• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Loop

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A Study on the Causal Map Analysis of the Information and Communication Policy (정보통신정책의 인과지도 분석)

  • 박제석
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.109-128
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    • 2004
  • The complexity of information and communication policy has been increasing due to its rapid changes and its expansions toward various fields. I used the2001, 2002 and 2003 White Papers on MIC(Ministry of Information and Communication Republic of Korea) as a reference and the Vensim PLE program to create a causal map. According to my analysis, no major feedback loop was found among the information and communication policies. Thus, it was impossible to conduct a causal map analysis on these policies. The causal map analysis is usually employed to understand a complex mechanism of entire policies by finding feedback loops among them. A lack of feedback loops makes it impossible to conduct the causal map analysis and means that the mechanism of such policies is even more complex to understand. The most important conclusion is that to consider feedback thought among the policies based on the systems thinking before making the policies.

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Management Plan of Whooper Swan(Cygnus cygnus) Habitat Using Causal Loop Analysis : Focused on Eulsukdo (인과순환구조 분석을 통한 큰고니 서식환경 유지방안 -을숙도를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Yun Eui;You, Soojin;Kang, Sung-Ryong;Choi, Byoungkoo;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.353-367
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    • 2015
  • The goal of this study is to analyze the feedback structure of habitat changes of the Whooper Swan in Eulsukdo using system thinking to suggest a management plan for ecosystem health. Using the causal loop diagrams of population changes between Whooper Swan and other bird species in Eulsukdo, we found that the environmental changes in the roosting and foraging area affect the Whooper Swan's population. The causal loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's roosting area indicated that the environmental changes (e.g., water level, noise, bird watching, and other experience activities) may influence their population density variation. In addition, the casual loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's foraging area showed that the Whooper Swan's population was affected by various variables that included area factors such as surface area of freshwater, frozen water, salinity, and density of Scirpus planiculmis. Furthermore, through the integrated causal loop diagram, cumulative discharge of Nakdong estuary weir and building activities were identified as the variables that affect the population of the Whooper Swan. Thus, we selected this area as the strategic point to establish a management plan for the Whooper Swan's habitat. The results of this study will help in decision making of a long-term management plan for sustaining the environmental health of the ecosystem in Eulsukdo.

An Analysis of Ecosystem Service's trade-off through Systems Thinking (시스템 사고를 통한 생태계서비스의 trade-off 관계 고찰)

  • Ham, Eun Kyung;Kim, Min;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.75-100
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze causation of Ecosystem service's trade-off(ES trade-off) and to establish baseline data for wise spatial planning and management. In order to understand why and how ES trade-off occurs, systems thinking and causal loops were employed. The causal loop of ecosystem service creation cycle includes profits quantification process, decision making process, spatial planning and management process, and ecosystem services creation process. The profits quantification process has a limitation that all ecosystem service categories were not included in profits quantification, because quantification method for cultural services is insufficient. These problems led to unequal discussion opportunity in decision making process. ES trade-off occurs through transition of ecosystem function in spatial scale and temporal scale. In spatial scale, land-use variation and resource-use variation contribute to change an ecosystem function for different ES category by spatial planning and management. In temporal scale, a change of an ecosystem function for different ES category is influenced by ecological succession, seasonal change and land cover variation, which are parameter from environmental features. This study presented that spatial planning and management should ecosystem service assessment in order to enhance balanced ecosystem services.

Research on the Relationship between Movement and Volition of Soldier's Service Using Causal Loop (인과지도 분석을 통한 이주가 직업군인의 복무의지에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Seong-Pil;Lee, Jeong-Dong;Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Jung, Euy-Young
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.69-87
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to explore the relationship between the number of relocation and volition of soldier's service based on system thinking perspective using a causal loop analysis. Research adopting system dynamics concerning on the volition of soldier's service and relocation has not been studied yet. Causal loops are analyzed and evaluated by focusing on soldier's military performance, stress of family members and family members' welfare service. Result of this study is that soldier's periodical movement is indispensable factor maintaining military life. Most of the married soldier's life conditions are worse than ordinary people. As the number of relocation is increasing family of soldier's stress is increased by anxiety for welfare conditions is supposed to relocate. The number of movement to another place of soldier's children is more than two times and the result of learning achievement is worse than ordinary students. This kind of stress can influence the married soldier's military performance and stress. So the welfare service should be expanded to an official residence, education, facility, district network service and so on.

