• Title/Summary/Keyword: Clean Development Mechanism(CDM)

Search Result 61, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

Predicting the success of CDM Registration for Hydropower Projects using Logistic Regression and CART (로그 회귀분석 및 CART를 활용한 수력사업의 CDM 승인여부 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Ho;Koo, Bonsang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.65-76
    • /
    • 2015
  • The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is the multi-lateral 'cap and trade' system endorsed by the Kyoto Protocol. CDM allows developed (Annex I) countries to buy CER credits from New and Renewable (NE) projects of non-Annex countries, to meet their carbon reduction requirements. This in effect subsidizes and promotes NE projects in developing countries, ultimately reducing global greenhouse gases (GHG). To be registered as a CDM project, the project must prove 'additionality,' which depends on numerous factors including the adopted technology, baseline methodology, emission reductions, and the project's internal rate of return. This makes it difficult to determine ex ante a project's acceptance as a CDM approved project, and entails sunk costs and even project cancellation to its project stakeholders. Focusing on hydro power projects and employing UNFCCC public data, this research developed a prediction model using logistic regression and CART to determine the likelihood of approval as a CDM project. The AUC for the logistic regression and CART model was 0.7674 and 0.7231 respectively, which proves the model's prediction accuracy. More importantly, results indicate that the emission reduction amount, MW per hour, investment/Emission as crucial variables, whereas the baseline methodology and technology types were insignificant. This demonstrates that at least for hydro power projects, the specific technology is not as important as the amount of emission reductions and relatively small scale projects and investment to carbon reduction ratios.

A Study on a Methodology for Economic feasibility of A/R(Afforestation/Reforestation) CDM(Clean Development Mechanism) - Case Studies on Temperate Humid Zone and Tropical Rain Forest Zone - (조림 CDM 사업의 경제성 분석을 위한 방법론 연구 -온대습윤기후대와 열대우림기후대 사례지역을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Sang-Youp;Jung, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-43
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study is intended to develop an economic feasibility methodology of A/R CDM projects based on two project cases in China and Vietnam and to evaluate the project profitability from the view point of credit type selection between temporary CER (tCER) and long term CER (lCER) as well as from the aspect of CER prices by using indicators IRR, the year in which a single year profit is achieved and the year in which the accumulated deficit is cleared. For A/R CDM projects of industrial plantations, tCER is more suitable than lCER. Profitability of A/R CDM projects depend on the price of wood and CERs. In the case that the project participants take responsibility for replacement of credits to make the price of their CERs at higher levels, thus the project may not be feasible as a CDM project. However, minimum required tCER prices without replacement are 11US$/t $CO_2$, thus the project may be feasible under the future carbon market scheme.

  • PDF

A Study on Greenhouse Gas Removals Estimation of a Small Scale Afforestation/reforestation CDM Pilot Project in Goseong, Gangwon Province (강원도 고성군 소규모 신규조림/재조림 CDM 시범사업의 온실가스 감축량 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Lee, Sue Kyoung;Noh, Nam Jin;Yoon, Tae Kyung;Han, Saerom;Cui, Guishan;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Son, Yowhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.102 no.3
    • /
    • pp.398-406
    • /
    • 2013
  • Afforestation/reforestation (A/R) clean development mechanism (CDM) is the only forestry-based activities allowed under the Kyoto protocol. This study was conducted to develop a methodology to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) removals of a small scale A/R CDM pilot project in Goseong, Gangwon Province, Korea. AR-AMS0001 was applied as a methodology and selected tree species were Pinus koraiensis, Larix kaempferi, and Betula platyphylla for total area of 75.0 ha. To improve the accuracy on the GHG removals estimation, selection of the baseline scenario and carbon pools and stratification of the project site were conducted. Based on the developed methodology, net anthropogenic GHG removals were estimated as actual net GHG removals, subtracted by baseline net greenhouse gas removals and leakage. As a result, anthropogenic GHG removals of the project were 12,415 ton $CO_2-e$ and 165.5 ton $CO_2-e/ha$. This project is the first A/R CDM in domestic site and could enhance the technical accuracy of the GHG removals estimation by using countryspecific data reflecting the site condition.

Status and Trends of Emission Reduction Technologies and CDM Projects of Greenhouse Gas Nitrous Oxide (온실가스 아산화질소(N2O) 저감기술 및 CDM 사업의 현황과 전망)

  • Chang, Kil Sang
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-26
    • /
    • 2008
  • With the effectuation of Kyoto Protocol on the United Nations Framework Convention on the Climate Change, the emission reduction of greenhouse gases became an urgent issue and has been competitively secured among countries as the form of certificates through clean development mechanism (CDM) or joint implementation (JI). Nitrous oxide ($N_2O$) is one of the major greenhouse gases along with carbon dioxide ($CO_2$) and methane ($CH_4$) having warming potential 310 times that of carbon dioxide and chemically very stable in the atmosphere to give a life time of more than 120 years so that it reaches to the stratosphere to act as an ozone depleting substance. $N_2O$ hardly decomposes and thus, besides to the adoption of thermal decomposition at high temperature, selective catalytic reduction methods are usually used at temperatures over $400^{\circ}C$ in which the presence of NOx acts as a major impeding material in the decomposition process. In this article, the sources of various $N_2O$ generation, catalytic reduction processes and the status and trends of emission trade with CDM projects for greenhouse gas reduction are summarized and discussed on a condensed basis.

