• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate impact analysis

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An Analysis of the Effect of Employer's Safety Management Commitment on Occupational Accident - Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Safety Climate and Safety Expenditure - (사업주의 안전경영의지가 산업재해에 미치는 영향 분석 - 안전분위기와 안전지출의 매개효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Dong-Je Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 2023
  • We need a new approach to reduce serious occupational accidents. This needs a commitment to secure employer's safety, characterized by a culture that prevents occupational accidents and appropriates safety expenditure. This study analyzed the factors that relate how a safety management commitment to safety climate in the workplace and safety expenditure affects the generation of occupational accidents. The summary of the result is as follows. First, both safety climate and safety expenditure have direct negative effects on the generation of occupational accidents (-0.136 [p = 0.010] and -0.100 [p = 0.008] respectively). Second, the safety management commitment has no significant direct effect towards generating occupational accidents (p = 0.105). Third, the safety management commitment has positive effects toward both building a safety climate and increasing safety expenditure (0.664 [p = 0.000] and 0.178 [p = 0.000] respectively). The safety management commitment however, has negative effects on generating occupational accidents (-0.090 [p = 0.004] through safety climate and -0.018 [p = 0.004] through safety expenditure). Hence, the safety management commitment has positive effects on decreasing occupational accidents through safety climate and safety expenditure (-0.108 [p = 0.004]). In conclusion, the safety management commitment by employers reduces occupational accidents through its impact on safety climate and safety expenditure in work places. Therefore, in order to reduce accidents, the employer should focus on creating a safety climate and investing in safety expenditure in the work place.

Analysis of the Ecological Impact of Climate Change using ABMS: A Case Study of Polar Bears and Glacier (기후 변화의 생태계 영향에 대한 ABMS 연구 -빙하감소와 북극곰의 모의실험을 바탕으로-)

  • Cho, Sung-Jin;Na, Yu-Gyung;Lee, Joon-Young;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2011
  • It has actively advanced to study the impact of climate change on ecosystem. This study addresses ABMS (Agent Based Modeling and Simulation) as a methodology of ecosystem research. ABMS would suggest the possibility of practical use in this sector. This study would investigate how the melting speed of glacier in the arctic influences the extinction period of polar bears. The Polar Bears and Glacier Model in this study is expected to contribute to accurate prediction of the polar bear's extinction period. The suggested ABMS could also be applied to the study of various factors of ecosystem in general.

Statistical Analysis for Ozone Long-term Trend Stations in Seoul, Korea (통계적 기법을 적용한 서울의 오존 장기변동 대표측정소 선정)

  • Shin, Hyejung;Park, Jihoon;Son, Jungseok;Rho, Soona;Hong, Youdeong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted for the establishment of statistical method to determine the representative air quality monitoring station representing long-term ozone trends of Seoul. In this study, hourly ozone concentrations from 2002 to 2011 were used for further analysis. KZ-filter, correlation matrix, cluster analysis, and Kriging method were applied to select the representative station. The analysis based on correlation matrix found that long-term trend of ozone concentrations measured at Sinjung, Sadang, and Bun-dong showed a high correlation. The cluster analysis found that the former three stations belonged to the same cluster. The analysis based on Kriging method also showed that the former three stations were highly correlated with other stations in spatial distribution. Considering these results and the highest correlation coefficient of Sinjung station, the Sinjung station was the most suitable as the representative station used to understand the long-term ozone trend of Seoul. This result could be applied to understand long-term trend of other pollutants. Furthermore, this result can also be used to assess the appropriacy of spatial distribution of national air quality monitoring stations.

