrative examples and the application of estimating the principal dimensions of bulk cargo ships in the conceptual design stage.

Object oriented generic cost modeling for integrated CAD system

  • Lee, Chang-Ho
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1994년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 창원대학교; 08월 09일 Apr. 1994
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    • pp.715-725
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    • 1994
  • The objective of this research is to develop a cost model for integrated CAD system. A computerized system realizing this model then is used to aid designers. The first area is to propose a conceptual framework of a multilevel cost model. The methodology of constructing the model is discussed. Then suggestion of an object oriented programming technique for implementing the model is presented. Complicate estimation procedure can be systematically handled by this technique. Interval analysis to deal with the uncertainty of information and decision during design process is used. An experimentation algorithm for calculating the cost distribution is proposed to overcome the shortcoming of interval analysis. Major focus of this research is on net shape manufacturing processes including die casting, injection molding, and metal forming.

회귀모형을 이용한 전북지역 미계측 유역의 저유량 해석 (The analysis of the low-flow statistics using regression model at the Chonbuk regional ungaged basin)

  • 조기태;박영기;이장춘
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the low-flow statistics at the mountainous watershed. The formulation for the estimation of the design low-flow statistics was obtained by means of a hydraulic approach applied to a simple conceptual model for a mountainous watershed. Three of the independent variables associated with the low-flow statistics is watershed area(A), average basin slope(S) and the base flow recession constant(K); Watershed area was measured from topographic maps and average basin slope is approximated in this study using Strahler's slope determining method. And base flow recession constant computed using Vogel and Kroll's method. Unfortunately, this method is usually unavailable at ungaged sites. In this study, recession constant at ungaged sites is estimated using graphical regression method used by Giese and Mason. The model for estimating low-flow statistics were applied to all 61 catchments in the Sumjin, Mankyung basin.

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Conceptual design of cryomodules for RAON

  • Kim, Y.;Lee, M.K.;Kim, W.K.;Jang, H.M.;Choi, C.J.;Jo, Y.W.;Kim, H.J.;Jeon, D.
    • 한국초전도ㆍ저온공학회논문지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2014
  • The heavy ion accelerator that will be built in Daejeon, Korea utilizes superconducting cavities operating in 2 K. The cavities are QWR (quarter wave resonator), HWR (half wave resonator), SSR1 (sing spoke resonator1) and SSR2. The main role of the cryomodule is supplying thermal insulation for cryogenic operation of the cavities and maintaining cavities' alignment. Thermal and structural consideration such as thermal load by heat leak and heat generation, cryogenic fluid management, thermal contraction, and so on. This paper describes detailed design considerations and current results have being done including thermal load estimation, cryogenic flow piping, pressure relief system, and so on.

쇼핑몰 데이터베이스 설계를 위한 의미객체 모델링 (Semantic Object Modeling for Shopping Mall Database Design)

  • 전태보;김기동;오준형
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제25권A호
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2005
  • Semantic object model has widely been recognized as an alternative data modeling approach to entity-relationship model for database system design. In this study, we have presented a semantic object model for intermediary type shopping mall consisting of multiple buyers and sellers. Essential processes and information with regard to the customer management, product management, price estimation, product order etc. have been considered for this study. Upon careful examination and analysis of them, a detailed semantic objects and attributes have been drawn and structured into semantic object diagrams. The final objects were converted into an entity-relationship diagram so that intuitive comparison could be made for relational database design. The results in this study may form a conceptual framework for both academic concerns and more complicated system applications.

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Optimal Service Contract Policies for Outsourcing Maintenance Service of Assets to the Service Providers

  • Rahman, Anisur;Chattopadhyay, Gopinath
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.183-197
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    • 2007
  • There is a growing trend for asset intensive industries to outsource maintenance services of their complex assets since outsourcing through service contract reduces upfront investments in infrastructure, expertise and specialised maintenance facilities. Estimation of costs for such contracts is complex and it is important to the user and the service providers for economic variability. The service provider's profit is influenced by many factors such as the terms of the contract, reliability of asset, and the servicing strategies, costs of resources needed to carryout maintenance. There is a need to develop mathematical models for understanding future costs to build it into the contract price. Three policies for service contracts are proposed in this paper considering the concepts of outsourcing maintenance service of assets to the service providers. Conceptual models are developed for estimating servicing costs of outsourcing through service contracts by considering time dependent failure mode.