AEP Prediction of Gangwon Wind Farm using AWS Wind Data (AWS 풍황데이터를 이용한 강원풍력발전단지 발전량 예측)

  • Woo, Jae-Kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Ki;Kim, Byeong-Min;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
    • /
    • v.31 no.A
    • /
    • pp.119-122
    • /
    • 2011
  • AWS (Automated Weather Station) wind data was used to predict the annual energy production of Gangwon wind farm having a total capacity of 98 MW in Korea. Two common wind energy prediction programs, WAsP and WindSim were used. Predictions were made for three consecutive years of 2007, 2008 and 2009 and the results were compared with the actual annual energy prediction presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm. The results from both prediction programs were close to the actual energy productions and the errors were within 10%.

  • PDF

A study on the UI design and program development for integrated management of carbon data in city (도시 탄소데이터 통합관리를 위한 프로그램 설계 방안 및 UI 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Hyoung;Kim, Seong-Sik;Kim, Jong-Woo;Choi, Guei-Tai
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.108-117
    • /
    • 2013
  • Studies on the regulation and measurement of greenhouse gases(GHGs) emissions have been carrying out for global wanning. In order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many countries have been promoting the Emissions Trading System and projects of the Joint Implementation(JI) and Clean Development Mechanism(CDM). These country's GHG emissions have been measured calculation criteria based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) Guidelines. In order to respond to GHGs regulation, in each country, it is planing to build a Low-Carbon City. The system has been developed for calculating GHGs emissions from companies and institutions in their respective countries. However, the system can monitor the GHGs per city, has not been developed. In this paper, it is studied to design the User Interface and to develop integrated monitoring program for Low-carbon city. This program will make possible monitoring and management, statistics, and reports written by using each data in units of cities.

The Effect of Real-time Navigation on the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emission (실시간내비게이션의 온실가스 감축 영향력 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong Su;Oh, Junseok;Lee, Bong Gyou
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
    • /
    • v.2 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-42
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper shows the positivistic approach for analyzing the effect of ICT on the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission. The real-time navigation was selected for the ICT based service in this research, and the CO2 reduction ratios of the optimized routes in the navigation were compared with the reduction ratios of the shortest routes in existing navigations. The results of experiments showed the driving based on the optimized routes has more reduction effects than the driving on the basis of the shortest routes. Also, new evaluation method for GHG emission was suggested by the quantification and monitoring approaches on the basis of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) in this paper. The results of this paper can be used as a preliminary research for the effect of ICT on the reduction of GHG emission. The evaluation method which suggested in this paper will be suggested to CDM as the new standard for the reduction of GHG emission in the transportation field as well.

Assessment of Landfill Gas Generation - A Case Study of Cheongju Megalo Landfill (매립지 가스 발생량 평가 - 청주권 광역생활폐기물 매립장 사례연구)

  • Hong, Sang-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.321-330
    • /
    • 2008
  • Methane is a potent greenhouse gas and methane emissions from landfills have been linked to global warming. In this study, LandGEM (Landfill Gas Emission Model) was applied to predict landfill gas quantity over time, and then this result was compared with the data surveyed on the site, Cheongju Megalo Landfill. LandGEM allows the input of site-specific values for methane generation rate (k) and potential methane generation capacity $L_o$, but in this study, k value of 0.05/yr and $L_o$ value of $170m^3/Mg$ were considered to be most appropriate for reflecting non-arid temperate region conventional landfilling, Cheongju Megalo Landfill. High discrepancies between the surveyed data and the predicted data about landfill gas seems to be derived from insufficient compaction of daily soil-cover, inefficient recovery of landfill gas and banning of direct landfilling of food garbage waste in 2005. This study can be used for dissemination of information and increasing awareness about the benefits of recovering and utilizing LFG (landfill gas) and mitigating greenhouse gas emissions.

Prediction of Energy Production of China Donghai Bridge Wind Farm Using MERRA Reanalysis Data (MERRA 재해석 데이터를 이용한 중국 동하이대교 풍력단지 에너지발전량 예측)

  • Gao, Yue;Kim, Byoung-su;Lee, Joong-Hyeok;Paek, Insu;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2015
  • The MERRA reanalysis data provided online by NASA was applied to predict the monthly energy productions of Donghai Bridge Offshore wind farms in China. WindPRO and WindSim that are commercial software for wind farm design and energy prediction were used. For topography and roughness map, the contour line data from SRTM combined with roughness information were made and used. Predictions were made for 11 months from July, 2010 to May, 2011, and the results were compared with the actual electricity energy production presented in the CDM(Clean Development Mechanism)monitoring report of the wind farm. The results from the prediction programs were close to the actual electricity energy productions and the errors were within 4%.

Prediction of Annual Energy Production of Gangwon Wind Farm using AWS Wind Data (AWS 풍황데이터를 이용한 강원풍력발전단지 연간에너지발전량 예측)

  • Woo, Jae-kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Kim, Byeong-Min;Paek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.72-81
    • /
    • 2011
  • The wind data obtained from an AWS(Automated Weather Station) was used to predict the AEP(annual energy production) of Gangwon wind farm having a total capacity of 98 MWin Korea. A wind energy prediction program based on the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes equation was used. Predictions were made for three consecutive years starting from 2007 and the results were compared with the actual AEPs presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm. The results from the prediction program were close to the actual AEPs and the errors were within 7.8%.