Effects of Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Productivity - For bullocks, dairy, pigs, laying hens, and broilers - (기후변화가 축산 생산성에 미치는 영향 -거세우, 낙농, 양돈, 산란계, 육계를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, H.K.;Park, H.M.;Shin, Y.K.
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.107-123
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    • 2018
  • The global impact of climate change on agriculture is now increasing. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of climate change on livestock productivity. The variables that have the greatest influence on climate change factors were examined through previous studies and expert surveys. We also used the actual productivity data of livestock farmers to investigate the relationship with climate change. In order to evaluate the climate for changes in livestock productivity, national representative data (such as bullocks, dairy, pigs, laying hens, and broilers) were surveyed in Korea. Also, to select and classify evaluation indexes, we selected climate change factor variables as prior studies and studied the weighting factor of climate variable factors. In this study, the researchers of industry, academia, and farmers in the livestock sector conducted questionnaires on the indicators of vulnerability to climate change using experts, and then weighed the selected indicators using the hierarchical analysis process (AHP). In order to verify the validity of the evaluation index, was examined using domestic climate data (temperature, precipitation, humidity, etc.). Correlation and regression analysis were performed. The empirical relationship between climate change and livestock productivity was examined through this study. As a result, we used data with high reliability of statistical analysis and found that there are significant variables.

Development of Clothing Life Teaching-Learning Plans of Middle School Home Economics for the Response to Climate Change (기후변화 대응을 위한 중학교 가정교과 의생활 교수·학습 과정안 개발)

  • Moon, In-suk;Shim, Huen-Sup
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.115-133
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a teaching-learning plans for middle school Home Economics that practices clothing life in response to climate change. Four steps of analysis, design, development, and evaluation were used for the research. 'Phenomenon and cause, impact (environmental, economic and social) and response (relaxation and adaptation)' were selected as educational content elements for climate change through reviewing the literature related to climate change. Six types of middle school Technology and Home Economics textbooks under the 2015 revised curriculum were analyzed using the selected content elements for climate change as the basis for analysis according to the data type(reading data, picture data, activity data) and clothing use cycle (production, purchase, use, and disposal). Based on the content elements of climate change in the clothing life area extracted through textbook analysis, a total of 12 teaching-learning plans in response to climate change were developed by utilizing various teaching and learning methods, data and media. The teaching-learning plans were designed based on an integrated understanding of the phenomena, causes, effects, and responses of climate change for the students to realize the seriousness of climate change and to exercise positive influence on families and society.

Impact Analysis on the Regional Economy Affected by Environmental Regulations (환경규제가 지역경제에 미치는 파급효과 분석)

  • 김호언
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1999
  • Since the 1990's, the most important environmental issue on the earth is characterized by "global worming problem". The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) plays an significant role to solve this problem on a worldwide scale. The main purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of $CO_2$ reduction on the Daegu regional economy through 1995 regional input-output coefficients derived from the 1995 national input coefficients table by using non-survey method. The sectoral impacts on output, income, and employment were computed under the decline-unequalized assumption in final demand influenced by $CO_2$ reduction. This article has six main sections. Section 1 is an introduction to this paper. Section 2 explains briefly the derivation method of the regional technical coefficients. Section 3 describes the model building through input-output multipliers. In section 4 regional data on output, income, employment and final demand are computed to estimate the regional impacts. Section 5 deals with impact analysis on the Daegu economy. Section 6 contains a brief summary and concludintg remarks. The research findings of this study can be summarized as follows. In 1995, under the assumption of 10% decrease on an average in final demand sectors, the economy of the region studied decreased \3600 billion of output, ₩1114 billion of income, and 49919 man-years of employment. The percent ratios of each value to the total showed 9.4%, 9.7%, and 9.2%, respectively. The dominant sectors associated with impact analysis within the region are chemicals and chemical products, paper, printing and publishing, and textiles and leather, etc; nevertheless, the least dominant sector is non-metallic mineral products. products.