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PRICE모델을 이용한 적정 획득비용 추정 방안 (A Study on Proper Acquisition Cost Estimation Using the PRICE Model)

  • 한현진;강성진
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.10-27
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    • 2001
  • This paper deals with the application of PRICE model in estimating the proper acquisition cost for weapon budgeting phase. The PRICE(Parametric Review of Information for Costing and Evaluation) Hardware model is a computerized method for deriving cost estimates of electronic and mechanical hardware assemblies and systems. The model can be used in obtaining not only initial cost estimates in conceptual phase, but also detailed cost estimates in budgeting phase depending on available historical and empirical data. We analyzed first step cost estimate parameters and derived cost equations using PRICe output dta. Using weight and complexity, We can find cost variation. Sensitivity analysis shows that cost increases exponentially as complexity increases exponentially as complexity increases. We estimated KAAV\`s (Korea Amphibious Assault Vehicle) production cost using the PRICE model and compare with engineering cost estimates which is based on actual production data submitted by the production company. The result shows that tow estimates are close within $\pm2%$ differences.

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Modeling Laborers' Learning Processes in Construction: Focusing on Group Learning

  • Lee, Bogyeong;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Moonseo
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 2015
  • Construction industry still requires a lot of laborers to perform a project despite of advance in technologies, and improving labor productivity is an important strategy for successful project management. Since repetitive construction works exhibits learning effect, understanding laborers' learning phenomenon therefore allows managers to have improved labor productivity. In this context, previous research efforts quantified individual laborer's learning effect, though numerous construction works are performed in group. In other words, previous research about labor learning assumed that sum of individual's productivity is same as group productivity. Also, managers in construction sites need understanding about group learning behavior for dealing with labor performance problem. To address these issues, the authors investigate what variables affect laborers' group level learning process and develop conceptual model as a basic tool of productivity estimation regarding group learning. Based on the result of this research, it is possible to understand forming mechanism of learning within the group level. Further, this research may contribute to maximizing laborers' productivity in construction sites.

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실시간 수위 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀 모형의 비교 (Comparison of Different Multiple Linear Regression Models for Real-time Flood Stage Forecasting)

  • 최승용;한건연;김병현
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제32권1B호
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2012
  • 최근 수위 예측을 위한 개념적 기반, 수문학적, 물리적 기반 모형 등의 단점을 극복하고자 홍수예측을 위해 자료지향형 모형 중의 하나인 다중선형회귀 모형이 널리 도입되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 이러한 다중선형회귀 모형의 서로 다른 회귀계수 선정 방법에 따른 홍수예측 성능을 비교 검토하고 이를 통해 적절한 다중회귀 홍수예측 모형을 구축하는 것이다. 이를 위해 입력자료의 자기상관분석을 통해 독립변수의 시간 규모를 결정한 후 최소 자승법, 가중 최소 자승법, 단계별 선택법의 각기 다른 회귀계수 산정 방법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형을 구축하고 중랑천 유역의 다양한 홍수사상에 대해 적용하였다. 구축된 모형들의 성능을 평가하기 위해 평균제곱근오차, Nash-Suttcliffe 효율계수, 평균절대오차, 수정 결정계수와 같이 4개의 통계지표들을 사용하였다. 모의결과 단계별 선택법을 이용한 다중선형회귀 홍수예측 모형이 가장 정확한 예측 결과를 보였고, 최소자승법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형이 가중 최소자승법을 이용한 홍수예측 모형보다 좀 더 나은 예측 결과를 나타냈다.

철도차량용 LED전조등의 수명시험 장치 구축을 위한 개념설계 (Conceptual Design for Lifetime Test System for LED Headlamps on Rolling Stock)

  • 온정근;정기석;정종덕
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2015
  • LED 조명은 고효율과 장시간의 수명 특성으로 각광받고 있지만 LED소자의 구동전류와 열에 의한 특성으로 예측된 수명에 미치지 못하는 경우가 많다. 특히 철도차량의 전조등의 운행환경은 주변온도 변화에 민감한 구조를 지니고 있다. LED소자에 대한 수명을 예측하기 위한 시험방법 및 예측방법이 북미조명학회에서 LM-80과 TM-21 등으로 제시되고 있지만 수명 확인을 위해 장기간이 소요되며 전류와 온도 등의 다양한 스트레스로 인하여 LED제품에 대한 수명시험 표준이 구체적으로 정립되어 있지 않다. 본 논문에서는 실제품의 수명을 예측할 수 있는 방안과 시험방법의 적합성을 확인하여 궁극적으로 LED제품에 대한 수명시험 표준으로 타당성을 검증하기 위한 선행연구로서 철도차량의 운행환경을 반영한 조건에서 수명 시험이 가능한 측정 설비의 개념 설계안을 제시하고 이에 대한 설계 타당성을 검토한다.