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System Thinking Perspective on the Dynamic Relationship between Organizational Characteristics of Nuclear Safety Culture

  • Kim, Byung Suk;Oh, Youngmin
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2014
  • Objective: The purpose of this study is to grasp the fundamental structure of incident occurrence in nuclear organizations based on system thinking, and analyze how various causes are interrelated in terms of the causal loop diagram. Background: The recent domestic and overseas nuclear power plant-related incidents and accidents are directly or indirectly associated with safety culture, and thus effective plans for the improvement of safety culture are being called for. While the safety of a nuclear power plant is highly dependent upon technology and equipment, the utilization, maintenance and inspection of the technology and equipment are conducted by workers of the nuclear power plant. Method: Methodology of system thinking perspective using causal loop analysis. Results: As a result of the analysis, first, it turned out that the fundamental cause of incident occurrence in nuclear organizations is time constraint. Second, if a workload of workers increases, their adherence to regulations and procedures comes to be reduced due to time constraint. Third, it is needed, through organizational learning education, to increase actions made from thoughts considering safety as the utmost priority in advance. Fourth, it is necessary to improve professionalism by enhancing educational programs for new workers, and to develop various scenarios with which they can cope with certain situations. Application: This paper provides a base for system dynamics simulation model for future study.

A Structural Analysis between Overseas Opening of Geospatial Information and the Promotion of Geospatial Information Industry Using the Systems Thinking (시스템 사고를 통한 지도데이터 국외개방과 공간정보 산업 활성화간 인과구조 분석)

  • Yi, Mi Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.213-221
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    • 2018
  • South Korea has been reluctant to open its geospatial information overseas to ensure security as a divided country. However, this cannot continue as the domestic and international environments related to geospatial information and the industrial ecosystem of information and communication technologies have been changing dramatically. Within this context, this study aims to analyze the causal relations among relevant variables and how they change and interact with time using a systems thinking process. First, causal maps were created for the domains of national security, map-based convergence service, and corporate competition. Then, the causal maps for each domain were integrated, based on which the points for policy intervention and dominant feedback loops were identified. The analysis results showed that securing the self-sufficiency of domestic geospatial businesses is a key element to determine the whole causal map, and the variable that changes the dominant feedback loop from a vicious circle to a virtuous one is the decision to open geospatial information overseas. In this study, I found the policy leverage that is a policy intervention point that can produce a great effect with little input by building a causal map of the interactions between major variables. This study is significant in that it identified and analyzed the dominant feedback loop as to which causal structure would dominate the system in the long term. The results of this study can be used to discuss not only the impacts of map data overseas opening on the national security and geospatial information industry, but also the interactions in the future when Google or other global companies request to release the geospatial information.

Korea's Limit to Growth from Circular Causation Perspective: Focusing on Crisis Factors, Population, Economy, Resources, Environment, and Food (인과지도로 본 한국의 성장의 한계: 인구, 경제, 자원, 환경, 식량 위기요인을 중심으로)

  • Moon, Tae-Hoon;Kim, Byung-Suk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.47-79
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    • 2009
  • The paper examines dynamic relationship among 'Limit to Growth' factors in Korea using causal loop diagram. It also aims to explore policy implications for Korea in overcoming current difficulties and future crisis we may face. For this purpose, five factors -economy, population, resource, environment, food- used in the were adopted as an analytical framework. Findings show that Korea is fragile to external shock such as world economic crisis, food price surge, and resource price -including energy price- hike. High dependency of energy, food and resource on foreign market was found to be a major source of limit to growth in Korea. Furthermore, environmental problems like global warming could be a major external shock that could hit Korea harder than the rest of the world. Policy implications and measures for these problems were discussed too.

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Systems Thinking Perspective on the Organizational Safety Culture of Nuclear Power Plants in Korea (원자력발전소 조직 안전문화에 관한 시스템 사고적 고찰)

  • Oh, Youngmin
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.51-74
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    • 2014
  • Despite the high efficiency of nuclear power plant, people in Korea do not give approvals and supports the facilities because the risk of the accidents and incidents. In particular, the low level of safety culture is a crucial mechanism that damages the robustness of the NPP. By considering the various definitions of safety culture and analyzing the major reasons of incidents, the conceptual safety culture model is made by using Causal Loop Diagramming. For sustaining development of nuclear power, social supports, incentives and organizational learning are needed. It also requires the coordination of work schedules and the expansion of human resource for protecting the rules and procedures in NPP. Decommissioning aging nuclear power plants will prevent a serious accident. In order to promote the safety culture, Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Corporation should disclose more information to the public and promote the internal and external communications.

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Population Ageing Crisis and Causal loop Analysis on the It's Dynamics in Rural County Regions (우리나라 군지역의 고령화 위기와 동태성의 인과순환적 구조분석)

  • Choi, Nam Hee;Lee, Jong Kun;Kim, Keun Sei;Lee, Myung Suk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.75-96
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    • 2014
  • This research primarily aims at analyzing major crises originating from marginalizing population, especially in counties. In addition, based on the system dynamics approaches, it pays attention to divulging causal loop structure which has been rather strengthened by diverse interactions among key variables. Judging from simulation works, even though Korea is exposed to unprecedented aging trends over decades, its counter response seems inadequate and insufficient, mostly dismissing a series of impact embedded in the aging dynamics. This research statistically confirms that demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the villages within Eup and Myon counties. Furthermore, this research pinpoints out the fact that it would be almost impossible for majority of villages within Eup and Myon counties to escape from going out of existence in the course of time, as they tend to be entrapped vicious cycle of marginalization or extinction.

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