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Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Drought Risk (기후변화가 가뭄 위험성에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • A chronic drought stress has been imposed during non-rainy season(from winter to spring) since 1990s. We faced the most significant water crisis in 2001, and the drought was characterized by sultry weather and severe drought on a national scale. It has been widely acknowledged that the drought related damage is 2-3 times serious than floods. In the list of the world's largest natural disaster compiled by NOAA, 4 of the top 5 disasters are droughts. And according to the analysis from the NDMC report, the drought has the highest annual average damage among all the disasters. There was a very serious impact on the economic such as rising consumer price during the 2001 spring drought in Korea. There has been flood prevention measures implemented at national-level but for mitigation of droughts, there are only plans aimed at emergency (short-term) restoration rather than the comprehensive preventive measures. In addition, there is a lack of a clear set of indicators to express drought situation objectively, and therefore it is important and urgent to begin a systematic study. In this study, a nonstationary downscaling model using RCM based climate change scenario was first applied to simulate precipitation, and the simulated precipitation data was used to derive Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The SPI under climate change was used to evaluate the spatio-temporal variability of drought through principal component analysis at three different time scales which are 2015, 2045 and 2075. It was found that spatio-temporal variability is likely to modulate with climate change.

Impact of Climate Change on Runoff Analysis in the Geum River Basin (금강 유역에서의 기후변화에 대한 유출 영향 분석)

  • Ahn, Jung-Min;Jung, Kang-Young;Kim, Gyeonghoon;Kwon, Heongak;Yang, Duk-Seok;Shin, Dongseok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.549-561
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    • 2017
  • Recently IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change, 2007) pointed out that global warming is a certain ongoing process on the earth, due to which water resources management is becoming one of the most difficult tasks with the frequent occurrences of extreme floods and droughts. In this study we made runoff predictions for several control points in the Geum River by using the watershed runoff model, SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation Model), with daily RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios for 100 year from 1st Jan 2006 to 31st Dec 2100 at the resolution of 1 km given by Climate Change Information Center. As a result of, the Geum River Basin is predicted to be a constant flow increases, and it showed a variation in the water circulation system. Thus, it was found that the different seasonality occurred.

A Review on the Results of Adjusting Weight in Vulnerability Analysis of Climate Change Driven Disaster - Focused on Sea-level Rise - (도시 기후변화 재해취약성 분석방법의 가중치 조정에 따른 결과 비교 검토 - 해수면 상승 재해를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jisook;Kim, Hoyong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2017
  • The vulnerability analysis of climate change driven disaster has been used as institutional framework for the urban policies of disaster prevention since 2012. However, some problems have occurred due to the structure of vulnerability analysis, such as overweighted variables and duplicated application of variables of similar meaning. The goal of this study is to examine the differences of results between the method of current guideline and the method of weight equalization. For this, we examines the current structural framework of the vulnerability analysis, and performs empirical analysis. As a result, the extent and magnitude of vulnerability showed different spatial patterns depending on the weighting methods. Standardized weighting method relatively represented wider vulnerable areas compared to the pre-existing method which follows the current instruction manual. To apply the results of vulnerability analysis to urban planning process for disaster prevention, this study suggests that the reliability of the results should be ensured by improving analytical framework and detailed review of the results.

Analysis of Water Quality Impact of Hapcheon Dam Reservoir According to Changes in Watershed Runoff Using ANN (ANN을 활용한 유역유출 변화에 따른 합천댐 저수지 수질영향 분석)

  • Jo, Bu Geon;Jung, Woo Suk;Lee, Jong Moon;Kim, Young Do
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2022
  • Climate change is becoming increasingly unpredictable. This has led to changes in various systems such as ecosystems, human life and hydrological cycles. In particular, the recent unpredictable climate change frequently causes extreme droughts and torrential rains, resulting in complex water resources disasters that cause water pollution due to inundation and retirement rather than primary disasters. SWAT was used as a watershed model to analyze future runoff and pollutant loads. The climate scenario analyzed the RCP4.5 climate scenario of the Meteorological Agency standard scenario (HadGEM3-RA) using the normal quantitative mapping method. Runoff and pollutant load analysis were performed by linkage simulation of climate scenario and watershed model. Finally, the results of application and verification of linkage model and analysis of future water quality change due to climate change were presented. In this study, we simulated climate change scenarios using artificial neural networks, analyzed changes in water temperature and turbidity, and compared the results of dams with artificial neural network results through W2 model, a reservoir water quality model. The results of this study suggest the possibility of applying the nonlinearity and simplicity of neural network model to Hapcheon dam water quality prediction using climate change.